Alert archive / Georgia / River Flood Warnings in 2020

River Flood Warning 102, NWS Atlanta, GA

February 6, 2020Taliaferro County, Wilkes County, Georgia

NWS Atlanta, GA issued this river flood warning at Feb 6, 2020, 10:21 PM EST for Taliaferro County, Wilkes County, Georgia. It was in force for 48 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Feb 6, 2020, 10:21 PM EST (03:21 UTC)
Expired
Feb 8, 2020, 10:14 PM EST
In force
48 hr
Issued by
NWS Atlanta, GA
Area
Storm-based polygon
Flood severity
Minor

Counties Taliaferro County, GA, Wilkes County, GA

The radar

The Robins AFB radar (KJGX), 122 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 03:24 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The river

Written for the forecast point Little River near Washington (WTNG1).

Action stage
16 ft
Minor stage
19 ft
Moderate stage
24 ft
Major stage
28 ft

This gauge today: stage, forecast and historic crests

Stage from the USGS instantaneous record for site 02193500, one reading an hour, from a day before the product to a day after it ended. Flood stages are today's.

The text

As transmitted.

559 
WGUS42 KFFC 070321
FLWFFC
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Flood Warning
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
1021 PM EST Thu Feb 6 2020

...The National Weather Service in Peachtree City has issued a Flood 
Warning for the following rivers in Georgia...

  Little River near Washington affecting Taliaferro and Wilkes 
  Counties


.Recent heavy rainfall has caused significant runoff into streams and
rivers which will cause flooding in some areas.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

All persons with interests along the river should monitor the latest
forecasts...and be prepared to take necessary precautions to protect
life and property.

The latest stage data was furnished in cooperation with the United 
States Geological Survey.

&&

GAC265-317-071721-
/O.NEW.KFFC.FL.W.0102.200207T0321Z-000000T0000Z/
/WTNG1.1.ER.200207T0224Z.200207T0300Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1021 PM EST Thu Feb 6 2020

The National Weather Service in Peachtree City has issued a
* Flood Warning for 
  The Little River near Washington.
* From this evening until further notice.
* At 10 PM Thursday the stage was 19.4 feet, and rising.
* Flood stage is 19 feet.
* At 19 feet, flood stage is reached. Minor flooding occurs in the
  woodlands and fields along the river upstream and downstream from 
  the gage at Lundberg Road. 
  

&&

LAT...LON 3363 8283 3368 8280 3364 8270 3367 8260
      3361 8258 3358 8272             

$$
7 follow-up statements
188 
WGUS42 KFFC 070828
FLWFFC
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Flood Warning
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
328 AM EST Fri Feb 7 2020

...Forecast Flooding Changed from Minor to Moderate Severity for the following rivers in Georgia...

  Little River near Washington affecting Taliaferro and Wilkes 
  Counties


.Recent heavy rainfall has caused significant runoff into streams and
rivers which will cause flooding in some areas.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

All persons with interests along the river should monitor the latest
forecasts...and be prepared to take necessary precautions to protect
life and property.

The latest stage data was furnished in cooperation with the United 
States Geological Survey.

&&

GAC265-317-072228-
/O.CON.KFFC.FL.W.0102.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/WTNG1.2.ER.200207T0224Z.200207T0800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
328 AM EST Fri Feb 7 2020

...Forecast flooding increased from Minor to Moderate severity...

The Flood Warning continues for 
 The Little River near Washington.
* Until further notice.
* At 3 AM Friday the stage was 23.8 feet...and rising.
* Flood stage is 19 feet.
* At 23 feet...Minor flooding expands further into the woodlands 
  and fields along the river upstream and downstream from the gage at
  Lundberg Road. 

  

&&

LAT...LON 3363 8283 3368 8280 3364 8270 3367 8260
      3361 8258 3358 8272             

$$
285 
WGUS82 KFFC 071543
FLSFFC
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
1043 AM EST Fri Feb 7 2020

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Georgia...
 
