Small Craft Advisory 752, NWS Anchorage, AK

155 
FZAK52 PAFC 041144
CWFALU

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
344 AM AKDT Sun Oct 4 2020

Coastal Waters Forecast for Southwest Alaska+Bristol Bay+The
Alaska Peninsula Waters and the Aleutian Islands up to 100 nm out.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ199-050015-
344 AM AKDT Sun Oct 4 2020
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...

A front associated with a low moving into the Gulf of Alaska
continues to graze the southern Alaska Peninula through Sun
afternoon. A stronger front associated with a Sea of Okhotsk low
moves into the western Bering and Aleutians Mon morning. The front
continues into the central Bering by Mon night.

$$

PKZ150-050015-
South of the AK Peninsula Sitkinak to Castle Cape-
344 AM AKDT Sun Oct 4 2020

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TODAY...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.TONIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.MON...W wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.MON NIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.WED...S wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.THU...W wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft.

$$

PKZ155-050015-
South of the AK Peninsula Castle Cape to Cape Sarichef-
344 AM AKDT Sun Oct 4 2020

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TODAY...W wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.TONIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.MON...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.MON NIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.TUE...W wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.WED...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.THU...W wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft.

$$

PKZ160-050015-
Bristol Bay-
344 AM AKDT Sun Oct 4 2020

.TODAY...E wind 10 kt becoming NW in the afternoon. Seas 3 ft.
.TONIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON...W wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON NIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.WED...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.THU...S wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ165-050015-
Port Heiden to Cape Sarichef-
344 AM AKDT Sun Oct 4 2020

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND MONDAY...

.TODAY...W wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TONIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft building to 8 ft after
midnight.
.MON...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.MON NIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.TUE...W wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.WED...S wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.THU...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 12 ft.

$$

PKZ170-050015-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Bering Side-
344 AM AKDT Sun Oct 4 2020

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND MONDAY...

.TODAY...W wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.MON...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.MON NIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.TUE...S wind 35 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.WED...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.THU...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 16 ft.

$$

PKZ171-050015-
Unalaska Bay-
344 AM AKDT Sun Oct 4 2020

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND MONDAY...

.TODAY...SW wind 10 kt becoming W in the afternoon. Seas 2 ft.
Rain showers.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. Rain showers.
.MON...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.MON NIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.THU...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ172-050015-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Pacific Side-
344 AM AKDT Sun Oct 4 2020

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TODAY...W wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.MON...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.MON NIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...W wind 30 kt. Seas 17 ft.

$$

PKZ173-050015-
Nikolski to Seguam Island Bering Side-
344 AM AKDT Sun Oct 4 2020

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND MONDAY...

.TODAY...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.MON...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.MON NIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TUE...S wind 40 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 17 ft.

$$

PKZ174-050015-
Nikolski to Seguam Island Pacific Side-
344 AM AKDT Sun Oct 4 2020

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TODAY...W wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.MON...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.MON NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TUE...S wind 40 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 19 ft.

$$

PKZ175-050015-
Seguam Island to Adak Bering Side-
344 AM AKDT Sun Oct 4 2020

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TODAY...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.MON...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.MON NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TUE...S wind 45 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 16 ft.

$$

PKZ176-050015-
Seguam Island to Adak Pacific Side-
344 AM AKDT Sun Oct 4 2020

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.MON...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.MON NIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TUE...S wind 40 kt. Seas 20 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 19 ft.

$$

PKZ177-050015-
Adak to Kiska-
344 AM AKDT Sun Oct 4 2020

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.MON...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.MON NIGHT...S wind 35 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 45 kt. Seas 22 ft.
.WED...SW wind 35 kt. Seas 20 ft.
.THU...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 18 ft.

$$

PKZ178-050015-
Kiska to Attu-
344 AM AKDT Sun Oct 4 2020

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY AND MONDAY...

