Severe Thunderstorm Warning 281, NWS Atlanta, GA

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
244 PM EDT Mon Aug 3 2020

.SHORT TERM /Today through Wednesday/...

Showers and thunderstorms, some strong to severe and associated with
a stationary front, instability axis and SW upper level flow ahead
of an upper level trough, are expected to diminish this evening.

The stationary front is expected to dissipate tonight as another
weak cold front approaches and moves into the area Tuesday.
The upper level trough looks to be less dynamic on Tuesday so the
highly diurnal convection should be less strong than today with less
overall coverage and is expected to dissipate Tuesday evening.

Forecast temperatures are expected to be within a few degrees of
normal through Tuesday Night.

BDL

.LONG TERM /Wednesday Night through Sunday/...

As Isaias works its way up the coast the synoptic scale holds a deep
trough through the southeast with an upper level low across the
northern great lakes. We start the long term forecast in the exit
zone of the trough which will reinforce diurnal convective pattern
on Wednesday and Thursday. As the low is lifted north the trough
begins to flatten out and we slowly work our way back toward a near
zonal pattern by the weekend. Afternoon thunderstorms are likely
every day this week as the pattern keeps sufficient moisture all the
way up through the mid layers.

We remain around seasonal in terms of temperatures. With upper 80s
and lower 90s across most of the area. Temperatures begin to edge up
again going into the weekend with widespread low to mid 90s as the
flow breaks down and ridging returns. Heat indices will begin to
climb as well with widespread low 100s across the CWA, although
cooler conditions are expected at higher elevations.

Vaughn

&&

.AVIATION... 18Z Update... Scattered to numerous showers and
thunderstorms this afternoon, diminishing this evening. Mainly VFR
ceilings/conditions outside of thunderstorms. Potential for MVFR
fog developing tonight with Sct IFR/MVFR clouds. Surface winds
mainly light and variable outside of storms.

//ATL Confidence...18Z Update...
Low confidence for wind direction.
Medium confidence for all other elements.

BDL

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Athens          91  67  90  69 /  60  40  10  10
Atlanta         87  68  90  70 /  70  40  20  20
Blairsville     81  62  82  62 / 100  50  30  20
Cartersville    87  66  90  67 /  60  40  20  20
Columbus        95  71  94  71 /  50  30  10   5
Gainesville     81  67  87  68 /  70  50  20  20
Macon           98  71  93  71 /  70  40  20  20
Rome            86  67  90  67 /  50  30  20  20
Peachtree City  87  68  90  69 /  70  40  20  20
Vidalia         96  72  95  74 /  60  20  50  20

&&

.FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

SHORT TERM...BDL
LONG TERM....Vaughn
AVIATION...BDL

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
1149 AM EDT Mon Aug 3 2020

GAZ001>009-011>016-019>025-027-030>039-041>062-066>076-078>086-
089>098-102>113-041600-
Baldwin-Banks-Barrow-Bartow-Bibb-Bleckley-Butts-Carroll-Catoosa-
Chattahoochee-Chattooga-Cherokee-Clarke-Clayton-Cobb-Coweta-
Crawford-Crisp-Dade-Dawson-DeKalb-Dodge-Dooly-Douglas-Emanuel-
Fannin-Fayette-Floyd-Forsyth-Gilmer-Glascock-Gordon-Greene-
Gwinnett-Hall-Hancock-Haralson-Harris-Heard-Henry-Houston-Jackson-
Jasper-Jefferson-Johnson-Jones-Lamar-Laurens-Lumpkin-Macon-
Madison-Marion-Meriwether-Monroe-Montgomery-Morgan-Murray-
Muscogee-Newton-North Fulton-Oconee-Oglethorpe-Paulding-Peach-
Pickens-Pike-Polk-Pulaski-Putnam-Rockdale-Schley-South Fulton-
Spalding-Stewart-Sumter-Talbot-Taliaferro-Taylor-Telfair-Toombs-
Towns-Treutlen-Troup-Twiggs-Union-Upson-Walker-Walton-Warren-
Washington-Webster-Wheeler-White-Whitfield-Wilcox-Wilkes-
Wilkinson-
1149 AM EDT Mon Aug 3 2020

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of North and Central Georgia.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight...

