Alert archive / Alaska / Small Craft Advisories in 2021

Small Craft Advisory 1043, NWS Anchorage, AK

December 28, 2021

NWS Anchorage, AK issued this small craft advisory at Dec 28, 2021, 3:55 AM AKST. It was in force for 60 hr.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Dec 28, 2021, 3:55 AM AKST (12:55 UTC)
Expired
Dec 30, 2021, 3:58 PM AKST
In force
60 hr
Issued by
NWS Anchorage, AK

The text

As transmitted.

991 
FZAK51 PAFC 281255
CWFAER

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
355 AM AKST Tue Dec 28 2021

Coastal Waters Forecast for the Northern Gulf of Alaska Coast
up to 100 nm out including Kodiak Island and Cook Inlet.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ197-290215-
355 AM AKST Tue Dec 28 2021
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A trough will persist across the northern Gulf through Tue. 
A 1005 mb forms 50 nm southeast of Cordova Wed morning. Then 
the low moves southeastward and exits the Gulf by Wed afternoon. 

$$

PKZ119-290215-
Cape Suckling to Cape Cleare-
355 AM AKST Tue Dec 28 2021

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...Variable wind 15 kt. Seas 11 ft except 5 ft near the coast.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 15 kt becoming W 35 kt after midnight. 
Seas 13 ft. Near the coast, E wind 20 kt becoming NW 30 kt late. 
Seas 7 ft.
.WED...NW wind 40 kt diminishing to 30 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 12 ft.
.WED NIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.THU...SE wind 35 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 35 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SAT...N wind 35 kt. Seas 12 ft.

$$

PKZ120-290215-
Cape Cleare to Gore Point-
355 AM AKST Tue Dec 28 2021

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...W wind 30 kt. Near the coast, W wind 20 kt becoming variable
10 kt in the afternoon. Seas 11 ft except 6 ft near the coast.
.TONIGHT...W wind 30 kt increasing to 40 kt by midnight. Near the coast, 
variable wind 10 kt becoming NW 25 kt by midnight. Seas 8 ft 
building to 13 ft after midnight. Near the coast, variable wind 10 
kt becoming NW 25 kt by midnight. 
.WED...W wind 30 kt diminishing to 20 kt late. Seas 11 ft.
.WED NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.THU...E wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...N wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.

$$

PKZ121-290215-
Resurrection Bay-
355 AM AKST Tue Dec 28 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...N wind 20 kt diminishing to 10 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 4 ft subsiding to 2 ft in the afternoon.
.TONIGHT...S wind less than 10 kt becoming N 25 kt with gusts to 
35 kt after midnight. Seas 2 ft building to 5 ft after midnight.
.WED...N wind 25 kt diminishing to 15 kt in the afternoon. Gusts to
35 kt in the evening. Seas 5 ft subsiding to 3 ft in the afternoon.
.WED NIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SAT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ125-290215-
Prince William Sound-
355 AM AKST Tue Dec 28 2021

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...W wind 20 kt becoming variable 10 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 4 ft subsiding to 2 ft in the afternoon.
.TONIGHT...E wind 20 kt becoming NW 35 kt late. Seas 4 ft 
building to 8 ft late.
.WED...W wind 35 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.WED NIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.THU THROUGH SAT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ126-290215-
Port Valdez-
355 AM AKST Tue Dec 28 2021

.TODAY...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
Rain and snow.
.WED...NE wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt in the afternoon. 
Gusts to 25 kt in the morning. Seas 3 ft.
.WED NIGHT THROUGH FRI...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ127-290215-
Valdez Narrows-
355 AM AKST Tue Dec 28 2021

.TODAY...NE wind increasing to 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TONIGHT...SW wind to 15 kt. Seas to 3 ft. Rain and snow.
.WED...N wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ128-290215-
Valdez Arm-
355 AM AKST Tue Dec 28 2021

.TODAY...NE wind 10 kt increasing to 15 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 3 ft.
.TONIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain and snow.
.WED...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.WED NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.FRI...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ129-290215-
Passage Canal-
355 AM AKST Tue Dec 28 2021

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...W wind 25 kt diminishing to 15 kt in the afternoon. 
Gusts to 35 kt diminishing to 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas 4 ft 
subsiding to 2 ft in the afternoon. Rain.
.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming W around midnight
and increasing to 35 kt late. Gusts to 50 kt near Whittier toward
morning. Seas 2 ft building to 5 ft late. Rain.
.WED...W wind 35 kt diminishing to 25 kt in the afternoon. Gusts 
to 50 kt near Whittier diminishing to 35 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 5 ft.
.WED NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ130-290215-
West of Barren Islands including Kamishak Bay-
355 AM AKST Tue Dec 28 2021

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...W wind 30 kt diminishing to 15 kt midday, then becoming 
SW 25 kt late. Seas 8 ft.
.TONIGHT...W wind 40 kt diminishing to 30 kt after midnight. 
Seas 15 ft.
.WED...W wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.WED NIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.THU...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...NW wind 50 kt. Seas 16 ft.

$$

PKZ131-290215-
Barren Islands East-
355 AM AKST Tue Dec 28 2021

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...W wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.TONIGHT...W wind 30 kt becoming NW 45 kt around midnight. 
Seas 13 ft.
.WED...W wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.WED NIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.THU...S wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.FRI...W wind 45 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.SAT...NW wind 50 kt. Seas 18 ft.

$$

PKZ132-290215-
Marmot Island to Sitkinak-
355 AM AKST Tue Dec 28 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.TONIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.WED...W wind 25 kt diminishing to 15 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 9 ft.
.WED NIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.THU...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.FRI...W wind 45 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.SAT...NW wind 50 kt. Seas 19 ft.

$$

PKZ136-290215-
Chiniak Bay-
355 AM AKST Tue Dec 28 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TODAY...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TONIGHT...W wind 30 kt with gusts to 50 kt diminishing to 15 kt 
with gusts to 25 kt late. Seas 5 ft.
.WED...W wind 15 kt becoming Variable 10 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 3 ft.
.WED NIGHT AND THU...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI...W wind 30 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SAT...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ137-290215-
Marmot Bay-
355 AM AKST Tue Dec 28 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...W wind 25 kt becoming SW 10 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 5 ft subsiding to 2 ft in the afternoon.
.TONIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Gusts to 45 kt in the evening. 
Seas 6 ft.
.WED...W wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED NIGHT...Variable wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI...W wind 35 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SAT...NW wind 40 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ138-290215-
Shelikof Strait-
355 AM AKST Tue Dec 28 2021