  Middle Oconee River near Arcade affecting Barrow and Jackson 
  Counties 

  Broad River near Carlton affecting Elbert...Madison and Oglethorpe
  Counties 

  Little River near Washington affecting Taliaferro and Wilkes 
  Counties 


GAC013-157-080542-
/O.EXT.KFFC.FL.W.0080.000000T0000Z-200208T1512Z/
/ACDG1.2.ER.200206T2206Z.200207T1415Z.200208T0912Z.NO/
1043 AM EST Fri Feb 7 2020

...Flood Warning extended until Saturday morning...The Flood Warning 
continues for
  The Middle Oconee River near Arcade.
* Until Saturday morning.
* At 10 AM Friday the stage was 22.8 feet...and steady.
* Moderate flooding will continue.
* Flood stage is 16 feet.
* The river will fall to below flood stage by early Saturday.
* At 23 feet...Significant flooding expands into the woodlands...
  fields and pasture upstream and downstream from the gage at Georgia
  Highway 82. A house just downstream will be surrounded with water 
  and begin to flood. Flooding begins on low portions of Bismarck 
  Circle Road upstream from the gage.


&&

LAT...LON 3404 8377 3410 8375 3406 8355 3400 8347
      3395 8352 3402 8363             

$$

GAC265-317-080542-
/O.CON.KFFC.FL.W.0102.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/WTNG1.2.ER.200207T0224Z.200207T1500Z.000000T0000Z.NR/
1043 AM EST Fri Feb 7 2020

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Little River near Washington.
* Until further notice.
* At 10 AM Friday the stage was 26.4 feet...and steady.
* Moderate flooding will continue.
* Flood stage is 19 feet.
* At 27 feet...Significant flooding continues in the woodlands and 
  fields along the river upstream and downstream from the gage at 
  Lundberg Road. 


&&

LAT...LON 3363 8283 3368 8280 3364 8270 3367 8260
      3361 8258 3358 8272             

$$

GAC105-195-221-080542-
/O.EXT.KFFC.FL.W.0081.000000T0000Z-200208T0704Z/
/CARG1.1.ER.200206T2006Z.200207T0630Z.200208T0104Z.UU/
1043 AM EST Fri Feb 7 2020

...Flood Warning extended until late tonight...The Flood Warning 
continues for
  The Broad River near Carlton.
* Until late tonight.
* At 10 AM Friday the stage was 22.8 feet...and falling.
* Minor flooding will continue.
* Flood stage is 15 feet.
* The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by this 
  evening.
* At 24 feet...Minor flooding expands further into the woodlands 
  and fields along the river. A sand dredge operation on the left 
  bank near the gage will be completely under water. Large portions 
  of Roy Wood Road and the Broad River Outpost for Canoes and Kayaks 
  location will be under several feet of water. Flooding expands up 
  the backyard of an assisted living home off of Roy Wood Road.

&&

LAT...LON 3419 8308 3407 8295 3401 8285 3396 8286
      3402 8300 3414 8312             

$$
735 
WGUS82 KFFC 072033
FLSFFC
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
333 PM EST Fri Feb 7 2020

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Georgia...
  Little River near Washington affecting Taliaferro and Wilkes 
  Counties 

  Williamson Swamp Creek near Davisboro affecting Jefferson and 
  Washington Counties 


GAC265-317-081032-
/O.CON.KFFC.FL.W.0102.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/WTNG1.2.ER.200207T0224Z.200207T1700Z.000000T0000Z.NR/
333 PM EST Fri Feb 7 2020

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Little River near Washington.
* Until further notice.
* At 3 PM Friday the stage was 26.2 feet...and falling.
* Moderate flooding will continue.
* Flood stage is 19 feet.
* At 27.0 feet...Significant flooding continues in the woodlands and 
  fields along the river upstream and downstream from the gage at 
  Lundberg Road. 


&&

LAT...LON 3363 8283 3368 8280 3364 8270 3367 8260
      3361 8258 3358 8272             

$$

GAC163-303-081032-
/O.CON.KFFC.FL.W.0117.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/DAVG1.1.ER.200207T1555Z.200207T1945Z.000000T0000Z.UU/
333 PM EST Fri Feb 7 2020

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Williamson Swamp Creek near Davisboro.
* Until further notice.
* At 02PM Friday the stage was 10.2 feet...and rising.
* Minor flooding will continue.
* Flood stage is 10 feet.
* At 10 feet...Flood stage is reached. Minor flooding beings in the
  woodlands and swamp along the creek upstream and downstream from 
  the gage on Georgia Highway 231 or South Main Street.

&&

LAT...LON 3291 8275 3310 8272 3294 8248 3290 8253


$$
976 
WGUS82 KFFC 080212
FLSFFC
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
912 PM EST Fri Feb 7 2020

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Georgia...
 
