Severe Thunderstorm Warning 8, NWS Springfield, MO

375 
WWUS53 KSGF 102242
SVSSGF

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Springfield MO
442 PM CST Fri Jan 10 2020

MOC145-102252-
/O.CAN.KSGF.SV.W.0008.000000T0000Z-200110T2300Z/
Newton MO-
442 PM CST Fri Jan 10 2020

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR SOUTHEASTERN NEWTON COUNTY IS
CANCELLED...

The storms which prompted the warning have moved out of the warned 
area. Therefore, the warning has been cancelled.

A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 600 PM CST for southwestern
Missouri.

LAT...LON 3650 9415 3675 9409 3675 9407 3679 9406
      3711 9373 3704 9361 3700 9361 3700 9355
      3699 9354 3672 9349 3650 9364
TIME...MOT...LOC 2242Z 270DEG 31KT 3677 9382 3662 9380 3646 9391 

$$

MOC009-109-119-209-102300-
/O.CON.KSGF.SV.W.0008.000000T0000Z-200110T2300Z/
Stone MO-McDonald MO-Barry MO-Lawrence MO-
442 PM CST Fri Jan 10 2020

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 500 PM CST
FOR NORTHWESTERN STONE...SOUTHEASTERN MCDONALD...BARRY AND
SOUTHEASTERN LAWRENCE COUNTIES...

At 442 PM CST, severe thunderstorms were located along a line
extending from 6 miles southeast of Purdy to near Cassville to near
Gateway, moving east at 35 mph.

HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Expect damage to roofs, siding, and trees.

Locations impacted include...
Table Rock Lake...                Roaring River State Park...
Monett...                         Aurora...
Cassville...                      Marionville...
Crane...                          Shell Knob...
Purdy...                          Seligman...
Exeter...                         Wheaton...
Verona...                         Butterfield...
Washburn...                       Mccord Bend...
Golden...                         Emerald Beach...
Eagle Rock...                     Chain-O-Lakes...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 600 PM CST for southwestern
Missouri.

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

&&

LAT...LON 3650 9415 3675 9409 3675 9407 3679 9406
      3711 9373 3704 9361 3700 9361 3700 9355
      3699 9354 3672 9349 3650 9364
TIME...MOT...LOC 2242Z 270DEG 31KT 3677 9382 3662 9380 3646 9391 

TORNADO...POSSIBLE
HAIL...<.75IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

Albano

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Springfield MO
332 PM CST Fri Jan 10 2020

.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Saturday)
Issued at 251 PM CST Fri Jan 10 2020

Storms expanded and moved northeast into the area over the past
couple of hours. Limited instability (but enough) and backed low
level flow/good low level helicity and vertical shear have allowed
some mini supercells to to develop northwest-southwest of KSGF.

Instability/mlcape will remain 500-1000 j/kg in an area
east/ahead of the convection that is in place now (sw and south
central MO). Expect a broken line of convection to move northeast
into southern MO toward 00z/6pm then shift east and northeast in
areas along and east of hwy 65 and south of I-44. Storm mode looks
to be a mix of mini supercells, and broken lines segments.
Damaging wind/tornado threat will continue for much or our eastern
cwfa through midnight before the activity shifts east of the
area.

Heavy rain is the another concern and not much change is in the
forecast with storm totals of 3-4 inches common which will
produce flooding. No changes to the watch are expected.

Cold air will move southeast into the region late tonight into
Saturday. In general guidance has backed off a little on the snow
but still looking at trace amounts to around three inches with
highest amounts in our northwest counties. As the cold air moves
in, the shallow nature of the initial push should result in a
changeover to freezing rain/drizzle then sleet late tonight, then
finally snow Saturday as precip wraps around the exiting upper
low. Still have an ice accumulation of around a tenth of an inch
for the western cwfa. No changes planned to winter products.

.LONG TERM...(Saturday Night through Friday)
Issued at 251 PM CST Fri Jan 10 2020

Saturday night-Sunday: A sfc ridge will move quickly through
Saturday night with temperatures falling into the teens-20s.
Guidance might be a little aggressive in the warmup on Sunday,
but south winds will kick in with a moderating temperature trend.

