Severe Thunderstorm Warning 18, NWS Wakefield, VA

546 
WWUS51 KAKQ 190242
SVSAKQ

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Wakefield VA
1042 PM EDT Thu Mar 18 2021

VAC131-190252-
/O.EXP.KAKQ.SV.W.0018.000000T0000Z-210319T0245Z/
Northampton VA-
1042 PM EDT Thu Mar 18 2021

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR SOUTHERN NORTHAMPTON COUNTY
WILL EXPIRE AT 1045 PM EDT...
        
The storm which prompted the warning has moved out of the area.
Therefore, the warning will be allowed to expire.  However, heavy 
rain is still possible with this thunderstorm.

To report severe weather, contact your nearest law enforcement
agency. They will relay your report to the National Weather Service
Wakefield.

LAT...LON 3715 7579 3714 7580 3704 7594 3707 7603
      3723 7604 3726 7577
TIME...MOT...LOC 0242Z 264DEG 53KT 3708 7563 

$$

05

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
National Weather Service Wakefield VA
833 PM EDT Thu Mar 18 2021

.SYNOPSIS...
A warm front and low pressure will push across the area this
evening. A strong cold front will sweep through the region late
tonight, with upper level low pressure tracking across the
region Friday. High pressure builds in from the northwest Friday
night into Sunday.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM FRIDAY MORNING/...
As of 400 PM EDT Thursday...

Complex weather pattern will evolve over the remainder of the
afternoon into the overnight period. ~1000mb surface low pressure is
centered over eastern KY/TN nosing into western NC and VA. Aloft, a
strong closed low is located over NW TN and is slowly advancing to
the east. A wavy warm front extends to the SE of the surface low
with the eastern extension of the front making some northward
progress this afternoon.

Widespread low stratus remained locked in east of the higher
Appalachian terrain through the morning and the first half of the
afternoon across the region which has held temperatures largely in
the 50s for the I-95 corridor and Piedmont. Some thinning of the
clouds is apparent to our south and southwest on visible satellite
imagery and temperatures have rapidly risen in areas that have seen
filtered sunshine. Low level moisture has also been increasing
across the southeastern third of the area with dew point
temperatures in the mid 60s to low 70s near and south of the VA/NC
border and east of I-95. Warmer temperatures and more robust
moisture in these regions have allowed instability to steadily
increase this afternoon with MLCAPE generally in the 500-1000 J/kg
range. Still expecting the convective threat to increase across the
southeastern half of the area through the late afternoon and into
the evening as temps continue to rise and moisture increases near
and south of the warm front. Not many changes from SPC for our local
area with the greatest severe threat across SE VA and NE NC where an
Enhanced Risk of severe storms continues. To the north and west, a
Slight Risk extends from near I-64 to the south. A Marginal Risk is
in place for the northern counties as well as the Eastern Shore.
Radar trends and mesoanalysis indicate that generally weak echoes
noted across west-central NC and VA will continue to move eastward
and intensify through the evening. Strong kinematics are in place
ahead of the surface and upper level low pressure centers but
thermodynamics remain marginal away from far SE VA and NE NC.
Surface observations across the central Carolinas do show more
robust heating and moisture that should be able to advect northward
into the region this evening. CAM guidance shows the potential for
clusters of storms to move NE this afternoon and evening, generally
along and east of the I-85 corridor and extending to eastward to the
western shore of the Chesapeake Bay. Additional storms are possible
to the SE of the corridor later this evening into the early
overnight. All severe hazards are possible given the strong shear in
place. Strong to severe straight line winds and tornadoes are the
most likely threats with large hail confined to only the strongest
of rotating storms that are able to form. The severe threat will
largely come to end by 10-11pm with the stronger convection moving
offshore.

The upper low will begin to phase with energy in the northern stream
jet which will bring a strong cold front through the area tonight
into Friday morning after the surface moves to the east. A NNE wind
will increase sharply behind the front, with gusts up to 45-55 mph
along the coast, 35-40 mph along the western shore of the Bay, and
25-35 mph farther inland. A wind advisory has been issued, which
begins late tonight for the Atlantic coast of the Eastern Shore, and
early Friday morning for coastal SE VA/NE NC. Rain will re-develop
from N-S after midnight, with low temperatures ranging from the
mid/upper 30s N, to the mid/upper 40s S by early Friday morning.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 AM FRIDAY MORNING THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT/...
As of 400 PM EDT Thursday...