  Little River near Eatonton affecting Putnam County 

  Middle Oconee River near Arcade affecting Barrow and Jackson 
  Counties 

 
...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Georgia...
  Alcovy River near High Point affecting Newton County 

  Big Haynes Creek near Milstead  affecting Newton and Rockdale 
  Counties 

  Yellow River near Rocky Plains affecting Newton County 

  Echeconnee Creek near Byron affecting Bibb...Crawford...Houston 
  and Peach Counties 

  Little River near Washington affecting Taliaferro and Wilkes 
  Counties 


GAC021-079-153-225-081611-
/O.CON.KFFC.FL.W.0116.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/BYNG1.1.ER.200207T1522Z.200208T0145Z.000000T0000Z.UU/
912 PM EST Fri Feb 7 2020

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Echeconnee Creek near Byron.
* Until further notice.
* At 8 PM Friday the stage was 15.8 feet...and rising.
* Minor flooding is occurring.
* Flood stage is 15 feet.
* At 15 feet...Flood stage is reached. Minor flooding of woodlands 
  occurs upstream and downstream from the gage on Houston Road. 
  Portions of creek access roads and low lying areas will begin to 
  flood.
  

&&

LAT...LON 3280 8391 3284 8386 3274 8374 3269 8358
      3263 8355 3269 8379             

$$

GAC265-317-081611-
/O.CON.KFFC.FL.W.0102.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/WTNG1.2.ER.200207T0224Z.200207T1700Z.000000T0000Z.NR/
912 PM EST Fri Feb 7 2020

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Little River near Washington.
* Until further notice.
* At 8 PM Friday the stage was 25.5 feet...and falling.
* Moderate flooding is occurring.
* Flood stage is 19 feet.
* At 25 feet...Moderate flooding occurs in the woodlands and fields
  along the river upstream and downstream from the gage at Lundberg 
  Road. 
  

&&

LAT...LON 3363 8283 3368 8280 3364 8270 3367 8260
      3361 8258 3358 8272             

$$

GAC217-081611-
/O.CON.KFFC.FL.W.0122.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/HPTG1.1.ER.200207T2140Z.200208T0145Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
912 PM EST Fri Feb 7 2020

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Alcovy River near High Point.
* Until further notice.
* At 08PM Friday the stage was 11.4 feet...and rising.
* Minor flooding is occurring.
* Flood stage is 11 feet.
* At 11 feet...Flood Stage is reached. Minor flooding begins of 
  woodlands and fields near the river upstream and downstream from 
  the gage on Henderson Mill Road. The water level reaches the first 
  wooden step behind an elevated private residence just upstream and 
  on the left bank from the bridge.
  

&&

LAT...LON 3361 8384 3358 8378 3344 8381 3344 8386


$$

GAC217-247-081611-
/O.CON.KFFC.FL.W.0106.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/BHCG1.1.ER.200207T0530Z.200207T1615Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
912 PM EST Fri Feb 7 2020

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Big Haynes Creek near Milstead .
* Until further notice.
* At 08PM Friday the stage was 13.4 feet...and falling.
* Minor flooding is occurring.
* Flood stage is 12 feet.
* At 12 feet...Flood stage is reached. Minor flooding begins in 
  the woodlands along the creek upstream and downstream from the
  gage on Bald Rock Road near the Georgia International Horse Park.
  

&&

LAT...LON 3369 8395 3369 8388 3363 8390 3365 8393 3367 8395


$$

GAC217-081611-
/O.CON.KFFC.FL.W.0124.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/RKYG1.1.ER.200207T2328Z.200207T2332Z.000000T0000Z.UU/
912 PM EST Fri Feb 7 2020

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Yellow River near Rocky Plains.
* Until further notice.
* At 08PM Friday the stage was 18.1 feet...and rising.
* Minor flooding is occurring.
* Flood stage is 18 feet.
* At 18 feet...Flood Stage is reached. Minor flooding begins of 
  woodlands and fields near the river upstream and downstream from 
  the gage on the Rocky Plains Road bridge.
  