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.TONIGHT...W wind 35 kt diminishing to 25 kt after midnight. 
Gusts to 50 kt out of bays and passes in the evening. Seas 
10 ft subsiding to 5 ft after midnight.
.WED...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.WED NIGHT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.THU...S wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...NW wind 40 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ139-290215-
Cook Inlet Kalgin Island to Point Bede-
355 AM AKST Tue Dec 28 2021

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 40 kt becoming W 25 kt after midnight. 
Seas 13 ft subsiding to 8 ft after midnight.
.WED...W wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.WED NIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.THU...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...N wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ140-290215-
Cook Inlet North of Kalgin Island-
355 AM AKST Tue Dec 28 2021

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TODAY...Variable wind 10 kt except S wind 20 kt near the Forelands.
Areas of freezing fog.
.TONIGHT...S wind 30 kt becoming W after midnight. 
.WED...SW wind 20 kt.
.WED NIGHT...SE wind 15 kt.
.THU THROUGH FRI...N wind 15 kt.
.SAT...N wind 25 kt.

$$

PKZ141-290215-
Kachemak Bay-
355 AM AKST Tue Dec 28 2021

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S wind 10 kt becoming variable in the afternoon. 
Seas 2 ft, except 5 ft in the outer bay.
.TONIGHT...S wind 20 kt becoming W 35 kt around midnight. 
Outer bay, seas 3 ft building to 13 ft after midnight. 
Inner bay, seas 2 ft building to 8 ft after midnight. 
.WED...W wind 20 kt becoming SW 10 kt late. Seas 6 ft 
subsiding to 3 ft late.
.WED NIGHT...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$
5 follow-up statements
575 
FZAK51 PAFC 290034
CWFAER

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
334 PM AKST Tue Dec 28 2021

Coastal Waters Forecast for the Northern Gulf of Alaska Coast
up to 100 nm out including Kodiak Island and Cook Inlet.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ197-291330-
334 PM AKST Tue Dec 28 2021
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A trough will persist across the northern Gulf through Wed 
morning. A 1006 mb low forms 50 nm south of Cape Suckling Wed 
morning and moves to the Southeastern Peninsula by Wed afternoon. 

$$

PKZ119-291330-
Cape Suckling to Cape Cleare-
334 PM AKST Tue Dec 28 2021

...GALE WARNING WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 20 kt becoming W 30 kt after midnight. Seas
13 ft.
.WED...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.WED NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.THU...S wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.THU NIGHT...SE wind 35 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 35 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...N wind 35 kt. Seas 12 ft.

$$

PKZ120-291330-
Cape Cleare to Gore Point-
334 PM AKST Tue Dec 28 2021

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 30 kt becoming W 40 kt after midnight. Seas 8
ft building to 13 ft after midnight.
.WED...W wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.WED NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.THU...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.THU NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SUN...N wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.

$$

PKZ121-291330-
Resurrection Bay-
334 PM AKST Tue Dec 28 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming N 25 kt after
midnight. Seas 2 ft building to 5 ft after midnight.
.WED...N wind 25 kt diminishing to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 5
ft subsiding to 3 ft in the afternoon.
.WED NIGHT...N wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt after midnight.
Seas 3 ft.
.THU AND THU NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...N wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ125-291330-
Prince William Sound-
334 PM AKST Tue Dec 28 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...E wind 15 kt becoming NW 25 kt after midnight. Seas 4
ft.
.WED...W wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.WED NIGHT...W wind 20 kt becoming N 10 kt after midnight. Seas
3 ft.
.THU...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SUN...N wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ126-291330-
Port Valdez-
334 PM AKST Tue Dec 28 2021

.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain and
snow.
.WED...NE wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas
3 ft. Freezing spray.
.WED NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU AND THU NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ127-291330-
Valdez Narrows-
334 PM AKST Tue Dec 28 2021

.TONIGHT...N wind 25 kt early becoming variable 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
Freezing spray. Rain and snow.
.WED...N wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. Freezing spray.
.WED NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Freezing spray.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ128-291330-
Valdez Arm-
334 PM AKST Tue Dec 28 2021

.TONIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain and snow.
.WED...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.WED NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU AND THU NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.FRI...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ129-291330-
Passage Canal-
334 PM AKST Tue Dec 28 2021

...GALE WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming W 35 kt after
midnight. Gusts to 50 kt near whittier after midnight. Seas 2 ft 
building to 5 ft after midnight. Rain.
.WED...W wind 35 kt diminishing to 25 kt in the afternoon. Gusts to
50 kt near Whittier in the morning. Seas 5 ft. Freezing spray.
.WED NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU NIGHT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SUN...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ130-291330-
West of Barren Islands including Kamishak Bay-
334 PM AKST Tue Dec 28 2021

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W wind 40 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.WED...W wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.WED NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.THU AND THU NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...NW wind 50 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.SUN...NW wind 40 kt. Seas 12 ft.

$$

PKZ131-291330-
Barren Islands East-
334 PM AKST Tue Dec 28 2021

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W wind 30 kt becoming NW 40 kt after midnight. Seas
12 ft.
.WED...NW wind 30 kt becoming W 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 11
ft.
.WED NIGHT...SW wind 20 kt in the evening becoming variable 10 kt.
Seas 6 ft.
.THU...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.THU NIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.FRI...W wind 45 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.SAT...NW wind 50 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.SUN...N wind 45 kt. Seas 13 ft.

$$

PKZ132-291330-
Marmot Island to Sitkinak-
334 PM AKST Tue Dec 28 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.WED...W wind 20 kt in the morning becoming variable 10 kt. Seas
9 ft.
.WED NIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.THU...S wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.THU NIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.FRI...W wind 45 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.SAT...NW wind 50 kt. Seas 19 ft.
.SUN...N wind 45 kt. Seas 18 ft.