The upper low will push across the area Friday morning as it then
phases with the northern stream trough offshore by Friday afternoon.
Precipitation is expected to continue through midday to early
afternoon Friday. Surface temperatures are expected to drop into the
mid 30s for portions of the area Friday morning, with sub-1290m 1000-
850mb thicknesses suggesting that rain will mix with snow, and
likely become all snow for some areas when the rates are greatest.
Any accumulation will be purely rate driven, with a coating of snow
possible on grassy and elevated surfaces. Any snow accumulation
should melt quickly once precipitation ends.

Forecast highs Friday will be tricky with temperatures strongly
linked to the intensity of the precip at any given time/location.
Will show high temps in the mid and upper 40s across the area to
account for the expected rapid rebound outside of the heavier
precip. Remaining breezy inland to windy along the coast Friday,
with the Wind Advisory continuing into the afternoon for the Eastern
Shore, and through Friday evening for SE VA/NE NC.

&&

.LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
As of 135 PM EDT Thursday...

Canadian high pres moves across the nern states Sat then tracks ne
and off the New England coast Sun. Dry this weekend under pt to
mstly sunny skies. Highs Sat 50-55. Lows Sat nite in the 30s except
near 40 sern beach areas. Highs Sun 55-60.

Models show low pres dvlpng off the sern coast Sun along with a sfc
trof extending north along the coast. This systm is progged to track
nne along or just east of the Gulf Stream wall Mon/Mon nite before
continuing ne and out into the VaCapes Tue/Wed. Models differ in
just how far north and west pcpn gets. GFS/Canadian keeps most of
the pcpn along the immediate coast of just offshore while the ECMWF
has a track closer to the coast and rain much farther inland. For
now, will keep low chc PoPs along the coast Sun nite/Mon with any
leftover rain pushing offshore Mon eve. Dry west of the Ches Bay.
Lows Sun nite mid 30s nw to mid 40s se. Highs Mon mid 50s-lwr 60s.
Lows Mon nite in the 40s.

Dry Tue/Wed as high pres wedges down the Mid Atlantic coast ahead of
the next systm apprchg from the west. Highs Tue low-mid 60s. Lows
Tue nite 45-50. Highs Wed in the 60s.

A cold front apprchs the mts by next Thurs. Will carry low chc PoPs
ahead of the bndry. Highs mid 60s-lwr 70s.

&&

.AVIATION /00Z FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
As of 815 PM EDT Thursday...

A warm front and low pressure will push across the area this
evening. Then, a strong cold front will sweep through the
region late tonight, with upper level low pressure tracking
across the region Fri. This will result in VFR to IFR/LIFR
conditions affecting the TAF sites this evening into Fri
evening. Rain showers with possible tstms through this evening,
then rain or snow Fri morning into Fri aftn, with rain or snow
likely more at RIC/SBY/PHF. With low pressure moving off the
coast and strong sfc high pressure building in from the NW,
strong NNE winds 15-20 kt with gusts to at least 25-35 kt, will
result over the area from early Fri morning into early Fri
evening.

OUTLOOK...
High pressure builds into the area from the north Fri night into
Sun. Low pressure is progged to linger off the southeast and
Mid Atlc coast early next week.

&&

.MARINE...
As of 300 PM EDT Thursday...

Southerly winds 5-15 kts this afternoon will increase to 15-20 kts
by late afternoon into this evening as a warm front lifts north
across the area. Waves in the bay 1-2 ft and seas 3-4 ft. Some
dense marine fog is possible again tonight especially over the
northern coastal waters.

Low cuts across the Mid-Atlantic and drags a cold front across the
area tonight. Winds become northerly after the frontal passage.
Tightening pressure gradient and CAA will result in wind speeds
increasing overnight into tomorrow morning, and remaining strong
throughout the day. N/NE winds 25-35 kts with gusts of 35-45 kts
expected, with the strongest winds over the coastal waters. Waves in
the bay will build to 4-7 ft and seas build to 8-14 ft.

