Alert archive / Mississippi / Tornado Watches in 2019
Tornado Watch 5
The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Feb 23, 2019, 12:26 PM CST for 4 states. It was in force for 8 hr.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Feb 23, 2019, 12:26 PM CST (18:26 UTC)
- Expired
- Feb 23, 2019, 8:00 PM CST
- In force
- 8 hr
- Issued by
- the Storm Prediction Center
- Largest hail expected
- 1.5 in
- Strongest gust expected
- 65 kt
All 109 counties
Arkansas County, AR, Ashley County, AR, Bradley County, AR, Chicot County, AR, Cleveland County, AR, Crittenden County, AR, Desha County, AR, Drew County, AR, Lee County, AR, Lincoln County, AR, Phillips County, AR, St. Francis County, AR, Avoyelles Parish, LA, Caldwell Parish, LA, Catahoula Parish, LA, Concordia Parish, LA, East Carroll Parish, LA, Franklin Parish, LA, Grant Parish, LA, Jackson Parish, LA, LaSalle Parish, LA, Lincoln Parish, LA, Madison Parish, LA, Morehouse Parish, LA, Natchitoches Parish, LA, Ouachita Parish, LA, Rapides Parish, LA, Richland Parish, LA, Tensas Parish, LA, Union Parish, LA, Vernon Parish, LA, West Carroll Parish, LA, Winn Parish, LA, Adams County, MS, Alcorn County, MS, Attala County, MS, Benton County, MS, Bolivar County, MS, Calhoun County, MS, Carroll County, MS, Chickasaw County, MS, Choctaw County, MS, Claiborne County, MS, Clay County, MS, Coahoma County, MS, Copiah County, MS, DeSoto County, MS, Grenada County, MS, Hinds County, MS, Holmes County, MS, Humphreys County, MS, Issaquena County, MS, Itawamba County, MS, Jefferson County, MS, Kemper County, MS, Lafayette County, MS, Lauderdale County, MS, Leake County, MS, Lee County, MS, Leflore County, MS, Lowndes County, MS, Madison County, MS, Marshall County, MS, Monroe County, MS, Montgomery County, MS, Neshoba County, MS, Newton County, MS, Noxubee County, MS, Oktibbeha County, MS, Panola County, MS, Pontotoc County, MS, Prentiss County, MS, Quitman County, MS, Rankin County, MS, Scott County, MS, Sharkey County, MS, Simpson County, MS, Smith County, MS, Sunflower County, MS, Tallahatchie County, MS, Tate County, MS, Tippah County, MS, Tishomingo County, MS, Tunica County, MS, Union County, MS, Warren County, MS, Washington County, MS, Webster County, MS, Winston County, MS, Yalobusha County, MS, Yazoo County, MS, Benton County, TN, Carroll County, TN, Chester County, TN, Crockett County, TN, Decatur County, TN, Fayette County, TN, Gibson County, TN, Hardeman County, TN, Hardin County, TN, Haywood County, TN, Henderson County, TN, Henry County, TN, Lauderdale County, TN, Madison County, TN, McNairy County, TN, Shelby County, TN, Tipton County, TN, Weakley County, TN
The radar
The Jackson/Brandon,MS radar (KDGX), 125 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 18:26 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What SPC expected
The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.
- Two or more tornadoes
- 90%
- One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
- 70%
- Ten or more severe wind reports
- 70%
- One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
- 40%
- Ten or more severe hail reports
- 40%
- One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
- 20%
- Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
- 90%
Warnings issued inside it
39 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 23, 12:28 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MEG | Crittenden, Cross, Mississippi, St. Francis | 32 min |
| Feb 23, 12:41 PM CST | Flash Flood Warning | MEG | Crittenden, Lee, St. Francis | 3 hr |
| Feb 23, 1:27 PM CST | Flash Flood Warning | MEG | Lafayette | 6 hr |
| Feb 23, 2:13 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JAN | Ashley, Chicot | 62 min |
| Feb 23, 2:14 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JAN | Madison, Yazoo | 46 min |
| Feb 23, 2:16 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MEG | Lee, Phillips | 44 min |
| Feb 23, 2:16 PM CST | Flash Flood Warning | MEG | Carroll, Crockett, Dyer, Fayette, Gibson, Haywood and 6 more | 3 hr |
| Feb 23, 2:22 PM CST | Tornado Warning | JAN | Madison, Yazoo | 38 min |
| Feb 23, 2:34 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JAN | Madison | 41 min |
| Feb 23, 2:34 PM CST | Flash Flood Warning | MEG | Benton, Carroll, Chester, Hardeman, Henderson, Henry and 1 more | 3 hr |
| Feb 23, 2:41 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JAN | Concordia, Tensas | 64 min |
| Feb 23, 2:53 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JAN | Attala, Holmes, Leake, Madison, Yazoo | 52 min |
| Feb 23, 2:54 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MEG | Lee, Phillips, St. Francis | 51 min |
| Feb 23, 2:59 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JAN | Yazoo | 30 min |
| Feb 23, 3:30 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JAN | Claiborne | 45 min |
| Feb 23, 3:41 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JAN | Attala, Choctaw, Winston | 49 min |
| Feb 23, 3:50 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JAN | Leake, Neshoba | 55 min |