$$

PKZ136-291330-
Chiniak Bay-
334 PM AKST Tue Dec 28 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.WED...W wind 15 kt in the morning becoming variable less than
10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED NIGHT...SW wind 10 kt in the evening becoming variable less
than 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU...S wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU NIGHT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI...W wind 30 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SAT...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SUN...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ137-291330-
Marmot Bay-
334 PM AKST Tue Dec 28 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.WED...W wind 20 kt diminishing to 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas
3 ft.
.WED NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming SE 10 kt after
midnight. Seas 3 ft.
.THU...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI...W wind 35 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SAT...NW wind 40 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SUN...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ138-291330-
Shelikof Strait-
334 PM AKST Tue Dec 28 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft subsiding to 6 ft after
midnight.
.WED...W wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.WED NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.THU...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU NIGHT...S wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...NW wind 40 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SUN...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

PKZ139-291330-
Cook Inlet Kalgin Island to Point Bede-
334 PM AKST Tue Dec 28 2021

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 35 kt. Seas 13 ft subsiding to 8 ft after
midnight.
.WED...W wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.WED NIGHT...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU AND THU NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SUN...N wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ140-291330-
Cook Inlet North of Kalgin Island-
334 PM AKST Tue Dec 28 2021

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 30 kt becoming W 20 kt after midnight.
.WED...SW wind 20 kt.
.WED NIGHT...S wind 10 kt in the evening becoming variable less
than 10 kt.
.THU AND THU NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt.
.FRI...N wind 15 kt.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...N wind 25 kt.

$$

PKZ141-291330-
Kachemak Bay-
334 PM AKST Tue Dec 28 2021

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 15 kt early increasing to 35 kt. Outer bay, seas 
3 ft building to 13 ft after midnight. Inner bay, seas 2 ft building 
to 8 ft after midnight.
.WED...W wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft subsiding to 2 ft in the afternoon.
.WED NIGHT...S wind 10 kt in the evening becoming variable less
than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU NIGHT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SUN...N wind 30 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$
399 
FZAK51 PAFC 291302
CWFAER

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
402 AM AKST Wed Dec 29 2021

Coastal Waters Forecast for the Northern Gulf of Alaska Coast
up to 100 nm out including Kodiak Island and Cook Inlet.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ197-300200-
402 AM AKST Wed Dec 29 2021
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A 1000 mb low at 59N 140W departs to the southeast through today. A 
1008 mb low forms 150 nm east of Kodiak City and tracks eastward 
across the Gulf on Thu. 

$$

PKZ119-300200-
Cape Suckling to Cape Cleare-
402 AM AKST Wed Dec 29 2021

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.THU...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.THU NIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.FRI...SE wind 35 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...N wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.

$$

PKZ120-300200-
Cape Cleare to Gore Point-
402 AM AKST Wed Dec 29 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...W wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.TONIGHT...W wind 20 kt becoming variable 10 kt after midnight. Seas
8 ft.
.THU...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.THU NIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SUN...N wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ121-300200-
Resurrection Bay-
402 AM AKST Wed Dec 29 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...N wind 25 kt diminishing to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas
5 ft subsiding to 3 ft in the afternoon.
.TONIGHT...N wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt after midnight. Seas
3 ft.
.THU...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...N wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ125-300200-
Prince William Sound-
402 AM AKST Wed Dec 29 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...W wind 30 kt diminishing to 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 6 
ft subsiding to 4 ft in the afternoon.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 20 kt becoming N 10 kt after midnight. Seas 3
ft.
.THU...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming NE 10 kt in the
afternoon. Seas 2 ft.
.THU NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...N wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ126-300200-
Port Valdez-
402 AM AKST Wed Dec 29 2021

.TODAY...NE wind 15 kt becoming variable less than 10 kt in the 
afternoon. Seas 2 ft.
.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SUN...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ127-300200-
Valdez Narrows-
402 AM AKST Wed Dec 29 2021

.TODAY...NE wind increasing to 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ128-300200-
Valdez Arm-
402 AM AKST Wed Dec 29 2021

.TODAY...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.THU NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SUN...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ129-300200-
Passage Canal-
402 AM AKST Wed Dec 29 2021

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...W wind 35 kt diminishing to 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas
4 ft.
.TONIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming E 10 kt in the
afternoon. Seas 2 ft.
.THU NIGHT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ130-300200-
West of Barren Islands including Kamishak Bay-
402 AM AKST Wed Dec 29 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY AND THURSDAY...

.TODAY...W wind 30 kt diminishing to 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas
8 ft.
.TONIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.THU...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.THU NIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.FRI...N wind 50 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.SAT...NW wind 50 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.SUN...NW wind 40 kt. Seas 12 ft.

$$

PKZ131-300200-
Barren Islands East-
402 AM AKST Wed Dec 29 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...W wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.TONIGHT...W wind 20 kt in the evening becoming variable 10 kt.
Seas 7 ft.
.THU...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.THU NIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.FRI...W wind 45 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.SAT...NW wind 50 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.SUN...N wind 45 kt. Seas 14 ft.

$$

PKZ132-300200-
Marmot Island to Sitkinak-
402 AM AKST Wed Dec 29 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TODAY...W wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.TONIGHT...S wind 25 kt. N of Dangerous Cape, variable wind 10 kt
becoming E 15 kt after midnight. Seas 8 ft. Rain.
.THU...S wind 25 kt except variable 10 kt N of Dangerous Cape.
Seas 8 ft. Rain.
.THU NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.FRI...W wind 45 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.SAT...NW wind 50 kt. Seas 20 ft.
.SUN...N wind 45 kt. Seas 18 ft.

$$

PKZ136-300200-
Chiniak Bay-
402 AM AKST Wed Dec 29 2021

.TODAY...W wind 15 kt in the morning becoming variable less than
10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming E 10 kt after
midnight. Seas 3 ft.
.THU...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming SE 10 kt in the
afternoon. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.THU NIGHT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI...W wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SUN...NW wind 40 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ137-300200-
Marmot Bay-
402 AM AKST Wed Dec 29 2021

.TODAY...W wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas
3 ft.
.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming NE 10 kt after
midnight. Seas 3 ft.
.THU...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming E 10 kt in the
afternoon. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.THU NIGHT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI...W wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SAT...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SUN...NW wind 40 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ138-300200-
Shelikof Strait-
402 AM AKST Wed Dec 29 2021

.TODAY...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TONIGHT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain and snow.
.THU...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain.
.THU NIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.FRI...W wind 35 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SAT...NW wind 40 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SUN...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

PKZ139-300200-
Cook Inlet Kalgin Island to Point Bede-
402 AM AKST Wed Dec 29 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY AND THURSDAY...

