Alert archive / Georgia / River Flood Warnings in 2020

River Flood Warning 105, NWS Atlanta, GA

February 6, 2020Coweta County, Fayette County, Spalding County, Georgia

NWS Atlanta, GA issued this river flood warning at Feb 6, 2020, 11:58 PM EST for Coweta County, Fayette County, Spalding County, Georgia. It was in force for 20 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Feb 6, 2020, 11:58 PM EST (04:58 UTC)
Expired
Feb 7, 2020, 7:34 PM EST
In force
20 hr
Issued by
NWS Atlanta, GA
Area
Storm-based polygon
Flood severity
Minor

Counties Coweta County, GA, Fayette County, GA, Spalding County, GA

The radar

The Atlanta radar (KFFC), 6 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 04:58 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The river

Written for the forecast point Line Creek at Highway 85 near Senoia (LING1). The gauge peaked at 10.97 ft at Feb 7, 2020, 9:00 AM EST.

actionminormoderate5101502/0702/0802/09
Action stage
8 ft
Minor stage
10 ft
Moderate stage
15 ft
Major stage
20 ft

This gauge today: stage, forecast and historic crests

Stage from the USGS instantaneous record for site 02344700, one reading an hour, from a day before the product to a day after it ended. Flood stages are today's.

The text

As transmitted.

420 
WGUS42 KFFC 070459
FLWFFC
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Flood Warning
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
1158 PM EST Thu Feb 6 2020

...The National Weather Service in Peachtree City has issued a Flood 
Warning for the following rivers in Georgia...

  Line Creek near Senoia affecting Coweta...Fayette and Spalding 
  Counties


.Recent heavy rainfall has caused significant runoff into streams and
rivers which will cause flooding in some areas.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

All persons with interests along the river should monitor the latest
forecasts...and be prepared to take necessary precautions to protect
life and property.

The latest stage data was furnished in cooperation with the United 
States Geological Survey.

&&

GAC077-113-255-071858-
/O.NEW.KFFC.FL.W.0105.200207T0458Z-000000T0000Z/
/LING1.1.ER.200207T0431Z.200207T0431Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1158 PM EST Thu Feb 6 2020

The National Weather Service in Peachtree City has issued a
* Flood Warning for 
  The Line Creek near Senoia.
* From this evening until further notice.
* At 11PM Thursday the stage was 9.73 feet...and 
  rising.
* Flood stage is 10 feet.
* At 10 feet...Minor flooding of the natural flood plain begins 
  which primarily affects agricultural and wooded areas. A small dirt
  utility access road near the Georgia Highway 85 bridge goes 
  underwater.
  

&&

LAT...LON 3332 8456 3335 8451 3330 8448 3328 8455


$$
4 follow-up statements
654 
WGUS82 KFFC 071016
FLSFFC
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
516 AM EST Fri Feb 7 2020

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Georgia...
 
  Suwanee Creek near Suwanee affecting Gwinnett County 

  Sweetwater Creek near Austell affecting Cobb and Douglas Counties 

  Flint River near Lovejoy affecting Clayton...Fayette and Spalding 
  Counties 

  Flint River near Griffin Hwy. 16 affecting Fayette and Spalding 
  Counties 

  Flint River near Molena affecting Meriwether and Pike Counties 

  Line Creek near Senoia affecting Coweta...Fayette and Spalding 
  Counties 

  Flint River near Carsonville Hwy. 19 affecting Crawford...
  Talbot...Taylor and Upson Counties 

  Turkey Creek near Byromville affecting Dooly County 


GAC135-080016-
/O.EXT.KFFC.FL.W.0058.000000T0000Z-200208T0316Z/
/SWEG1.1.ER.200206T2118Z.200207T0615Z.200207T2116Z.NO/
516 AM EST Fri Feb 7 2020

...Flood Warning extended until this evening...

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Suwanee Creek near Suwanee.
* Until this evening.
* At 415 AM Friday the stage was 9.4 feet...and falling.
* Minor flooding is occurring and forecast.
* Flood stage is 8 feet.
* The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by late this 
  afternoon.

&&

LAT...LON 3412 8403 3410 8396 3403 8398 3401 8413
      3403 8412 3406 8409             

$$

GAC067-097-080016-
/O.EXT.KFFC.FL.W.0079.000000T0000Z-200208T0750Z/
/AUSG1.1.ER.200207T0900Z.200207T1800Z.200208T0150Z.NO/
516 AM EST Fri Feb 7 2020

...Flood Warning extended until late tonight...