&&

LAT...LON 3356 8393 3359 8387 3341 8385 3341 8390


$$

GAC237-081023-
/O.EXT.KFFC.FL.W.0113.000000T0000Z-200208T1023Z/
/EANG1.1.ER.200207T1340Z.200208T0000Z.200208T0423Z.NO/
912 PM EST Fri Feb 7 2020

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Little River near Eatonton.
* Until late tonight.
* At 8 PM Friday the stage was 22.7 feet...and falling.
* Minor flooding is occurring and is forecast to continue.
* Flood stage is 20 feet.
* The river will continue to fall to below flood stage tonight.
* At 22 feet...Minor flooding continues to expand into the 
  woodlands and fields along the river of the Oconee National Forest 
  upstream and downstream from the gage on Georgia Highway 16 or 
  Monticello Road.
  

&&

LAT...LON 3340 8356 3343 8350 3333 8340 3325 8337
      3323 8344 3331 8347             

$$

GAC013-157-081554-
/O.EXT.KFFC.FL.W.0080.000000T0000Z-200208T1554Z/
/ACDG1.2.ER.200206T2206Z.200207T1530Z.200208T0954Z.NO/
912 PM EST Fri Feb 7 2020

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Middle Oconee River near Arcade.
* Until Saturday morning.
* At 08PM Friday the stage was 20.8 feet...and falling.
* Minor flooding is occurring and is forecast to continue.
* Flood stage is 16 feet.
* The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by Saturday
  morning.
* At 21 feet...Moderate flooding begins. Significant flooding 
  occurs in the woodlands...fields and pasture upstream and 
  downstream from the gage at Georgia Highway 82. A residential yard 
  will be completely flooded with the water reaching the foundation 
  of a house just downstream. The flood waters will be reaching 
  Bismarck Circle Road upstream from the gage.
  

&&

LAT...LON 3404 8377 3410 8375 3406 8355 3400 8347
      3395 8352 3402 8363             

$$
378 
WGUS82 KFFC 081143
FLSFFC
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
643 AM EST Sat Feb 8 2020

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Georgia...
  Coosa River near Rome Mayos Bar L & D Park affecting Floyd County 

  Little River near Washington affecting Taliaferro and Wilkes 
  Counties 


GAC115-090143-
/O.CON.KFFC.FL.W.0103.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/RMBG1.1.ER.200207T0305Z.200208T0500Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
643 AM EST Sat Feb 8 2020

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Coosa River near Rome Mayos Bar L & D Park.
* Until further notice.
* At 6 AM Saturday the stage was 27.9 feet...and falling.
* Minor flooding will continue.
* Flood stage is 24 feet.
* At 29 feet...Minor flooding continues to expand further into the 
  woodlands...fields and pastures along the river upstream and 
  downstream from the gage on the old Lock and Dam behind the Trading
  Post. The water will reach the top of the old Lock and Dam 
  structure. 


&&

LAT...LON 3425 8524 3421 8518 3417 8526 3420 8536
      3425 8531 3423 8526             

$$

GAC265-317-090143-
/O.CON.KFFC.FL.W.0102.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/WTNG1.2.ER.200207T0224Z.200207T1700Z.000000T0000Z.NR/
643 AM EST Sat Feb 8 2020

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Little River near Washington.
* Until further notice.
* At 6 AM Saturday the stage was 23.1 feet...and falling.
* Minor flooding will continue.
* Flood stage is 19 feet.
* At 23 feet...Minor flooding expands further into the woodlands 
  and fields along the river upstream and downstream from the gage at
  Lundberg Road. 


&&

LAT...LON 3363 8283 3368 8280 3364 8270 3367 8260
      3361 8258 3358 8272             

$$
448 
WGUS82 KFFC 081846
FLSFFC
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
146 PM EST Sat Feb 8 2020

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Georgia...
  Little River near Washington affecting Taliaferro and Wilkes 
  Counties 

  Ogeechee River near Grange affecting Jefferson and Washington 
  Counties 


GAC265-317-090845-
/O.CON.KFFC.FL.W.0102.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/WTNG1.2.ER.200207T0224Z.200207T1700Z.000000T0000Z.NR/
146 PM EST Sat Feb 8 2020

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Little River near Washington.
* Until further notice.
* At 1 PM Saturday the stage was 20.8 feet...and falling.
* Minor flooding will continue.
* Flood stage is 19 feet.
* At 21 feet...Minor flooding continues in the woodlands and fields
  along the river upstream and downstream from the gage at Lundberg 
  Road. 