.TODAY...W wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.TONIGHT...W wind 10 kt becoming N after midnight. Seas 5 ft
subsiding to 3 ft after midnight.
.THU...N wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.THU NIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.FRI...N wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...N wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ140-300200-
Cook Inlet North of Kalgin Island-
402 AM AKST Wed Dec 29 2021

.TODAY...SW wind 20 kt.
.TONIGHT...S wind 10 kt in the evening becoming variable less than
10 kt.
.THU...NE wind 10 kt increasing to 15 kt in the afternoon.
.THU NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt.
.FRI...N wind 15 kt.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...N wind 20 kt.

$$

PKZ141-300200-
Kachemak Bay-
402 AM AKST Wed Dec 29 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...W wind 25 kt diminishing to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 8 
ft subsiding to 4 ft in the afternoon.
.TONIGHT...S wind 10 kt in the evening becoming variable less than
10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI...N wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SUN...N wind 30 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$
301 
FZAK51 PAFC 300007
CWFAER

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
307 PM AKST Wed Dec 29 2021

Coastal Waters Forecast for the Northern Gulf of Alaska Coast
up to 100 nm out including Kodiak Island and Cook Inlet.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ197-301315-
307 PM AKST Wed Dec 29 2021
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A weak ridge builds over the western Gulf through today. A 1008 
mb low forms on the east Gulf coast and tracks southeastward 
across the Gulf coast Thursday afternoon. A 1008 mb low develops 
at 390 nm southeast of Kodiak City Thursday afternoon and moves 
across the east Gulf coast Friday afternoon. A 993 mb low forms at
68 nm southwest of Middleton Island Friday morning and moves 17 
nm west of Middleton Island by Friday afternoon.

$$

PKZ119-301315-
Cape Suckling to Cape Cleare-
307 PM AKST Wed Dec 29 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 25 kt diminishing to 15 kt after midnight. Seas
10 ft.
.THU...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.THU NIGHT...E wind 15 kt increasing to 25 kt after midnight. Seas
6 ft. Rain and snow.
.FRI...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SAT THROUGH MON...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ120-301315-
Cape Cleare to Gore Point-
307 PM AKST Wed Dec 29 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W wind 25 kt diminishing to 15 kt after midnight. Seas
9 ft.
.THU...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.THU NIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain and snow.
.FRI...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...N wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.MON...N wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ121-301315-
Resurrection Bay-
307 PM AKST Wed Dec 29 2021

.TONIGHT...N wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt after midnight. Seas
3 ft.
.THU...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Snow.
.FRI...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...N wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.MON...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ125-301315-
Prince William Sound-
307 PM AKST Wed Dec 29 2021

.TONIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU NIGHT...E wind 10 kt becoming NE 15 kt after midnight. Seas
3 ft. Snow.
.FRI...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT THROUGH MON...N wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ126-301315-
Port Valdez-
307 PM AKST Wed Dec 29 2021

.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU AND THU NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT THROUGH MON...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ127-301315-
Valdez Narrows-
307 PM AKST Wed Dec 29 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft. Freezing spray. Snow.
.FRI...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON...N wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ128-301315-
Valdez Arm-
307 PM AKST Wed Dec 29 2021

.TONIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.THU NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Freezing spray. Snow.
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SAT THROUGH MON...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ129-301315-
Passage Canal-
307 PM AKST Wed Dec 29 2021

.TONIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming E 10 kt in the
afternoon. Seas 2 ft.
.THU NIGHT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Snow.
.FRI...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI NIGHT AND SAT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ130-301315-
West of Barren Islands including Kamishak Bay-
307 PM AKST Wed Dec 29 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THURSDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W wind 15 kt in the evening becoming variable 10 kt.
Seas 3 ft.
.THU...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.THU NIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft. Freezing spray. Snow.
.FRI...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...NW wind 45 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.SAT...NW wind 50 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.SUN...NW wind 40 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.MON...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

PKZ131-301315-
Barren Islands East-
307 PM AKST Wed Dec 29 2021

.TONIGHT...W wind 20 kt in the evening becoming variable 10 kt.
Seas 6 ft.
.THU...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 5 ft. Rain.
.THU NIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. Rain.
.FRI...W wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...NW wind 40 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SAT...NW wind 50 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.SUN...N wind 45 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.MON...N wind 35 kt. Seas 11 ft.

$$

PKZ132-301315-
Marmot Island to Sitkinak-
307 PM AKST Wed Dec 29 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. N of Dangerous Cape, variable wind 10 kt
becoming E 15 kt after midnight. Seas 8 ft. Rain.
.THU...S wind 25 kt except variable 10 kt N of Dangerous Cape.
Seas 8 ft. Rain.
.THU NIGHT AND FRI...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...W wind 40 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.SAT...NW wind 50 kt. Seas 20 ft.
.SUN...N wind 45 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.MON...N wind 35 kt. Seas 14 ft.

$$

PKZ136-301315-
Chiniak Bay-
307 PM AKST Wed Dec 29 2021

.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming SE 10 kt in the
afternoon. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.THU NIGHT...E wind 10 kt becoming SW after midnight. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SUN...NW wind 40 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.MON...N wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ137-301315-
Marmot Bay-
307 PM AKST Wed Dec 29 2021

.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming E 10 kt after
midnight. Seas 3 ft.
.THU...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming E 10 kt in the
afternoon. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.THU NIGHT...E wind 10 kt in the evening becoming variable less
than 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI...W wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SAT...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SUN...NW wind 40 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.MON...N wind 35 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ138-301315-
Shelikof Strait-
307 PM AKST Wed Dec 29 2021

.TONIGHT...S wind 15 kt becoming NE after midnight. Seas 3 ft.
.THU...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain.
.THU NIGHT...E wind 15 kt becoming S 20 kt after midnight. Seas
4 ft. Rain and snow.
.FRI...W wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SAT...NW wind 40 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SUN...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.MON...N wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ139-301315-
Cook Inlet Kalgin Island to Point Bede-
307 PM AKST Wed Dec 29 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THURSDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W wind 10 kt becoming N 15 kt after midnight. Seas 3
ft.
.THU...N wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.THU NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. Freezing spray. Snow.
.FRI...N wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SAT THROUGH MON...N wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ140-301315-
Cook Inlet North of Kalgin Island-
307 PM AKST Wed Dec 29 2021

.TONIGHT...S wind 15 kt becoming NE 10 kt after midnight.
.THU...N wind 10 kt.
.THU NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt increasing to 15 kt after midnight.
Snow.
.FRI...N wind 15 kt.
.FRI NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...N wind 20 kt.
.MON...N wind 30 kt.

$$

PKZ141-301315-
Kachemak Bay-
307 PM AKST Wed Dec 29 2021

.TONIGHT...SW wind 15 kt in the evening becoming variable less than 
10 kt. Gusts to 25 kt in the evening. Seas 6 ft in the evening
subsiding 2 ft.
.THU...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Snow.
.FRI...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SUN...N wind 30 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.MON...N wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$
398 
FZAK51 PAFC 301302
CWFAER

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
402 AM AKST Thu Dec 30 2021

Coastal Waters Forecast for the Northern Gulf of Alaska Coast
up to 100 nm out including Kodiak Island and Cook Inlet.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ197-310130-
402 AM AKST Thu Dec 30 2021
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A 993 mb low develops 90 nm southwest of Middleton Island Friday 
morning and moves to 80 nm south of Cordova at 980 mb Friday night.

$$

PKZ119-310130-
Cape Suckling to Cape Cleare-
402 AM AKST Thu Dec 30 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND FRIDAY...

.TODAY...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TONIGHT...E wind 15 kt becoming SE 25 kt after midnight. Seas 6
ft. Snow.
.FRI...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft. Rain and snow.
.FRI NIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...N wind 35 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.MON...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ120-310130-
Cape Cleare to Gore Point-
402 AM AKST Thu Dec 30 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FRIDAY...

.TODAY...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TONIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. Rain and snow.
.FRI...E wind 25 kt becoming N in the afternoon. Seas 9 ft. Rain.
.FRI NIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...N wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.MON...N wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ121-310130-
Resurrection Bay-
402 AM AKST Thu Dec 30 2021

.TODAY...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Snow.
.FRI...N wind 10 kt increasing to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 3
ft. Snow.
.FRI NIGHT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...N wind 40 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.MON...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ125-310130-
Prince William Sound-
402 AM AKST Thu Dec 30 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FRIDAY...

.TODAY...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TONIGHT...E wind 10 kt becoming NE 15 kt after midnight. Seas 3
ft. Snow.
.FRI...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft. Snow.
.FRI NIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...N wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ126-310130-
Port Valdez-
402 AM AKST Thu Dec 30 2021

.TODAY...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Snow.
.FRI...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Snow.
.FRI NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT THROUGH MON...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ127-310130-
Valdez Narrows-
402 AM AKST Thu Dec 30 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft. Snow.
.FRI...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. Snow.
.FRI NIGHT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT THROUGH MON...N wind 40 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ128-310130-
Valdez Arm-
402 AM AKST Thu Dec 30 2021

.TODAY...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Snow.
.FRI...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Snow.
.FRI NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SAT...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SUN...NE wind 40 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.MON...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ129-310130-
Passage Canal-
402 AM AKST Thu Dec 30 2021

.TODAY...W wind 20 kt becoming variable 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas
2 ft.
.TONIGHT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Snow.
.FRI...E wind 10 kt becoming Variable wind 15 kt in the afternoon.
Seas 2 ft. Snow.
.FRI NIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...W wind 30 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.MON...W wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ130-310130-
West of Barren Islands including Kamishak Bay-
402 AM AKST Thu Dec 30 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft. Snow and rain.
.FRI...NE wind 25 kt diminishing to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas
5 ft. Snow.
.FRI NIGHT...NW wind 45 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SAT...NW wind 50 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...NW wind 40 kt. Seas 11 ft.

$$

PKZ131-310130-
Barren Islands East-
402 AM AKST Thu Dec 30 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FRIDAY...

.TODAY...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TONIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. Rain and snow.
.FRI...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...NW wind 40 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.SAT...NW wind 55 kt. Seas 20 ft.
.SUN...N wind 50 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.MON...N wind 45 kt. Seas 12 ft.

$$

PKZ132-310130-
Marmot Island to Sitkinak-
402 AM AKST Thu Dec 30 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 15 kt becoming SE 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas
8 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft. Rain showers.
.FRI NIGHT...W wind 40 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.SAT...NW wind 55 kt. Seas 22 ft.
.SUN...N wind 50 kt. Seas 21 ft.
.MON...N wind 50 kt. Seas 16 ft.

$$

PKZ136-310130-
Chiniak Bay-
402 AM AKST Thu Dec 30 2021

.TODAY...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming SE 10 kt in the
afternoon. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...S wind 15 kt becoming SW 10 kt after midnight. Seas 3
ft.
.FRI...SW wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas
2 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT THROUGH MON...N wind 40 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ137-310130-
Marmot Bay-
402 AM AKST Thu Dec 30 2021

.TODAY...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming SE 10 kt in the
afternoon. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...SE wind 15 kt becoming SW 10 kt after midnight. Seas 4
ft subsiding to 2 ft after midnight. Rain.
.FRI...W wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas
3 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT THROUGH MON...N wind 40 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ138-310130-
Shelikof Strait-
402 AM AKST Thu Dec 30 2021

