Severe Thunderstorm Warning 37, NWS Albany, NY

486 
WWUS51 KALY 292313
SVSALY

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Albany NY
713 PM EDT Fri May 29 2020

NYC091-292323-
/O.CAN.KALY.SV.W.0037.000000T0000Z-200529T2345Z/
Saratoga NY-
713 PM EDT Fri May 29 2020

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR SOUTHEASTERN SARATOGA COUNTY
IS CANCELLED...

The storms which prompted the warning have moved out of the warned 
area. Therefore, the warning has been cancelled.

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 900 PM EDT for
east central New York...and southern Vermont.

LAT...LON 4307 7315 4294 7356 4294 7363 4297 7363
      4298 7361 4306 7358 4312 7357 4313 7359
      4321 7358 4342 7325 4332 7325 4330 7299
TIME...MOT...LOC 2313Z 232DEG 33KT 4330 7322 4302 7342 

$$

NYC115-VTC003-292345-
/O.CON.KALY.SV.W.0037.000000T0000Z-200529T2345Z/
Washington NY-Bennington VT-
713 PM EDT Fri May 29 2020

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 745 PM EDT
FOR SOUTHERN WASHINGTON AND NORTHWESTERN BENNINGTON COUNTIES...

At 713 PM EDT, severe thunderstorms were located along a line
extending from near Pawlet to Cambridge, moving northeast at 40 mph.

HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Expect damage to roofs, siding, and trees.

These severe storms will be near...
  Granville around 720 PM EDT.
  Pawlet around 725 PM EDT.
  Salem around 730 PM EDT.
  Arlington around 735 PM EDT.
  Manchester around 745 PM EDT.
  Dorset around 750 PM EDT.

Other locations impacted by these severe thunderstorms include
Cossayuna, Beartown, Center Falls, Goose Island, East Hebron, South
Granville, Middle Falls, Eagleville, West Pawlet and North Cambridge.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

&&

LAT...LON 4307 7315 4294 7356 4294 7363 4297 7363
      4298 7361 4306 7358 4312 7357 4313 7359
      4321 7358 4342 7325 4332 7325 4330 7299
TIME...MOT...LOC 2313Z 232DEG 33KT 4330 7322 4302 7342 

HAIL...<.75IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

DBT

651 
WWUS51 KALY 292321
SVSALY

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Albany NY
721 PM EDT Fri May 29 2020

NYC115-VTC003-292345-
/O.CON.KALY.SV.W.0037.000000T0000Z-200529T2345Z/
Washington NY-Bennington VT-
721 PM EDT Fri May 29 2020

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 745 PM EDT
FOR SOUTHEASTERN WASHINGTON AND NORTHWESTERN BENNINGTON COUNTIES...

At 721 PM EDT, severe thunderstorms were located along a line
extending from near Pawlet to near Cambridge, moving northeast at 40
mph.

HAZARD...70 mph wind gusts.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Expect considerable tree damage. Damage is likely to mobile 
         homes, roofs, and outbuildings.

These severe storms will be near...
  Arlington and Pawlet around 735 PM EDT.
  Manchester around 745 PM EDT.
  Dorset around 750 PM EDT.

Other locations impacted by these severe thunderstorms include
Cossayuna, Beartown, Braymer School, Battenville, Goose Island,
Rupert, Sandgate, East Hebron, South Granville and Rexleigh.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

&&

LAT...LON 4307 7315 4304 7337 4312 7346 4321 7351
      4342 7325 4332 7325 4330 7299
TIME...MOT...LOC 2321Z 229DEG 33KT 4330 7318 4307 7334 

HAIL...<.75IN
WIND...70MPH
 
$$

DBT

420 
WWUS51 KALY 292335
SVSALY

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Albany NY
735 PM EDT Fri May 29 2020

NYC115-292344-
/O.CAN.KALY.SV.W.0037.000000T0000Z-200529T2345Z/
Washington NY-
735 PM EDT Fri May 29 2020

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR SOUTHEASTERN WASHINGTON COUNTY
IS CANCELLED...
    
The severe thunderstorm which prompted the warning has moved out of 
the warned area. Therefore, the warning has been cancelled.

