Alert archive / Georgia / River Flood Warnings in 2020

River Flood Warning 106, NWS Atlanta, GA

February 7, 2020Newton County, Rockdale County, Georgia

NWS Atlanta, GA issued this river flood warning at Feb 7, 2020, 12:55 AM EST for Newton County, Rockdale County, Georgia. It was in force for 30 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued: Feb 7, 2020, 12:55 AM EST (05:55 UTC)
Expired: Feb 8, 2020, 7:06 AM EST
In force: 30 hr
Issued by: NWS Atlanta, GA
Area: Storm-based polygon
Flood severity: Minor

Counties Newton County, GA, Rockdale County, GA

The radar

The Atlanta radar (KFFC), 68 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 05:53 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The river

Written for the forecast point Big Haynes Creek at Bald Rock Road near Milstead (BHCG1).

Action stage: 9 ft
Minor stage: 12 ft
Moderate stage: 17 ft
Major stage: 22 ft

This gauge today: stage, forecast and historic crests

Stage from the USGS instantaneous record for site 02207448, one reading an hour, from a day before the product to a day after it ended. Flood stages are today's.

The text

As transmitted.

316 
WGUS42 KFFC 070555
FLWFFC
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Flood Warning
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
1255 AM EST Fri Feb 7 2020

...The National Weather Service in Peachtree City has issued a Flood 
Warning for the following rivers in Georgia...

  Big Haynes Creek near Milstead  affecting Newton and Rockdale 
  Counties


.Recent heavy rainfall has caused significant runoff into streams and
rivers which will cause flooding in some areas.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

All persons with interests along the river should monitor the latest
forecasts...and be prepared to take necessary precautions to protect
life and property.

The latest stage data was furnished in cooperation with the United 
States Geological Survey.

&&

GAC217-247-071954-
/O.NEW.KFFC.FL.W.0106.200207T0555Z-000000T0000Z/
/BHCG1.1.ER.200207T0530Z.200207T0530Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1255 AM EST Fri Feb 7 2020

The National Weather Service in Peachtree City has issued a
* Flood Warning for 
  The Big Haynes Creek near Milstead .
* From early this morning until further notice.
* At 12 AM Friday the stage was 11.5 feet...and rising.
* Flood stage is 12.0 feet.
* At 12 feet...Flood stage is reached. Minor flooding begins in the
  woodlands along the creek upstream and downstream from the gage on 
  Bald Rock Road near the Georgia International Horse Park.
  

&&

LAT...LON 3369 8395 3369 8388 3363 8390 3365 8393 3367 8395


$$

5 follow-up statements

451 
WGUS82 KFFC 071122
FLSFFC
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
622 AM EST Fri Feb 7 2020

...The Flood Warning is cancelled for the following rivers in 
Georgia...
 
  Little Haynes Creek near Milstead affecting Newton and Rockdale 
  Counties

 
...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Georgia...
 
  Yellow River near East Lithonia affecting De Kalb and Rockdale 
  Counties 

  Yellow River near Conyers below Milstead affecting Newton and 
  Rockdale Counties 

  Tallapoosa River near Tallapoosa affecting Haralson County 

  Big Haynes Creek near Milstead  affecting Newton and Rockdale 
  Counties 


GAC143-080121-
/O.CON.KFFC.FL.W.0075.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/TLAG1.3.ER.200206T1935Z.200207T0300Z.000000T0000Z.NR/
622 AM EST Fri Feb 7 2020

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Tallapoosa River near Tallapoosa.
* Until further notice.
* At 6 AM Friday the stage was 19.2 feet...and falling.
* Minor flooding is occurring and forecast.
* Flood stage is 16 feet.
* At 20 feet...Minor flooding expands further into the woodlands 
  and fields along the river upstream and downstream from the gage on
  U.S. Highway 78. The flood waters will be up to 4 feet deep in some
  locations.
  

&&

LAT...LON 3386 8528 3384 8521 3377 8525 3371 8535
      3377 8536 3381 8531             

$$

GAC089-247-072100-
/O.EXT.KFFC.FL.W.0068.000000T0000Z-200207T2100Z/
/YLOG1.1.ER.200206T1919Z.200207T0115Z.200207T1500Z.UU/
622 AM EST Fri Feb 7 2020

...Flood Warning extended until this afternoon...

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Yellow River near East Lithonia.
* Until this afternoon.
* At 6 AM Friday the stage was 13.9 feet...and falling.
* Minor flooding is occurring and forecast.
* Flood stage is 13 feet.
* The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by late this 
  morning.
  