.TODAY...E wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...E wind 15 kt becoming SW after midnight. Seas 4 ft.
.FRI...W wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. Rain and snow.
.FRI NIGHT...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SAT...NW wind 45 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SUN...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.MON...N wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ139-310130-
Cook Inlet Kalgin Island to Point Bede-
402 AM AKST Thu Dec 30 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TODAY...N wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. Snow.
.FRI...N wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. Freezing spray. Snow.
.FRI NIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SAT...N wind 35 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...N wind 40 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ140-310130-
Cook Inlet North of Kalgin Island-
402 AM AKST Thu Dec 30 2021

.TODAY...N wind 10 kt.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 10 kt increasing to 15 kt after midnight.
Snow.
.FRI...N wind 15 kt.
.FRI NIGHT...N wind 10 kt.
.SAT THROUGH MON...N wind 30 kt.

$$

PKZ141-310130-
Kachemak Bay-
402 AM AKST Thu Dec 30 2021

.TODAY...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Snow.
.FRI...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Snow.
.FRI NIGHT...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT THROUGH MON...N wind 30 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$
599 
FZAK51 PAFC 310058
CWFAER

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
358 PM AKST Thu Dec 30 2021

Coastal Waters Forecast for the Northern Gulf of Alaska Coast
up to 100 nm out including Kodiak Island and Cook Inlet.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ197-311415-
358 PM AKST Thu Dec 30 2021
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A 1009 mb low 278 nm southeast of Middleton Island develops Thursday
afternoon, moves southeastward along the Gulf coast through 
Friday afternoon. A 986 mb low at 9 nm northeast of Middleton
Island develops Friday afternoon and moves to 178 nm southeast of
Middleton Island Saturday afternoon. 

$$

PKZ119-311415-
Cape Suckling to Cape Cleare-
358 PM AKST Thu Dec 30 2021

...GALE WARNING FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. Rain.
.FRI...SE wind 35 kt. Seas 10 ft. Rain and snow.
.FRI NIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft. Rain.
.SAT...N wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...NE wind 40 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SUN...N wind 35 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.MON...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.TUE...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ120-311415-
Cape Cleare to Gore Point-
358 PM AKST Thu Dec 30 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 15 kt becoming E 25 kt after midnight. Seas 5
ft. Rain.
.FRI...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. Rain.
.FRI NIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SAT...N wind 35 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...N wind 40 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SUN...N wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ121-311415-
Resurrection Bay-
358 PM AKST Thu Dec 30 2021

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING FRIDAY NIGHT...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Snow.
.FRI...N wind 10 kt increasing to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 3
ft. Snow.
.FRI NIGHT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Heavy Freezing spray.
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...N wind 40 kt. Seas 9 ft. Heavy Freezing spray.
.SUN...N wind 40 kt. Seas 9 ft. Heavy Freezing spray.
.MON THROUGH TUE...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ125-311415-
Prince William Sound-
358 PM AKST Thu Dec 30 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. Snow and rain.
.FRI...E wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain and snow.
.FRI NIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SAT...N wind 40 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...N wind 45 kt. Seas 10 ft. Heavy Freezing spray.
.SUN THROUGH MON...N wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft. Heavy Freezing spray
Sunday.
.TUE...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ126-311415-
Port Valdez-
358 PM AKST Thu Dec 30 2021

.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Snow.
.FRI...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Snow.
.FRI NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Freezing spray. Snow.
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SUN...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.MON...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TUE...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ127-311415-
Valdez Narrows-
358 PM AKST Thu Dec 30 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft. Freezing spray. Snow.
.FRI...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft. Freezing spray. Snow.
.FRI NIGHT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft. Freezing spray. Snow.
.SAT...N wind 35 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...N wind 40 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...N wind 40 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE...N wind 30 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ128-311415-
Valdez Arm-
358 PM AKST Thu Dec 30 2021

.TONIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Snow.
.FRI...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Snow.
.FRI NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Freezing spray. Snow.
.SAT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SUN...NE wind 40 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.MON...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TUE...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ129-311415-
Passage Canal-
358 PM AKST Thu Dec 30 2021

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING FRIDAY NIGHT...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind increasing to 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. Freezing spray
after midnight. Snow.
.FRI...E wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. Freezing spray. Snow.
.FRI NIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Gusts to 35 kt near Whittier. Seas 4 ft. 
Heavy Freezing spray. Snow.
.SAT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft. Heavy Freezing spray.
.SAT NIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 5 ft. Heavy Freezing spray.
.SUN...W wind 30 kt. Seas 5 ft. Heavy Freezing spray.
.MON...W wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE...W wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ130-311415-
West of Barren Islands including Kamishak Bay-
358 PM AKST Thu Dec 30 2021

...STORM WARNING FRIDAY NIGHT...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. Snow and rain.
.FRI...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. Snow and rain.
.FRI NIGHT...W wind 35 kt increasing to 55 kt. Gusts to 70 kt after 
midnight. Seas 10 ft building to 19 ft after midnight. Heavy freezing
spray.
.SAT...NW wind 55 kt. Gusts to 70 kt. Seas 21 ft. Heavy freezing 
spray.
.SAT NIGHT...NW wind 55 kt. Seas 14 ft. Heavy freezing spray.
.SUN...NW wind 45 kt. Seas 13 ft. Heavy freezing spray.
.MON...NW wind 40 kt. Seas 10 ft. 
.TUE...N wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

PKZ131-311415-
Barren Islands East-
358 PM AKST Thu Dec 30 2021

...STORM WARNING FRIDAY NIGHT...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. Rain.
.FRI...W wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...W wind 30 kt becoming NW 50 kt after midnight. Seas
12 ft. Heavy Freezing spray.
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...N wind 55 kt. Seas 16 ft. Heavy Freezing spray.
.SUN...N wind 50 kt. Seas 13 ft. Heavy Freezing spray.
.MON...N wind 45 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.TUE...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