Thunderstorms will be more numerous today across the area with the
threat for a few strong to severe storms this afternoon. Damaging
winds will be the main threat along with severe hail and periods
of heavy rain, possibly leading to localized flooding.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday...

The chance for showers and thunderstorms will exist each day,
mainly during the afternoon and evening hours. No widespread
severe weather is expected however, a few strong to low-end severe
storms will be possible with the main threat being damaging winds.
Locally heavy rain can also be expected in any of the stronger
storms.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not requested but spotters are encouraged
to submit reports of severe weather through the web by going to
weather.gov/atlanta. Please relay any information about observed
severe weather to the NWS while following all local, state, and
CDC guidelines.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
302 PM EDT MON AUG 03 2020

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0122 PM     TSTM WND DMG     2 NNW ADAIRSVILLE       34.40N  84.95W
08/03/2020                   GORDON             GA   TRAINED SPOTTER

            ROOF DAMAGE TO SEVERAL HOMES ALONG BOWDOIN LANE,
            INCLUDING SHINGLES AND INSULATION PULLED OFF

&&

EVENT NUMBER FFC2001012

KMM

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
311 PM EDT Mon Aug 3 2020

GAZ014-015-023-031945-
Hall GA-Dawson GA-Lumpkin GA-
311 PM EDT Mon Aug 3 2020

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHWESTERN HALL...SOUTHEASTERN
DAWSON AND SOUTHEASTERN LUMPKIN COUNTIES UNTIL 345 PM EDT...

At 310 PM EDT...a strong thunderstorm centered near War Hill Park,
or 7 miles southeast of Dawsonville...moving north at 20 mph.

  HAZARD...40 to 50 mph wind...up to penny sized hail...frequent
           cloud to ground lightning and heavy rain.

  IMPACT...Expect minor damage to tree limbs and blowing around of
           light...unsecured objects. Heavy rain may cause temporary
           street flooding especially in poor drainage areas.

Some locations in the path of this storm include
Dahlonega, Dawsonville, Dougherty, Garland, Murrayville and Auraria.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People outdoors should seek shelter immediately. If you can hear
thunder...you are close enough to be struck by lightning. Motorists
should slow down and be prepared for possible loss of control due to
hydroplaning.

LAT...LON 3455 8386 3453 8383 3452 8384 3451 8384
      3433 8392 3434 8398 3434 8417 3443 8414
      3448 8406 3456 8399 3457 8386
TIME...MOT...LOC 1910Z 191DEG 16KT 3436 8400

HAIL...0.75IN
WIND...50MPH

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
315 PM EDT Mon Aug 3 2020

GAZ046-048-031945-
Rockdale GA-Newton GA-
315 PM EDT Mon Aug 3 2020

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHEASTERN ROCKDALE AND NEWTON
COUNTIES UNTIL 345 PM EDT...

At 315 PM EDT...a strong thunderstorm was centered near Almon, or
5 miles west of Covington...moving east at 15 mph.

  HAZARD...40 to 50 mph wind...up to penny sized hail...frequent
           cloud to ground lightning and heavy rain.

  IMPACT...Expect minor damage to tree limbs and blowing around of
           light...unsecured objects. Heavy rain may cause temporary
           street flooding especially in poor drainage areas.

Some locations in the path of this storm include
Conyers, Covington, Social Circle, Oxford, Porterdale, Georgia
International Horse Park, Magnet, Gum Creek, Almon, Brick Store and
Oak Hill.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People outdoors should seek shelter immediately. If you can hear
thunder...you are close enough to be struck by lightning. Motorists
should slow down and be prepared for possible loss of control due to
hydroplaning.