&&

LAT...LON 3377 8409 3377 8402 3372 8399 3367 8403


$$

GAC217-247-080121-
/O.EXT.KFFC.FL.W.0076.000000T0000Z-200208T1427Z/
/MYRG1.1.ER.200207T0113Z.200207T1800Z.200208T0827Z.UU/
622 AM EST Fri Feb 7 2020

...Flood Warning extended until Saturday morning...
The Flood Warning continues for
  The Yellow River near Conyers below Milstead.
* Until Saturday morning.
* At 6 AM Friday the stage was 13.4 feet...and falling.
* Minor flooding is occurring and forecast.
* Flood stage is 11 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 13.8 feet by this afternoon.
  The river will fall below flood stage early tomorrow.
  

&&

LAT...LON 3366 8399 3371 8395 3359 8387 3356 8393


$$

GAC217-247-071152-
/O.CAN.KFFC.FL.W.0089.000000T0000Z-200207T1122Z/
/MLHG1.1.ER.200206T2150Z.200207T0315Z.200207T0803Z.UU/
622 AM EST Fri Feb 7 2020

The Flood Warning is cancelled for
  The Little Haynes Creek near Milstead.
* At 545 AM Friday the stage was 9.2 feet...and falling.
* Flood stage is 10 feet.
* The creek will continue to fall.  

&&

LAT...LON 3379 8395 3379 8387 3368 8390 3372 8393


$$

GAC217-247-080121-
/O.CON.KFFC.FL.W.0106.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/BHCG1.1.ER.200207T0530Z.200207T1100Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
622 AM EST Fri Feb 7 2020

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Big Haynes Creek near Milstead .
* Until further notice.
* At 6 AM Friday the stage was 13.6 feet...and rising.
* Minor flooding is occurring and forecast.
* Flood stage is 12 feet.
* At 14 feet...Minor flooding continues in the woodlands along the 
  creek upstream and downstream from the gage on Bald Rock Road near 
  the Georgia International Horse Park. Low lying portions of 
  residential backyards on Highlands Forest Lane...Highlands Creek 
  Way and Highlands Ridge Lane begin to flood.
  

&&

LAT...LON 3369 8395 3369 8388 3363 8390 3365 8393 3367 8395


$$

031 
WGUS82 KFFC 071532
FLSFFC
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
1032 AM EST Fri Feb 7 2020

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Georgia...
 
  Yellow River near East Lithonia affecting De Kalb and Rockdale 
  Counties 

  Yellow River near Conyers below Milstead affecting Newton and 
  Rockdale Counties 

 
...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Georgia...
  South River near Snapping Shoals affecting Butts...Henry and 
  Newton Counties 

  Big Haynes Creek near Milstead  affecting Newton and Rockdale 
  Counties 


GAC035-151-217-080531-
/O.CON.KFFC.FL.W.0110.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/SPGG1.1.ER.200207T1141Z.200207T1430Z.000000T0000Z.UU/
1032 AM EST Fri Feb 7 2020

The Flood Warning continues for
  The South River near Snapping Shoals.
* Until further notice.
* At 10 AM Friday the stage was 12.2 feet...and rising.
* Minor flooding will continue.
* Flood stage is 12.0 feet.
* At 12 feet...Flood stage is reached. Minor flooding begins in the
  woodlands and fields along the river upstream and downstream from 
  the gage on Georgia Highway 81. Much further downstream...portions 
  of Lucy Lane and Lunsford Road in north Butts County begin to 
  flood.


&&

LAT...LON 3353 8410 3357 8404 3350 8392 3341 8388
      3339 8393 3346 8398             

$$

GAC089-247-080400-
/O.EXT.KFFC.FL.W.0068.000000T0000Z-200208T0400Z/
/YLOG1.1.ER.200206T1919Z.200207T0115Z.200207T2200Z.UU/
1032 AM EST Fri Feb 7 2020

...Flood Warning extended until this evening...The Flood Warning 
continues for
  The Yellow River near East Lithonia.
* Until this evening.
* At 10 AM Friday the stage was 13.9 feet...and steady.
* Minor flooding will continue.
* Flood stage is 13 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 14 feet by this afternoon.
  The river will fall below flood stage late this afternoon.
* At 15 feet...Minor flooding continues and expands further into 
  the woodlands and fields near the river upstream and downstream 
  from the gage on Pleasant Hill Road. In Dekalb County...some 
  flooding of backyards of homes begin on Harmony Hills Drive and 
  Court. Johnson Creek flowing under Union Grove Road into the river 
  begins to back up.