.TODAY...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.TONIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.MON...S wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.MON NIGHT...S wind 50 kt. Seas 22 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 50 kt. Seas 23 ft.
.WED...SW wind 35 kt. Seas 22 ft.
.THU...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 18 ft.

$$

PKZ179-050015-
Pribilof Islands Near Shore Waters-
344 AM AKDT Sun Oct 4 2020

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TODAY...N wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. Rain showers.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.MON...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.MON NIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TUE...S wind 35 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.WED...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.THU...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 14 ft.

$$

PKZ180-050015-
Kuskokwim Delta and Etolin Strait-
344 AM AKDT Sun Oct 4 2020

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TODAY...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TONIGHT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.MON...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.MON NIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...S wind 35 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.THU...S wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

PKZ181-050015-
North and West of Nunivak Island-
344 AM AKDT Sun Oct 4 2020

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TODAY...N wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.TONIGHT...N wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.MON...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.MON NIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...SE wind 35 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.THU...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

PKZ185-050015-
Saint Matthew Island Waters-
344 AM AKDT Sun Oct 4 2020

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TODAY...N wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TONIGHT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.MON...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.MON NIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TUE...SE wind 45 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.WED...S wind 30 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.THU...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 14 ft.

$$

351 
FZAK52 PAFC 042326
CWFALU

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
326 PM AKDT Sun Oct 4 2020

Coastal Waters Forecast for Southwest Alaska+Bristol Bay+The
Alaska Peninsula Waters and the Aleutian Islands up to 100 nm out.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ199-051230-
326 PM AKDT Sun Oct 4 2020
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...

A front extending from a Sea of Okhotsk low moves into the 
western Bering and Aleutians Mon morning. This front pushes into 
the central Bering and Aleutians Tuesday morning.

$$

PKZ150-051230-
South of the AK Peninsula Sitkinak to Castle Cape-
326 PM AKDT Sun Oct 4 2020

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.MON...W wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.MON NIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.WED...S wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ155-051230-
South of the AK Peninsula Castle Cape to Cape Sarichef-
326 PM AKDT Sun Oct 4 2020

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W wind 15 kt. W of the Shumagin Islands, W wind 15 kt
increasing to 25 kt after midnight. Seas 9 ft.
.MON...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.MON NIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...SW wind 35 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.WED...SW wind 35 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...W wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.

$$

PKZ160-051230-
Bristol Bay-
326 PM AKDT Sun Oct 4 2020

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON...W wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON NIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.WED...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ165-051230-
Port Heiden to Cape Sarichef-
326 PM AKDT Sun Oct 4 2020

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W wind 25 kt except SW 10 kt from Port Moller E. Seas
4 ft building to 9 ft after midnight.
.MON...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.MON NIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.TUE...W wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...S wind 40 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.WED...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 12 ft.

$$

PKZ170-051230-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Bering Side-
326 PM AKDT Sun Oct 4 2020

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.MON...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.MON NIGHT...NW wind 20 kt becoming variable 10 kt after midnight. 
Seas 8 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...S wind 40 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.WED...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 15 ft.

$$

PKZ171-051230-
Unalaska Bay-
326 PM AKDT Sun Oct 4 2020

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...W wind 15 kt becoming NW wind 25 kt after midnight. Seas 
7 ft. Rain showers.
.MON...NW wind 25 kt diminishing to 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 8 
ft.
.MON NIGHT...NW wind 20 kt diminishing to 10 kt after midnight. Seas
7 ft subsiding to 2 ft after midnight.
.TUE...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...S wind 30 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.WED...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ172-051230-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Pacific Side-
326 PM AKDT Sun Oct 4 2020

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.MON...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.MON NIGHT...NW wind 25 kt diminishing to 15 kt after midnight. Seas
7 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...S wind 40 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.WED...SW wind 40 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.THU...W wind 30 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.FRI...W wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.

$$

PKZ173-051230-
Nikolski to Seguam Island Bering Side-
326 PM AKDT Sun Oct 4 2020

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.MON...NW wind 25 kt diminishing to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 8 
ft.
.MON NIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TUE...S wind 45 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...SW wind 45 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.FRI...W wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft.

$$

PKZ174-051230-
Nikolski to Seguam Island Pacific Side-
326 PM AKDT Sun Oct 4 2020

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.MON...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.MON NIGHT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 35 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...SW wind 45 kt. Seas 21 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 20 ft.
.FRI...W wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.