&&

LAT...LON 3363 8283 3368 8280 3364 8270 3367 8260
      3361 8258 3358 8272             

$$

GAC163-303-090845-
/O.CON.KFFC.FL.W.0129.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/GRGG1.1.ER.200208T1430Z.200208T1815Z.000000T0000Z.UU/
146 PM EST Sat Feb 8 2020

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Ogeechee River near Grange.
* Until further notice.
* At 1 PM Saturday the stage was 18.4 feet...and rising.
* Minor flooding will continue.
* Flood stage is 18 feet.
* At 18 feet...Flood stage is reached. Minor flooding of woodlands 
  occurs upstream and downstream from the gage on Georgia Highway 88.
  The water level will cover around three fourths of the Sandy Ford 
  Public Boat Ramp.


&&

LAT...LON 3315 8279 3321 8270 3308 8257 3303 8239
      3294 8243 3300 8263             

$$
715 
WGUS82 KFFC 090314
FLSFFC
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
1014 PM EST Sat Feb 8 2020

...The Flood Warning is cancelled for the following rivers in 
Georgia...
 
  Little River near Washington affecting Taliaferro and Wilkes 
  Counties

 
GAC265-317-090344-
/O.CAN.KFFC.FL.W.0102.000000T0000Z-200209T0314Z/
/WTNG1.2.ER.200207T0224Z.200207T1700Z.200208T2311Z.NR/
1014 PM EST Sat Feb 8 2020

The Flood Warning is cancelled for
  The Little River near Washington.
* This takes effect immediately.
* At 10PM Saturday the stage was 17.6 feet and falling.
* Flood stage is 19 feet.
* The river will continue to fall.
* At 19 feet, flood stage is reached. Minor flooding occurs in the
  woodlands and fields along the river upstream and downstream from 
  the gage at Lundberg Road.
  

&&

LAT...LON 3363 8283 3368 8280 3364 8270 3367 8260
      3361 8258 3358 8272             

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this river flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Atlanta, GA wrote its last area forecast discussion before this river flood warning went out at Feb 6, 10:05 PM EST, 16 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Feb 6, 10:05 PM EST, 16 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
1005 PM EST Thu Feb 6 2020

.UPDATE...

Mainly tweaks to temperatures and pops in the evening and
overnight hours as a line of strong to severe thunderstorms
crossed through the area and temperatures start to decrease. All
of the convection has exited the area, prompting the Tornado Watch
to be cancelled. Behind the storms, we are left with pockets of
showers and drizzle across the area. With the overall threat for
flash flooding ending, the Flash Flood Watch will likely be
cancelled soon. Although some ongoing flooding may continue due to
heavy runoff from the earlier heavy rainfall, the main threat
will continue to be river flooding as the rain drains into the
creeks and rivers. Rain showers are still expected to continue on
and off in the overnight hours before mostly clearing out early
tomorrow. The potential still remains for some of the showers
overnight to transition to a rain/snow mix across northern Georgia
and snow across far northern Georgia, mainly in the highest
elevations. Accumulations are still possible across the higher
elevations with amounts around a trace up to half an inch
possible, with some locally higher amounts around an inch
possible. An SPS has been issued across the northern counties to
address the potential wintry weather.

Reaves

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /Issued 641 PM EST Thu Feb 6 2020/

PREV DISCUSSION... /Issued 307 PM EST Thu Feb 6 2020/

SHORT TERM /Tonight through Friday Night/...

The line of showers and thunderstorms that have brought a round of
severe weather and torrential flooding rainfall. The severe threat
looks to exit the forecast area by 8 PM tonight with the
expiration of the ongoing Tornado Watch. However, ongoing flooding
issues may continue with heavy runoff and another half inch of
rain expected behind the main line of storms. A Flash Flood Watch
will continue through Friday morning with several reports of
severe flooding ongoing in north Georgia.

As heavy rain filters out and isolated light showers move into
the area behind them the colder air moving in behind the front
will lead to possible snow showers and flurries across north
Georgia Friday morning. Accumulations around an inch may be
possible on western slopes in the Georgia Blue Ridge mountains.
Further flurries may continue on Saturday morning as well with
another brief round of lighter rainfall.

Thiem

LONG TERM /Saturday through Thursday/...

Given ongoing severe weather today only tweeks were made to the
extended forecast. The previous discussion follows...