&&

LAT...LON 3377 8409 3377 8402 3372 8399 3367 8403


$$

GAC217-247-080531-
/O.EXT.KFFC.FL.W.0076.000000T0000Z-200208T2000Z/
/MYRG1.1.ER.200207T0113Z.200207T1800Z.200208T1400Z.UU/
1032 AM EST Fri Feb 7 2020

...Flood Warning extended until Saturday afternoon...The Flood 
Warning continues for
  The Yellow River near Conyers below Milstead.
* Until Saturday afternoon.
* At 10 AM Friday the stage was 13.6 feet...and steady.
* Minor flooding will continue.
* Flood stage is 11 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 13.8 feet by this afternoon.
  The river will fall below flood stage late Saturday morning.
* At 13 feet...Minor flooding continues to expand into the 
  woodlands...fields and pasture along the river upstream and 
  downstream from the gage on Gees Mill Road in Rockdale County. Most
  of Sockwell Road by the river in Newton County will be flooded with
  up to 4 feet of water. Minor flooding also occurs in Newton County 
  in the Riverside Estates Travel and Trailer Park. Any trailers near
  the river may need to be moved to higher ground. A playground by 
  the river will begin to flood.


&&

LAT...LON 3366 8399 3371 8395 3359 8387 3356 8393


$$

GAC217-247-080531-
/O.CON.KFFC.FL.W.0106.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/BHCG1.1.ER.200207T0530Z.200207T1515Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1032 AM EST Fri Feb 7 2020

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Big Haynes Creek near Milstead .
* Until further notice.
* At 10 AM Friday the stage was 14.2 feet...and steady.
* Minor flooding will continue.
* Flood stage is 12 feet.
* At 14 feet...Minor flooding continues in the woodlands along the 
  creek upstream and downstream from the gage on Bald Rock Road near 
  the Georgia International Horse Park. Low lying portions of 
  residential backyards on Highlands Forest Lane...Highlands Creek 
  Way and Highlands Ridge Lane begin to flood.


&&

LAT...LON 3369 8395 3369 8388 3363 8390 3365 8393 3367 8395


$$

535 
WGUS82 KFFC 072010
FLSFFC
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
310 PM EST Fri Feb 7 2020

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Georgia...
 
  Yellow River near East Lithonia affecting De Kalb and Rockdale 
  Counties 

 
...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Georgia...
  South River near Snapping Shoals affecting Butts...Henry and 
  Newton Counties 

  Yellow River near Conyers below Milstead affecting Newton and 
  Rockdale Counties 

  Big Haynes Creek near Milstead  affecting Newton and Rockdale 
  Counties 


GAC035-151-217-081009-
/O.CON.KFFC.FL.W.0110.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/SPGG1.1.ER.200207T1141Z.200207T1530Z.000000T0000Z.UU/
310 PM EST Fri Feb 7 2020

The Flood Warning continues for
  The South River near Snapping Shoals.
* Until further notice.
* At 2 PM Friday the stage was 12.6 feet...and steady.
* Minor flooding will continue.
* Flood stage is 12 feet.
* At 12 feet...Flood stage is reached. Minor flooding begins in the
  woodlands and fields along the river upstream and downstream from 
  the gage on Georgia Highway 81. Much further downstream...portions 
  of Lucy Lane and Lunsford Road in north Butts County begin to 
  flood.


&&

LAT...LON 3353 8410 3357 8404 3350 8392 3341 8388
      3339 8393 3346 8398             

$$

GAC089-247-080402-
/O.EXT.KFFC.FL.W.0068.000000T0000Z-200208T0402Z/
/YLOG1.1.ER.200206T1919Z.200207T0115Z.200207T2202Z.UU/
310 PM EST Fri Feb 7 2020

...Flood Warning extended until this evening...The Flood Warning 
continues for
  The Yellow River near East Lithonia.
* Until this evening.
* At 2 PM Friday the stage was 13.6 feet...and falling.
* Minor flooding will continue.
* Flood stage is 13 feet.
* The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by late this 
  afternoon.
* At 13 feet...Flood stage is reached. Minor flooding will occur in
  portions of the woodlands and fields near the river upstream and 
  downstream from the gage on Pleasant Hill Road.


&&

LAT...LON 3377 8409 3377 8402 3372 8399 3367 8403


$$

GAC217-247-081009-
/O.CON.KFFC.FL.W.0076.000000T0000Z-200208T2000Z/
/MYRG1.1.ER.200207T0113Z.200207T1545Z.200208T1400Z.UU/
310 PM EST Fri Feb 7 2020

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Yellow River near Conyers below Milstead.
* Until Saturday afternoon.
* At 2 PM Friday the stage was 13.6 feet...and falling slowly.
* Minor flooding will continue.
* Flood stage is 11 feet.
* At 13 feet...Minor flooding continues to expand into the 
  woodlands...fields and pasture along the river upstream and 
  downstream from the gage on Gees Mill Road in Rockdale County. Most
  of Sockwell Road by the river in Newton County will be flooded with
  up to 4 feet of water. Minor flooding also occurs in Newton County 
  in the Riverside Estates Travel and Trailer Park. Any trailers near
  the river may need to be moved to higher ground. A playground by 
  the river will begin to flood.


&&

LAT...LON 3366 8399 3371 8395 3359 8387 3356 8393


$$

GAC217-247-081009-
/O.CON.KFFC.FL.W.0106.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/BHCG1.1.ER.200207T0530Z.200207T1615Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
310 PM EST Fri Feb 7 2020

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Big Haynes Creek near Milstead .
* Until further notice.
* At 2 PM Friday the stage was 14.0 feet...and falling.
* Minor flooding will continue.
* Flood stage is 12 feet.
* At 14 feet...Minor flooding continues in the woodlands along the 
  creek upstream and downstream from the gage on Bald Rock Road near 
  the Georgia International Horse Park. Low lying portions of 
  residential backyards on Highlands Forest Lane...Highlands Creek 
  Way and Highlands Ridge Lane begin to flood.


&&

LAT...LON 3369 8395 3369 8388 3363 8390 3365 8393 3367 8395


$$

976 
WGUS82 KFFC 080212
FLSFFC
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
912 PM EST Fri Feb 7 2020

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Georgia...
 
  Little River near Eatonton affecting Putnam County 

  Middle Oconee River near Arcade affecting Barrow and Jackson 
  Counties 

 
...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Georgia...
  Alcovy River near High Point affecting Newton County 

  Big Haynes Creek near Milstead  affecting Newton and Rockdale 
  Counties 

  Yellow River near Rocky Plains affecting Newton County 

  Echeconnee Creek near Byron affecting Bibb...Crawford...Houston 
  and Peach Counties 

  Little River near Washington affecting Taliaferro and Wilkes 
  Counties 


GAC021-079-153-225-081611-
/O.CON.KFFC.FL.W.0116.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/BYNG1.1.ER.200207T1522Z.200208T0145Z.000000T0000Z.UU/
912 PM EST Fri Feb 7 2020

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Echeconnee Creek near Byron.
* Until further notice.
* At 8 PM Friday the stage was 15.8 feet...and rising.
* Minor flooding is occurring.
* Flood stage is 15 feet.
* At 15 feet...Flood stage is reached. Minor flooding of woodlands 
  occurs upstream and downstream from the gage on Houston Road. 
  Portions of creek access roads and low lying areas will begin to 
  flood.
  

&&

LAT...LON 3280 8391 3284 8386 3274 8374 3269 8358
      3263 8355 3269 8379             

$$

GAC265-317-081611-
/O.CON.KFFC.FL.W.0102.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/WTNG1.2.ER.200207T0224Z.200207T1700Z.000000T0000Z.NR/
912 PM EST Fri Feb 7 2020

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Little River near Washington.
* Until further notice.
* At 8 PM Friday the stage was 25.5 feet...and falling.
* Moderate flooding is occurring.
* Flood stage is 19 feet.
* At 25 feet...Moderate flooding occurs in the woodlands and fields
  along the river upstream and downstream from the gage at Lundberg 
  Road. 
  

&&

LAT...LON 3363 8283 3368 8280 3364 8270 3367 8260
      3361 8258 3358 8272             

$$

GAC217-081611-
/O.CON.KFFC.FL.W.0122.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/HPTG1.1.ER.200207T2140Z.200208T0145Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
912 PM EST Fri Feb 7 2020

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Alcovy River near High Point.
* Until further notice.
* At 08PM Friday the stage was 11.4 feet...and rising.
* Minor flooding is occurring.
* Flood stage is 11 feet.
* At 11 feet...Flood Stage is reached. Minor flooding begins of 
  woodlands and fields near the river upstream and downstream from 
  the gage on Henderson Mill Road. The water level reaches the first 
  wooden step behind an elevated private residence just upstream and 
  on the left bank from the bridge.
  

&&

LAT...LON 3361 8384 3358 8378 3344 8381 3344 8386


$$

GAC217-247-081611-
/O.CON.KFFC.FL.W.0106.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/BHCG1.1.ER.200207T0530Z.200207T1615Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
912 PM EST Fri Feb 7 2020

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Big Haynes Creek near Milstead .
* Until further notice.
* At 08PM Friday the stage was 13.4 feet...and falling.
* Minor flooding is occurring.
* Flood stage is 12 feet.
* At 12 feet...Flood stage is reached. Minor flooding begins in 
  the woodlands along the creek upstream and downstream from the
  gage on Bald Rock Road near the Georgia International Horse Park.
  

&&

LAT...LON 3369 8395 3369 8388 3363 8390 3365 8393 3367 8395


$$

GAC217-081611-
/O.CON.KFFC.FL.W.0124.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/RKYG1.1.ER.200207T2328Z.200207T2332Z.000000T0000Z.UU/
912 PM EST Fri Feb 7 2020

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Yellow River near Rocky Plains.
* Until further notice.
* At 08PM Friday the stage was 18.1 feet...and rising.
* Minor flooding is occurring.
* Flood stage is 18 feet.
* At 18 feet...Flood Stage is reached. Minor flooding begins of 
  woodlands and fields near the river upstream and downstream from 
  the gage on the Rocky Plains Road bridge.
  

&&

LAT...LON 3356 8393 3359 8387 3341 8385 3341 8390


$$

GAC237-081023-
/O.EXT.KFFC.FL.W.0113.000000T0000Z-200208T1023Z/
/EANG1.1.ER.200207T1340Z.200208T0000Z.200208T0423Z.NO/
912 PM EST Fri Feb 7 2020

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Little River near Eatonton.
* Until late tonight.
* At 8 PM Friday the stage was 22.7 feet...and falling.
* Minor flooding is occurring and is forecast to continue.
* Flood stage is 20 feet.
* The river will continue to fall to below flood stage tonight.
* At 22 feet...Minor flooding continues to expand into the 
  woodlands and fields along the river of the Oconee National Forest 
  upstream and downstream from the gage on Georgia Highway 16 or 
  Monticello Road.
  

&&

LAT...LON 3340 8356 3343 8350 3333 8340 3325 8337
      3323 8344 3331 8347             

$$

GAC013-157-081554-
/O.EXT.KFFC.FL.W.0080.000000T0000Z-200208T1554Z/
/ACDG1.2.ER.200206T2206Z.200207T1530Z.200208T0954Z.NO/
912 PM EST Fri Feb 7 2020

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Middle Oconee River near Arcade.
* Until Saturday morning.
* At 08PM Friday the stage was 20.8 feet...and falling.
* Minor flooding is occurring and is forecast to continue.
* Flood stage is 16 feet.
* The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by Saturday
  morning.
* At 21 feet...Moderate flooding begins. Significant flooding 
  occurs in the woodlands...fields and pasture upstream and 
  downstream from the gage at Georgia Highway 82. A residential yard 
  will be completely flooded with the water reaching the foundation 
  of a house just downstream. The flood waters will be reaching 
  Bismarck Circle Road upstream from the gage.
  

&&

LAT...LON 3404 8377 3410 8375 3406 8355 3400 8347
      3395 8352 3402 8363             

$$

944 
WGUS82 KFFC 081206
FLSFFC
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
706 AM EST Sat Feb 8 2020

...The Flood Warning is cancelled for the following rivers in 
Georgia...
 
  Big Haynes Creek near Milstead  affecting Newton and Rockdale 
  Counties

 
GAC217-247-081236-
/O.CAN.KFFC.FL.W.0106.000000T0000Z-200208T1206Z/
/BHCG1.1.ER.200207T0530Z.200207T1615Z.200208T1055Z.NO/
706 AM EST Sat Feb 8 2020

The Flood Warning is cancelled for
  The Big Haynes Creek near Milstead .
* This takes effect immediately.
* At 6 AM Saturday the stage was 11.9 feet...and falling.
* Flood stage is 12 feet.
* The creek will continue to fall.


&&

LAT...LON 3369 8395 3369 8388 3363 8390 3365 8393 3367 8395


$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this river flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Atlanta, GA wrote its last area forecast discussion before this river flood warning went out at Feb 7, 12:04 AM EST, 51 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Feb 7, 12:04 AM EST, 51 minutes before

Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
1204 AM EST Fri Feb 7 2020

.UPDATE FOR AVIATION...