$$

PKZ175-051230-
Seguam Island to Adak Bering Side-
326 PM AKDT Sun Oct 4 2020

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.MON...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.MON NIGHT...SW wind 15 kt becoming S 25 kt after midnight. Seas
6 ft.
.TUE...S wind 45 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...SW wind 40 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.WED...SW wind 35 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.

$$

PKZ176-051230-
Seguam Island to Adak Pacific Side-
326 PM AKDT Sun Oct 4 2020

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.MON...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.MON NIGHT...W wind 15 kt becoming SW 25 kt after midnight. Seas
5 ft.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...SW wind 45 kt. Seas 21 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 20 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.

$$

PKZ177-051230-
Adak to Kiska-
326 PM AKDT Sun Oct 4 2020

...GALE WARNING MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.MON...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.MON NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt becoming S 40 kt after midnight. Seas 7 
ft building to 13 ft after midnight. Rain.
.TUE...S wind 45 kt. Seas 22 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...SW wind 40 kt. Seas 20 ft.
.WED...SW wind 35 kt. Seas 20 ft.
.THU...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.FRI...W wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.

$$

PKZ178-051230-
Kiska to Attu-
326 PM AKDT Sun Oct 4 2020

...STORM WARNING MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.MON...S wind 25 kt increasing to 35 kt in the afternoon. Seas 6 ft 
building to 10 ft in the afternoon.
.MON NIGHT...S wind 40 kt increasing to 50 kt after midnight. Seas 
21 ft. Rain.
.TUE...SW wind 45 kt. Seas 21 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...SW wind 40 kt. Seas 22 ft.
.WED...SW wind 35 kt. Seas 22 ft.
.THU...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.FRI...W wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.

$$

PKZ179-051230-
Pribilof Islands Near Shore Waters-
326 PM AKDT Sun Oct 4 2020

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.MON...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.MON NIGHT...NW wind 15 kt becoming variable 10 kt after midnight. 
Seas 6 ft.
.TUE...S wind 35 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...S wind 40 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.WED...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 13 ft.

$$

PKZ180-051230-
Kuskokwim Delta and Etolin Strait-
326 PM AKDT Sun Oct 4 2020

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W wind 25 kt, except 10 kt S of Cape Newenham. Seas 6 ft.
.MON...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.MON NIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.TUE...W wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...S wind 35 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.WED...S wind 35 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.THU...S wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.FRI...S wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ181-051230-
North and West of Nunivak Island-
326 PM AKDT Sun Oct 4 2020

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.MON...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.MON NIGHT...NW wind 25 kt diminishing to 15 kt after midnight.
Seas 7 ft.
.TUE...S wind 30 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...SE wind 40 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.WED...SE wind 35 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.THU...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.FRI...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ185-051230-
Saint Matthew Island Waters-
326 PM AKDT Sun Oct 4 2020

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.MON...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.MON NIGHT...E of Saint Matthew Island, NW wind 15 kt in the
evening becoming variable 10 kt. W of Saint Matthew Island, S wind 
30 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TUE...SE wind 45 kt. Seas 19 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...SE wind 40 kt. Seas 20 ft.
.WED...S wind 25 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.THU...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.FRI...N wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

439 
FZAK52 PAFC 051138
CWFALU

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
338 AM AKDT Mon Oct 5 2020

Coastal Waters Forecast for Southwest Alaska+Bristol Bay+The
Alaska Peninsula Waters and the Aleutian Islands up to 100 nm out.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ199-060015-
338 AM AKDT Mon Oct 5 2020
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...

A 967 mb low 340 nm north of Attu Island Tuesday evening moves 370
nm northeast of Attu Island at 968 mb by early Wed morning. Its 
associated front moves from the western Bering to the eastern 
Bering by Tue afternoon.

$$

PKZ150-060015-
South of the AK Peninsula Sitkinak to Castle Cape-
338 AM AKDT Mon Oct 5 2020

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...W wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.TONIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.WED...S wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...W wind 20 kt. Seas 12 ft.

$$

PKZ155-060015-
South of the AK Peninsula Castle Cape to Cape Sarichef-
338 AM AKDT Mon Oct 5 2020

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...W wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...SW wind 35 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.WED...SW wind 35 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft.

$$

PKZ160-060015-
Bristol Bay-
338 AM AKDT Mon Oct 5 2020

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND TUESDAY...