PREV DISCUSSION... /Issued 416 AM EST Thu Feb 6 2020/

The first portion of the long term will be the rare dry period but
as has been the case, this will not last for long. A secondary
shortwave will drop through the midwest and eventually the
Mississippi Valley Sat morning with surface reflection passing
well north of the area. GFS continues to be most aggressive with
this feature and the associated moisture although the ECMWF has
trended slightly wetter as well. Still going to use a blend which
yields likely pops over the far NE zones through Sat afternoon.
Timing will be critical as we could see enough cold air lock in to
allow for a rain and snow mix over mountains primarily. ECMWF
indicates greater snow potential over a larger area than the GFS
but will lean toward the lower amounts which agrees with WPC. This
would yield a dusting to maybe two tenths of an inch over the
northeast mountains.

Another brief dry period for Sunday before next system moves in
quickly Monday into Tuesday and if you believe the ECMWF which
stalls the frontal boundary further north. Regardless, another
period of decent rainfall of over and inch. Not as impressive as
the current system but with ongoing flooding likely, this will
only exacerbate the problem. Although instability will be quite
minimal, did add a period of thunder for Tuesday afternoon as the
activity transitions into Central GA.

Depending on which long term solution verifies, we could see a
break on Wednesday but just as likely that front hangs around and
provides the focus for additional activity. Frontal boundary will
move through on Thu with good agreement this far out. An
additional inch of rain is likely with this system and possibly
quite a bit more in the far extended as models show front stalling
and additional waves impacting the area.

Deese

AVIATION...
00Z Update...
Mix bag of cigs across the area is expected to be dominated by
MVFR cigs through much of the taf period with IFR cigs possible
around the ATL sites through 06-08Z tonight. Some reduced vsbys
will continue over the next several hours with moderate to heavy
rain in the area. Widespread precip should clear taf sites over
the next several hours with spotty residual showers possible. In
addition there is the potential early Friday morning for some snow
flurries at the atl metro taf sites, but probability too low to
mention in taf. MVFR cigs should improve to VFR Friday afternoon.
SW winds should transition to strong W winds tonight around
02-04Z. Winds Friday will be strong as well around 10-16kts with
gusts at least up to 25kts.

//ATL Confidence...00Z Update...
Low to medium confidence on CIGS. Medium confidence on all other
elements.

Reaves

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Athens          40  46  32  51 /  80  10  10  30
Atlanta         38  44  33  53 /  60  20  20  30
Blairsville     32  38  28  45 /  60  50  20  30
Cartersville    35  43  31  52 /  40  30  20  30
Columbus        40  49  36  60 /  50  20  20  20
Gainesville     38  43  32  48 /  80  20  20  30
Macon           42  50  34  58 /  90  10  10  20
Rome            36  43  32  52 /  40  30  20  30
Peachtree City  38  47  32  56 /  60  20  20  30
Vidalia         46  52  36  61 / 100   5   5  10

&&

.FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Flash Flood Watch until 7 AM EST Friday for the following zones:
Baldwin...Banks...Barrow...Bartow...Bibb...Bleckley...Butts...
Carroll...Catoosa...Chattahoochee...Chattooga...Cherokee...
Clarke...Clayton...Cobb...Coweta...Crawford...Crisp...Dade...
Dawson...DeKalb...Dodge...Dooly...Douglas...Emanuel...Fannin...
Fayette...Floyd...Forsyth...Gilmer...Glascock...Gordon...
Greene...Gwinnett...Hall...Hancock...Haralson...Harris...Heard...
Henry...Houston...Jackson...Jasper...Jefferson...Johnson...
Jones...Lamar...Laurens...Lumpkin...Macon...Madison...Marion...
Meriwether...Monroe...Montgomery...Morgan...Murray...Muscogee...
Newton...North Fulton...Oconee...Oglethorpe...Paulding...Peach...
Pickens...Pike...Polk...Pulaski...Putnam...Rockdale...Schley...
South Fulton...Spalding...Stewart...Sumter...Talbot...
Taliaferro...Taylor...Telfair...Toombs...Towns...Treutlen...
Troup...Twiggs...Union...Upson...Walker...Walton...Warren...
Washington...Webster...Wheeler...White...Whitfield...Wilcox...
Wilkes...Wilkinson.