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 900 PM EDT for
eastern New York.

LAT...LON 4310 7313 4314 7325 4314 7326 4332 7325
      4330 7299
TIME...MOT...LOC 2334Z 234DEG 32KT 4322 7318 

$$

VTC003-292345-
/O.CON.KALY.SV.W.0037.000000T0000Z-200529T2345Z/
Bennington VT-
735 PM EDT Fri May 29 2020

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 745 PM EDT
FOR NORTHWESTERN BENNINGTON COUNTY...

At 734 PM EDT, a severe thunderstorm was located near Dorset, or near
Manchester, moving northeast at 35 mph.

HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Expect damage to roofs, siding, and trees.

This severe storm will be near...
  Dorset around 740 PM EDT.

Other locations impacted by this severe thunderstorm include North
Rupert, West Sandgate, Beartown, East Rupert, Rupert, West Rupert,
North Dorset, Sandgate and South Dorset.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

&&

LAT...LON 4310 7313 4314 7325 4314 7326 4332 7325
      4330 7299
TIME...MOT...LOC 2334Z 234DEG 32KT 4322 7318 

HAIL...<.75IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

DBT

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
National Weather Service Albany NY
652 PM EDT Fri May 29 2020

.SYNOPSIS...
With a muggy air mass in place ahead of a frontal
boundary, showers and thunderstorms are expected through this
evening.  Some storms will be severe with strong winds and heavy
rainfall. Behind the front, much cooler and less humid conditions
are expected for the weekend.  Dry and comfortable weather will
continue for the start of next week as well.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM SATURDAY MORNING/...
As of 652 PM EDT...Potent upper level shortwave is seen in
water vapor imagery across lower Michigan. Associated with this
feature is a surface cold front that is moving across far
western New York. Ahead of this boundary, several bands of
convection have been occurring across all of Upstate New York.
While thunderstorms have initially been cellular or forming
clusters, they have recently been organizing into small lines,
as the increasing 0-6 km shear of around 30-40 kts has been
favorable for linear development.

With a warm and humid air mass in place (dewpoints nearing 70
degrees), MLCAPE has been around 1500 J/kg across much of the
area. Lines of severe storms have been ongoing this evening,
especially across the Lake George-Glens Falls-Saratoga Springs
areas. Damaging winds have been the main threat with the storms
as they move west to east across the region. Severe Thunderstorm
Watch continues for all of eastern Upstate NY and southern VT
until 9 PM.

By later this evening, severe convection will be weakening due
to diurnal cooling and decreasing instability. Some showers may
linger into the overnight as the front slowly crosses the area
from west to east, but the threat for severe winds and lightning
should be ending before midnight.

Overnight lows look to fall into the mid 50s to mid 60s. It will
initially be rather muggy, but dewpoints should finally start
falling by the late night as the front finally crosses the area.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 AM SATURDAY MORNING THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT/...
Much cooler and less humid conditions are expected over the
weekend.

The cold front will continue to depart off to the east on
Saturday morning. It looks to slow down and possibly stall as it
gets towards eastern New England. There may be some morning
showers/clouds associated with the boundary for eastern areas.
In addition, a few afternoon showers could develop over central
New York thanks to the approaching upper level trough and these
could spread into western areas by later in the day as well.
Otherwise, it will be drier with a mix of sun and clouds through
the day.

Daytime highs will be noticeably cooler in the mid 60s to mid
70s, with dewpoints falling through the 50s and eventually the
40s by late in the day.

The upper level trough will be overhead for Saturday night into
Sunday. 850 hpa temps will fall close to 0 C. After a cool night
of lows in the 40s for Saturday night, daytime highs will only
reach the mid 50s to mid 60s for Sunday, with a gusty northwest
breeze. Dewpoints will only be in the 30s, which is quite dry
for the last day of May.

On Sunday night, high pressure building into the area from the
Ohio Valley will allow for decreasing winds and clear skies.
With the dry atmosphere in place, this should set the stage for
good radiational cooling. It will be very chilly, and temps
will fall into the upper 30s to mid 40s for lows. Some frost
cannot be ruled out across the higher terrain of the Adirondacks
and southern VT.

