Tornado Warning 10, NWS Norman, OK

748 
WWUS54 KOUN 220540
SVSOUN

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Norman OK
1240 AM CDT Wed Apr 22 2020

OKC137-220550-
/O.EXP.KOUN.TO.W.0010.000000T0000Z-200422T0545Z/
Stephens OK-
1240 AM CDT Wed Apr 22 2020

...THE TORNADO WARNING FOR NORTHEASTERN STEPHENS COUNTY WILL EXPIRE
AT 1245 AM CDT...
        
The storm which prompted the warning has moved out of the area.
Therefore, the warning will be allowed to expire.

LAT...LON 3455 9787 3464 9787 3468 9756 3452 9757
TIME...MOT...LOC 0540Z 277DEG 15KT 3458 9759 

$$

11

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Norman OK
634 PM CDT Tue Apr 21 2020

...New AVIATION...

.SHORT TERM...
(This evening through Wednesday)
Issued at 213 PM CDT Tue Apr 21 2020

Satellite imagery is beginning to show signs of lift now increasing
ahead of an initial mid level shortwave trough that will move out of
the TX panhandle late this afternoon through tonight. Convective
initiation should occur somewhere within the next hour or two near
NW OK and the northern TX panhandle. A few storms may also try to
develop on the southern flank of the mid level moisture moisture
plume extending from NW OK into ESE OK into this evening. Some
cumulus are now evident in vis imagery within this plume. The most
likely scenario still appears to be a small cluster of storms coming
off the high plains and tracking eastward across northern OK, with 1-
2 discrete elevated supercells south of it moving into portions of
central OK late tonight. Steep lapse rates within the hail growth
zone could support around a 3-6 hour window of very large hail
within the supercells.

As the first, smaller cluster of storms moves out of our area and
dissipates to the east late tonight/early Wed AM, the main mid level
vort max will begin to move in from the west. Therefore, expect more
widespread convection to begin around 12-15Z Wed especially along
and north of I-40 as mid to upper ascent overspreads the region.
These elevated storms will still have the potential to produce large
hail up to the size of golf balls or larger near and just after
sunrise. At the surface, a surface low will near the I-35 corridor
around 18-21Z Wed, with an associated dryline and Pacific front.
Instability should have the chance to ramp up ahead of these
features early tomorrow afternoon within the warm sector over the
SE 1/4 of OK. Surface based supercells will be possible within the
aforementioned area Wed afternoon, with all severe weather threats
possible into early Wed evening.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Wednesday night through next Monday)
Issued at 213 PM CDT Tue Apr 21 2020

Showers and thunderstorms and the potential for severe storms are
expected to end Wednesday evening. Another round of showers and
thunderstorms will then be possible Thursday night into Friday as a
shortwave moves across the central/southern Plains and a cold front
moves across the area.

Models show NW flow will develop aloft over the region next week.
Models also show another front moving across the area early next
week, although there are some differences in timing. Some showers
and thunderstorms could be possible with this boundary.

Temperatures are expected to remain generally below but near the
average mark into this weekend, with the coolest day expected to be
Friday. Warmer temperatures, above average, will then be possible
early next week.

&&

.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 631 PM CDT Tue Apr 21 2020

VFR/MVFR ceilings are expected. A few models show that IFR
ceilings could be possible at a few locations Wednesday morning.
Thunderstorms will be possible off and on later this evening
through Wednesday afternoon. Variable gusty winds and hail could
be possible near/with some of the storms. A front will move across
portions of the area Wednesday causing winds to shift towards the
N and NW.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Oklahoma City OK  61  69  53  78 /  80  80  20   0
Hobart OK         61  73  51  81 /  50  50  10   0
Wichita Falls TX  63  81  54  82 /  40  50   0   0
Gage OK           54  67  47  81 /  90  80   0   0
Ponca City OK     59  65  52  77 /  90  90  30   0
Durant OK         61  75  56  79 /  30  90  20   0

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...None.
TX...None.
&&

SHORT TERM...03
LONG TERM....25
AVIATION...25

Hazardous Weather Outlook...UPDATED
National Weather Service Norman OK
917 PM CDT Tue Apr 21 2020

OKZ004>048-050>052-TXZ083>090-230230-
Harper-Woods-Alfalfa-Grant-Kay-Ellis-Woodward-Major-Garfield-
Noble-Roger Mills-Dewey-Custer-Blaine-Kingfisher-Logan-Payne-
Beckham-Washita-Caddo-Canadian-Oklahoma-Lincoln-Grady-McClain-
Cleveland-Pottawatomie-Seminole-Hughes-Harmon-Greer-Kiowa-Jackson-
Tillman-Comanche-Stephens-Garvin-Murray-Pontotoc-Coal-Cotton-
Jefferson-Carter-Johnston-Atoka-Love-Marshall-Bryan-Hardeman-
Foard-Wilbarger-Wichita-Knox-Baylor-Archer-Clay-
917 PM CDT Tue Apr 21 2020

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of northern...
western...central...and southern Oklahoma...and western north
Texas.

.DAY ONE...Through Tonight...

.Thunderstorms...
Strong to severe thunderstorms are expected to continue this
evening and overnight, especially across western into central
Oklahoma. Large hail up to the size of baseballs is the primary
hazard. Wind gusts of 60 to 70 mph are also possible.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday...

.Thunderstorms...
Thunderstorms will continue to be possible through the day
Wednesday. Some strong to severe thunderstorms, primarily with a
large hail up to the size of golf balls and damaging wind threat,
could occur during the morning hours across any portion of the
area.

By Wednesday afternoon, the severe storm threat will continue to
progress eastward but is not expected to exit the area until
evening. Storm intensity could be higher during the afternoon and
evening hours, especially near and east of I-35 and south of I-44.
The primary threats during the afternoon will continue to be
large hail up to the size of baseballs and damaging winds.
However, there is also a potential for some tornadoes, especially
in areas southeast of a Seminole and Pauls Valley, to Marietta
Oklahoma line. There are some uncertainties with the afternoon
and evening activity due to effects from the storms later tonight
into Wednesday morning so check for the latest information.

Thunderstorms will also be possible Thursday night into Friday.
The chance of severe weather with this activity looks to be low.

Get graphics and more details at weather.gov/norman...and follow
our weather forecast office on Twitter and Facebook.

Mahale

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
1116 PM CDT TUE APR 21 2020

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1115 PM     HAIL             2 E ELGIN               34.78N 98.26W
04/21/2020  E1.75 INCH       COMANCHE           OK   AMATEUR RADIO

&&

SC

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
1121 PM CDT TUE APR 21 2020

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1119 PM     HAIL             3 E STERLING            34.75N 98.12W
04/21/2020  E1.75 INCH       COMANCHE           OK   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

SC

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
1122 PM CDT TUE APR 21 2020

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1122 PM     HAIL             2 NNE COOPERTON         34.89N 98.86W
04/21/2020  E2.00 INCH       KIOWA              OK   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

SC

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
1125 PM CDT TUE APR 21 2020

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1125 PM     HAIL             STERLING                34.75N 98.17W
04/21/2020  E2.00 INCH       COMANCHE           OK   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

SC

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
1131 PM CDT TUE APR 21 2020

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1129 PM     HAIL             2 WNW BURKBURNETT       34.09N 98.60W
04/21/2020  E1.00 INCH       WICHITA            TX   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

SC

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
1147 PM CDT TUE APR 21 2020

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1147 PM     HAIL             MEERS                   34.78N 98.57W
04/21/2020  E1.50 INCH       COMANCHE           OK   FIRE DEPT/RESCUE

&&

SC