Severe Thunderstorm Warning 51, NWS State College, PA

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service State College PA
642 PM EDT Wed Jun 3 2020

.SYNOPSIS...
Additional showers and thunderstorms will drift into southern
PA this evening, as a frontal boundary pushes through the
commonwealth. It will remain unsettled Thursday into Friday,
and possibly right into the weekend. High pressure and dry air
should finally take hold Sunday and last into early next week.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL MIDNIGHT TONIGHT/...
At 23z, showers and storms are becoming more confined to the
southeastern half of the commonwealth, as a front drops into NW
PA. Some of these storms have produced wind damage and hail,
and one long-lived supercell traveled from Cameron County in NW
PA southeastward and is now impacting eastern Lancaster County.

A drier airmass will begin settling into northern PA by
midnight, with dewpoints dropping into the 50s.

&&

.SHORT TERM /MIDNIGHT THROUGH 6 PM THURSDAY/...
Shower and thunderstorm activity should diminish heading into
the overnight hours. Clearing skies will spread south across
the region, but may self-destruct and turn to some patchy fog.

Low clouds are also possible where the wind continues to
upslope into the Alleghenies. Storms/showers will diminish for
everyone but they could hang on until around or shortly after
midnight across the Laurels. Sticky air will keep the temps from
falling out of the mid 60s for southern PA, though clearing
skies and drier air will allow the nrn mtns to dip into the
50s.

The old boundary will linger along the srn border into Thurs.
Upper flow flattens to a W-E direction, and lingering moisture
and daytime heating will lead to showers and storms
redeveloping in the aftn. Shear will be lacking, but CAPEs
could reach 1000 or better across the south. SPC MRGL risk is
enough to keep a close eye on any storms.

Max temps Thurs will be just as warm across the north as the
south, thanks to more sun up north. The coolest place will be
the Laurels where clouds and a higher chc of showers exist.

&&

.LONG TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
The old front will stall near the PA-MD border on Thu, keeping
a chance of rain showers and maybe a few PM tstms through Fri.
Generally a quarter to half an inch of rain is expected across
the southern counties Thu-Fri, with locally higher amounts in
storms. Lesser amounts north.

The stationary front is progged to move offshore Fri night, with
slightly drier air moving in for Sat. Another cold front and
shortwave trough may touch off isolated showers/storms Sat, but
drier air will be a limiting factor. Cooler, drier air will move
in behind this front for Sun-Mon. We will see a warming trend
into the middle of next week as the remnants of TS Cristobal
moving up the MS valley help build an upper ridge over the
eastern US.

&&

.AVIATION /00Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
A second round of scattered showers and t-storms will develop
across parts of the airspace late this afternoon through early
tonight. Outside of t-storms, expect mainly VFR conditions to
prevail during the 03/012Z TAF period. Some patchy fog is
possible in the northern tier late tonight into early Thursday.

Outlook...

Thu...Showers/t-storms likely especially srn 1/2.

Fri-Sat...Chance of showers/t-storms.

Sun...VFR/no sig wx.

&&

.CTP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.

&&

SYNOPSIS...Lambert/Evanego
NEAR TERM...Lambert/Evanego
SHORT TERM...Lambert/Evanego
LONG TERM...Gartner/Colbert
AVIATION...Gartner

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service State College PA
424 PM EDT Wed Jun 3 2020

PAZ011-012-018-019-041-045-046-049>053-058-042030-
Cameron-Northern Clinton-Northern Centre-Southern Centre-
Northern Lycoming-Southern Clinton-Southern Lycoming-Union-Snyder-
Montour-Northumberland-Columbia-Schuylkill-
424 PM EDT Wed Jun 3 2020

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 244 IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for central Pennsylvania.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to
weather.gov/StateCollege on the internet for more
information about the following hazards.

   Severe Thunderstorm Watch.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotters are encouraged to report significant hazardous weather.

PAZ004>006-010-017-037-042-042030-
Warren-McKean-Potter-Elk-Clearfield-Tioga-Sullivan-
424 PM EDT Wed Jun 3 2020

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for central Pennsylvania.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotters are encouraged to report significant hazardous weather.

PAZ033>035-042030-
Somerset-Bedford-Fulton-
424 PM EDT Wed Jun 3 2020

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for central Pennsylvania.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Isolated severe thunderstorms with damaging winds 60 mph or greater
and large hail exceeding 1 inch in diameter are possible this
evening.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

Strong to severe thunderstorms with gusty winds and small hail
are possible, mainly after noon on Thursday.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotters are encouraged to report significant hazardous weather.

PAZ024>026-036-042030-
Cambria-Blair-Huntingdon-Franklin-
424 PM EDT Wed Jun 3 2020

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for central Pennsylvania.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Isolated severe thunderstorms with damaging winds 60 mph or greater
and large hail exceeding 1 inch in diameter are possible late today
and this evening.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

Strong to severe thunderstorms with gusty winds and small hail
are possible, mainly after noon on Thursday.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotters are encouraged to report significant hazardous weather.

PAZ027-028-056-057-059-063>066-042030-
Mifflin-Juniata-Perry-Dauphin-Lebanon-Cumberland-Adams-York-
Lancaster-
424 PM EDT Wed Jun 3 2020

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 244 IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for central Pennsylvania.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to
weather.gov/StateCollege on the internet for more
information about the following hazards.

   Severe Thunderstorm Watch.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

Strong to severe thunderstorms with gusty winds and small hail
are possible, mainly after noon on Thursday.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotters are encouraged to report significant hazardous weather.

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PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA
646 PM EDT WED JUN 3 2020

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0632 PM     TSTM WND DMG     2 ENE BRICKERVILLE      40.23N 76.24W
06/03/2020                   LANCASTER          PA   UTILITY COMPANY

            TREES DOWN ON WIRES.

&&

ART