Monday-Friday: Mild weather is expected Monday-Tuesday with
limited rain/precip potential. A sfc low low is expected to pass
through the region Wednesday (decent agreement with global
models). Some limited light rain potential is there but there
won't be a ton of moisture to work with. Cold air will nose it's
way south briefly in the wake of the low. There is some potential
for another mid latitude system late in the week with a quick
zonal upper air pattern in place.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 18Z TAFS through 18Z Saturday afternoon)
Issued at 1229 PM CST Fri Jan 10 2020

KSGF/KJLN/KBBG tafs: MVFR/VFR ceilings to start. Showers and
thunderstorms will increase over the area over the next couple of
hours with periodic IFR visibility with heavier showers.
Eventually a stationary front now north and west of the taf sites
will surge southeast through the region with IFR conditions
becoming common behind the front. Precipitation is expected to
change to a wintry mix late in the period at KJLN then KSGF and
continue through the end of the period.

&&

.SGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MO...Flash Flood Watch through late tonight for MOZ055>058-066>071-
     077>083-088>098-101>106.

     Winter Weather Advisory from midnight tonight to midnight CST
     Saturday night for MOZ057-058-069>071-079>083-090>096-
     101>104.

     Winter Storm Warning from 6 PM this evening to midnight CST
     Saturday night for MOZ055-056-066>068-077-078-088-089.

KS...Flash Flood Watch through late tonight for KSZ073-097-101.

     Winter Storm Warning from 6 PM this evening to midnight CST
     Saturday night for KSZ073-097-101.

&&

SHORT TERM...DSA
LONG TERM...DSA
AVIATION...DSA

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Springfield MO
1031 AM CST Fri Jan 10 2020

KSZ073-097-101-MOZ055>058-066>071-077>083-088>098-101>106-111645-
Bourbon-Crawford-Cherokee-Benton-Morgan-Miller-Maries-Vernon-
St. Clair-Hickory-Camden-Pulaski-Phelps-Barton-Cedar-Polk-Dallas-
Laclede-Texas-Dent-Jasper-Dade-Greene-Webster-Wright-Newton-
Lawrence-Christian-Douglas-Howell-Shannon-McDonald-Barry-Stone-
Taney-Ozark-Oregon-
1031 AM CST Fri Jan 10 2020

...Storm System Is Expected to Bring a Variety of Hazardous
Weather to the Outlook Area...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of the Missouri
Ozarks and extreme southeast Kansas.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.

Weather hazards expected...

  Limited tornado risk.
  Limited hail risk.
  Limited thunderstorm wind damage risk.
  Elevated flooding risk.
  Limited lightning risk.
  Limited excessive cold risk.
  Limited non thunderstorm wind risk.
  Elevated ice accumulation risk.
  Limited snow and sleet risk.

DISCUSSION...

Widespread showers and thunderstorms will develop by early
afternoon over western sections of the outlook area and spread
east later this afternoon and tonight. The overall heaviest rain
is expected to occur this afternoon and tonight. Storm total
rainfall amounts are expected to range from 2.5 to 4 inches.
Localized amounts of around 5 to 6 inches will be possible where
thunderstorms persist for longer periods. Widespread rainfall of
this magnitude will likely cause the flooding of numerous rivers,
creeks, and low water crossings.

Severe thunderstorms will be possible this afternoon into early
tonight. Damaging winds, tornadoes, and large hail will all be
possible with these storms.

As colder air moves into the area, rain will transition to a
wintry mix of freezing rain, sleet, and snow late this evening
into tonight over northwest sections of the outlook area.
Greatest accumulations through tonight will occur from southeast
Kansas into central Missouri. Wind chills will also drop into the
teens in this area.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

A wintry mix or freezing rain, sleet, and snow is expected across
much of the area Saturday morning, transitioning to snow through
the day. The greatest accumulations will be over the northwest
portion of the outlook area from southeast Kansas into central
Missouri, with the lowest accumulations over south-central
Missouri. Wind chills will fall into the teens and single digits
through the day.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation may be needed this afternoon and tonight.