LAT...LON 3365 8376 3364 8372 3362 8369 3361 8370
      3360 8368 3358 8383 3348 8396 3349 8400
      3351 8404 3352 8404 3352 8406 3353 8404
      3354 8405 3373 8392 3374 8390
TIME...MOT...LOC 1915Z 255DEG 13KT 3363 8392

HAIL...0.75IN
WIND...50MPH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
334 PM EDT MON AUG 03 2020

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0240 PM     HAIL             1 NE OSCARVILLE         34.26N  83.96W
08/03/2020  E1.00 INCH       FORSYTH            GA   PUBLIC

            QUARTER-SIZED HAIL REPORTED IN OSCARVILLE ON HWY 369,
            1.25 MILES FROM THE LAKE LANIER BRIDGE.

&&

EVENT NUMBER FFC2001013

KMM

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
335 PM EDT Mon Aug 3 2020

GAZ037-047-049-032000-
Morgan GA-Walton GA-Oconee GA-
335 PM EDT Mon Aug 3 2020

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHWESTERN MORGAN...WALTON AND
NORTHWESTERN OCONEE COUNTIES UNTIL 400 PM EDT...

At 335 PM EDT...a strong thunderstorm was over Monroe...moving east
at 20 mph.

  HAZARD...Up to 40 mph wind...frequent cloud to ground lightning
           and heavy rain.

  IMPACT...Expect minor damage to tree limbs and blowing around of
           light...unsecured objects. Heavy rain may cause temporary
           street flooding especially in poor drainage areas.

Some locations in the path of this storm include
Monroe, Social Circle, Walnut Grove, Bogart, North High Shoals,
Bostwick, Between, Good Hope, Jersey, Ebenezer, Eastville,
Nicholasville, Hard Labor Creek State Park, Pannell, Campton,
Herndonville and Gratis.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People outdoors should seek shelter immediately. If you can hear
thunder...you are close enough to be struck by lightning. Motorists
should slow down and be prepared for possible loss of control due to
hydroplaning.

LAT...LON 3393 8351 3361 8345 3369 8383 3370 8384
      3387 8386 3391 8366 3391 8365 3392 8363
      3394 8352
TIME...MOT...LOC 1935Z 271DEG 19KT 3376 8373

WIND...40MPH

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
339 PM EDT Mon Aug 3 2020

GAZ056>058-070-071-032015-
Butts GA-Lamar GA-Monroe GA-Spalding GA-Henry GA-
339 PM EDT Mon Aug 3 2020

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHWESTERN BUTTS...NORTHERN
LAMAR...NORTHWESTERN MONROE...EASTERN SPALDING AND SOUTHEASTERN HENRY
COUNTIES UNTIL 415 PM EDT...

At 339 PM EDT...a line of strong thunderstorms was along a line
extending from Walker Mill to Liberty Hill to near Meansville...and
moving east at 15 mph.

  HAZARD...40 to 50 mph wind...up to penny sized hail...frequent
           cloud to ground lightning and heavy rain.

  IMPACT...Expect minor damage to tree limbs and blowing around of
           light...unsecured objects. Heavy rain may cause temporary
           street flooding especially in poor drainage areas.

Some locations in the path of these storms include
McDonough, Barnesville, Jackson, Locust Grove, Milner, Jenkinsburg,
Orchard Hill, Aldora, East Griffin, Towalaga, Ola, Goggins, Walker
Mill, McKibben, Chappel Mill, High Falls State Park, Luella, Liberty
Hill and Johnstonville.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People outdoors should seek shelter immediately. If you can hear
thunder...you are close enough to be struck by lightning. Motorists
should slow down and be prepared for possible loss of control due to
hydroplaning.

LAT...LON 3313 8423 3335 8423 3351 8404 3350 8404
      3349 8402 3320 8396 3305 8408 3304 8425
      3310 8425
TIME...MOT...LOC 1939Z 255DEG 14KT 3330 8416 3315 8416 3307 8425

HAIL...0.75IN
WIND...50MPH