.TODAY...W wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.WED...S wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...S wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ165-060015-
Port Heiden to Cape Sarichef-
338 AM AKDT Mon Oct 5 2020

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...S wind 40 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.WED...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.THU...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 12 ft.

$$

PKZ170-060015-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Bering Side-
338 AM AKDT Mon Oct 5 2020

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 20 kt becoming S 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas 7 ft.
Rain.
.TUE NIGHT...S wind 40 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.WED THROUGH FRI...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 17 ft.

$$

PKZ171-060015-
Unalaska Bay-
338 AM AKDT Mon Oct 5 2020

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft subsiding to 2 ft after
midnight.
.TUE...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming S 15 kt in the
afternoon. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.TUE NIGHT...S wind 30 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.WED...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ172-060015-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Pacific Side-
338 AM AKDT Mon Oct 5 2020

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TUE...W wind 15 kt becoming SW 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas 6 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...S wind 40 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.WED...SW wind 40 kt. Seas 19 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...W wind 35 kt. Seas 16 ft.

$$

PKZ173-060015-
Nikolski to Seguam Island Bering Side-
338 AM AKDT Mon Oct 5 2020

...GALE WARNING TUESDAY...

.TODAY...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.TONIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TUE...S wind 25 kt increasing to 45 kt in the afternoon. Seas 6
ft building to 12 ft in the afternoon. Rain.
.TUE NIGHT...SW wind 45 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...W wind 35 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.FRI...W wind 30 kt. Seas 16 ft.

$$

PKZ174-060015-
Nikolski to Seguam Island Pacific Side-
338 AM AKDT Mon Oct 5 2020

...GALE WARNING TUESDAY...

.TODAY...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 25 kt becoming S 35 kt in the afternoon. Seas 6 ft
building to 11 ft in the afternoon. Rain.
.TUE NIGHT...SW wind 45 kt. Seas 21 ft.
.WED THROUGH FRI...W wind 35 kt. Seas 20 ft.

$$

PKZ175-060015-
Seguam Island to Adak Bering Side-
338 AM AKDT Mon Oct 5 2020

...GALE WARNING TUESDAY...

.TODAY...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 15 kt becoming S 30 kt after midnight. Seas 7
ft.
.TUE...S wind 45 kt. Seas 10 ft building to 16 ft in the
afternoon. Rain.
.TUE NIGHT...SW wind 40 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...W wind 40 kt. Seas 19 ft.
.FRI...W wind 30 kt. Seas 16 ft.

$$

PKZ176-060015-
Seguam Island to Adak Pacific Side-
338 AM AKDT Mon Oct 5 2020

...GALE WARNING TUESDAY...

.TODAY...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TONIGHT...W wind 15 kt becoming SW 25 kt after midnight. Seas 5
ft.
.TUE...S wind 45 kt. Seas 10 ft building to 19 ft in the
afternoon. Rain.
.TUE NIGHT...SW wind 45 kt. Seas 23 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...W wind 35 kt. Seas 21 ft.
.FRI...W wind 30 kt. Seas 16 ft.

$$

PKZ177-060015-
Adak to Kiska-
338 AM AKDT Mon Oct 5 2020

...STORM WARNING TUESDAY...

.TODAY...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TONIGHT...S wind 30 kt increasing to 45 kt after midnight. Seas
7 ft building to 13 ft after midnight. Rain.
.TUE...S wind 50 kt. Seas 23 ft. Rain.
.TUE NIGHT...SW wind 40 kt. Seas 22 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...W wind 40 kt. Seas 21 ft.
.FRI...W wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.

$$

PKZ178-060015-
Kiska to Attu-
338 AM AKDT Mon Oct 5 2020

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SW wind 25 kt becoming S 35 kt in the afternoon. Seas
10 ft.
.TONIGHT...S wind 50 kt. Seas 21 ft. Rain.
.TUE...SW wind 45 kt. Seas 23 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...SW wind 40 kt. Seas 22 ft.
.WED...W wind 40 kt. Seas 22 ft.
.THU...W wind 35 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.FRI...W wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.

$$

PKZ179-060015-
Pribilof Islands Near Shore Waters-
338 AM AKDT Mon Oct 5 2020

...GALE WARNING TUESDAY...

.TODAY...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TUE...S wind 20 kt increasing to 35 kt in the afternoon. Seas 4
ft building to 10 ft in the afternoon. Rain.
.TUE NIGHT...S wind 40 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...S wind 25 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 11 ft.

$$

PKZ180-060015-
Kuskokwim Delta and Etolin Strait-
338 AM AKDT Mon Oct 5 2020

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 20 kt becoming SW in the afternoon. Seas 6 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...S wind 35 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.WED...S wind 35 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

PKZ181-060015-
North and West of Nunivak Island-
338 AM AKDT Mon Oct 5 2020

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 25 kt diminishing to 15 kt after midnight. Seas
7 ft.
.TUE...S wind 15 kt becoming SE 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas 5 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...SE wind 40 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.WED...SE wind 35 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...E wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ185-060015-
Saint Matthew Island Waters-
338 AM AKDT Mon Oct 5 2020

...GALE WARNING TUESDAY...

.TODAY...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TONIGHT...E of Saint Matthew Island, NW wind 15 kt in the evening
becoming variable 10 kt. W of Saint Matthew Island, S wind 30 kt.
Seas 6 ft.
.TUE...E of Saint Matthew Island, SE wind 25 kt increasing to 35
kt in the afternoon. W of Saint Matthew Island, SE wind 45 kt. Seas 
10 ft building to 18 ft in the afternoon. Rain.
.TUE NIGHT...SE wind 40 kt. Seas 19 ft.
.WED...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.THU...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.FRI...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

471 
FZAK52 PAFC 052341
CWFALU

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
341 PM AKDT Mon Oct 5 2020

Coastal Waters Forecast for Southwest Alaska+Bristol Bay+The
Alaska Peninsula Waters and the Aleutian Islands up to 100 nm out.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ199-061230-
341 PM AKDT Mon Oct 5 2020
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...

A front over the eastern Bering moves inland Tue morning. Another
front over the western Aleutians moves into the eastern Bering Tue
afternoon. The low center moves to 170 nm northwest of Saint Paul 
at 968 mb Wed afternoon.

$$

PKZ150-061230-
South of the AK Peninsula Sitkinak to Castle Cape-
341 PM AKDT Mon Oct 5 2020

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.THU THROUGH SAT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 12 ft.

$$

PKZ155-061230-
South of the AK Peninsula Castle Cape to Cape Sarichef-
341 PM AKDT Mon Oct 5 2020

...GALE WARNING TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt becoming S 35 kt after midnight. From
the Shumagin Islands E, SW wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft building to 11 ft 
after midnight. Rain.
.WED...SW wind 35 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.WED NIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.SAT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ160-061230-
Bristol Bay-
341 PM AKDT Mon Oct 5 2020

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...W wind 15 kt becoming S 25 kt after midnight. Seas
4 ft. Rain.
.WED...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.WED NIGHT...S wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...S wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SAT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ165-061230-
Port Heiden to Cape Sarichef-
341 PM AKDT Mon Oct 5 2020

...GALE WARNING TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...S wind 30 kt increasing to 40 kt after midnight. From
Port Moller E, S wind 20 kt increasing to 30 kt after midnight.
Seas 6 ft building to 10 ft after midnight. Rain.
.WED...S wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.WED NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.THU...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft.

$$

PKZ170-061230-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Bering Side-
341 PM AKDT Mon Oct 5 2020

...GALE WARNING TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 20 kt becoming S 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas 7 ft.
Rain.
.TUE NIGHT...S wind 40 kt. Seas 15 ft. Rain.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.SAT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.

$$

PKZ171-061230-
Unalaska Bay-
341 PM AKDT Mon Oct 5 2020

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft subsiding to 2 ft after
midnight.
.TUE...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming S 15 kt in the
afternoon. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.TUE NIGHT...S wind 30 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ172-061230-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Pacific Side-
341 PM AKDT Mon Oct 5 2020