&&

More detailed information can be accessed at:
http://www.weather.gov/sgf/sitrep

This product in graphical format...along with other weather...
hydrological and climate information...at
http://www.weather.gov/sgf

DSA

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Springfield MO
227 PM CST Fri Jan 10 2020

MOZ057-069-102115-
Camden MO-Miller MO-
227 PM CST Fri Jan 10 2020

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHERN MILLER AND CENTRAL
CAMDEN COUNTIES UNTIL 315 PM CST...

At 227 PM CST, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Camdenton, moving northeast at 35 mph.

Nickel size hail and wind gusts up to 50 mph will be possible with
this storm.

Locations impacted include...
Lake of The Ozarks State Park...  Lake of The Ozarks...
Osage Beach...                    Village of Four Seasons...
Lake Ozark...                     Linn Creek...
Tuscumbia...                      Bagnell...
Old Linn Creek...                 Ulman...
Lakeview...                       Kaiser...

LAT...LON 3800 9266 3806 9278 3833 9261 3821 9229
TIME...MOT...LOC 2027Z 218DEG 30KT 3808 9269

Albano

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
231 PM CST FRI JAN 10 2020

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0147 PM     TSTM WND DMG     5 SW EL DORADO SPRINGS  37.83N 94.09W
01/10/2020                   VERNON             MO   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            FUNNEL CLOUD REPORTED IN THIS AREA. LE
            REPORTS HOUSES DAMAGED BY POSSIBLE TORNADO.
            TIME BASED ON RADAR.

&&

TEO

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Springfield MO
245 PM CST Fri Jan 10 2020

MOZ093-101-102130-
Newton MO-McDonald MO-
245 PM CST Fri Jan 10 2020

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHWESTERN NEWTON AND MCDONALD
COUNTIES UNTIL 330 PM CST...

At 244 PM CST, Doppler radar was tracking strong thunderstorms along
a line extending from 9 miles northeast of Grove to near South West
City. Movement was northeast at 30 mph.

Nickel size hail and wind gusts up to 50 mph will be possible with
these storms.

Strong thunderstorms will be near...
  Noel around 315 PM CST.
  Neosho, Pineville, Anderson, Goodman and Lanagan around 330 PM
  CST.

Other locations impacted by these storms include Tiff City, Big Sugar
Creek State Park, Dodge and Cayuga.

This includes Interstate 49 between mile markers 1 and 20.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

These storms may intensify, so be certain to monitor local radio
stations and available television stations for additional information
and possible warnings from the National Weather Service.

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with these storms, and may lead
to localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

&&

A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 600 PM CST for southwestern
Missouri.

LAT...LON 3650 9462 3677 9462 3689 9428 3650 9425
TIME...MOT...LOC 2044Z 237DEG 16KT 3667 9463 3648 9464

Terry

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
245 PM CST FRI JAN 10 2020

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0230 PM     TSTM WND DMG     1 W FAIR PLAY           37.63N 93.60W
01/10/2020                   POLK               MO   EMERGENCY MNGR

            203 HIGHWAY 32 2 BARNS DESTROYED.

&&

TEO

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
305 PM CST FRI JAN 10 2020

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0230 PM     TSTM WND DMG     1 W FAIR PLAY           37.63N 93.60W
01/10/2020                   POLK               MO   EMERGENCY MNGR

            CORRECTS PREVIOUS TSTM WND DMG REPORT FROM 1
            W FAIR PLAY. 203 HIGHWAY 32 2 BARNS
            DESTROYED ALONG WITH POWER LINES DOWN IN
            THIS AREA.

&&

TEO

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
350 PM CST FRI JAN 10 2020

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0230 PM     TORNADO          2 W FAIR PLAY           37.63N 93.61W
01/10/2020                   POLK               MO   EMERGENCY MNGR

            TORNADO OF UNKNOWN INTENSITY OBSERVED. TIME
            BASED ON RADAR.

&&

TEO