Gale conditions subside by Saturday morning however strong high
pressure to the north and a low developing off the coast of Florida
will keep near SCA winds and elevated seas through at least the end
of the weekend and possibly into early next week as the low lingers
off the SE coast.

As for headlines, SCA's currently in effect for the bay, coastal
waters and Currituck sound for the southerly surge this afternoon
into early this evening. Gale warnings go into effect overnight for
all waters including the rivers. The Gale warning for the rivers
(excluding the lower James) runs until 22Z Friday. The lower James
goes until 02Z Saturday. The bay goes until 05Z Saturday, and until
11Z for the coastal waters.

&&

.TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING...
As of 300 PM EDT Thursday...

Strong N-NNE winds are expected behind a cold front moving
through the region overnight. Water levels will rise across the
mid/lower Ches Bay and Atlantic coast of SE VA/NE NC on Friday,
with tidal anomalies of 1 to 3 feet above normal possible
(locally higher in spots) from Friday through Friday night. The
highest water levels are expected to occur Friday night, as
this is the higher of the two astronomical tides. While
astronomical tides are expected to remain relatively low, minor
to localized moderate coastal flooding will be possible in the
bay and along the Atlantic coast. Coastal Flood Watch issued for
Eastern Currituck County and the lower Chesapeake Bay and
Virginia Beach for Friday into early Saturday. In addition,
large breaking waves will likely result in beach erosion from
Fri through the weekend. Damage to dune structures is expected
across the nrn Outer Banks. High surf advisory issued for surf
zone waves of 8-10 feet from Friday morning to Saturday morning
over the northern Atlantic coast, and Friday afternoon to
Saturday afternoon over Virginia Beach and northern Outer Banks
NC.

Water levels are expected to slowly fall this weekend as winds
relax a bit (but likely remain considerably higher than normal
given the persistent N-NE flow and elevated seas).

&&

.AKQ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MD...Wind Advisory from 3 AM to 4 PM EDT Friday for MDZ024-025.
     High Surf Advisory from 4 AM Friday to 7 AM EDT Saturday for
     MDZ025.
NC...Wind Advisory from 7 AM Friday to 1 AM EDT Saturday for NCZ017-
     102.
     High Surf Advisory from 1 PM Friday to 1 PM EDT Saturday for
     NCZ102.
     Coastal Flood Watch from Friday evening through late Friday
     night for NCZ102.
VA...Coastal Flood Watch from Friday morning through Saturday
     morning for VAZ089-090-093-095-096-098-100-523>525.
     Wind Advisory from 7 AM Friday to 1 AM EDT Saturday for VAZ095-
     098.
     High Surf Advisory from 1 PM Friday to 1 PM EDT Saturday for
     VAZ098.
     Wind Advisory from 3 AM to 4 PM EDT Friday for VAZ099-100.
     High Surf Advisory from 4 AM Friday to 7 AM EDT Saturday for
     VAZ099-100.
     Wind Advisory from 7 AM to 4 PM EDT Friday for VAZ077-078-
     084>086-523>525.
MARINE...Small Craft Advisory until 2 AM EDT Friday for ANZ650-652-654.
     Gale Warning from 2 AM Friday to 6 AM EDT Saturday for ANZ650-
     652-654.
     Small Craft Advisory until 4 AM EDT Friday for ANZ630>632-634-
     656-658.
     Gale Warning from 4 AM Friday to 7 AM EDT Saturday for ANZ656-
     658.
     Gale Warning from 4 AM to 6 PM EDT Friday for ANZ635>637.
     Gale Warning from 4 AM Friday to 1 AM EDT Saturday for
     ANZ630>632-634.
     Small Craft Advisory until 7 AM EDT Friday for ANZ633.
     Gale Warning from 7 AM Friday to 7 AM EDT Saturday for ANZ633.
     Gale Warning from 4 AM to 10 PM EDT Friday for ANZ638.

&&

SYNOPSIS...TMG
NEAR TERM...RHR
SHORT TERM...AJZ/RHR
LONG TERM...MPR
AVIATION...TMG
MARINE...AJB/CMF
TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING...AKQ

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Wakefield VA
922 PM EDT Thu Mar 18 2021

NCZ017-200130-
Western Currituck-
922 PM EDT Thu Mar 18 2021

...TORNADO WATCH 43 IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EDT THIS EVENING...
...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM FRIDAY TO 1 AM EDT SATURDAY...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for northeast North Carolina.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Tornado Watch.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Wind Advisory.