PREV DISCUSSION... /Issued 1005 PM EST Thu Feb 6 2020/

UPDATE...

Mainly tweaks to temperatures and pops in the evening and
overnight hours as a line of strong to severe thunderstorms
crossed through the area and temperatures start to decrease. All
of the convection has exited the area, prompting the Tornado Watch
to be cancelled. Behind the storms, we are left with pockets of
showers and drizzle across the area. With the overall threat for
flash flooding ending, the Flash Flood Watch will likely be
cancelled soon. Although some ongoing flooding may continue due to
heavy runoff from the earlier heavy rainfall, the main threat
will continue to be river flooding as the rain drains into the
creeks and rivers. Rain showers are still expected to continue on
and off in the overnight hours before mostly clearing out early
tomorrow. The potential still remains for some of the showers
overnight to transition to a rain/snow mix across northern Georgia
and snow across far northern Georgia, mainly in the highest
elevations. Accumulations are still possible across the higher
elevations with amounts around a trace up to half an inch
possible, with some locally higher amounts around an inch
possible. An SPS has been issued across the northern counties to
address the potential wintry weather.

Reaves

&&

SHORT TERM /Tonight through Friday Night/...

The line of showers and thunderstorms that have brought a round of
severe weather and torrential flooding rainfall. The severe threat
looks to exit the forecast area by 8 PM tonight with the
expiration of the ongoing Tornado Watch. However, ongoing flooding
issues may continue with heavy runoff and another half inch of
rain expected behind the main line of storms. A Flash Flood Watch
will continue through Friday morning with several reports of
severe flooding ongoing in north Georgia.

As heavy rain filters out and isolated light showers move into
the area behind them the colder air moving in behind the front
will lead to possible snow showers and flurries across north
Georgia Friday morning. Accumulations around an inch may be
possible on western slopes in the Georgia Blue Ridge mountains.
Further flurries may continue on Saturday morning as well with
another brief round of lighter rainfall.

Thiem

LONG TERM /Saturday through Thursday/...

Given ongoing severe weather today only tweeks were made to the
extended forecast. The previous discussion follows...

PREV DISCUSSION... /Issued 416 AM EST Thu Feb 6 2020/

The first portion of the long term will be the rare dry period but
as has been the case, this will not last for long. A secondary
shortwave will drop through the midwest and eventually the
Mississippi Valley Sat morning with surface reflection passing
well north of the area. GFS continues to be most aggressive with
this feature and the associated moisture although the ECMWF has
trended slightly wetter as well. Still going to use a blend which
yields likely pops over the far NE zones through Sat afternoon.
Timing will be critical as we could see enough cold air lock in to
allow for a rain and snow mix over mountains primarily. ECMWF
indicates greater snow potential over a larger area than the GFS
but will lean toward the lower amounts which agrees with WPC. This
would yield a dusting to maybe two tenths of an inch over the
northeast mountains.

Another brief dry period for Sunday before next system moves in
quickly Monday into Tuesday and if you believe the ECMWF which
stalls the frontal boundary further north. Regardless, another
period of decent rainfall of over and inch. Not as impressive as
the current system but with ongoing flooding likely, this will
only exacerbate the problem. Although instability will be quite
minimal, did add a period of thunder for Tuesday afternoon as the
activity transitions into Central GA.

Depending on which long term solution verifies, we could see a
break on Wednesday but just as likely that front hangs around and
provides the focus for additional activity. Frontal boundary will
move through on Thu with good agreement this far out. An
additional inch of rain is likely with this system and possibly
quite a bit more in the far extended as models show front stalling
and additional waves impacting the area.

Deese

&&

.AVIATION...
06Z Update...
A mixed bag of IFR/MVFR ceilings will improve through the
day to VFR. Lingering light RA/DZ will end during the early
morning and through the day with some potential for a rain/snow
mix over the northern counties before ending. Surface winds WNW
increasing to 12-18 kts with gusts 25-30 kts, diminishing
late day/early evening.

//ATL Confidence...06Z Update...
Low to medium confidence on Ceilings.
Medium to high confidence for all other elements.

