Alert archive / North Carolina / Tornado Watches in 2020

Tornado Watch 28

February 6, 20205 counties in North Carolina; 5 counties in Virginia

The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Feb 6, 2020, 11:01 AM EST for 5 counties in North Carolina; 5 counties in Virginia. It was in force for 2 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Feb 6, 2020, 11:01 AM EST (16:01 UTC)
Expired
Feb 6, 2020, 1:21 PM EST
In force
2 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
0.5 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt

Counties Caswell County, NC, Rockingham County, NC, Stokes County, NC, Surry County, NC, Yadkin County, NC, City of Danville, VA, City of Martinsville, VA, Halifax County, VA, Henry County, VA, Pittsylvania County, VA

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
30%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
10%
Ten or more severe wind reports
40%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
20%
Ten or more severe hail reports
5%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
5%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
50%

Warnings issued inside it

4 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Feb 6, 11:22 AM ESTFlash Flood WarningRNKRockingham, Stokes6 hr
Feb 6, 11:48 AM ESTFlash Flood WarningRNKCaswell, Rockingham5 hr
Feb 6, 11:53 AM ESTFlash Flood WarningRNKStokes, Surry, Wilkes, Yadkin6 hr
Feb 6, 12:43 PM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRNKCaswell32 min

The nearest sounding before it

Roanoke, VA (KRNK), launched 12:00Z, 4.0 hours before the alert went out and 67 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Roanoke, VA at 12:00Z on 2020-02-06Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Roanoke, VA at 12:00Z on 2020-02-06The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 151 square meters per square second.1939587897117136Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
540 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
81 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
151 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
237 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

092 
WWUS20 KWNS 061557
SEL8  
SPC WW 061557
NCZ000-VAZ000-062200-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 28
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1100 AM EST Thu Feb 6 2020

The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a

* Tornado Watch for portions of 
  North Central North Carolina
  South Central Virginia

* Effective this Thursday morning and afternoon from 1100 AM
  until 500 PM EST.

* Primary threats include...
  A couple tornadoes possible
  Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible

SUMMARY...Thunderstorms continue to intensify across northern North
Carolina, with a risk of damaging winds or a tornado along the wedge
front this afternoon.

The tornado watch area is approximately along and 30 statute miles
north and south of a line from 85 miles west of Danville VA to 40
miles east northeast of Danville VA. For a complete depiction of the
watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU8).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
and possible warnings.

&&

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 26...WW 27...

AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
surface and aloft to 0.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 400. Mean
storm motion vector 24040.

...Hart

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Feb 6, 9:50 AM ESTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAnson, Cabarrus, Catawba, Chatham, Cleveland, Davidson and 13 more55 min
Feb 6, 10:12 AM ESTTornado WatchSPCAlamance, Anson, Cabarrus, Catawba, Chatham, Cleveland and 20 more7 hr
Feb 6, 11:55 AM ESTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBertie, Camden, Chowan, Currituck, Edgecombe, Franklin and 16 more65 min
Feb 6, 12:41 PM ESTTornado WatchSPCBeaufort, Bertie, Camden, Chowan, Cumberland, Currituck and 28 more6 hr
Feb 6, 1:08 PM ESTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAnson, Chatham, Hoke, Lee, Montgomery, Moore and 3 more97 min
Feb 6, 4:00 PM ESTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBladen, Brunswick, Carteret, Columbus, Craven, Duplin and 5 more60 min
Feb 6, 4:23 PM ESTTornado WatchSPCBeaufort, Bladen, Brunswick, Carteret, Columbus, Craven and 15 more9 hr

Nearby

Tornado Watches in North Carolina, 2020Tornado Watches in Virginia, 2020Every tornado watch in 2020

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive.