Severe Thunderstorm Warning 9, NWS Springfield, MO

853 
WWUS53 KSGF 102338
SVSSGF

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Springfield MO
538 PM CST Fri Jan 10 2020

MOC009-109-102348-
/O.CAN.KSGF.SV.W.0009.000000T0000Z-200111T0000Z/
Barry MO-Lawrence MO-
538 PM CST Fri Jan 10 2020

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR EASTERN BARRY AND SOUTHEASTERN
LAWRENCE COUNTIES IS CANCELLED...

The storms which prompted the warning have moved out of the warned 
area. Therefore, the warning has been cancelled.

A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 200 AM CST for southwestern
Missouri.

LAT...LON 3650 9358 3681 9358 3683 9361 3705 9361
      3710 9360 3709 9303 3668 9308 3662 9311
      3657 9308 3650 9313
TIME...MOT...LOC 2338Z 270DEG 30KT 3702 9322 3671 9327 3665 9329 3660
9326 3647 9335

$$

MOC043-209-213-110000-
/O.CON.KSGF.SV.W.0009.000000T0000Z-200111T0000Z/
Christian MO-Taney MO-Stone MO-
538 PM CST Fri Jan 10 2020

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 600 PM CST
FOR CHRISTIAN...WESTERN TANEY AND STONE COUNTIES...

At 538 PM CST, severe thunderstorms were located along a line
extending from Ozark to near Branson West to near Silver Dollar City
to near Hollister to near Roberson Hollow, moving east at 35 mph.

HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Expect damage to roofs, siding, and trees.

Locations impacted include...
Nixa...                           Ozark...
Branson...                        Lake Taneycomo...
Table Rock Lake...                Table Rock State Park...
Hollister...                      Silver Dollar City...
Kimberling City...                Forsyth...
Clever...                         Merriam Woods...
Sparta...                         Crane...
Shell Knob...                     Billings...
Reeds Spring...                   Highlandville...
Rockaway Beach...                 Fremont Hills...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 200 AM CST for southwestern
Missouri.

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

&&

LAT...LON 3650 9358 3681 9358 3683 9361 3705 9361
      3710 9360 3709 9303 3668 9308 3662 9311
      3657 9308 3650 9313
TIME...MOT...LOC 2338Z 270DEG 30KT 3702 9322 3671 9327 3665 9329 3660
9326 3647 9335

TORNADO...POSSIBLE
HAIL...<.75IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

Albano

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Springfield MO
332 PM CST Fri Jan 10 2020

.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Saturday)
Issued at 251 PM CST Fri Jan 10 2020

Storms expanded and moved northeast into the area over the past
couple of hours. Limited instability (but enough) and backed low
level flow/good low level helicity and vertical shear have allowed
some mini supercells to to develop northwest-southwest of KSGF.

Instability/mlcape will remain 500-1000 j/kg in an area
east/ahead of the convection that is in place now (sw and south
central MO). Expect a broken line of convection to move northeast
into southern MO toward 00z/6pm then shift east and northeast in
areas along and east of hwy 65 and south of I-44. Storm mode looks
to be a mix of mini supercells, and broken lines segments.
Damaging wind/tornado threat will continue for much or our eastern
cwfa through midnight before the activity shifts east of the
area.

Heavy rain is the another concern and not much change is in the
forecast with storm totals of 3-4 inches common which will
produce flooding. No changes to the watch are expected.

Cold air will move southeast into the region late tonight into
Saturday. In general guidance has backed off a little on the snow
but still looking at trace amounts to around three inches with
highest amounts in our northwest counties. As the cold air moves
in, the shallow nature of the initial push should result in a
changeover to freezing rain/drizzle then sleet late tonight, then
finally snow Saturday as precip wraps around the exiting upper
low. Still have an ice accumulation of around a tenth of an inch
for the western cwfa. No changes planned to winter products.

.LONG TERM...(Saturday Night through Friday)
Issued at 251 PM CST Fri Jan 10 2020

Saturday night-Sunday: A sfc ridge will move quickly through
Saturday night with temperatures falling into the teens-20s.
Guidance might be a little aggressive in the warmup on Sunday,
but south winds will kick in with a moderating temperature trend.

Monday-Friday: Mild weather is expected Monday-Tuesday with
limited rain/precip potential. A sfc low low is expected to pass
through the region Wednesday (decent agreement with global
models). Some limited light rain potential is there but there
won't be a ton of moisture to work with. Cold air will nose it's
way south briefly in the wake of the low. There is some potential
for another mid latitude system late in the week with a quick
zonal upper air pattern in place.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 18Z TAFS through 18Z Saturday afternoon)
Issued at 1229 PM CST Fri Jan 10 2020

KSGF/KJLN/KBBG tafs: MVFR/VFR ceilings to start. Showers and
thunderstorms will increase over the area over the next couple of
hours with periodic IFR visibility with heavier showers.
Eventually a stationary front now north and west of the taf sites
will surge southeast through the region with IFR conditions
becoming common behind the front. Precipitation is expected to
change to a wintry mix late in the period at KJLN then KSGF and
continue through the end of the period.

&&

.SGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MO...Flash Flood Watch through late tonight for MOZ055>058-066>071-
     077>083-088>098-101>106.

     Winter Weather Advisory from midnight tonight to midnight CST
     Saturday night for MOZ057-058-069>071-079>083-090>096-
     101>104.

     Winter Storm Warning from 6 PM this evening to midnight CST
     Saturday night for MOZ055-056-066>068-077-078-088-089.

KS...Flash Flood Watch through late tonight for KSZ073-097-101.

     Winter Storm Warning from 6 PM this evening to midnight CST
     Saturday night for KSZ073-097-101.

&&

SHORT TERM...DSA
LONG TERM...DSA
AVIATION...DSA

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Springfield MO
1031 AM CST Fri Jan 10 2020

KSZ073-097-101-MOZ055>058-066>071-077>083-088>098-101>106-111645-
Bourbon-Crawford-Cherokee-Benton-Morgan-Miller-Maries-Vernon-
St. Clair-Hickory-Camden-Pulaski-Phelps-Barton-Cedar-Polk-Dallas-
Laclede-Texas-Dent-Jasper-Dade-Greene-Webster-Wright-Newton-
Lawrence-Christian-Douglas-Howell-Shannon-McDonald-Barry-Stone-
Taney-Ozark-Oregon-
1031 AM CST Fri Jan 10 2020

...Storm System Is Expected to Bring a Variety of Hazardous
Weather to the Outlook Area...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of the Missouri
Ozarks and extreme southeast Kansas.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.

Weather hazards expected...

  Limited tornado risk.
  Limited hail risk.
  Limited thunderstorm wind damage risk.
  Elevated flooding risk.
  Limited lightning risk.
  Limited excessive cold risk.
  Limited non thunderstorm wind risk.
  Elevated ice accumulation risk.
  Limited snow and sleet risk.

DISCUSSION...

Widespread showers and thunderstorms will develop by early
afternoon over western sections of the outlook area and spread
east later this afternoon and tonight. The overall heaviest rain
is expected to occur this afternoon and tonight. Storm total
rainfall amounts are expected to range from 2.5 to 4 inches.
Localized amounts of around 5 to 6 inches will be possible where
thunderstorms persist for longer periods. Widespread rainfall of
this magnitude will likely cause the flooding of numerous rivers,
creeks, and low water crossings.

Severe thunderstorms will be possible this afternoon into early
tonight. Damaging winds, tornadoes, and large hail will all be
possible with these storms.

As colder air moves into the area, rain will transition to a
wintry mix of freezing rain, sleet, and snow late this evening
into tonight over northwest sections of the outlook area.
Greatest accumulations through tonight will occur from southeast
Kansas into central Missouri. Wind chills will also drop into the
teens in this area.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

A wintry mix or freezing rain, sleet, and snow is expected across
much of the area Saturday morning, transitioning to snow through
the day. The greatest accumulations will be over the northwest
portion of the outlook area from southeast Kansas into central
Missouri, with the lowest accumulations over south-central
Missouri. Wind chills will fall into the teens and single digits
through the day.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation may be needed this afternoon and tonight.

&&

More detailed information can be accessed at:
http://www.weather.gov/sgf/sitrep

This product in graphical format...along with other weather...
hydrological and climate information...at
http://www.weather.gov/sgf

DSA

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
305 PM CST FRI JAN 10 2020

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0230 PM     TSTM WND DMG     1 W FAIR PLAY           37.63N 93.60W
01/10/2020                   POLK               MO   EMERGENCY MNGR

            CORRECTS PREVIOUS TSTM WND DMG REPORT FROM 1
            W FAIR PLAY. 203 HIGHWAY 32 2 BARNS
            DESTROYED ALONG WITH POWER LINES DOWN IN
            THIS AREA.

&&

TEO

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
350 PM CST FRI JAN 10 2020

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0230 PM     TORNADO          2 W FAIR PLAY           37.63N 93.61W
01/10/2020                   POLK               MO   EMERGENCY MNGR

            TORNADO OF UNKNOWN INTENSITY OBSERVED. TIME
            BASED ON RADAR.

&&

TEO

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
440 PM CST FRI JAN 10 2020

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0435 PM     FLASH FLOOD      3 SSW WALNUT GROVE      37.37N 93.58W
01/10/2020                   GREENE             MO   FIRE DEPT/RESCUE

            REPORT OF WATER OVER THE ROADWAY ON HIGHWAY
            V NEAR FARM ROAD 33.

&&

KP

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
444 PM CST FRI JAN 10 2020

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0440 PM     FLASH FLOOD      3 S WALNUT GROVE        37.37N 93.55W
01/10/2020                   GREENE             MO   FIRE DEPT/RESCUE

            REPORT OF FLASH FLOODING OVER FARM ROAD 45
            NEAR FARM ROAD 36 ALONG SUGAR CREEK.

&&

KP

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
447 PM CST FRI JAN 10 2020

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0446 PM     FLASH FLOOD      1 SE MONETT             36.91N 93.91W
01/10/2020                   BARRY              MO   AMATEUR RADIO

            REPORT OF STREET FLOODING NEAR HIGHWAY 60 IN
            MONETT.

&&

KP

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
452 PM CST FRI JAN 10 2020

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0451 PM     FLASH FLOOD      WHEATON                 36.77N 94.06W
01/10/2020                   BARRY              MO   TRAINED SPOTTER

            REPORT OF STREET FLOODING NEAR WHEATON CITY
            PARK IN THE CITY OF WHEATON, MISSOURI.

&&

KP