PKZ132-311415-
Marmot Island to Sitkinak-
358 PM AKST Thu Dec 30 2021

...GALE WARNING FRIDAY NIGHT...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...W wind 20 kt increasing to NW 40 kt after midnight. 
Seas 13 ft. Heavy freezing spray.
.SAT...NW wind 50 kt. Seas 19 ft. Heavy Freezing spray.
.SAT NIGHT...N wind 55 kt. Seas 20 ft. Heavy Freezing spray.
.SUN THROUGH MON...N wind 50 kt. Seas 17 ft. Heavy Freezing spray
Sunday.
.TUE...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.

$$

PKZ136-311415-
Chiniak Bay-
358 PM AKST Thu Dec 30 2021

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING FRIDAY NIGHT...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S wind 15 kt in the evening becoming variable less than
10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.FRI...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...W wind 10 kt becoming NW 30 kt after midnight. Seas
2 ft building to 4 ft after midnight. Heavy freezing spray.
.SAT...NW wind 40 kt. Seas 7 ft. Heavy freezing spray.
.SAT NIGHT...NW wind 45 kt. Seas 7 ft. Heavy freezing spray.
.SUN...N wind 45 kt. Seas 10 ft. Heavy freezing spray.
.MON...N wind 40 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.TUE...N wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ137-311415-
Marmot Bay-
358 PM AKST Thu Dec 30 2021

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING FRIDAY NIGHT...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S wind 15 kt becoming SW 10 kt after midnight. Seas 4
ft subsiding to 2 ft after midnight. Rain.
.FRI...W wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas
3 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...W wind 15 kt becoming NW 30 kt after midnight. Seas
3 ft building to 5 ft after midnight. Heavy freezing spray.
.SAT...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 5 ft. Heavy freezing spray.
.SAT NIGHT...NW wind 40 kt. Seas 6 ft. Heavy freezing spray.
.SUN THROUGH MON...N wind 40 kt. Seas 9 ft. Heavy freezing
spray Sunday.
.TUE...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ138-311415-
Shelikof Strait-
358 PM AKST Thu Dec 30 2021

...STORM WARNING FRIDAY NIGHT...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 15 kt becoming SW 20 kt after midnight. Seas 4
ft.
.FRI...W wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain.
.FRI NIGHT...W wind 25 kt becoming NW 50 kt after midnight. Seas 5 
ft building to 12 ft after midnight. Heavy freezing spray.
.SAT...NW wind 55 kt. Seas 14 ft. Heavy freezing spray.
.SAT NIGHT...NW wind 50 kt. Seas 13 ft. Heavy freezing spray.
.SUN...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 9 ft. Heavy freezing spray.
.MON...N wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TUE...N wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ139-311415-
Cook Inlet Kalgin Island to Point Bede-
358 PM AKST Thu Dec 30 2021

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING FRIDAY NIGHT...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. Freezing spray. Snow.
.FRI...N wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. Snow.
.FRI NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming N 25 kt after
midnight. Seas 2 ft building to 6 ft after midnight. Heavy
freezing spray.
.SAT...N wind 35 kt. Seas 9 ft. Heavy freezing spray.
.SAT NIGHT...N wind 45 kt. Seas 12 ft. Heavy freezing spray.
.SUN...N wind 40 kt. Seas 12 ft. Heavy freezing spray.
.MON...N wind 40 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.TUE...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ140-311415-
Cook Inlet North of Kalgin Island-
358 PM AKST Thu Dec 30 2021

.TONIGHT...NE wind 10 kt becoming N 15 kt after midnight.  Snow.
.FRI...N wind 10 kt.
.FRI NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming N 20 kt after
midnight.
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...N wind 40 kt.
.SUN THROUGH MON...N wind 30 kt.
.TUE...N wind 20 kt.

$$

PKZ141-311415-
Kachemak Bay-
358 PM AKST Thu Dec 30 2021

.TONIGHT...NE wind 10 kt in the evening becoming variable less
than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Snow and rain.
.FRI...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming NW 10 kt in the
afternoon. Seas 2 ft. Snow.
.FRI NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming N 15 kt after
midnight. Freezing spray Seas 2 ft.
.SAT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft. Heavy freezing spray.
.SAT NIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 5 ft. Heavy freezing spray.
.SUN THROUGH MON...N wind 30 kt. Seas 5 ft. Heavy freezing spray
Sunday.
.TUE...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this small craft advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Anchorage, AK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this small craft advisory went out at Dec 27, 5:22 PM AKST, 10 hours 33 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Dec 27, 5:22 PM AKST, 10 hours 33 minutes before
Southcentral and Southwest Alaska Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Anchorage AK
522 PM AKST Mon Dec 27 2021

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...

Infrared and water vapor satellite imagery show a strong upper
level ridge in the North Pacific and a stacked low in the
northern Bering. A warm front extends off the Bering low and
stretches across much of Alaska. In the Southwest, rain is slowly
tapering off. Bethel and King Salmon have recorded just over 0.15
inches with the warm front, and this plentiful moisture is
producing fog over much of the Southwest. In Southcentral, fog
that began in the morning has mostly dissipated due to high clouds
moving in ahead of the warm front. Across the Aleutians, broad
southerly flow and warm advection has kept today's highs in the
40s, with temperatures in Unalaska and Adak reaching the 50s. The
advection of warm air aloft with yesterday and today's warm fronts
are apparent in the 00Z soundings for Bethel, King Salmon, and
Anchorage. In particular, the Anchorage sounding features a stout
inversion, with 26 degrees at the surface and 40 degrees at 900
ft.

&&

.MODEL DISCUSSION...

Models remain in good synoptic agreement through the short term.
Model differences are greatest for precipitation timing and
amounts for Tuesday's front. In the Southwest, the GFS keeps the
bulk of precipitation further north in the Kuskokwim Delta. In
contrast, the NAM and Canadian show higher QPF in Bristol Bay.
Tuesday evening, models differ with the timing of embedded
shortwaves entering Southcentral. As a result, the NAM and
Canadian bring precipitation over Southcentral earlier than the
GFS, suggesting higher total QPF and the potential for greater
freezing precipitation.

&&

.AVIATION...

PANC...Fog is likely (and light freezing drizzle is possible)
overnight due to warm air aloft and low-level moisture. Confidence
is high that ceilings will increase to at least MVFR Tuesday
morning as the temperature inversion lifts. However, confidence
with the timing and amount of freezing rain Tuesday afternoon is
low.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA (Days 1 through
2/Tonight through Wednesday)...

