Special Weather Statement, NWS Dodge City, KS

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
616 PM CDT Sat Jun 20 2020

...Updated Aviation Discussion...

.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Sunday)
Issued at 324 PM CDT Sat Jun 20 2020

A few storms may form this afternoon across portions of the CWA.
If this occurs, the strongest storms will be capable of producing
small hail and wind gusts around 50 mph. These storms are then
expected to dissipate this evening as they slide southeast into
Oklahoma. Dry conditions and decreasing cloudiness is then
expected for the remainder of the night. A better chance of storms
are expected tomorrow as an upper level shortwave moves through
the area. These storms are expected to form along a frontal
boundary across west central Kansas in the afternoon then slide
southeast into central Kansas by tomorrow evening. A few of these
storms are expected to become severe with large hail, damaging
winds, and an isolated tornado being the main concern. As for
temperatures, lows tonight are expected to dip into the low to mid
60s with highs tomorrow reaching into the low 90s.

.LONG TERM...(Sunday night through Saturday)
Issued at 324 PM CDT Sat Jun 20 2020

Thunderstorm chances are anticipated each afternoon/evening across
portions of western Kansas through the long term period. This is
due to weak shortwaves moving down through northwest flow aloft,
ample moisture in the atmosphere, and frontal boundaries being the
focal point of convection at the surface. Temperatures will
generally reach into the upper 80s to low 90s with lows dipping
into the upper 50s to upper 60s.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 00Z TAFS through 00Z Sunday evening)
Issued at 610 PM CDT Sat Jun 20 2020

A trough of low pressure at the surface will remain nearly
stationary across eastern Colorado and northwest Kansas which will
result in the winds staying south southeast at 10 to 15
knots overnight. There will also be a chance for isolated
thunderstorms in the Dodge City and Hays areas through sunset.
Ceilings near these storms this evening will be in the 5000 to
9000ft AGL level based on latest BUFR soundings. VFR ceilings will
give way to clearing skies after 06z Sunday. Clouds at or above
6000ft AGL level will be on the increase after 18z Sunday as an
upper trough approaches from the west. There will even be a chance
for some scattered thunderstorms in the Hays area. Southerly
winds will continue through the day on Sunday at 10 to 15 knots.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DDC  63  92  62  90 /  30  40  40  10
GCK  61  91  61  90 /  20  30  30  10
EHA  62  95  62  95 /   0  10  10  10
LBL  62  95  62  93 /   0  20  20  10
HYS  63  92  63  88 /  30  60  40  20
P28  65  92  66  92 /  10  30  70  20

&&

.DDC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

SHORT TERM...Hovorka_42
LONG TERM...Hovorka_42
AVIATION...Burgert

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
202 AM CDT Sat Jun 20 2020

KSZ030-031-043>046-061>066-074>081-084>090-210715-
Trego-Ellis-Scott-Lane-Ness-Rush-Hamilton-Kearny-Finney-Hodgeman-
Pawnee-Stafford-Stanton-Grant-Haskell-Gray-Ford-Edwards-Kiowa-
Pratt-Morton-Stevens-Seward-Meade-Clark-Comanche-Barber-
202 AM CDT Sat Jun 20 2020 /102 AM MDT Sat Jun 20 2020/

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of central...south
central...southwest and west central Kansas.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

Days 2-7 Discussion
-------------------

Strong to severe thunderstorms will be possible across central and
eastern portions of southwest Kansas late Sunday afternoon into
Sunday evening. Large hail and damaging winds will be the main
hazards with isolated tornadoes a possibility.

An active pattern will continue through the week with thunderstorm
chances virtually each day.

Days 2-7 Hazards
----------------
* Sunday
  - Lightning: Elevated risk
  - Severe thunderstorm: Elevated risk
  - Excessive heat: Limited risk

* Monday
  - Lightning: Elevated risk
  - Excessive heat: Limited risk

* Tuesday
  - Lightning: Limited risk

* Wednesday
  - Lightning: Limited risk

* Thursday
  - Lightning: Limited risk
  - Non thunderstorm wind: Limited risk

* Friday
  - Lightning: Limited risk
  - Excessive heat: Limited risk
  - Non thunderstorm wind: Limited risk

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation will not be needed through tonight.

&&

For more details visit our webpage
https://weather.gov/crh/ghwo?sid=ddc

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
503 PM CDT Sat Jun 20 2020

KSZ080-089-202300-
Kiowa KS-Comanche KS-
503 PM CDT Sat Jun 20 2020

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTH CENTRAL KIOWA AND NORTHERN
COMANCHE COUNTIES UNTIL 600 PM CDT...

At 502 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Coldwater, moving northeast at 15 mph.

Nickel size hail and wind gusts up to 50 mph will be possible with
this storm.

Locations impacted include...
Coldwater, Wilmore and Lake Coldwater.

LAT...LON 3725 9945 3737 9949 3754 9920 3737 9907
      3720 9907
TIME...MOT...LOC 2202Z 244DEG 12KT 3734 9940

FINCH

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PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
641 PM CDT SAT JUN 20 2020

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0510 PM     HAIL             10 NNW COLDWATER        37.40N 99.38W
06/20/2020  E1.00 INCH       KIOWA              KS   PUBLIC

&&

MR

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Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
702 PM CDT Sat Jun 20 2020

KSZ030-031-210045-
Trego KS-Ellis KS-
702 PM CDT Sat Jun 20 2020

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHEASTERN TREGO AND WEST
CENTRAL ELLIS COUNTIES UNTIL 745 PM CDT...

At 702 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm
near Trego Center, moving northeast at 25 mph.

Penny size hail and wind gusts up to 50 mph will be possible with
this storm.

Locations impacted include...
Ellis, Ogallah, Trego Center and Riga.

LAT...LON 3878 9997 3896 10001 3907 9954 3880 9953
TIME...MOT...LOC 0002Z 244DEG 22KT 3890 9988

FINCH