&&

SHORT TERM...Thiem
LONG TERM....Thiem
AVIATION...Reaves
Hazardous weather outlook, Feb 6, 8:05 PM EST, 2 hours 16 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
805 PM EST Thu Feb 6 2020

GAZ001>009-011>016-019>025-027-030>039-041>062-066>076-078>086-
089>098-102>113-080115-
Baldwin-Banks-Barrow-Bartow-Bibb-Bleckley-Butts-Carroll-Catoosa-
Chattahoochee-Chattooga-Cherokee-Clarke-Clayton-Cobb-Coweta-
Crawford-Crisp-Dade-Dawson-DeKalb-Dodge-Dooly-Douglas-Emanuel-
Fannin-Fayette-Floyd-Forsyth-Gilmer-Glascock-Gordon-Greene-
Gwinnett-Hall-Hancock-Haralson-Harris-Heard-Henry-Houston-Jackson-
Jasper-Jefferson-Johnson-Jones-Lamar-Laurens-Lumpkin-Macon-
Madison-Marion-Meriwether-Monroe-Montgomery-Morgan-Murray-
Muscogee-Newton-North Fulton-Oconee-Oglethorpe-Paulding-Peach-
Pickens-Pike-Polk-Pulaski-Putnam-Rockdale-Schley-South Fulton-
Spalding-Stewart-Sumter-Talbot-Taliaferro-Taylor-Telfair-Toombs-
Towns-Treutlen-Troup-Twiggs-Union-Upson-Walker-Walton-Warren-
Washington-Webster-Wheeler-White-Whitfield-Wilcox-Wilkes-
Wilkinson-
805 PM EST Thu Feb 6 2020

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of North and Central Georgia.

.DAY ONE...Tonight...

Showers and isolated thunderstorms will continue to sweep through
portions of central and eastern Georgia. The main threat with any
stronger storms will be damaging wind gusts. In addition, a Flash
Flood Watch is still in effect for the entire forecast area
through 7 AM Friday morning. Flooding will continue well after the
rain ends in urban areas, low-lying areas, and small creeks and
streams. Please do not attempt to drive through flooded roadways;
Turn Around, Don't Drown!

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday...

The Flash Flood Watch will continue through Friday morning across
north and central Georgia. Flooding will continue well after the
rain ends in urban areas, low-lying areas, and small creeks and
streams.

Light rain and snow mix will be possible across far north Georgia
on Friday morning and Saturday morning, mainly in the higher
terrain. In the higher elevation, accumulations of a trace up to
a 1/2 inch of snow will be possible, with locally higher amounts
around an inch across the highest ridgetops. A dusting to less
than a half an inch will be possible for the Saturday system
across the Northeast mountains.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotters are encouraged to submit reports of severe weather
through the web by going to weather.gov/atlanta.

In the hours before

Local storm report, Feb 6, 8:18 PM EST, 2 hours 3 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
818 PM EST THU FEB 06 2020

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0458 PM     TSTM WND DMG     3 N JACKSONVILLE        31.86N  82.97W
02/06/2020                   TELFAIR            GA   AMATEUR RADIO

            POWER LINES REPORTED ACROSS THE ROAD AT THE
            INTERSECTION OF ST PAULS CHURCH RD AND HWY 441.

&&

EVENT NUMBER FFC2000151

KING
Local storm report, Feb 6, 8:30 PM EST, 1 hour 51 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
830 PM EST THU FEB 06 2020

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0157 PM     TSTM WND DMG     2 NNE PAYNE CITY        32.88N  83.68W
02/06/2020                   BIBB               GA   EMERGENCY MNGR

            TREE REPORTED DOWN AT ON CRESTLINE DRIVE NEAR ROSA
            TAYLOR PLACE.

&&

EVENT NUMBER FFC2000152

KING
Local storm report, Feb 6, 8:48 PM EST, 1 hour 33 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
848 PM EST THU FEB 06 2020

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1244 PM     TSTM WND DMG     1 W PRATTSBURG          32.71N  84.38W
02/06/2020                   TALBOT             GA   EMERGENCY MNGR

            LARGE TREE DOWN NEAR WHERE POTTERS CREEK INTERSECTS HWY
            208.

&&

EVENT NUMBER FFC2000153

LUSK
Local storm report, Feb 6, 9:38 PM EST, 43 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
938 PM EST THU FEB 06 2020

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1250 PM     TSTM WND DMG     2 ENE MILNER            33.12N  84.17W
02/06/2020                   LAMAR              GA   EMERGENCY MNGR

            15+ TREES REPORTED DOWN ACROSS BUTTS COUNTY.