&&

.LONG TERM /MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
Guidance is in agreement with an amplified blocky longwave pattern
across the CONUS with a trough over the Northeast and a ridge over
the south-central United States to start the week. Heights are
expected to rise over the Northeast as the trough departs and
ridging tries to build in early in the week. However, the ridge is
expected to get quickly surpressed as short waves approaches
and move through mid to late in the week. At the surface, high
pressure over the eastern United States is expected to shift
offshore with a return flow developing. Cold fronts associated
with the short waves will sweep through bring chances for
showers to the area.

The first day of June will feature below normal temperature by 5 to
10 degrees with cyclonic flow across the region. Temperatures will
moderate and be seasonably warm the rest of the week.

&&

.AVIATION /00Z SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
NWS WSR-88D Radars showing isolated to scattered showers and
thunderstorms developing across New York State north and west of the
mid Hudson Valley.  Chances for scattered thunderstorms will
increase across the Albany Forecast Area during the late afternoon
into the evening. Have included tempo for thunder in TAFs as latest
convective allowing models show coverage to increase substantially
this afternoon. Scattered showers and thunderstorms will linger
through much of the evening, as a slow moving cold front progresses
eastward. Cold front should be east of the TAF sites by mid morning
Saturday and winds will become more west to northwest tomorrow.

Winds today will be southerly around 10-15 kt with gusts of
20-25 kt, especially at KALB/KPSF. Stronger winds gusts will be
possible within any thunderstorms later this afternoon and
evening. Winds will shift to the west tomorrow morning after the
cold front passes.

Outlook...

Saturday Night: No Operational Impact. NO SIG WX.
Sunday: No Operational Impact. NO SIG WX.
Sunday Night: No Operational Impact. NO SIG WX.
Monday: Low Operational Impact. Slight Chance of SHRA.
Monday Night: No Operational Impact. NO SIG WX.
Tuesday: Low Operational Impact. Slight Chance of SHRA.
Tuesday Night: Moderate Operational Impact. Chance of SHRA.
Wednesday: Moderate Operational Impact. Chance of SHRA.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
Thanks to a cold front, showers and thunderstorms will move
across the region this evening, bringing a wetting rainfall to
many areas. Behind the frontal boundary, drier and cooler
weather is expected this weekend. RH values will be as low as 40
percent on Saturday and as low as 25 to 35 percent on Sunday.
West winds will be 5 to 10 mph on Saturday and northwest winds
will be 10 to 15 mph for Sunday.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...
Showers and thunderstorms are expected through this evening.
Some of the thunderstorms may produce locally heavy downpours,
with up to an inch possible. This rainfall may allow for sharp
rises on small streams and creeks, as well as ponding of water
in urban areas. However, large scale flooding is not expected,
as the heavy rainfall will be localized in nature and recent dry
conditions will alleviate widespread issues. While some larger
rivers may see minor rises, no river flooding is expected.

Dry weather is then expected for the weekend into early next
week. This will allow for any small rises to recede quickly and
river levels to remain steady into the upcoming week.

For details on specific area rivers and lakes, including observed
and forecast river stages and lake elevations, please visit the
Advanced Hydrologic Prediction Service /AHPS/ graphs on our
website.

&&

.ALY WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
CT...None.
NY...None.
MA...None.
VT...None.

&&

SYNOPSIS...Frugis
NEAR TERM...Frugis
SHORT TERM...Frugis
LONG TERM...IAA
AVIATION...SND
FIRE WEATHER...Frugis
HYDROLOGY...Frugis

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Albany NY
646 PM EDT Fri May 29 2020

NYZ032-033-038>043-047>054-058>061-063>066-082>084-VTZ013>015-301100-
Northern Herkimer-Hamilton-Southern Herkimer-Southern Fulton-
Montgomery-Northern Saratoga-Northern Warren-Northern Washington-
Schoharie-Western Schenectady-Eastern Schenectady-Southern Saratoga-
Western Albany-Eastern Albany-Western Rensselaer-Eastern Rensselaer-
Western Greene-Eastern Greene-Western Columbia-Eastern Columbia-
Western Ulster-Eastern Ulster-Western Dutchess-Eastern Dutchess-
Northern Fulton-Southeast Warren-Southern Washington-Bennington-
Western Windham-Eastern Windham-
646 PM EDT Fri May 29 2020