Wind Advisory.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to Standard Operating Procedures.

NCZ012>016-030>032-VAZ087-092-097-200130-
Northampton-Hertford-Gates-Pasquotank-Camden-Bertie-Chowan-
Perquimans-Greensville-Southampton-Chesapeake-
922 PM EDT Thu Mar 18 2021

...TORNADO WATCH 43 IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EDT THIS EVENING...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for northeast North Carolina and
southeast Virginia.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Tornado Watch.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.

Hazardous weather is not expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to Standard Operating Procedures.

VAZ093-096-200130-
Isle of Wight-Suffolk-
922 PM EDT Thu Mar 18 2021

...TORNADO WATCH 43 IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EDT THIS EVENING...
...COASTAL FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY MORNING THROUGH
SATURDAY MORNING...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for southeast Virginia.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Tornado Watch.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Coastal Flood Watch.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to Standard Operating Procedures.

VAZ098-200130-
Virginia Beach-
922 PM EDT Thu Mar 18 2021

...TORNADO WATCH 43 IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EDT THIS EVENING...
...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM FRIDAY TO 1 AM EDT SATURDAY...
...COASTAL FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY MORNING THROUGH
SATURDAY MORNING...
...HIGH SURF ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM FRIDAY TO 1 PM EDT
SATURDAY...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for southeast Virginia.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Tornado Watch.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Wind Advisory.
   Coastal Flood Watch.
   High Surf Advisory.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to Standard Operating Procedures.

VAZ095-200130-
Norfolk/Portsmouth-
922 PM EDT Thu Mar 18 2021

...TORNADO WATCH 43 IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EDT THIS EVENING...
...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM FRIDAY TO 1 AM EDT SATURDAY...
...COASTAL FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY MORNING THROUGH
SATURDAY MORNING...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for southeast Virginia.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Tornado Watch.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Wind Advisory.
   Coastal Flood Watch.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to Standard Operating Procedures.

VAZ090-200130-
James City-
922 PM EDT Thu Mar 18 2021

...COASTAL FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY MORNING THROUGH
SATURDAY MORNING...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for southeast Virginia.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Hazardous weather is not expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Coastal Flood Watch.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

VAZ524-525-200130-
Newport News-Hampton/Poquoson-
922 PM EDT Thu Mar 18 2021

...TORNADO WATCH 43 IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EDT THIS EVENING...
...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM TO 4 PM EDT FRIDAY...
...COASTAL FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY MORNING THROUGH
SATURDAY MORNING...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for southeast Virginia.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Tornado Watch.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Wind Advisory.
   Coastal Flood Watch.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to Standard Operating Procedures.

VAZ523-200130-
York-
922 PM EDT Thu Mar 18 2021

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM TO 4 PM EDT FRIDAY...
...COASTAL FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY MORNING THROUGH
SATURDAY MORNING...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for southeast Virginia.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Hazardous weather is not expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Wind Advisory.
   Coastal Flood Watch.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to Standard Operating Procedures.

VAZ089-200130-
Surry-
922 PM EDT Thu Mar 18 2021

...TORNADO WATCH 43 IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EDT THIS EVENING...
...COASTAL FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY MORNING THROUGH
SATURDAY MORNING...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for southeast Virginia.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Tornado Watch.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Coastal Flood Watch.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to Standard Operating Procedures.

VAZ088-200130-
Sussex-
922 PM EDT Thu Mar 18 2021

...TORNADO WATCH 43 IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EDT THIS EVENING...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for southeast Virginia.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Tornado Watch.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.

Hazardous weather is not expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to Standard Operating Procedures.

VAZ065>067-079>081-200130-
Mecklenburg-Lunenburg-Nottoway-Brunswick-Dinwiddie-Prince George-
922 PM EDT Thu Mar 18 2021

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for south central Virginia.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to Standard Operating Procedures.