&&

EVENT NUMBER FFC2000154

LUSK
Local storm report, Feb 6, 10:14 PM EST, 7 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
1014 PM EST THU FEB 06 2020

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1010 AM     TSTM WND DMG     2 SW LAWRENCEVILLE      33.94N  84.01W
02/06/2020                   GWINNETT           GA   EMERGENCY MNGR

            TREE DOWN NEAR THE INTERSECTION OF CAMDEN HILL ROAD AND
            LAWRENCEVILLE HWY

&&

EVENT NUMBER FFC2000155

LUSK
Local storm report, Feb 6, 10:16 PM EST, 5 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
1016 PM EST THU FEB 06 2020

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1022 AM     TSTM WND DMG     2 SE SNELLVILLE         33.84N  84.00W
02/06/2020                   GWINNETT           GA   EMERGENCY MNGR

            POWERLINES DOWN NEAR THE INTERSECTION OF ELIZABETH LANE
            AND SPRINGDALE DR. NEAR SNELLVILLE

&&

EVENT NUMBER FFC2000156

LUSK

The office that day

Everything else NWS Atlanta, GA issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Feb 6, 7:00 PM ESTRiver Flood WarningFFCDooly32 hr
Feb 6, 7:16 PM ESTSpecial Weather StatementFFCToombs29 min
Feb 6, 7:25 PM ESTRiver Flood WarningFFCBibb, Houston, Jones, Monroe, Twiggs9 days
Feb 6, 7:47 PM ESTSpecial Weather StatementFFCToombs28 min
Feb 6, 9:11 PM ESTRiver Flood WarningFFCBaldwin, Washington, Wilkinson62 hr
Feb 6, 11:10 PM ESTRiver Flood WarningFFCFloyd17 days
Feb 6, 11:26 PM ESTRiver Flood WarningFFCTroup21 days
Feb 6, 11:58 PM ESTRiver Flood WarningFFCCoweta, Fayette, Spalding20 hr
Feb 7, 12:55 AM ESTRiver Flood WarningFFCNewton, Rockdale30 hr
Feb 7, 1:15 AM ESTRiver Flood WarningFFCCobb, Paulding14 hr
Feb 7, 6:01 AM ESTRiver Flood WarningFFCMonroe18 hr
Feb 7, 8:24 AM ESTRiver Flood WarningFFCWashington, Wilkinson3 days
Feb 7, 8:24 AM ESTRiver Flood WarningFFCButts, Henry, Newton13 hr
Feb 7, 8:27 AM ESTRiver Flood WarningFFCCherokee, Forsyth2 hr
Feb 7, 8:34 AM ESTRiver Flood WarningFFCTroup9 hr
Feb 7, 8:49 AM ESTRiver Flood WarningFFCPutnam21 hr
Feb 7, 9:43 AM ESTRiver Flood WarningFFCFloyd22 days
Feb 7, 11:01 AM ESTRiver Flood WarningFFCPulaski35 hr
Feb 7, 11:02 AM ESTRiver Flood WarningFFCBibb, Crawford, Houston, Peach26 hr
Feb 7, 11:07 AM ESTRiver Flood WarningFFCJefferson, Washington11 hr
Feb 7, 11:35 AM ESTRiver Flood WarningFFCFulton18 hr
Feb 7, 12:16 PM ESTRiver Flood WarningFFCGordon, Murray, Whitfield71 hr
Feb 7, 3:31 PM ESTRiver Flood WarningFFCJones, Monroe8 hr
Feb 7, 3:47 PM ESTWinter Weather AdvisoryFFCBanks, Barrow, Bartow, Catoosa, Chattooga, Cherokee and 28 more28 hr
Feb 7, 4:03 PM ESTRiver Flood WarningFFCNewton, Walton19 hr
Feb 7, 5:10 PM ESTRiver Flood WarningFFCNewton52 hr
Feb 7, 5:34 PM ESTRiver Flood WarningFFCChattahoochee, Muscogee15 hr
Feb 7, 6:46 PM ESTRiver Flood WarningFFCNewton21 days

Nearby

River Flood Warnings in Georgia, 2020Every river flood warning in 2020

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive; the gauge from the NWS water service and the USGS.