...GALE WARNING TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TUE...W wind 15 kt becoming SW 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas 6 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...S wind 40 kt. Seas 11 ft building to 18 ft after
midnight. Rain.
.WED...SW wind 40 kt. Seas 19 ft.
.WED NIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...W wind 35 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.SAT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ173-061230-
Nikolski to Seguam Island Bering Side-
341 PM AKDT Mon Oct 5 2020

...GALE WARNING TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TUE...S wind 25 kt increasing to 45 kt in the afternoon. Seas 6 ft 
building to 12 ft in the afternoon. Rain.
.TUE NIGHT...S wind 45 kt becoming SW 35 kt after midnight. Seas
16 ft.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...W wind 35 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.THU...W wind 35 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.FRI...W wind 30 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.SAT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.

$$

PKZ174-061230-
Nikolski to Seguam Island Pacific Side-
341 PM AKDT Mon Oct 5 2020

...GALE WARNING TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 25 kt becoming S 35 kt in the afternoon. Seas 6 ft
building to 11 ft in the afternoon. Rain.
.TUE NIGHT...S wind 45 kt. Seas 21 ft. Rain.
.WED...W wind 30 kt. Seas 21 ft.
.WED NIGHT...W wind 35 kt. Seas 19 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...W wind 35 kt. Seas 19 ft.
.SAT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ175-061230-
Seguam Island to Adak Bering Side-
341 PM AKDT Mon Oct 5 2020

...GALE WARNING TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 15 kt becoming S 30 kt after midnight. Seas 7 ft.
.TUE...S wind 45 kt. Seas 10 ft building to 16 ft in the
afternoon. Rain.
.TUE NIGHT...SW wind 40 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...W wind 40 kt. Seas 19 ft.
.THU...W wind 40 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.FRI...W wind 30 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.SAT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.

$$

PKZ176-061230-
Seguam Island to Adak Pacific Side-
341 PM AKDT Mon Oct 5 2020

...GALE WARNING TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W wind 15 kt becoming SW 25 kt after midnight. Seas 5 ft.
.TUE...S wind 45 kt. Seas 10 ft building to 19 ft in the
afternoon. Rain.
.TUE NIGHT...SW wind 45 kt diminishing to 35 kt after midnight.
Seas 23 ft.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...W wind 35 kt. Seas 20 ft.
.THU...W wind 35 kt. Seas 20 ft.
.FRI...W wind 30 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.SAT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ177-061230-
Adak to Kiska-
341 PM AKDT Mon Oct 5 2020

...STORM WARNING TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...S wind 30 kt increasing to 45 kt after midnight. Seas
7 ft building to 13 ft after midnight. Rain.
.TUE...S wind 50 kt. Seas 23 ft. Rain.
.TUE NIGHT...SW wind 40 kt. Seas 18 ft Bering side... 23 ft Pac side.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...W wind 40 kt. Seas 21 ft.
.THU...W wind 40 kt. Seas 19 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.

$$

PKZ178-061230-
Kiska to Attu-
341 PM AKDT Mon Oct 5 2020

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S wind 50 kt. Seas 21 ft. Rain.
.TUE...SW wind 45 kt. Seas 23 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...SW wind 40 kt. Seas 22 ft.
.WED...W wind 40 kt. Seas 22 ft.
.WED NIGHT...W wind 35 kt. Seas 20 ft.
.THU...W wind 35 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.

$$

PKZ179-061230-
Pribilof Islands Near Shore Waters-
341 PM AKDT Mon Oct 5 2020

...GALE WARNING TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TUE...S wind 20 kt increasing to 35 kt in the afternoon. Seas 4 ft 
building to 10 ft in the afternoon. Rain.
.TUE NIGHT...S wind 40 kt becoming SW 30 kt after midnight. Seas
18 ft. Rain.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.THU...S wind 25 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 11 ft.