NCZ102-200130-
Eastern Currituck-
922 PM EDT Thu Mar 18 2021

...TORNADO WATCH 43 IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EDT THIS EVENING...
...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM FRIDAY TO 1 AM EDT SATURDAY...
...HIGH SURF ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM FRIDAY TO 1 PM EDT
SATURDAY...
...COASTAL FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY EVENING THROUGH LATE
FRIDAY NIGHT...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for northeast North Carolina.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Tornado Watch.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Wind Advisory.
   High Surf Advisory.
   Coastal Flood Watch.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to Standard Operating Procedures.

MDZ021>023-VAZ048-060>062-064-068-069-075-076-509>513-515-517>522-
200130-
Dorchester-Wicomico-Somerset-Fluvanna-Prince Edward-Cumberland-
Goochland-Caroline-Amelia-Powhatan-Westmoreland-Richmond-
Western Louisa-Eastern Louisa-Western Hanover-Eastern Hanover-
Western Chesterfield-
Western Henrico (Including the City of Richmond)-
Western King William-Eastern King William-Western King and Queen-
Eastern King and Queen-Western Essex-Eastern Essex-
922 PM EDT Thu Mar 18 2021

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for southeast Maryland, central
Virginia, east central Virginia and north central Virginia.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Hazardous Weather is not expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.

Rain may mix with snow, or change to all snow Friday morning. Any
accumulation is expected to be minor and mainly on the grass, but
could cause some travel disruptions due to reduced visibility in
falling snow.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to Standard Operating Procedures.

VAZ077-078-084>086-200130-
Northumberland-Lancaster-Gloucester-Middlesex-Mathews-
922 PM EDT Thu Mar 18 2021

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM TO 4 PM EDT FRIDAY...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for eastern Virginia.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Hazardous weather is not expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Wind Advisory.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

VAZ082-083-514-516-200130-
Charles City-New Kent-Eastern Chesterfield (Including Col. Heights)-
Eastern Henrico-
922 PM EDT Thu Mar 18 2021

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for central Virginia and east
central Virginia.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Hazardous Weather is not expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.

Rain may mix with snow, or change to all snow Friday morning. Any
accumulation is expected to be minor and mainly on the grass, but
could cause some travel disruptions due to reduced visibility in
falling snow.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to Standard Operating Procedures.

MDZ025-VAZ099-200130-
Maryland Beaches-Accomack-
922 PM EDT Thu Mar 18 2021

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 3 AM TO 4 PM EDT FRIDAY...
...HIGH SURF ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 4 AM FRIDAY TO 7 AM EDT
SATURDAY...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for southeast Maryland and
southeast Virginia.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Wind Advisory.
   High Surf Advisory.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Wind Advisory.
   High Surf Advisory.

Rain may mix with snow, or change to all snow Friday morning. Any
accumulation is expected to be minor and mainly on the grass, but
could cause some travel disruptions due to reduced visibility in
falling snow.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

MDZ024-200130-
Inland Worcester-
922 PM EDT Thu Mar 18 2021

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 3 AM TO 4 PM EDT FRIDAY...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for southeast Maryland.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Wind Advisory.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Wind Advisory.

Rain may mix with snow, or change to all snow Friday morning. Any
accumulation is expected to be minor and mainly on the grass, but
could cause some travel disruptions due to reduced visibility in
falling snow.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to Standard Operating Procedures.

VAZ100-200130-
Northampton-
922 PM EDT Thu Mar 18 2021

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 3 AM TO 4 PM EDT FRIDAY...
...HIGH SURF ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 4 AM FRIDAY TO 7 AM EDT
SATURDAY...
...COASTAL FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY MORNING THROUGH
SATURDAY MORNING...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for eastern Virginia.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Wind Advisory.
   High Surf Advisory.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Wind Advisory.
   High Surf Advisory.
   Coastal Flood Watch.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to Standard Operating Procedures.

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Wakefield VA
835 PM EDT Thu Mar 18 2021

VAZ084-523-190115-
York-Gloucester-
835 PM EDT Thu Mar 18 2021

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT GLOUCESTER...NORTHWESTERN
YORK...WESTERN MATHEWS...AND EASTERN JAMES CITY COUNTIES AND THE CITY
OF WILLIAMSBURG...

