Alert archive / North Carolina / Tornado Watches in 2020

Tornado Watch 30

February 6, 202034 counties in North Carolina; 20 counties in Virginia

The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Feb 6, 2020, 12:41 PM EST for 34 counties in North Carolina; 20 counties in Virginia. It was in force for 6 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Feb 6, 2020, 12:41 PM EST (17:41 UTC)
Expired
Feb 6, 2020, 7:00 PM EST
In force
6 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
0.5 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 54 counties

Beaufort County, NC, Bertie County, NC, Camden County, NC, Chowan County, NC, Cumberland County, NC, Currituck County, NC, Dare County, NC, Durham County, NC, Edgecombe County, NC, Franklin County, NC, Gates County, NC, Granville County, NC, Greene County, NC, Halifax County, NC, Harnett County, NC, Hertford County, NC, Hoke County, NC, Hyde County, NC, Johnston County, NC, Martin County, NC, Nash County, NC, Northampton County, NC, Pasquotank County, NC, Perquimans County, NC, Pitt County, NC, Sampson County, NC, Scotland County, NC, Tyrrell County, NC, Vance County, NC, Wake County, NC, Warren County, NC, Washington County, NC, Wayne County, NC, Wilson County, NC, Brunswick County, VA, City of Chesapeake, VA, City of Emporia, VA, City of Franklin, VA, City of Hampton, VA, City of Newport News, VA, City of Norfolk, VA, City of Poquoson, VA, City of Portsmouth, VA, City of Suffolk, VA, City of Virginia Beach, VA, City of Williamsburg, VA, Greensville County, VA, Isle of Wight County, VA, James City County, VA, Mecklenburg County, VA, Southampton County, VA, Surry County, VA, Sussex County, VA, York County, VA

The radar

The Raleigh/Durham radar (KRAX), 93 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 17:40 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
40%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
20%
Ten or more severe wind reports
50%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
20%
Ten or more severe hail reports
5%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
5%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
60%

Warnings issued inside it

15 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Feb 6, 12:52 PM ESTTornado WarningRAHDurham, Orange, Person23 min
Feb 6, 12:59 PM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRAHDurham, Granville, Orange, Person, Wake46 min
Feb 6, 1:28 PM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRAHFranklin, Halifax, Nash, Vance, Wake, Warren62 min
Feb 6, 1:48 PM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRAHChatham, Durham, Franklin, Granville, Harnett, Lee and 2 more57 min
Feb 6, 2:17 PM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRAHFranklin, Granville, Halifax, Johnston, Nash, Vance and 2 more43 min
Feb 6, 2:30 PM ESTTornado WarningRAHFranklin, Nash13 min
Feb 6, 2:48 PM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRAHEdgecombe, Halifax, Nash, Wilson57 min
Feb 6, 3:24 PM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAKQBertie, Camden, Chowan, Currituck, Gates, Hertford and 3 more51 min
Feb 6, 3:25 PM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRAHAnson, Montgomery, Moore, Richmond, Scotland, Stanly36 min
Feb 6, 3:26 PM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAKQIsle of Wight, York, City of Chesapeake, City of Hampton, City of Newport News, City of Norfolk and 4 more49 min
Feb 6, 4:05 PM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAKQCurrituck40 min
Feb 6, 4:05 PM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAKQBertie, Camden, Chowan, Currituck, Gates, Pasquotank and 1 more40 min
Feb 6, 4:34 PM ESTFlash Flood Warning Considerable damage threatRAHWake3 hr
Feb 6, 5:28 PM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRAHCumberland, Hoke, Scotland47 min
Feb 6, 5:39 PM ESTFlash Flood Warning Considerable damage threatRAHCumberland3 hr

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Newport, NC (KMHX), launched 12:00Z, 5.7 hours before the alert went out and 168 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Newport, NC at 12:00Z on 2020-02-06Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 34 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Newport, NC at 12:00Z on 2020-02-06The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 219 square meters per square second.1939587897Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
34 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-18 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
605 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
61 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
219 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
293 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

418 
WWUS20 KWNS 061738
SEL0  
SPC WW 061738
NCZ000-VAZ000-CWZ000-070000-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 30
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1240 PM EST Thu Feb 6 2020

The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a

* Tornado Watch for portions of 
  Northeast North Carolina
  Southeast Virginia
  Coastal Waters

* Effective this Thursday afternoon and evening from 1240 PM
  until 700 PM EST.

* Primary threats include...
  A couple tornadoes possible
  Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible

SUMMARY...Fast-moving thunderstorms over central North Carolina will
track across the watch area this afternoon, posing a risk of
damaging wind gusts as isolated tornadoes.

The tornado watch area is approximately along and 55 statute miles
north and south of a line from 15 miles southwest of Raleigh NC to
30 miles east northeast of Elizabeth City NC. For a complete
depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU0).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
and possible warnings.

&&

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 26...WW 27...WW 28...WW
29...

AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
surface and aloft to 0.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 400. Mean
storm motion vector 24040.

...Hart

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Feb 6, 9:50 AM ESTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAnson, Cabarrus, Catawba, Chatham, Cleveland, Davidson and 13 more55 min
Feb 6, 10:12 AM ESTTornado WatchSPCAlamance, Anson, Cabarrus, Catawba, Chatham, Cleveland and 20 more7 hr
Feb 6, 11:01 AM ESTTornado WatchSPCCaswell, Rockingham, Stokes, Surry, Yadkin2 hr
Feb 6, 11:55 AM ESTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBertie, Camden, Chowan, Currituck, Edgecombe, Franklin and 16 more65 min
Feb 6, 1:08 PM ESTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAnson, Chatham, Hoke, Lee, Montgomery, Moore and 3 more97 min
Feb 6, 4:00 PM ESTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBladen, Brunswick, Carteret, Columbus, Craven, Duplin and 5 more60 min
Feb 6, 4:23 PM ESTTornado WatchSPCBeaufort, Bladen, Brunswick, Carteret, Columbus, Craven and 15 more9 hr

Nearby

Tornado Watches in North Carolina, 2020Tornado Watches in Virginia, 2020Every tornado watch in 2020

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.