BDL

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Athens          71  39  46  32 / 100  80  10  10
Atlanta         72  37  44  33 / 100  60  20  20
Blairsville     61  31  38  28 / 100  60  50  20
Cartersville    65  35  43  31 / 100  40  30  20
Columbus        75  39  49  36 / 100  50  20  20
Gainesville     63  36  43  32 / 100  80  20  20
Macon           77  41  50  34 / 100  90  10  10
Rome            63  35  43  32 / 100  40  30  20
Peachtree City  74  37  47  32 / 100  60  20  20
Vidalia         79  46  52  36 / 100 100   5   5

&&

.FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

AVIATION...BDL

Hazardous weather outlook, Feb 6, 10:44 PM EST, 2 hours 11 minutes before

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
1044 PM EST Thu Feb 6 2020

GAZ001>009-011>016-019>025-027-030>039-041>062-066>076-078>086-
089>098-102>113-080345-
Baldwin-Banks-Barrow-Bartow-Bibb-Bleckley-Butts-Carroll-Catoosa-
Chattahoochee-Chattooga-Cherokee-Clarke-Clayton-Cobb-Coweta-
Crawford-Crisp-Dade-Dawson-DeKalb-Dodge-Dooly-Douglas-Emanuel-
Fannin-Fayette-Floyd-Forsyth-Gilmer-Glascock-Gordon-Greene-
Gwinnett-Hall-Hancock-Haralson-Harris-Heard-Henry-Houston-Jackson-
Jasper-Jefferson-Johnson-Jones-Lamar-Laurens-Lumpkin-Macon-
Madison-Marion-Meriwether-Monroe-Montgomery-Morgan-Murray-
Muscogee-Newton-North Fulton-Oconee-Oglethorpe-Paulding-Peach-
Pickens-Pike-Polk-Pulaski-Putnam-Rockdale-Schley-South Fulton-
Spalding-Stewart-Sumter-Talbot-Taliaferro-Taylor-Telfair-Toombs-
Towns-Treutlen-Troup-Twiggs-Union-Upson-Walker-Walton-Warren-
Washington-Webster-Wheeler-White-Whitfield-Wilcox-Wilkes-
Wilkinson-
1044 PM EST Thu Feb 6 2020

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of North and Central Georgia.

.DAY ONE...Tonight...

Although the heaviest rain has ended across the area, flooding
will continue well after the rain has ended in urban areas, low-
lying areas, and small creeks and streams and many rivers are
already in flood. Please do not attempt to drive through flooded
roadways; Turn Around, Don't Drown!

A light rain and snow mix will be possible across far north
Georgia early Friday morning, mainly in the higher terrain. In
the higher elevations, accumulations of a trace up to a 1/2 inch
of snow will be possible, with locally higher amounts around an
inch across the highest ridgetops. For more information please
refer to our Special Weather Statement.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday...

Light rain and snow mix will be possible across far north Georgia
on Saturday morning, mainly in the higher terrain. A dusting to
less than a half an inch will be possible for the Saturday system
across the Northeast mountains.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotters are encouraged to submit reports of severe weather
through the web by going to weather.gov/atlanta.

In the hours before

Local storm report, Feb 6, 8:18 PM EST, 4 hours 37 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
818 PM EST THU FEB 06 2020

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0458 PM     TSTM WND DMG     3 N JACKSONVILLE        31.86N  82.97W
02/06/2020                   TELFAIR            GA   AMATEUR RADIO

            POWER LINES REPORTED ACROSS THE ROAD AT THE
            INTERSECTION OF ST PAULS CHURCH RD AND HWY 441.

&&

EVENT NUMBER FFC2000151

KING

Local storm report, Feb 6, 8:30 PM EST, 4 hours 25 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
830 PM EST THU FEB 06 2020

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0157 PM     TSTM WND DMG     2 NNE PAYNE CITY        32.88N  83.68W
02/06/2020                   BIBB               GA   EMERGENCY MNGR

            TREE REPORTED DOWN AT ON CRESTLINE DRIVE NEAR ROSA
            TAYLOR PLACE.

&&

EVENT NUMBER FFC2000152

KING

Local storm report, Feb 6, 8:48 PM EST, 4 hours 7 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
848 PM EST THU FEB 06 2020

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1244 PM     TSTM WND DMG     1 W PRATTSBURG          32.71N  84.38W
02/06/2020                   TALBOT             GA   EMERGENCY MNGR

            LARGE TREE DOWN NEAR WHERE POTTERS CREEK INTERSECTS HWY
            208.

&&

EVENT NUMBER FFC2000153

LUSK

Local storm report, Feb 6, 9:38 PM EST, 3 hours 17 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
938 PM EST THU FEB 06 2020

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1250 PM     TSTM WND DMG     2 ENE MILNER            33.12N  84.17W
02/06/2020                   LAMAR              GA   EMERGENCY MNGR

            15+ TREES REPORTED DOWN ACROSS BUTTS COUNTY.

