Severe Thunderstorm Warning 101, NWS Norman, OK

602 
WWUS54 KOUN 220344
SVSOUN

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Norman OK
1044 PM CDT Tue Apr 21 2020

OKC075-220353-
/O.CAN.KOUN.SV.W.0101.000000T0000Z-200422T0400Z/
Kiowa OK-
1044 PM CDT Tue Apr 21 2020

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR NORTHEASTERN KIOWA COUNTY IS
CANCELLED...
    
The severe thunderstorm which prompted the warning has moved out of 
the warned area. Therefore, the warning has been cancelled.

LAT...LON 3506 9862 3502 9826 3467 9840 3478 9862
TIME...MOT...LOC 0343Z 285DEG 26KT 3493 9855 

$$

OKC015-031-220400-
/O.CON.KOUN.SV.W.0101.000000T0000Z-200422T0400Z/
Comanche OK-Caddo OK-
1044 PM CDT Tue Apr 21 2020

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1100 PM CDT
FOR NORTH CENTRAL COMANCHE AND SOUTHWESTERN CADDO COUNTIES...

At 1043 PM CDT, a severe thunderstorm was located 5 miles west of
Boone, moving east at 30 mph.

HAZARD...Tennis ball size hail and 60 mph wind gusts.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...People and animals outdoors will be injured. Expect hail 
         damage to roofs, siding, windows, and vehicles. Expect wind 
         damage to roofs, siding, and trees.

Locations impacted include...
Apache, Medicine Park, Meers, Lake Ellsworth, Lake Lawtonka, Boone,
Fort Sill, Stecker and eastern Wichita Mountains Wildlife Refuge.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

This storm is producing destructive winds and large damaging hail.
SEEK SHELTER NOW inside a sturdy structure and stay away from
windows.

&&

LAT...LON 3506 9862 3502 9826 3467 9840 3478 9862
TIME...MOT...LOC 0343Z 285DEG 26KT 3493 9855 

HAIL...2.50IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

11

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Norman OK
634 PM CDT Tue Apr 21 2020

...New AVIATION...

.SHORT TERM...
(This evening through Wednesday)
Issued at 213 PM CDT Tue Apr 21 2020

Satellite imagery is beginning to show signs of lift now increasing
ahead of an initial mid level shortwave trough that will move out of
the TX panhandle late this afternoon through tonight. Convective
initiation should occur somewhere within the next hour or two near
NW OK and the northern TX panhandle. A few storms may also try to
develop on the southern flank of the mid level moisture moisture
plume extending from NW OK into ESE OK into this evening. Some
cumulus are now evident in vis imagery within this plume. The most
likely scenario still appears to be a small cluster of storms coming
off the high plains and tracking eastward across northern OK, with 1-
2 discrete elevated supercells south of it moving into portions of
central OK late tonight. Steep lapse rates within the hail growth
zone could support around a 3-6 hour window of very large hail
within the supercells.

As the first, smaller cluster of storms moves out of our area and
dissipates to the east late tonight/early Wed AM, the main mid level
vort max will begin to move in from the west. Therefore, expect more
widespread convection to begin around 12-15Z Wed especially along
and north of I-40 as mid to upper ascent overspreads the region.
These elevated storms will still have the potential to produce large
hail up to the size of golf balls or larger near and just after
sunrise. At the surface, a surface low will near the I-35 corridor
around 18-21Z Wed, with an associated dryline and Pacific front.
Instability should have the chance to ramp up ahead of these
features early tomorrow afternoon within the warm sector over the
SE 1/4 of OK. Surface based supercells will be possible within the
aforementioned area Wed afternoon, with all severe weather threats
possible into early Wed evening.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Wednesday night through next Monday)
Issued at 213 PM CDT Tue Apr 21 2020

Showers and thunderstorms and the potential for severe storms are
expected to end Wednesday evening. Another round of showers and
thunderstorms will then be possible Thursday night into Friday as a
shortwave moves across the central/southern Plains and a cold front
moves across the area.

Models show NW flow will develop aloft over the region next week.
Models also show another front moving across the area early next
week, although there are some differences in timing. Some showers
and thunderstorms could be possible with this boundary.

Temperatures are expected to remain generally below but near the
average mark into this weekend, with the coolest day expected to be
Friday. Warmer temperatures, above average, will then be possible
early next week.

