Severe Thunderstorm Warning 38, NWS State College, PA

285 
WWUS51 KCTP 030553
SVSCTP

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service State College PA
153 AM EDT Wed Jun 3 2020

PAC117-030603-
/O.CAN.KCTP.SV.W.0038.000000T0000Z-200603T0700Z/
Tioga PA-
153 AM EDT Wed Jun 3 2020

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR SOUTHERN TIOGA COUNTY IS
CANCELLED...
                
The storm which prompted the warning has weakened below severe
limits, and no longer poses an immediate threat to life or property.
Therefore, the warning has been cancelled.

To report severe weather, contact your nearest law enforcement
agency. They will relay your report to the National Weather Service
State College PA.

LAT...LON 4167 7688 4160 7688 4155 7696 4154 7760
      4193 7761 4194 7760
TIME...MOT...LOC 0552Z 306DEG 42KT 4163 7739 

$$

Colbert

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service State College PA
1200 AM EDT Wed Jun 3 2020

.SYNOPSIS...
It will be mild and increasingly humid overnight, with rounds
of showers and potentially strong thunderstorms expected
overnight into Wednesday. It will remain unsettled Thursday into
Friday, and possibly right into the weekend.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM WEDNESDAY MORNING/...
Short-range models bring the first of potentially three rounds
of convection across the northeastern portion of the area
overnight. Showers and storms are developing over southern
Ontario and Lake Huron, and these are projected to drop
southeastward across NE PA during the pre-dawn hours overnight.

It will be a relatively mild and increasingly humid night, with
lows generally holding in the upper 50s and 60s.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 AM WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH 6 PM WEDNESDAY/...
A convective complex that is currently raging over the Upper
Midwest is expected to dive to the E/SE overnight, with the
remnants of it crossing northern PA Wednesday morning.

A cold front will drop southeastward into the area by
afternoon, with a third round of convection expected to develop
across southern PA along and ahead of this front. It will be
interesting to see how the outflow from the earlier convective
complex impacts aftn storm development.

Wednesday will be warm and humid, and highs could reach the mid
to upper 80s southeast of the mountains before any convection
reaches there later in the day.

&&

.LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/...
After crossing through the CWA Wed night, the cold front will
stall near the PA-MD border on Thu, keeping a chance of rain
showers and maybe a few PM tstms through Fri. Generally a
quarter to half an inch of rain is expected across the southern
counties Thu-Fri, with locally higher amounts in storms. Lesser
amounts north.

The stationary front is progged to move offshore Fri night, with
slightly drier air moving in for Sat. Another cold front and
shortwave trough may touch off isolated showers/storms Sat, but
drier air will be a limiting factor. Cooler, drier air will move
in behind this front for Sun-Mon. We will see a warming trend
into the middle of next week as the remnants of TS Cristobal
moving up the MS valley help build an upper ridge over the
eastern US.

&&

.AVIATION /04Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
Conditions tonight will likely remain VFR outside of SHRA/TSRA
activity. A cluster of strong storms in western NY may hold
together and move into northern and eastern parts of central PA
between 05z and 10z Wed. For now, kept TSRA out of the TAF, but
will continue to monitor.

More in the way of active weather expected Wed. What is left of
the large MCS currently over Wisconsin will track through the
region during the morning hours Wed. Additional storms may
develop behind this activity later Wed afternoon and early
evening. Westerly winds will gust 20-25 kts during the day Wed,
with higher gusts in storms.

Outlook...

Thu...Showers/t-storms likely especially srn 1/2.

Fri-Sat...Chance of showers/t-storms.

Sun...Dry weather with VFR conditions to return to the area.

&&

.CLIMATE...
May 2020: Harrisburg recorded the coldest May temperature on
record /with records dating back to 1888/ with a low of 30
degrees on 5/10. A trace of snow also tied the record for
snowiest May.

Spring 2020 (March+April+May): A very warm March, chilly April,
and roller coaster May (historic chill followed by summer-like
warmth) resulted in a meteorological spring that was pretty
close to/slightly above average in central PA. Precipitation
was also near to slightly above average with the largest
seasonal departure at Williamsport (+2.87").

Monthly and seasonal climate summaries are available on our
website at weather.gov/climate/index.php?wfo=ctp

&&

.CTP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.

&&

SYNOPSIS...Martin/Evanego
NEAR TERM...Evanego
SHORT TERM...Evanego
LONG TERM...Gartner/Colbert
AVIATION...Martin/Colbert
CLIMATE...Steinbugl

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service State College PA
647 PM EDT Tue Jun 2 2020

PAZ004>006-011-012-037-041-042-046-053-032300-
Warren-McKean-Potter-Cameron-Northern Clinton-Tioga-
Northern Lycoming-Sullivan-Southern Lycoming-Columbia-
647 PM EDT Tue Jun 2 2020

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for central Pennsylvania.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Scattered severe thunderstorms with damaging winds 60 mph or greater
and hail exceeding 1 inch in diameter are possible overnight.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

Scattered severe thunderstorms with damaging winds 60 mph or greater
and hail exceeding 1 inch in diameter are possible on Wednesday.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

PAZ010-017>019-026>028-045-049>052-056>059-032300-
Elk-Clearfield-Northern Centre-Southern Centre-Huntingdon-Mifflin-
Juniata-Southern Clinton-Union-Snyder-Montour-Northumberland-Perry-
Dauphin-Schuylkill-Lebanon-
647 PM EDT Tue Jun 2 2020

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for central Pennsylvania.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

Scattered severe thunderstorms with damaging winds 60 mph or greater
and hail exceeding 1 inch in diameter are possible on Wednesday.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

PAZ036-063>066-032300-
Franklin-Cumberland-Adams-York-Lancaster-
647 PM EDT Tue Jun 2 2020

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for central Pennsylvania.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

Scattered severe thunderstorms with damaging winds 60 mph or greater
and hail exceeding 1 inch in diameter are possible on Wednesday.
Locally heavy rainfall and isolated flash flooding are also possible
Thursday into Thursday night.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

PAZ033>035-032300-
Somerset-Bedford-Fulton-
647 PM EDT Tue Jun 2 2020

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for central Pennsylvania.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

Scattered severe thunderstorms with damaging winds 60 mph or greater
and hail exceeding 1 inch in diameter are possible on Wednesday.
Locally heavy rainfall and isolated flash flooding are also possible
late Wednesday into Wednesday night, and again Thursday into Thursday
night.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

PAZ024-025-032300-
Cambria-Blair-
647 PM EDT Tue Jun 2 2020

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for central Pennsylvania.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

Scattered severe thunderstorms with damaging winds 60 mph or greater
and hail exceeding 1 inch in diameter are possible on Wednesday.
Locally heavy rainfall and isolated flash flooding are also possible
late Wednesday into Wednesday night.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.