&&

EVENT NUMBER FFC2000154

LUSK

Local storm report, Feb 6, 10:14 PM EST, 2 hours 41 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
1014 PM EST THU FEB 06 2020

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1010 AM     TSTM WND DMG     2 SW LAWRENCEVILLE      33.94N  84.01W
02/06/2020                   GWINNETT           GA   EMERGENCY MNGR

            TREE DOWN NEAR THE INTERSECTION OF CAMDEN HILL ROAD AND
            LAWRENCEVILLE HWY

&&

EVENT NUMBER FFC2000155

LUSK

Local storm report, Feb 6, 10:16 PM EST, 2 hours 39 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
1016 PM EST THU FEB 06 2020

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1022 AM     TSTM WND DMG     2 SE SNELLVILLE         33.84N  84.00W
02/06/2020                   GWINNETT           GA   EMERGENCY MNGR

            POWERLINES DOWN NEAR THE INTERSECTION OF ELIZABETH LANE
            AND SPRINGDALE DR. NEAR SNELLVILLE

&&

EVENT NUMBER FFC2000156

LUSK

The office that day

Everything else NWS Atlanta, GA issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Feb 6, 7:00 PM EST	River Flood Warning	FFC	Dooly	32 hr
Feb 6, 7:16 PM EST	Special Weather Statement	FFC	Toombs	29 min
Feb 6, 7:25 PM EST	River Flood Warning	FFC	Bibb, Houston, Jones, Monroe, Twiggs	9 days
Feb 6, 7:47 PM EST	Special Weather Statement	FFC	Toombs	28 min
Feb 6, 9:11 PM EST	River Flood Warning	FFC	Baldwin, Washington, Wilkinson	62 hr
Feb 6, 10:21 PM EST	River Flood Warning	FFC	Taliaferro, Wilkes	48 hr
Feb 6, 11:10 PM EST	River Flood Warning	FFC	Floyd	17 days
Feb 6, 11:26 PM EST	River Flood Warning	FFC	Troup	21 days
Feb 6, 11:58 PM EST	River Flood Warning	FFC	Coweta, Fayette, Spalding	20 hr
Feb 7, 1:15 AM EST	River Flood Warning	FFC	Cobb, Paulding	14 hr
Feb 7, 6:01 AM EST	River Flood Warning	FFC	Monroe	18 hr
Feb 7, 8:24 AM EST	River Flood Warning	FFC	Washington, Wilkinson	3 days
Feb 7, 8:24 AM EST	River Flood Warning	FFC	Butts, Henry, Newton	13 hr
Feb 7, 8:27 AM EST	River Flood Warning	FFC	Cherokee, Forsyth	2 hr
Feb 7, 8:34 AM EST	River Flood Warning	FFC	Troup	9 hr
Feb 7, 8:49 AM EST	River Flood Warning	FFC	Putnam	21 hr
Feb 7, 9:43 AM EST	River Flood Warning	FFC	Floyd	22 days
Feb 7, 11:01 AM EST	River Flood Warning	FFC	Pulaski	35 hr
Feb 7, 11:02 AM EST	River Flood Warning	FFC	Bibb, Crawford, Houston, Peach	26 hr
Feb 7, 11:07 AM EST	River Flood Warning	FFC	Jefferson, Washington	11 hr
Feb 7, 11:35 AM EST	River Flood Warning	FFC	Fulton	18 hr
Feb 7, 12:16 PM EST	River Flood Warning	FFC	Gordon, Murray, Whitfield	71 hr
Feb 7, 3:31 PM EST	River Flood Warning	FFC	Jones, Monroe	8 hr
Feb 7, 3:47 PM EST	Winter Weather Advisory	FFC	Banks, Barrow, Bartow, Catoosa, Chattooga, Cherokee and 28 more	28 hr
Feb 7, 4:03 PM EST	River Flood Warning	FFC	Newton, Walton	19 hr
Feb 7, 5:10 PM EST	River Flood Warning	FFC	Newton	52 hr
Feb 7, 5:34 PM EST	River Flood Warning	FFC	Chattahoochee, Muscogee	15 hr
Feb 7, 6:46 PM EST	River Flood Warning	FFC	Newton	21 days

Nearby

River Flood Warnings in Georgia, 2020 Every river flood warning in 2020

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive; the gauge from the NWS water service and the USGS.