&&

.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 631 PM CDT Tue Apr 21 2020

VFR/MVFR ceilings are expected. A few models show that IFR
ceilings could be possible at a few locations Wednesday morning.
Thunderstorms will be possible off and on later this evening
through Wednesday afternoon. Variable gusty winds and hail could
be possible near/with some of the storms. A front will move across
portions of the area Wednesday causing winds to shift towards the
N and NW.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Oklahoma City OK  61  69  53  78 /  80  80  20   0
Hobart OK         61  73  51  81 /  50  50  10   0
Wichita Falls TX  63  81  54  82 /  40  50   0   0
Gage OK           54  67  47  81 /  90  80   0   0
Ponca City OK     59  65  52  77 /  90  90  30   0
Durant OK         61  75  56  79 /  30  90  20   0

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...None.
TX...None.
&&

SHORT TERM...03
LONG TERM....25
AVIATION...25

Hazardous Weather Outlook...UPDATED
National Weather Service Norman OK
917 PM CDT Tue Apr 21 2020

OKZ004>048-050>052-TXZ083>090-230230-
Harper-Woods-Alfalfa-Grant-Kay-Ellis-Woodward-Major-Garfield-
Noble-Roger Mills-Dewey-Custer-Blaine-Kingfisher-Logan-Payne-
Beckham-Washita-Caddo-Canadian-Oklahoma-Lincoln-Grady-McClain-
Cleveland-Pottawatomie-Seminole-Hughes-Harmon-Greer-Kiowa-Jackson-
Tillman-Comanche-Stephens-Garvin-Murray-Pontotoc-Coal-Cotton-
Jefferson-Carter-Johnston-Atoka-Love-Marshall-Bryan-Hardeman-
Foard-Wilbarger-Wichita-Knox-Baylor-Archer-Clay-
917 PM CDT Tue Apr 21 2020

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of northern...
western...central...and southern Oklahoma...and western north
Texas.

.DAY ONE...Through Tonight...

.Thunderstorms...
Strong to severe thunderstorms are expected to continue this
evening and overnight, especially across western into central
Oklahoma. Large hail up to the size of baseballs is the primary
hazard. Wind gusts of 60 to 70 mph are also possible.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday...

.Thunderstorms...
Thunderstorms will continue to be possible through the day
Wednesday. Some strong to severe thunderstorms, primarily with a
large hail up to the size of golf balls and damaging wind threat,
could occur during the morning hours across any portion of the
area.

By Wednesday afternoon, the severe storm threat will continue to
progress eastward but is not expected to exit the area until
evening. Storm intensity could be higher during the afternoon and
evening hours, especially near and east of I-35 and south of I-44.
The primary threats during the afternoon will continue to be
large hail up to the size of baseballs and damaging winds.
However, there is also a potential for some tornadoes, especially
in areas southeast of a Seminole and Pauls Valley, to Marietta
Oklahoma line. There are some uncertainties with the afternoon
and evening activity due to effects from the storms later tonight
into Wednesday morning so check for the latest information.

Thunderstorms will also be possible Thursday night into Friday.
The chance of severe weather with this activity looks to be low.

Get graphics and more details at weather.gov/norman...and follow
our weather forecast office on Twitter and Facebook.

Mahale

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
940 PM CDT TUE APR 21 2020

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0939 PM     HAIL             4 W SAYRE               35.30N 99.71W
04/21/2020  M1.25 INCH       BECKHAM            OK   EMERGENCY MNGR

&&

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
945 PM CDT TUE APR 21 2020

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0940 PM     HAIL             1 SE SAYRE              35.29N 99.63W
04/21/2020  U1.75 INCH       BECKHAM            OK   PUBLIC

            REPORT FROM MPING.

&&

PW

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
957 PM CDT TUE APR 21 2020

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0949 PM     HAIL             1 N SAYRE               35.31N 99.64W
04/21/2020  M2.75 INCH       BECKHAM            OK   EMERGENCY MNGR

&&

PW

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
958 PM CDT TUE APR 21 2020

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0936 PM     HAIL             DILL CITY               35.28N 99.13W
04/21/2020  M2.50 INCH       WASHITA            OK   PUBLIC

            TWITTER PIC.

&&

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
1006 PM CDT TUE APR 21 2020

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0959 PM     TSTM WND GST     2 WSW BURNS FLAT        35.34N 99.21W
04/21/2020  M59 MPH          WASHITA            OK   ASOS

&&

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
1009 PM CDT TUE APR 21 2020

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1008 PM     HAIL             5 SSW CLOUD CHIEF       35.19N 98.88W
04/21/2020  M1.75 INCH       WASHITA            OK   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&