Severe Thunderstorm Warning 7, NWS Springfield, MO

140 
WWUS53 KSGF 102131
SVSSGF

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Springfield MO
331 PM CST Fri Jan 10 2020

MOC119-102140-
/O.CAN.KSGF.SV.W.0007.000000T0000Z-200110T2200Z/
McDonald MO-
331 PM CST Fri Jan 10 2020

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR NORTH CENTRAL MCDONALD COUNTY
IS CANCELLED...

The storms which prompted the warning have moved out of the warned 
area. Therefore, the warning has been cancelled.

A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 600 PM CST for southwestern
Missouri.

LAT...LON 3676 9436 3696 9440 3725 9412 3724 9383
      3688 9383 3675 9416
TIME...MOT...LOC 2130Z 273DEG 49KT 3704 9420 3694 9417 3684 9420 

$$

MOC009-097-109-145-102200-
/O.CON.KSGF.SV.W.0007.000000T0000Z-200110T2200Z/
Newton MO-Barry MO-Lawrence MO-Jasper MO-
331 PM CST Fri Jan 10 2020

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 400 PM CST
FOR EASTERN NEWTON...NORTHWESTERN BARRY...WESTERN LAWRENCE AND
SOUTHEASTERN JASPER COUNTIES...

At 330 PM CST, severe thunderstorms were located along a line
extending from near Sarcoxie to near Granby to 6 miles west of
Fairview, moving east at 55 mph.

HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts and quarter size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Hail damage to vehicles is expected. Expect wind damage to 
         roofs, siding, and trees.

Locations impacted include...
Neosho...                         Monett...
Mount Vernon...                   Granby...
Sarcoxie...                       Pierce City...
Diamond...                        Miller...
Fairview...                       Stotts City...
Newtonia...                       Pioneer...
Freistatt...                      Stella...
Wentworth...                      Stark City...
Avilla...                         La Russell...
Reeds...                          Ritchey...

This includes Interstate 44 between mile markers 21 and 45.
 
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 600 PM CST for southwestern
Missouri.

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

&&

LAT...LON 3676 9436 3696 9440 3725 9412 3724 9383
      3688 9383 3675 9416
TIME...MOT...LOC 2130Z 273DEG 49KT 3704 9420 3694 9417 3684 9420 

TORNADO...POSSIBLE
HAIL...1.00IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

Albano

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Springfield MO
1235 PM CST Fri Jan 10 2020

.SHORT TERM...(Today and tonight)
Issued at 319 AM CST Fri Jan 10 2020

Not much change from the previous forecast through tonight.

Still looking at flooding potential and will keep the Flash Flood
Watch in place. Additional rainfall with this event is expected
to be 2-4 inches, on top of what we have already observed. There
also remains the potential for localized amounts well in excess of
that due to training convection. Given the state of vegetation in
the winter, it will not take as much rain to lead to flooding. On
top of flash flooding, river flooding is also expected and
headlines are already in effect for several locations.

Severe thunderstorms are still a concern and the SPC slight risk
continues for today into tonight. Mainly focused on this
afternoon into early tonight when the instability will be
greatest, but still meager. Low level vertical wind shear will be
more than sufficient for severe weather, so it will come down to
that CAPE/shear balance along the front as it progresses eastward.
Damaging winds are the primary threat, with a lesser threat of an
isolated tornado threat and large hail. There is potential we
could see some discrete surfaced based cells over the far SW CWA
this afternoon and evening, but will need to further assess the
environment as that draws closer.

Winter weather will wrap this event up. Much of the winter weather
impacts will occur in the long term (see below), but certainly
start up in the NW/W CWA later this evening and tonight. A bigger
change this forecast period was to bring colder surface air in
faster as new models runs agree well on faster timing. This leads
to sleet and freezing rain starting earlier and lasting longer
before the transition to snow. Looking at potential for roughly
0.1-0.2 inches of sleet and about the same amount of freezing
rain over the NW CWA (where the Winter Storm Warning is in effect)
from late this evening into tonight. At the same time, surface
temperatures quickly drop off, potentially leading to a flash
freeze. Impacts continue into Saturday...