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 234 IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for eastern New York and southern
Vermont.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Severe Thunderstorm Watch.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

Hazardous weather is not expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SKYWARN activation is requested for all of eastern Upstate New York
and southern Vermont. Please send any reports of flooding, damaging
winds or hail to the National Weather Service via email, social media
or phone.

CTZ001-013-MAZ001-025-301100-
Northern Litchfield-Southern Litchfield-Northern Berkshire-
Southern Berkshire-
646 PM EDT Fri May 29 2020

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for northwestern Connecticut and
western Massachusetts.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Thunderstorms this evening will be capable of producing gusty winds
and heavy rainfall. A few storms may be severe with damaging winds
and hail.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

Hazardous weather is not expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation may be needed this evening. Please send any reports
of flooding, damaging winds or hail to the National Weather Service
via email, social media or phone.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY
632 PM EDT FRI MAY 29 2020

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0559 PM     TSTM WND DMG     3 WNW MOREAU            43.26N  73.75W
05/29/2020                   WARREN             NY   911 CALL CENTER

            TREE DOWN ON A HOUSE, TIME ESTIMATED BY RADAR

&&

EVENT NUMBER ALY2002440

RATHBUN

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Albany NY
632 PM EDT Fri May 29 2020

NYZ065-066-292300-
Eastern Dutchess-Western Dutchess-
632 PM EDT Fri May 29 2020

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT SOUTHERN DUTCHESS COUNTY...

At 630 PM EDT, a strong thunderstorm was located over New Windsor, or
over Cold Spring, moving northeast at 50 mph.

Winds in excess of 40 mph and pea size hail are possible with this
storm.

Locations impacted include...
Beacon, Wappingers Falls, Fishkill, Hopewell Junction, Red Oaks
Mill, East Fishkill, Stormville, Glenham, Clove Valley, Poughquag,
Billings and Pleasant Ridge.

LAT...LON 4145 7400 4152 7400 4154 7399 4158 7395
      4162 7395 4181 7375 4164 7353 4151 7372
      4149 7394 4144 7398
TIME...MOT...LOC 2230Z 224DEG 56KT 4145 7399

MSE

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY
635 PM EDT FRI MAY 29 2020

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0615 PM     TSTM WND DMG     3 ENE GLENS FALLS AIRPO 43.35N  73.55W
05/29/2020                   WASHINGTON         NY   911 CALL CENTER

            TREE ON WIRES, TIME ESTIMATED BY RADAR

&&

EVENT NUMBER ALY2002441

RATHBUN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY
638 PM EDT FRI MAY 29 2020

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0620 PM     TSTM WND DMG     1 NNW FORT ANN          43.43N  73.50W
05/29/2020                   WASHINGTON         NY   911 CALL CENTER

            POLES DOWN NEAR SOUTH BAY ROAD AND WEST ROAD, TIME
            ESTIMATED BY RADAR

&&

EVENT NUMBER ALY2002442

RATHBUN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY
643 PM EDT FRI MAY 29 2020

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0606 PM     TSTM WND DMG     1 NNW WILTON            43.19N  73.75W
05/29/2020                   SARATOGA           NY   SOCIAL MEDIA

            TREE LIMBS DOWN ON CORINTH MOUNTAIN ROAD

&&

EVENT NUMBER ALY2002443

RATHBUN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY
647 PM EDT FRI MAY 29 2020

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0604 PM     TSTM WND DMG     1 WNW NISKAYUNA         42.83N  73.92W
05/29/2020                   SCHENECTADY        NY   SOCIAL MEDIA

            LARGE TREE LIMB DOWN ON CORNER OF LENOX ROAD AND
            RAYMOND STREET, TIME ESTIMATED BY RADAR

&&

EVENT NUMBER ALY2002444

RATHBUN