At 835 PM EDT, a strong thunderstorm was located over College Of
William And Mary, moving northeast at 35 mph.

Wind gusts in excess of 40 mph and half inch hail are possible with
this storm.

Locations impacted include...
Williamsburg, Gloucester Courthouse, Queens Lake, Virginia Institute
For Marine Sciences, Gloucester Point, Hayes, Wicomico, Achilles,
York Terrace, Carver Gardens, Lackey, Beulah, Camp Peary, Glass,
Naxera, Allmondsville, Clay Bank, Ordinary, Belroi and Barlows
Corner.

If you see lightning or hear thunder, you are at risk! Take shelter
indoors immediately. If you cannot find shelter in a building a
vehicle provides safety from lightning.

Strong wind gusts are possible with this storm. These wind gusts are
capable of knocking down tree limbs, small or weakened trees, and
blowing around trash cans, potted plants, lawn furniture, and other
light outdoor objects.

LAT...LON 3729 7631 3729 7633 3728 7634 3722 7659
      3724 7660 3724 7665 3727 7668 3728 7668
      3728 7670 3734 7675 3737 7672 3737 7665
      3740 7667 3751 7651 3744 7645 3742 7645
      3741 7642
TIME...MOT...LOC 0035Z 239DEG 30KT 3725 7674

MR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAKEFIELD VA
850 PM EDT THU MAR 18 2021

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0830 PM     TSTM WND DMG     3 E GASTON              36.49N 77.59W
03/18/2021                   NORTHAMPTON        NC   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            DAMAGE TO A BARN ON BLYTHE ROAD. TIME
            ESTIMATED BY RADAR.

&&

MRD

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Wakefield VA
900 PM EDT Thu Mar 18 2021

VAZ088-089-092-093-096-190145-
Isle of Wight-Surry-Sussex-Southampton-Suffolk-
900 PM EDT Thu Mar 18 2021

...A LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS WITH HEAVY RAIN WILL AFFECT ISLE OF
WIGHT...SOUTHAMPTON...EAST CENTRAL SUSSEX AND SOUTHEASTERN SURRY
COUNTIES...THE CITY OF FRANKLIN...THE NORTHWESTERN CITY OF PORTSMOUTH
AND THE CITY OF SUFFOLK...

At 900 PM EDT, thunderstorms with heavy rain were located along a
line extending from Sussex to 9 miles northwest of Courtland to near
Boykins. Movement was east at 50 mph.

Wind gusts in excess of 30 mph and pea size hail are possible with
these storms.

Locations impacted include...
Franklin, Smithfield, Windsor, Courtland, Wakefield, Boykins,
Downtown Suffolk, Holland, Suffolk, Isle Of Wight, Ivor, Newsoms,
Dendron, Rescue, Hunterdale, Carrsville, Elberon, Homeville, Driver
and Sedley.

Motorists should use extra caution in the vicinity of these storms.
Be prepared for rapid changes in weather and road conditions. Heavy
rain could cause ponding of water on roads, and possible minor
flooding of ditches and poor drainage areas.

Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with this storm.
Lightning can strike more than 10 miles away from a thunderstorm.
Seek a safe shelter inside a building or vehicle.

LAT...LON 3677 7723 3695 7725 3718 7669 3717 7668
      3719 7666 3709 7663 3690 7640 3682 7646
      3662 7648 3655 7724
TIME...MOT...LOC 0100Z 247DEG 45KT 3691 7725 3679 7720 3665 7722

05

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Wakefield VA
914 PM EDT Thu Mar 18 2021

NCZ012-190145-
Northampton-
914 PM EDT Thu Mar 18 2021

...A THUNDERSTORM WITH HEAVY RAIN WILL AFFECT NORTHEASTERN
NORTHAMPTON...SOUTHEASTERN GREENSVILLE AND SOUTHWESTERN SOUTHAMPTON
COUNTIES...

At 914 PM EDT, a thunderstorm with heavy rain was located near
Seaboard, or 7 miles east of Garysburg, moving east at 45 mph.

Wind gusts in excess of 30 mph and half inch hail are possible with
this storm.

Locations impacted include...
Conway, Seaboard, Jackson, Milwaukee, Pleasant Grove,
Margarettsville, Creeksville, Gumberry, Galatia and Falsons Old
Tavern.