A shortwave trough is pushing through Southcentral this evening.
Radar returns are filling in across the Anchorage Bowl southward
into the Turnagain Arm. Areas of light freezing drizzle will be
possible into the after-dark hours which will likely result in
slick and icy roadways tonight. Not to be outdone, a second area
of low pressure is forecast to move into Southcentral late Tuesday
with a higher chance of freezing rain across the Matanuska Valley
southward into the Kenai Peninsula. Latest numerical guidance has
trended slightly warmer with upper level temperatures and this
will favor initial precipitation in the form of freezing rain
through early Wednesday morning. Accumulations of up to a tenth of
an inch will be possible with locally higher amounts not out of
the question for the higher elevations, where warmer surface
temperatures may slow the transition to all snow. Cold air
advection will eventually bring a transition to all snow by early
Wednesday morning as low pressure continues eastward and a cold
front cools upper level temperatures over Southcentral. What
previously looked like a more straight forward forecast has
quickly become increasingly complicated with increased uncertainty
in duration of freezing rain as well as total ice accumulations.
We will be updating the forecast with additional information as
the finer details are worked out.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHWEST ALASKA (Days 1 through 3: This
afternoon through Thursday)...

A frontal system moving across the area will continue to produce
valley rain and snow in the higher elevations. This front will
quickly move away this evening with a brief break tonight, however
stratus and fog are likely across most valleys and coastal
locations through Tuesday. A stronger front will move across the
area beginning Tuesday morning bringing more rain to most valleys.
However, interior valleys, especially the lower Kuskokwim River
Valley, will see a wintry mix briefly before changing to all rain.
Winds will also increase from the south with this system with
gusts to 30 to 40 mph at times especially across the Y-K Delta.
Tuesday afternoon and evening a cold front will push inland which
will bring cooler air to the area. There could be a brief mix of
snow, but most of the precipitation will end by the time the cold
air arrives. Wednesday will be a slightly cooler day, but still
above normal for late December as a ridge of high pressure moves
over the area for Tuesday night and Wednesday. A pair of frontal
systems will approach, first on Wednesday afternoon and evening
bringing a rain snow mix to coastal areas of Bristol Bay and
possible farther inland. However, some uncertainty on how far
inland the snow will occur. A second stronger front moves inland
by Thursday bringing a good chance of snow to inland locations and
better chances of rain near the coast.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS (Days 1 through 3: This
afternoon through Thursday)...

Several fronts and low pressure systems will move across the area
through the next couple of days producing areas of Gales and
periods of rain. Areas of Gales are expected near a cold front
moving across the Bering through Tuesday. Otherwise a couple of
compact lows will move across the western Aleutians and Bering
through Wednesday producing small areas of Gales near the low. A
stronger low and frontal system will enter the central and eastern
Aleutians late Wednesday and Thursday producing a wider area of
Gales extending into the Bering, especially behind the low and
cold front as cold air enhances the winds on Thursday. The AKPen
will see periods of rain and Gales most of the period, however on
Tuesday night and Wednesday colder air will bring some snow to
the area but generally 1 to 3 inches in populated areas.

&&

.MARINE (Days 3 through 5: Thursday through Saturday)...

Bering...A North Pacific low tracks towards the Pribilofs
Thursday, then enters Southwest Alaska Friday. Winds will be
northerly across most of the Bering, peaking at high-end gales on
the backside of the low. Southerly small crafts are expected
ahead of the low. Starting Friday, a Kamchatka low brings
southerly gales as its front tracks into the Western and Central
Bering. Seas will be mostly 8-15 ft except 15-25 ft where gales
are expected.

Gulf of Alaska...Winds below small crafts and seas below 8 ft
persist through Thursday evening, when a low develops in the Gulf.
Expect widespread small crafts, with a gale-force barrier jet
along the northern Gulf Friday morning. As the low moves
southeast late Friday, cold outflow winds will develop with storm
force winds possible through Kamishak Gap. Seas 8 ft or lower
Thursday will increase to 15-25 ft by late Friday.

&&

.LONG TERM FORECAST (Days 4 through 8: Friday through Monday)...

An upper-level trough moves across the Southern Mainland Friday
through Saturday. Its associated surface low and fronts will
bring widespread precipitation across Southwest Friday,
transitioning to showers late Friday into Saturday. Precipitation
is expected to begin early Friday in Southcentral, tapering off
by late Saturday evening. Currently, mixed precipitation or rain
look likely over Kodiak and parts of the Southwest as 850 mb
temperatures peak just above freezing. In Southcentral,
precipitation is likely to remain snow.

Once precipitation ends, cold and mostly dry conditions are
expected through Monday for the Southern Mainland. A low in the
Gulf and a highly amplified ridge in the Bering Sea will allow for
northerly cold air advection and gusty gap winds. As a Kamchatka
front tracks eastward, it will bring rain across the Aleutians
Friday through Monday and push the ridge eastward into the
Southwest.

.AFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...NONE.
MARINE...Gale Warning 120 130-132 138 165 170 172-178 185 351 352
					  411-414.
FIRE WEATHER...NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS AND MODEL DISCUSSION...KC
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...BL
SOUTHWEST ALASKA/BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...RC
MARINE/LONG TERM...KC

The office that day

Everything else NWS Anchorage, AK issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Dec 27, 3:46 PM AKSTSmall Craft AdvisoryAFC12 hr
Dec 27, 4:10 PM AKSTSmall Craft AdvisoryAFC36 hr
Dec 28, 3:55 AM AKSTBrisk Wind AdvisoryAFC24 hr
Dec 28, 3:55 AM AKSTGale WarningAFC35 hr
Dec 28, 3:57 AM AKSTGale WarningAFC48 hr
Dec 28, 3:57 AM AKSTSmall Craft AdvisoryAFC24 hr
Dec 28, 4:29 AM AKSTWinter Weather AdvisoryAFC24 hr

Nearby

Small Craft Advisories in Alaska, 2021Every small craft advisory in 2021

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.