$$

PKZ180-061230-
Kuskokwim Delta and Etolin Strait-
341 PM AKDT Mon Oct 5 2020

...GALE WARNING TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 20 kt becoming SW in the afternoon. Seas 6 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...SE wind 35 kt. Seas 6 ft building to 11 ft after
midnight. Rain.
.WED...S wind 35 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.WED NIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SAT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ181-061230-
North and West of Nunivak Island-
341 PM AKDT Mon Oct 5 2020

...GALE WARNING TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 25 kt diminishing to 15 kt after midnight. Seas
7 ft.
.TUE...S wind 15 kt becoming SE 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas 5 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...SE wind 40 kt. Seas 10 ft building to 15 ft after
midnight. Widespread rain showers.
.WED...SE wind 35 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.WED NIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...E wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SAT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ185-061230-
Saint Matthew Island Waters-
341 PM AKDT Mon Oct 5 2020

...GALE WARNING TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E of Saint Matthew Island, NW wind 15 kt in the evening
becoming variable 10 kt. W of Saint Matthew Island, S wind 30 kt.
Seas 6 ft.
.TUE...E of Saint Matthew Island, SE wind 25 kt increasing to 35
kt in the afternoon. W of Saint Matthew Island, SE wind 45 kt. Seas 
10 ft building to 18 ft in the afternoon. Rain.
.TUE NIGHT...SE wind 40 kt. Seas 19 ft. Rain.
.WED...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.WED NIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.THU...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.FRI...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SAT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

Southcentral and Southwest Alaska Forecast Discussion...CORRECTED
National Weather Service Anchorage AK
815 AM AKDT Sat Oct 3 2020

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...

Similar pattern, once again, remains in place this morning with
the ridge over western North America (slowly weakening) and a
broad trough across the North Pacific. There are signs that the
pattern is beginning to shift, however, as water vapor imagery
shows the flow across the North Pacific more west to east (zonal).
For the past week or so, the pattern has been very amplified or
meridional and now things are beginning to change. The current low
that affected the region today continues to move northwestward
towards Norton Sound. Another front is currently lifting northward
through Southcentral this morning in association with the low
over the Yukon-Kuskokwim Delta. As a result, gusty southeasterly
Turnagain Arm winds are blowing across west Anchorage, especially
near the airport, as well as the Anchorage Hillside. Palmer is
also reporting gusty southeasterly winds out of the Knik River
Valley now that the front has lifted through. Rain showers
continue to occur throughout the southern Mainland, as shown on
current radar imagery, with the typical locations on the leeward
side of the mountains being downsloped and other locations
receiving upslope.

The Bering Sea and the Aleutian Chain remain in a relatively quiet
pattern this morning as the jet stream remains well south of the
region. Therefore, the storm track is kept east of the region. The
cold air aloft has basically all been eradicated now with mostly
stratiform cloud cover with some breaks across much of the Bering
Sea and the Aleutian Chain. Multiple upper level shortwaves
moving around the backside of the current low over the Y-K Delta
are keeping occasional showers over the Bering. Therefore, these
will be more lift driven rather than the unstable case yesterday
when cold air was flowing over the Bering and picking up
moisture.

&&

.MODEL DISCUSSION...

Model guidance generally remains in good agreement on the synoptic
scale features out through 3 days. The next storm system is coming
into better agreement on the latest model runs this morning with
the typical subtle differences between models on the exact track
and exact intensity. For the most part, though, there is much
agreement as compared to previous days and we now have higher
confidence in the forecast. The EC remains the furthest east with
the storm track this morning while all the other models (GFS, NAM,
and Canadian NH) are almost in lockstep with each other.

&&

.AVIATION...
PANC...VFR conditions will persist. Gusty southeast winds will
persist through this evening before diminishing. Some rain showers
are possible this morning that may result in a cloud deck of
5000ft, therefore, only hinted at this but didn't make it a solid
cloud deck. As the next system approaches, expect a wind shift to
out of the north for Sunday morning.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA (Days 1 through 3/Today
through Monday)...

The strong low dominating the Gulf over the last couple days
has weakened significantly, exited the Southcentral area, and
is slowly making its way across the Southwest today. Multiple
embedded shortwaves are rotating around the now broad upper low,
keeping rainfall along the Southcentral coast today and tonight.
As a result, the threat of flooding for the Seward area and Kenai
River near Cooper Landing will continue.