Motorists should use extra caution in the vicinity of this storm. Be
prepared for rapid changes in weather and road conditions. Heavy rain
could cause ponding of water on roads, and possible minor flooding of
ditches and poor drainage areas.

LAT...LON 3648 7752 3655 7730 3654 7724 3639 7717
      3635 7748
TIME...MOT...LOC 0114Z 253DEG 37KT 3643 7743

05

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Wakefield VA
926 PM EDT Thu Mar 18 2021

VAZ099-100-190200-
Accomack-Northampton-
926 PM EDT Thu Mar 18 2021

...A LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS WITH HEAVY RAIN WILL AFFECT SOUTHERN
ACCOMACK AND NORTHAMPTON COUNTIES...

At 925 PM EDT, thunderstorms with heavy rain were located along a
line extending from 9 miles west of Exmore to 7 miles west of
Nassawadox to near Cape Charles. Movement was east at 50 mph.

Wind gusts in excess of 40 mph are possible with these storms.

Locations impacted include...
Exmore, Cape Charles, Onley, Nassawadox, Cheriton, Bay View, Willis
Wharf, Melfa, Eastville, Wachapreague, Painter, Keller, Capeville,
Harborton, Franktown, Cheapside, Quinby, Plantation, Birdsnest and
Jamesville.

Strong wind gusts are possible with these storms. These wind gusts
are capable of knocking down tree limbs, small or weakened trees, and
blowing around trash cans, potted plants, lawn furniture, and other
light outdoor objects.

Motorists should use extra caution in the vicinity of these storms.
Be prepared for rapid changes in weather and road conditions. Heavy
rain could cause ponding of water on roads, and possible minor
flooding of ditches and poor drainage areas.

LAT...LON 3759 7555 3718 7575 3715 7580 3721 7606
      3725 7607 3762 7597 3768 7592 3772 7552
TIME...MOT...LOC 0125Z 263DEG 44KT 3756 7599 3744 7599 3728 7608

05

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Wakefield VA
957 PM EDT Thu Mar 18 2021

VAZ093-095>098-524-525-190245-
Hampton/Poquoson-Isle of Wight-Norfolk/Portsmouth-Newport
News-Suffolk-Chesapeake-Virginia Beach-
957 PM EDT Thu Mar 18 2021

...A LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS WITH HEAVY RAIN WILL AFFECT EAST CENTRAL
ISLE OF WIGHT ...THE CITY OF NORFOLK...THE NORTHERN CITY OF
CHESAPEAKE...THE CITY OF PORTSMOUTH...THE NORTHEASTERN CITY OF
SUFFOLK...THE NORTHERN CITY OF VIRGINIA BEACH...THE CITY OF HAMPTON
AND THE SOUTHERN CITY OF NEWPORT NEWS...

At 957 PM EDT, thunderstorms with heavy rain were located along a
line extending from near Northampton to Churchland to near Bowers
Hill. Movement was east at 45 mph.

Wind gusts in excess of 40 mph are possible with these storms.

Locations impacted include...
Virginia Beach, Newport News, Hampton, Ocean View, Kempsville,
Virginia Wesleyan University, Hampton University, Old Dominion
University, Downtown Norfolk, Regent University, Deep Creek, Downtown
Portsmouth, Churchland, Norfolk State University, Norfolk,
Chesapeake, Portsmouth, Suffolk, Bowers Hill and Cradock.

Strong wind gusts are possible with these storms. These wind gusts
are capable of knocking down tree limbs, small or weakened trees, and
blowing around trash cans, potted plants, lawn furniture, and other
light outdoor objects.

Motorists should use extra caution in the vicinity of these storms.
Be prepared for rapid changes in weather and road conditions. Heavy
rain could cause ponding of water on roads, and possible minor
flooding of ditches and poor drainage areas.

LAT...LON 3676 7589 3672 7655 3699 7656 3706 7623
      3699 7624 3696 7604 3706 7600 3707 7603
      3710 7603 3711 7600 3706 7598 3706 7599
      3700 7602 3694 7594
TIME...MOT...LOC 0157Z 250DEG 38KT 3699 7642 3687 7641 3676 7646

05