.LONG TERM...(Saturday through Thursday)
Issued at 319 AM CST Fri Jan 10 2020

As the cold near surface layer continues to moves E through the
area Saturday, sleet and freezing rain will progress with it. The
eastern portions of the area will probably not see significant
winter impacts until late morning or afternoon and amounts will be
lighter there due to the later arrival of that cold air.
Precipitation type will change to snow from NW to SE through the
day as cold air deepens. Areas in the Winter Storm Warning are
expected to receive 2-4" of storm total snow/sleet and 0.10-0.20
inches of ice accumulation. Generally along the I-44 corridor,
expect around an inch of snow/sleet and around 0.10 inches of ice
accumulation. Lesser amounts are expected SE of I-44, with little
to no accumulation expected over the far SE CWA (where no winter
headlines are in effect).

Could see another active period mid-late next week, but quiet
otherwise.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 18Z TAFS through 18Z Saturday afternoon)
Issued at 1229 PM CST Fri Jan 10 2020

KSGF/KJLN/KBBG tafs: MVFR/VFR ceilings to start. Showers and
thunderstorms will increase over the area over the next couple of
hours with periodic IFR visibility with heavier showers.
Eventually a stationary front now north and west of the taf sites
will surge southeast through the region with IFR conditions
becoming common behind the front. Precipitation is expected to
change to a wintry mix late in the period at KJLN then KSGF and
continue through the end of the period.

&&

.SGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MO...Flash Flood Watch through late tonight for MOZ055>058-066>071-
     077>083-088>098-101>106.

     Winter Weather Advisory from midnight tonight to midnight CST
     Saturday night for MOZ057-058-069>071-079>083-090>096-
     101>104.

     Winter Storm Warning from 6 PM this evening to midnight CST
     Saturday night for MOZ055-056-066>068-077-078-088-089.

KS...Flash Flood Watch through late tonight for KSZ073-097-101.

     Winter Storm Warning from 6 PM this evening to midnight CST
     Saturday night for KSZ073-097-101.

&&

SHORT TERM...Titus
LONG TERM...Titus
AVIATION...DSA

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Springfield MO
1031 AM CST Fri Jan 10 2020

KSZ073-097-101-MOZ055>058-066>071-077>083-088>098-101>106-111645-
Bourbon-Crawford-Cherokee-Benton-Morgan-Miller-Maries-Vernon-
St. Clair-Hickory-Camden-Pulaski-Phelps-Barton-Cedar-Polk-Dallas-
Laclede-Texas-Dent-Jasper-Dade-Greene-Webster-Wright-Newton-
Lawrence-Christian-Douglas-Howell-Shannon-McDonald-Barry-Stone-
Taney-Ozark-Oregon-
1031 AM CST Fri Jan 10 2020

...Storm System Is Expected to Bring a Variety of Hazardous
Weather to the Outlook Area...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of the Missouri
Ozarks and extreme southeast Kansas.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.

Weather hazards expected...

  Limited tornado risk.
  Limited hail risk.
  Limited thunderstorm wind damage risk.
  Elevated flooding risk.
  Limited lightning risk.
  Limited excessive cold risk.
  Limited non thunderstorm wind risk.
  Elevated ice accumulation risk.
  Limited snow and sleet risk.

DISCUSSION...

Widespread showers and thunderstorms will develop by early
afternoon over western sections of the outlook area and spread
east later this afternoon and tonight. The overall heaviest rain
is expected to occur this afternoon and tonight. Storm total
rainfall amounts are expected to range from 2.5 to 4 inches.
Localized amounts of around 5 to 6 inches will be possible where
thunderstorms persist for longer periods. Widespread rainfall of
this magnitude will likely cause the flooding of numerous rivers,
creeks, and low water crossings.

Severe thunderstorms will be possible this afternoon into early
tonight. Damaging winds, tornadoes, and large hail will all be
possible with these storms.

As colder air moves into the area, rain will transition to a
wintry mix of freezing rain, sleet, and snow late this evening
into tonight over northwest sections of the outlook area.
Greatest accumulations through tonight will occur from southeast
Kansas into central Missouri. Wind chills will also drop into the
teens in this area.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

A wintry mix or freezing rain, sleet, and snow is expected across
much of the area Saturday morning, transitioning to snow through
the day. The greatest accumulations will be over the northwest
portion of the outlook area from southeast Kansas into central
Missouri, with the lowest accumulations over south-central
Missouri. Wind chills will fall into the teens and single digits
through the day.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation may be needed this afternoon and tonight.