By Sunday morning, another deep low enters the southern Gulf.
Models have been struggling with the path of this system over
the last couple days, but have since come into better agreement,
placing it just east of Kodiak Island today. This is an ideal
setup for strong winds over the western Gulf and southern Cook
Inlet, including widespread gales and a period of storm force
winds on Sunday. Thus, synoptic winds were increased from the
previous forecast - with emphasis over the Gulf and coastal
waters. The majority of the impacts associated with this low
will be marine related, specifically with regard to winds.
However, the coastal regions will see heavy rainfall by Sunday
afternoon, diminishing to light rain by mid-morning on Monday.

Downsloping will not be an issue with this low, as the more
easterly track will produce a more northerly/northeasterly low
level flow over Southcentral on the north side of the low. Thus,
those areas which have been dry with the current storm will
likely see some periods of light rain on Sunday. There remains,
however, some uncertainty with the path of this low. Should this
system track further east (as at least one model shows), winds
along southern Cook Inlet and the western Gulf may end up weaker
than currently forecast. Additionally, with a more easterly track,
Anchorage and the Mat-Su Valley would remain dry.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHWEST ALASKA (Days 1 through 3)...

A broad low moving northward is bringing widespread showers to
much of Southwest Alaska. Highest totals are expected around
Bristol Bay in southwest flow as the low departs, though amounts
will remain minimal. Showers will taper off midday Saturday as
slightly drier air builds in, however slight precipitation
chances will persist under a series of upper level shortwaves.
Temperatures will gradually fall through early next week.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS (Days 1 through 3)...

Showers will persist through the weekend in a general northerly
flow. High pressure will build over the western Aleutians Sunday
into Monday leading to calm conditions. Gusty winds out of bays
and passes may occur Sunday between Unalaska and Adak between
relatively strong high and low pressure.

&&

.MARINE (Days 3 through 5/Monday through Wednesday)...

Bering/Aleutians

Light northerly flow continues across the central/eastern
Bering/Aleutians on Monday. Winds flip to southerly and increase
to small craft levels for the western Aleutians late Monday due to
an approaching Kamchatka low. Early Tuesday, southeasterly flow
ramps up to gale force across the western Bering/Aleutians along
with widespread rainfall. This wind/rain spreads into the central
Bering/Aleutians by mid to late Tuesday. Early Wednesday, the
Kamchatka low migrates towards the western Bering, with westerly
small craft/low end gale force winds expected across the western
and central portions of the Bering/Aleutians, while eastern areas
see southerly winds pick up to near gale force along with
plentiful rain. By late Wednesday the low in the western Bering
weakens with winds transitioning to westerly and falling back to
small craft levels.

Gulf of Alaska

On Monday, a weakening low will be parked over Prince William
Sound early, with this storm system quickly heading interior and
diminishing by late Monday. As a result, southwesterly gale force
winds early on Monday, across the Gulf, should diminish below
small craft advisory levels by the afternoon/evening hours.
Generally light westerly flow then takes over for Tuesday and
Wednesday.

&&

.LONG TERM FORECAST (Days 3 through 7)...
The extended forecast pattern remains progressive through the
work week. The next storm to impact the Gulf of Alaska will lift
from the Pacific into Sunday/Monday. This will again bring
unsettled weather to Kodiak, but will mainly spare much of
Mainland Alaska. The forecast track continues to shift east,
sparing much of Prince William Sound and Seward from the past week
of rains. A barrier jet is likely to impact the coast during that
time, as winds turn offshore by Monday. Across the Bering, a
transient ridge will slide east through Wednesday. The next Bering
low will slide across the Kamchatka Peninsula and move SE towards
Bristol Bay by Friday. This storm track leaves a very low
potential for coastal issues through this time.

&&

.AFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...NONE.
MARINE...Storm Warning 119 130 139
Gale Warning 120 131 132 138
FIRE WEATHER...NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS AND MODEL DISCUSSION...MV
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...KM
SOUTHWEST ALASKA/BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...CJ
MARINE/LONG TERM...SS/BG