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Sweetwater Creek near Austell.
* Until late tonight.
* At 445 AM Friday the stage was 10.1 feet...and rising.
* Minor flooding is occurring and forecast.
* Flood stage is 10 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 10.9 feet by early this 
  afternoon and fall below flood stage this evening.
  

&&

LAT...LON 3379 8464 3385 8463 3380 8459 3374 8459
      3370 8463 3376 8466             

$$

GAC063-113-255-080016-
/O.EXT.KFFC.FL.W.0092.000000T0000Z-200208T1224Z/
/LOVG1.1.ER.200207T0855Z.200208T0000Z.200208T0624Z.NO/
516 AM EST Fri Feb 7 2020

...Flood Warning extended until Saturday morning...

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Flint River near Lovejoy.
* Until Saturday morning.
* At 445 AM Friday the stage was 12.1 feet...and rising.
* Minor flooding is occurring and forecast.
* Flood stage is 12 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 12.9 feet by early this 
  evening and fall below flood stage around midnight.
  

&&

LAT...LON 3360 8444 3363 8438 3354 8434 3340 8435
      3340 8443 3354 8441             

$$

GAC077-113-255-080016-
/O.CON.KFFC.FL.W.0105.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/LING1.1.ER.200207T0431Z.200207T0946Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
516 AM EST Fri Feb 7 2020

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Line Creek near Senoia.
* Until further notice.
* At 445 AM Friday the stage was 10.7 feet...and rising.
* Minor flooding is occurring and forecast.
* Flood stage is 10 feet.
  

&&

LAT...LON 3332 8456 3335 8451 3330 8448 3328 8455


$$

GAC113-255-080016-
/O.EXT.KFFC.FL.W.0093.000000T0000Z-200209T1330Z/
/GRFG1.1.ER.200207T0550Z.200208T1200Z.200209T0730Z.NO/
516 AM EST Fri Feb 7 2020

...Flood Warning extended until Sunday morning...The Flood Warning 
continues for
  The Flint River near Griffin at Highway 16.
* Until Sunday morning.
* At 445 AM Friday the stage was 12.9 feet...and rising.
* Minor flooding is occurring and forecast.
* Flood stage is 12 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 13.2 feet this morning and 
  again tomorrow morning then will fall below flood stage early Sunday 
  morning.
 

&&

LAT...LON 3330 8444 3330 8437 3318 8445 3316 8447
      3316 8447 3322 8450             

$$

GAC199-231-080016-
/O.EXT.KFFC.FL.W.0094.200208T0900Z-200208T1930Z/
/MOLG1.1.ER.200208T0900Z.200208T1200Z.200208T1330Z.UU/
516 AM EST Fri Feb 7 2020

...Flood Warning extended until Saturday afternoon...

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Flint River near Molena.
* From early tomorrow until Saturday afternoon.
* At 5 AM Friday the stage was 20.5 feet...and rising.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 28 feet.
* The river will rise above flood stage early tomorrow and continue 
  to rise to near 28.1 feet tomorrow morning then fall 
  below flood stage shortly after.
  

&&

LAT...LON 3316 8454 3316 8447 3297 8449 3291 8446
      3287 8452 3297 8457             

$$

GAC079-263-269-293-080016-
/O.CON.KFFC.FL.W.0095.000000T0000Z-200210T2131Z/
/CLUG1.1.ER.200207T0219Z.200208T1200Z.200210T1531Z.NO/
516 AM EST Fri Feb 7 2020

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Flint River near Carsonville Hwy. 19.
* Until Monday afternoon.
* At 5 AM Friday the stage was 21.5 feet...and rising.
* Minor flooding is occurring and forecast.
* Flood stage is 18 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 24.7 feet early tomorrow 
  morning then fall below flood stage midday Monday.
* At 25 feet...Moderate flooding begins. Access Road to boat ramp 
  and parking lot to boat ramp flood. In addition...flooding of most 
  of the land at the bend of the river upstream develops.
  

&&

LAT...LON 3280 8430 3275 8421 3257 8398 3253 8405
      3265 8415 3276 8437             

$$

GAC093-080016-
/O.CON.KFFC.FL.W.0099.000000T0000Z-200208T0806Z/
/BVLG1.1.ER.200207T0155Z.200207T0945Z.200208T0206Z.NO/
516 AM EST Fri Feb 7 2020

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Turkey Creek near Byromville.
* Until late tonight.
* At 445 AM Friday the stage was 11.4 feet...and rising.
* Minor flooding is occurring and forecast.
* Flood stage is 10 feet.
* The river will rise to near 11.7 feet this morning then fall below
  flood stage tomorrow morning.
* At 11.0 feet...Minor flooding expands into the woodland areas 
  upstream and downstream from the stream gage on Georgia Highway 90.
  Larger portions of creek access roads will flood.
  

&&

LAT...LON 3229 8385 3225 8380 3218 8387 3210 8391
      3210 8398 3220 8394             

$$
518 
WGUS82 KFFC 071526
FLSFFC
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
1026 AM EST Fri Feb 7 2020

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Georgia...
 
  Flint River near Lovejoy affecting Clayton...Fayette and Spalding 
  Counties 

  Flint River near Griffin Hwy. 16 affecting Fayette and Spalding 
  Counties 

  Flint River near Carsonville Hwy. 19 affecting Crawford...
  Talbot...Taylor and Upson Counties 

  Turkey Creek near Byromville affecting Dooly County 

  Line Creek near Senoia affecting Coweta...Fayette and Spalding 
  Counties 


GAC063-113-255-080526-
/O.EXT.KFFC.FL.W.0092.000000T0000Z-200208T1324Z/
/LOVG1.1.ER.200207T0855Z.200208T0000Z.200208T0724Z.NO/
1026 AM EST Fri Feb 7 2020

...Flood Warning extended until Saturday morning...The Flood Warning 
continues for
  The Flint River near Lovejoy.
* Until Saturday morning.
* At 9 AM Friday the stage was 12.7 feet...and rising.
* Minor flooding will continue.
* Flood stage is 12 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 13.3 feet by this evening. 
  The river will fall below flood stage after midnight tonight.
* At 14 feet...Moderate flooding begins. Significant flooding 
  occurs of residential yards upstream of the gage betweenUpper 
  Riverdale Road and Georgia Highway 138. Some roads begin to flood 
  such as Upper Riverdale Road and Mockingbird Road. Flooding expands
  on portions of the Rivers Edge Golf Course. Several holes and 
  fairways will flood. 


&&

LAT...LON 3360 8444 3363 8438 3354 8434 3340 8435
      3340 8443 3354 8441             

$$

GAC077-113-255-080526-
/O.CON.KFFC.FL.W.0105.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/LING1.1.ER.200207T0431Z.200207T1430Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1026 AM EST Fri Feb 7 2020

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Line Creek near Senoia.
* Until further notice.
* At 10 AM Friday the stage was 11 feet...and steady.
* Minor flooding will continue.
* Flood stage is 10 feet.
* At 10 feet...Minor flooding of the natural flood plain begins 
  which primarily affects agricultural and wooded areas. A small dirt
  utility access road near the Georgia Highway 85 bridge goes 
  underwater.


&&

LAT...LON 3332 8456 3335 8451 3330 8448 3328 8455


$$

GAC113-255-080526-
/O.EXT.KFFC.FL.W.0093.000000T0000Z-200209T2136Z/
/GRFG1.1.ER.200207T0550Z.200208T1200Z.200209T1536Z.NO/
1026 AM EST Fri Feb 7 2020

...Flood Warning extended until Sunday afternoon...The Flood Warning 
continues for
  The Flint River near Griffin Hwy. 16.
* Until Sunday afternoon.
* At 9 AM Friday the stage was 13.5 feet...and steady.
* Minor flooding will continue.
* Flood stage is 12 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 13.6 feet by this afternoon.
  The river will fall below flood stage late Sunday morning.
* At 14 feet...Minor flooding expands into the woodlands...fields 
  and pasture upstream and downstream from the gage on Georgia 
  Highway 16 or Newnan Road. The backyards of homes at the end of 
  Landing Way upstream from the bridge will be flooded with around 
  one foot of water.

&&

LAT...LON 3330 8444 3330 8437 3318 8445 3316 8447
      3316 8447 3322 8450             

$$

GAC079-263-269-293-080526-
/O.EXT.KFFC.FL.W.0095.000000T0000Z-200210T1724Z/
/CLUG1.1.ER.200207T0219Z.200208T0600Z.200210T1124Z.NO/
1026 AM EST Fri Feb 7 2020

...Flood Warning extended until Monday afternoon...The Flood Warning 
continues for
  The Flint River near Carsonville Hwy. 19.
* Until Monday afternoon.
* At 10 AM Friday the stage was 22.0 feet...and steady.
* Minor flooding will continue.
* Flood stage is 18 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 23 feet by after midnight 
  tonight. The river will fall below flood stage Monday morning.
* At 24 feet...Minor flooding expands further into the woodlands 
  and fields along the river upstream and downstream from the gage on
  U.S. Highway 19. The flood waters will be up to 6 feet deep over 
  the top of the boat ramp and cover a portion of the access road by 
  the bridge on the Taylor County side of the river.


&&

LAT...LON 3280 8430 3275 8421 3257 8398 3253 8405
      3265 8415 3276 8437             

$$

GAC093-080526-
/O.EXT.KFFC.FL.W.0099.000000T0000Z-200208T1353Z/
/BVLG1.1.ER.200207T0155Z.200207T1600Z.200208T0753Z.NO/
1026 AM EST Fri Feb 7 2020

...Flood Warning extended until Saturday morning...The Flood Warning 
continues for
  The Turkey Creek near Byromville.
* Until Saturday morning.
* At 9 AM Friday the stage was 11.4 feet...and falling.
* Minor flooding will continue.
* Flood stage is 10 feet.
* At 11 feet...Minor flooding occurs in the woodland areas 
  upstream and downstream from the stream gage on Georgia 
  Highway 90. Larger portions of creek access roads remain flooded.


&&

LAT...LON 3229 8385 3225 8380 3218 8387 3210 8391
      3210 8398 3220 8394             

$$
676 
WGUS82 KFFC 072002
FLSFFC
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
302 PM EST Fri Feb 7 2020

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Georgia...
 
  Flint River near Lovejoy affecting Clayton...Fayette and Spalding 
  Counties 

  Flint River near Griffin Hwy. 16 affecting Fayette and Spalding 
  Counties 

  Flint River near Carsonville Hwy. 19 affecting Crawford...
  Talbot...Taylor and Upson Counties 

  Turkey Creek near Byromville affecting Dooly County 

 
...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Georgia...
  Line Creek near Senoia affecting Coweta...Fayette and Spalding 
  Counties 


GAC063-113-255-081001-
/O.EXT.KFFC.FL.W.0092.000000T0000Z-200208T1224Z/
/LOVG1.1.ER.200207T0855Z.200207T1715Z.200208T0624Z.NO/
302 PM EST Fri Feb 7 2020

...Flood Warning extended until Saturday morning...The Flood Warning 
continues for
  The Flint River near Lovejoy.
* Until Saturday morning.
* At 2 PM Friday the stage was 12.7 feet...and falling.
* Minor flooding will continue.
* Flood stage is 12 feet.
* The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by after 
  midnight tonight.
* At 12 feet...Flood Stage is reached and minor flooding begins. 
  Flooding of Rivers Edge Golf Course begins. Several holes and 
  fairways will flood. Flooding of some yards begins upstream of gage
  between Upper Riverdale Road and Highway 138.


&&

LAT...LON 3360 8444 3363 8438 3354 8434 3340 8435
      3340 8443 3354 8441             

$$

GAC077-113-255-081001-
/O.CON.KFFC.FL.W.0105.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/LING1.1.ER.200207T0431Z.200207T1430Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
302 PM EST Fri Feb 7 2020

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Line Creek near Senoia.
* Until further notice.
* At 2 PM Friday the stage was 10.6 feet...and falling.
* Minor flooding will continue.
* Flood stage is 10 feet.
* At 10 feet...Minor flooding of the natural flood plain begins 
  which primarily affects agricultural and wooded areas. A small dirt
  utility access road near the Georgia Highway 85 bridge goes 
  underwater.


&&

LAT...LON 3332 8456 3335 8451 3330 8448 3328 8455


$$

GAC113-255-081001-
/O.EXT.KFFC.FL.W.0093.000000T0000Z-200209T1424Z/
/GRFG1.1.ER.200207T0550Z.200207T1900Z.200209T0824Z.NO/
302 PM EST Fri Feb 7 2020

...Flood Warning extended until Sunday morning...The Flood Warning 
continues for
  The Flint River near Griffin Hwy. 16.
* Until Sunday morning.
* At 2 PM Friday the stage was 13.5 feet...and nearly steady.
* Minor flooding will continue.
* Flood stage is 12 feet.
* At 14 feet...Minor flooding expands into the woodlands...fields 
  and pasture upstream and downstream from the gage on Georgia 
  Highway 16 or Newnan Road. The backyards of homes at the end of 
  Landing Way upstream from the bridge will be flooded with around 
  one foot of water.


&&

LAT...LON 3330 8444 3330 8437 3318 8445 3316 8447
      3316 8447 3322 8450             

$$

GAC079-263-269-293-081001-
/O.EXT.KFFC.FL.W.0095.000000T0000Z-200210T0824Z/
/CLUG1.1.ER.200207T0219Z.200208T0600Z.200210T0224Z.NO/
302 PM EST Fri Feb 7 2020

...Flood Warning extended until late Sunday night...The Flood Warning
continues for
  The Flint River near Carsonville Hwy. 19.
* Until late Sunday night.
* At 2 PM Friday the stage was 22.2 feet...and rising slowly.
* Minor flooding will continue.
* Flood stage is 18 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 22.5 feet by after midnight 
  tonight. The river will fall below flood stage Sunday before 
  midnight.
* At 22 feet...Minor flooding expands into the woodlands and fields
  along the river upstream and downstream from the gage on U.S. 
  Highway 19. The flood waters will be up to 4 feet deep over the top
  of the boat ramp and cover a portion of the access road by the 
  bridge on the Taylor County side of the river.


&&

LAT...LON 3280 8430 3275 8421 3257 8398 3253 8405
      3265 8415 3276 8437             

$$

GAC093-080618-
/O.EXT.KFFC.FL.W.0099.000000T0000Z-200208T0618Z/
/BVLG1.1.ER.200207T0155Z.200207T1115Z.200208T0018Z.NO/
302 PM EST Fri Feb 7 2020

...Flood Warning extended until late tonight...The Flood Warning 
continues for
  The Turkey Creek near Byromville.
* Until late tonight.
* At 2 PM Friday the stage was 10.8 feet...and falling.
* Minor flooding will continue.
* Flood stage is 10 feet.
* The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by this 
  evening.
* At 11 feet...Minor flooding expands into the woodland areas 
  upstream and downstream from the stream gage on Georgia Highway 90.
  Larger portions of creek access roads will flood.


&&

LAT...LON 3229 8385 3225 8380 3218 8387 3210 8391
      3210 8398 3220 8394             

$$
032 
WGUS82 KFFC 080034
FLSFFC
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
734 PM EST Fri Feb 7 2020

...The Flood Warning is cancelled for the following rivers in 
Georgia...
 
  Line Creek near Senoia affecting Coweta...Fayette and Spalding 
  Counties

 
GAC077-113-255-080104-
/O.CAN.KFFC.FL.W.0105.000000T0000Z-200208T0034Z/
/LING1.1.ER.200207T0431Z.200207T1430Z.200207T2334Z.NO/
734 PM EST Fri Feb 7 2020

The Flood Warning is cancelled for
  The Line Creek near Senoia.
* This takes effect immediately.
* At 7 PM Friday the stage was 9.9 feet, and falling.
* Flood stage is 10 feet.
* The creek will continue to fall.

&&

LAT...LON 3332 8456 3335 8451 3330 8448 3328 8455


$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this river flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Atlanta, GA wrote its last area forecast discussion before this river flood warning went out at Feb 6, 10:05 PM EST, 1 hour 53 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Feb 6, 10:05 PM EST, 1 hour 53 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
1005 PM EST Thu Feb 6 2020

.UPDATE...

Mainly tweaks to temperatures and pops in the evening and
overnight hours as a line of strong to severe thunderstorms
crossed through the area and temperatures start to decrease. All
of the convection has exited the area, prompting the Tornado Watch
to be cancelled. Behind the storms, we are left with pockets of
showers and drizzle across the area. With the overall threat for
flash flooding ending, the Flash Flood Watch will likely be
cancelled soon. Although some ongoing flooding may continue due to
heavy runoff from the earlier heavy rainfall, the main threat
will continue to be river flooding as the rain drains into the
creeks and rivers. Rain showers are still expected to continue on
and off in the overnight hours before mostly clearing out early
tomorrow. The potential still remains for some of the showers
overnight to transition to a rain/snow mix across northern Georgia
and snow across far northern Georgia, mainly in the highest
elevations. Accumulations are still possible across the higher
elevations with amounts around a trace up to half an inch
possible, with some locally higher amounts around an inch
possible. An SPS has been issued across the northern counties to
address the potential wintry weather.

Reaves

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /Issued 641 PM EST Thu Feb 6 2020/

PREV DISCUSSION... /Issued 307 PM EST Thu Feb 6 2020/

SHORT TERM /Tonight through Friday Night/...

The line of showers and thunderstorms that have brought a round of
severe weather and torrential flooding rainfall. The severe threat
looks to exit the forecast area by 8 PM tonight with the
expiration of the ongoing Tornado Watch. However, ongoing flooding
issues may continue with heavy runoff and another half inch of
rain expected behind the main line of storms. A Flash Flood Watch
will continue through Friday morning with several reports of
severe flooding ongoing in north Georgia.

As heavy rain filters out and isolated light showers move into
the area behind them the colder air moving in behind the front
will lead to possible snow showers and flurries across north
Georgia Friday morning. Accumulations around an inch may be
possible on western slopes in the Georgia Blue Ridge mountains.
Further flurries may continue on Saturday morning as well with
another brief round of lighter rainfall.

Thiem

LONG TERM /Saturday through Thursday/...

Given ongoing severe weather today only tweeks were made to the
extended forecast. The previous discussion follows...

PREV DISCUSSION... /Issued 416 AM EST Thu Feb 6 2020/

The first portion of the long term will be the rare dry period but
as has been the case, this will not last for long. A secondary
shortwave will drop through the midwest and eventually the
Mississippi Valley Sat morning with surface reflection passing
well north of the area. GFS continues to be most aggressive with
this feature and the associated moisture although the ECMWF has
trended slightly wetter as well. Still going to use a blend which
yields likely pops over the far NE zones through Sat afternoon.
Timing will be critical as we could see enough cold air lock in to
allow for a rain and snow mix over mountains primarily. ECMWF
indicates greater snow potential over a larger area than the GFS
but will lean toward the lower amounts which agrees with WPC. This
would yield a dusting to maybe two tenths of an inch over the
northeast mountains.

Another brief dry period for Sunday before next system moves in
quickly Monday into Tuesday and if you believe the ECMWF which
stalls the frontal boundary further north. Regardless, another
period of decent rainfall of over and inch. Not as impressive as
the current system but with ongoing flooding likely, this will
only exacerbate the problem. Although instability will be quite
minimal, did add a period of thunder for Tuesday afternoon as the
activity transitions into Central GA.

Depending on which long term solution verifies, we could see a
break on Wednesday but just as likely that front hangs around and
provides the focus for additional activity. Frontal boundary will
move through on Thu with good agreement this far out. An
additional inch of rain is likely with this system and possibly
quite a bit more in the far extended as models show front stalling
and additional waves impacting the area.

Deese

AVIATION...
00Z Update...
Mix bag of cigs across the area is expected to be dominated by
MVFR cigs through much of the taf period with IFR cigs possible
around the ATL sites through 06-08Z tonight. Some reduced vsbys
will continue over the next several hours with moderate to heavy
rain in the area. Widespread precip should clear taf sites over
the next several hours with spotty residual showers possible. In
addition there is the potential early Friday morning for some snow
flurries at the atl metro taf sites, but probability too low to
mention in taf. MVFR cigs should improve to VFR Friday afternoon.
SW winds should transition to strong W winds tonight around
02-04Z. Winds Friday will be strong as well around 10-16kts with
gusts at least up to 25kts.

//ATL Confidence...00Z Update...
Low to medium confidence on CIGS. Medium confidence on all other
elements.

Reaves

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Athens          40  46  32  51 /  80  10  10  30
Atlanta         38  44  33  53 /  60  20  20  30
Blairsville     32  38  28  45 /  60  50  20  30
Cartersville    35  43  31  52 /  40  30  20  30
Columbus        40  49  36  60 /  50  20  20  20
Gainesville     38  43  32  48 /  80  20  20  30
Macon           42  50  34  58 /  90  10  10  20
Rome            36  43  32  52 /  40  30  20  30
Peachtree City  38  47  32  56 /  60  20  20  30
Vidalia         46  52  36  61 / 100   5   5  10

&&

.FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Flash Flood Watch until 7 AM EST Friday for the following zones:
Baldwin...Banks...Barrow...Bartow...Bibb...Bleckley...Butts...
Carroll...Catoosa...Chattahoochee...Chattooga...Cherokee...
Clarke...Clayton...Cobb...Coweta...Crawford...Crisp...Dade...
Dawson...DeKalb...Dodge...Dooly...Douglas...Emanuel...Fannin...
Fayette...Floyd...Forsyth...Gilmer...Glascock...Gordon...
Greene...Gwinnett...Hall...Hancock...Haralson...Harris...Heard...
Henry...Houston...Jackson...Jasper...Jefferson...Johnson...
Jones...Lamar...Laurens...Lumpkin...Macon...Madison...Marion...
Meriwether...Monroe...Montgomery...Morgan...Murray...Muscogee...
Newton...North Fulton...Oconee...Oglethorpe...Paulding...Peach...
Pickens...Pike...Polk...Pulaski...Putnam...Rockdale...Schley...
South Fulton...Spalding...Stewart...Sumter...Talbot...
Taliaferro...Taylor...Telfair...Toombs...Towns...Treutlen...
Troup...Twiggs...Union...Upson...Walker...Walton...Warren...
Washington...Webster...Wheeler...White...Whitfield...Wilcox...
Wilkes...Wilkinson.

&&

SHORT TERM...Thiem
LONG TERM....Thiem
AVIATION...Reaves
Hazardous weather outlook, Feb 6, 10:44 PM EST, 1 hour 14 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
1044 PM EST Thu Feb 6 2020

GAZ001>009-011>016-019>025-027-030>039-041>062-066>076-078>086-
089>098-102>113-080345-
Baldwin-Banks-Barrow-Bartow-Bibb-Bleckley-Butts-Carroll-Catoosa-
Chattahoochee-Chattooga-Cherokee-Clarke-Clayton-Cobb-Coweta-
Crawford-Crisp-Dade-Dawson-DeKalb-Dodge-Dooly-Douglas-Emanuel-
Fannin-Fayette-Floyd-Forsyth-Gilmer-Glascock-Gordon-Greene-
Gwinnett-Hall-Hancock-Haralson-Harris-Heard-Henry-Houston-Jackson-
Jasper-Jefferson-Johnson-Jones-Lamar-Laurens-Lumpkin-Macon-
Madison-Marion-Meriwether-Monroe-Montgomery-Morgan-Murray-
Muscogee-Newton-North Fulton-Oconee-Oglethorpe-Paulding-Peach-
Pickens-Pike-Polk-Pulaski-Putnam-Rockdale-Schley-South Fulton-
Spalding-Stewart-Sumter-Talbot-Taliaferro-Taylor-Telfair-Toombs-
Towns-Treutlen-Troup-Twiggs-Union-Upson-Walker-Walton-Warren-
Washington-Webster-Wheeler-White-Whitfield-Wilcox-Wilkes-
Wilkinson-
1044 PM EST Thu Feb 6 2020

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of North and Central Georgia.

.DAY ONE...Tonight...

Although the heaviest rain has ended across the area, flooding
will continue well after the rain has ended in urban areas, low-
lying areas, and small creeks and streams and many rivers are
already in flood. Please do not attempt to drive through flooded
roadways; Turn Around, Don't Drown!

A light rain and snow mix will be possible across far north
Georgia early Friday morning, mainly in the higher terrain. In
the higher elevations, accumulations of a trace up to a 1/2 inch
of snow will be possible, with locally higher amounts around an
inch across the highest ridgetops. For more information please
refer to our Special Weather Statement.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday...

Light rain and snow mix will be possible across far north Georgia
on Saturday morning, mainly in the higher terrain. A dusting to
less than a half an inch will be possible for the Saturday system
across the Northeast mountains.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotters are encouraged to submit reports of severe weather
through the web by going to weather.gov/atlanta.

In the hours before

Local storm report, Feb 6, 8:18 PM EST, 3 hours 40 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
818 PM EST THU FEB 06 2020

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0458 PM     TSTM WND DMG     3 N JACKSONVILLE        31.86N  82.97W
02/06/2020                   TELFAIR            GA   AMATEUR RADIO

            POWER LINES REPORTED ACROSS THE ROAD AT THE
            INTERSECTION OF ST PAULS CHURCH RD AND HWY 441.

&&

EVENT NUMBER FFC2000151

KING
Local storm report, Feb 6, 8:30 PM EST, 3 hours 28 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
830 PM EST THU FEB 06 2020

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0157 PM     TSTM WND DMG     2 NNE PAYNE CITY        32.88N  83.68W
02/06/2020                   BIBB               GA   EMERGENCY MNGR

            TREE REPORTED DOWN AT ON CRESTLINE DRIVE NEAR ROSA
            TAYLOR PLACE.

&&

EVENT NUMBER FFC2000152

KING
Local storm report, Feb 6, 8:48 PM EST, 3 hours 10 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
848 PM EST THU FEB 06 2020

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1244 PM     TSTM WND DMG     1 W PRATTSBURG          32.71N  84.38W
02/06/2020                   TALBOT             GA   EMERGENCY MNGR

            LARGE TREE DOWN NEAR WHERE POTTERS CREEK INTERSECTS HWY
            208.