| Feb 23, 3:50 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JAN | Madison, Rankin, Scott | 25 min |
| Feb 23, 3:52 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MEG | Crittenden | 38 min |
| Feb 23, 3:54 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MEG | Alcorn, Lee, Prentiss, Tippah, Union | 36 min |
| Feb 23, 3:55 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JAN | Clay, Oktibbeha, Webster | 50 min |
| Feb 23, 4:01 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JAN | Hinds | 17 min |
| Feb 23, 4:04 PM CST | Tornado Warning | MEG | Prentiss, Tippah, Union | 26 min |
| Feb 23, 4:08 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JAN | Oktibbeha | 67 min |
| Feb 23, 4:13 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MEG | Chickasaw, Itawamba, Lee, Monroe | 47 min |
| Feb 23, 4:20 PM CST | Tornado Warning | MEG | Alcorn, Prentiss, Tishomingo | 40 min |
| Feb 23, 4:22 PM CST | Tornado Warning | MEG | Itawamba, Monroe | 38 min |
| Feb 23, 4:24 PM CST | Tornado Warning | JAN | Kemper, Neshoba | 66 min |
| Feb 23, 4:49 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JAN | Lowndes | 41 min |
| Feb 23, 4:50 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MEG | Itawamba | 10 min |
| Feb 23, 4:53 PM CST | Tornado Warning | MEG | Tishomingo | 24 min |
| Feb 23, 4:56 PM CST | Tornado Warning | JAN | Lowndes | 40 min |
| Feb 23, 5:02 PM CST | Tornado Warning | JAN | Noxubee | 43 min |
| Feb 23, 5:14 PM CST | Flash Flood Warning | MEG | Crockett, Fayette, Haywood, Tipton | 3 hr |
| Feb 23, 5:27 PM CST | Flash Flood Warning | MEG | Chester, Hardeman, Madison | 3 hr |
| Feb 23, 5:38 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MEG | Chester, Hardeman, Madison | 52 min |
| Feb 23, 5:41 PM CST | Tornado Warning | MEG | Chester, Hardeman, Madison | 34 min |
| Feb 23, 6:02 PM CST | Tornado Warning | MEG | Chester, Henderson, McNairy, Madison | 15 min |
| Feb 23, 6:16 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MEG | Benton, Carroll, Chester, Decatur, Henderson | 23 min |
Discussions around it
SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.
The nearest sounding before it
Jackson, MS (KJAN), launched 12:00Z, 6.4 hours before the alert went out and 115 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 735 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -6 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 553 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 57 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 278 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 383 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 1.2
- Supercell composite
- 6.4
The text
As transmitted.
860
WWUS20 KWNS 231823
SEL5
SPC WW 231823
ARZ000-LAZ000-MSZ000-TNZ000-240200-
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 5
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1225 PM CST Sat Feb 23 2019
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Tornado Watch for portions of
Eastern Arkansas
Northern Louisiana
Mississippi
Western Tennessee
* Effective this Saturday afternoon and evening from 1225 PM
until 800 PM CST.
* Primary threats include...
Several tornadoes and a couple intense tornadoes likely
Scattered damaging winds likely with isolated significant gusts
to 75 mph possible
Scattered large hail events to 1.5 inches in diameter possible
SUMMARY...Scattered severe storms are expected to develop mainly
during the mid to late afternoon and early evening across parts of
the Lower Mississippi Valley and Mid-South. The greatest tornado
risk should exist across northern and central Mississippi into far
southwest Tennessee between about 3 to 7 PM.
The tornado watch area is approximately along and 85 statute miles
east and west of a line from 35 miles southwest of Natchez MS to 15
miles northwest of Jackson TN. For a complete depiction of the watch
see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU5).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
and possible warnings.
&&
AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
surface and aloft to 1.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
gusts to 65 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 450. Mean
storm motion vector 21045.
...GramsSPC that day
Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 23, 6:57 AM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Bradley, Calhoun, Columbia, Lafayette, Miller, Nevada and 2 more | 2 hr |
| Feb 23, 10:52 AM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Ashley, Bradley, Chicot, Desha, Drew, Lincoln and 1 more | 113 min |
| Feb 23, 2:35 PM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Attala, Choctaw, Clay, Holmes, Leake, Madison and 5 more | 55 min |
| Feb 23, 5:01 PM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Kemper, Lowndes, Noxubee | 119 min |
| Feb 23, 3:01 PM CST | Tornado Watch | SPC | Bedford, Cheatham, Davidson, Dickson, Giles, Hickman and 14 more | 6 hr |
Nearby
Tornado Watches in Mississippi, 2019Tornado Watches in Louisiana, 2019Tornado Watches in Tennessee, 2019Every tornado watch in 2019
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.