&&

More detailed information can be accessed at:
http://www.weather.gov/sgf/sitrep

This product in graphical format...along with other weather...
hydrological and climate information...at
http://www.weather.gov/sgf

DSA

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
227 PM CST FRI JAN 10 2020

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0211 PM     FUNNEL CLOUD     5 SW EL DORADO SPRINGS  37.83N 93.96W
01/10/2020                   CEDAR              MO   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            CORRECTS PREVIOUS FUNNEL CLOUD REPORT FROM 5
            N FILLEY. FUNNEL CLOUD OBSERVED. HOMES
            DAMAGED IN THE AREA DUE TO POSSIBLE TORNADO.

&&

TEO

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Springfield MO
227 PM CST Fri Jan 10 2020

MOZ057-069-102115-
Camden MO-Miller MO-
227 PM CST Fri Jan 10 2020

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHERN MILLER AND CENTRAL
CAMDEN COUNTIES UNTIL 315 PM CST...

At 227 PM CST, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Camdenton, moving northeast at 35 mph.

Nickel size hail and wind gusts up to 50 mph will be possible with
this storm.

Locations impacted include...
Lake of The Ozarks State Park...  Lake of The Ozarks...
Osage Beach...                    Village of Four Seasons...
Lake Ozark...                     Linn Creek...
Tuscumbia...                      Bagnell...
Old Linn Creek...                 Ulman...
Lakeview...                       Kaiser...

LAT...LON 3800 9266 3806 9278 3833 9261 3821 9229
TIME...MOT...LOC 2027Z 218DEG 30KT 3808 9269

Albano

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
231 PM CST FRI JAN 10 2020

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0147 PM     TSTM WND DMG     5 SW EL DORADO SPRINGS  37.83N 94.09W
01/10/2020                   VERNON             MO   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            FUNNEL CLOUD REPORTED IN THIS AREA. LE
            REPORTS HOUSES DAMAGED BY POSSIBLE TORNADO.
            TIME BASED ON RADAR.

&&

TEO

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Springfield MO
245 PM CST Fri Jan 10 2020

MOZ093-101-102130-
Newton MO-McDonald MO-
245 PM CST Fri Jan 10 2020

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHWESTERN NEWTON AND MCDONALD
COUNTIES UNTIL 330 PM CST...

At 244 PM CST, Doppler radar was tracking strong thunderstorms along
a line extending from 9 miles northeast of Grove to near South West
City. Movement was northeast at 30 mph.

Nickel size hail and wind gusts up to 50 mph will be possible with
these storms.

Strong thunderstorms will be near...
  Noel around 315 PM CST.
  Neosho, Pineville, Anderson, Goodman and Lanagan around 330 PM
  CST.

Other locations impacted by these storms include Tiff City, Big Sugar
Creek State Park, Dodge and Cayuga.

This includes Interstate 49 between mile markers 1 and 20.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

These storms may intensify, so be certain to monitor local radio
stations and available television stations for additional information
and possible warnings from the National Weather Service.

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with these storms, and may lead
to localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

&&

A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 600 PM CST for southwestern
Missouri.

LAT...LON 3650 9462 3677 9462 3689 9428 3650 9425
TIME...MOT...LOC 2044Z 237DEG 16KT 3667 9463 3648 9464

Terry

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
245 PM CST FRI JAN 10 2020

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0230 PM     TSTM WND DMG     1 W FAIR PLAY           37.63N 93.60W
01/10/2020                   POLK               MO   EMERGENCY MNGR

            203 HIGHWAY 32 2 BARNS DESTROYED.

&&

TEO

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
305 PM CST FRI JAN 10 2020

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0230 PM     TSTM WND DMG     1 W FAIR PLAY           37.63N 93.60W
01/10/2020                   POLK               MO   EMERGENCY MNGR

            CORRECTS PREVIOUS TSTM WND DMG REPORT FROM 1
            W FAIR PLAY. 203 HIGHWAY 32 2 BARNS
            DESTROYED ALONG WITH POWER LINES DOWN IN
            THIS AREA.

&&

TEO