&&

EVENT NUMBER FFC2000153

LUSK
Local storm report, Feb 6, 9:38 PM EST, 2 hours 20 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
938 PM EST THU FEB 06 2020

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1250 PM     TSTM WND DMG     2 ENE MILNER            33.12N  84.17W
02/06/2020                   LAMAR              GA   EMERGENCY MNGR

            15+ TREES REPORTED DOWN ACROSS BUTTS COUNTY.

&&

EVENT NUMBER FFC2000154

LUSK
Local storm report, Feb 6, 10:14 PM EST, 1 hour 44 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
1014 PM EST THU FEB 06 2020

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1010 AM     TSTM WND DMG     2 SW LAWRENCEVILLE      33.94N  84.01W
02/06/2020                   GWINNETT           GA   EMERGENCY MNGR

            TREE DOWN NEAR THE INTERSECTION OF CAMDEN HILL ROAD AND
            LAWRENCEVILLE HWY

&&

EVENT NUMBER FFC2000155

LUSK
Local storm report, Feb 6, 10:16 PM EST, 1 hour 42 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
1016 PM EST THU FEB 06 2020

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1022 AM     TSTM WND DMG     2 SE SNELLVILLE         33.84N  84.00W
02/06/2020                   GWINNETT           GA   EMERGENCY MNGR

            POWERLINES DOWN NEAR THE INTERSECTION OF ELIZABETH LANE
            AND SPRINGDALE DR. NEAR SNELLVILLE

&&

EVENT NUMBER FFC2000156

LUSK

The office that day

Everything else NWS Atlanta, GA issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Feb 6, 7:00 PM ESTRiver Flood WarningFFCDooly32 hr
Feb 6, 7:16 PM ESTSpecial Weather StatementFFCToombs29 min
Feb 6, 7:25 PM ESTRiver Flood WarningFFCBibb, Houston, Jones, Monroe, Twiggs9 days
Feb 6, 7:47 PM ESTSpecial Weather StatementFFCToombs28 min
Feb 6, 9:11 PM ESTRiver Flood WarningFFCBaldwin, Washington, Wilkinson62 hr
Feb 6, 10:21 PM ESTRiver Flood WarningFFCTaliaferro, Wilkes48 hr
Feb 6, 11:10 PM ESTRiver Flood WarningFFCFloyd17 days
Feb 6, 11:26 PM ESTRiver Flood WarningFFCTroup21 days
Feb 7, 12:55 AM ESTRiver Flood WarningFFCNewton, Rockdale30 hr
Feb 7, 1:15 AM ESTRiver Flood WarningFFCCobb, Paulding14 hr
Feb 7, 6:01 AM ESTRiver Flood WarningFFCMonroe18 hr
Feb 7, 8:24 AM ESTRiver Flood WarningFFCWashington, Wilkinson3 days
Feb 7, 8:24 AM ESTRiver Flood WarningFFCButts, Henry, Newton13 hr
Feb 7, 8:27 AM ESTRiver Flood WarningFFCCherokee, Forsyth2 hr
Feb 7, 8:34 AM ESTRiver Flood WarningFFCTroup9 hr
Feb 7, 8:49 AM ESTRiver Flood WarningFFCPutnam21 hr
Feb 7, 9:43 AM ESTRiver Flood WarningFFCFloyd22 days
Feb 7, 11:01 AM ESTRiver Flood WarningFFCPulaski35 hr
Feb 7, 11:02 AM ESTRiver Flood WarningFFCBibb, Crawford, Houston, Peach26 hr
Feb 7, 11:07 AM ESTRiver Flood WarningFFCJefferson, Washington11 hr
Feb 7, 11:35 AM ESTRiver Flood WarningFFCFulton18 hr
Feb 7, 12:16 PM ESTRiver Flood WarningFFCGordon, Murray, Whitfield71 hr
Feb 7, 3:31 PM ESTRiver Flood WarningFFCJones, Monroe8 hr
Feb 7, 3:47 PM ESTWinter Weather AdvisoryFFCBanks, Barrow, Bartow, Catoosa, Chattooga, Cherokee and 28 more28 hr
Feb 7, 4:03 PM ESTRiver Flood WarningFFCNewton, Walton19 hr
Feb 7, 5:10 PM ESTRiver Flood WarningFFCNewton52 hr
Feb 7, 5:34 PM ESTRiver Flood WarningFFCChattahoochee, Muscogee15 hr
Feb 7, 6:46 PM ESTRiver Flood WarningFFCNewton21 days

Nearby

River Flood Warnings in Georgia, 2020Every river flood warning in 2020

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive; the gauge from the NWS water service and the USGS.