Alert archive / Virginia / Mesoscale Discussions in 2019

Mesoscale Discussion 2134

October 31, 201932 counties in North Carolina; Chesterfield County, Lancaster County, Marlboro County, South Carolina; 38 counties in Virginia

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at Oct 31, 2019, 6:36 PM EDT for 32 counties in North Carolina; Chesterfield County, Lancaster County, Marlboro County, South Carolina; 38 counties in Virginia. It was in force for 114 min.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Oct 31, 2019, 6:36 PM EDT (22:36 UTC)
Expired
Oct 31, 2019, 8:30 PM EDT
In force
114 min
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
All 73 counties

Alamance County, NC, Anson County, NC, Caswell County, NC, Chatham County, NC, Cumberland County, NC, Durham County, NC, Edgecombe County, NC, Franklin County, NC, Granville County, NC, Guilford County, NC, Halifax County, NC, Harnett County, NC, Hoke County, NC, Johnston County, NC, Lee County, NC, Montgomery County, NC, Moore County, NC, Nash County, NC, Northampton County, NC, Orange County, NC, Person County, NC, Randolph County, NC, Richmond County, NC, Robeson County, NC, Scotland County, NC, Stanly County, NC, Union County, NC, Vance County, NC, Wake County, NC, Warren County, NC, Wayne County, NC, Wilson County, NC, Chesterfield County, SC, Lancaster County, SC, Marlboro County, SC, Amelia County, VA, Appomattox County, VA, Brunswick County, VA, Buckingham County, VA, Campbell County, VA, Charles City County, VA, Charlotte County, VA, Chesterfield County, VA, City of Colonial Heights, VA, City of Danville, VA, City of Emporia, VA, City of Franklin, VA, City of Hopewell, VA, City of Petersburg, VA, City of Richmond, VA, Cumberland County, VA, Dinwiddie County, VA, Fluvanna County, VA, Goochland County, VA, Greensville County, VA, Halifax County, VA, Hanover County, VA, Henrico County, VA, James City County, VA, King William County, VA, Louisa County, VA, Lunenburg County, VA, Mecklenburg County, VA, Nelson County, VA, New Kent County, VA, Nottoway County, VA, Pittsylvania County, VA, Powhatan County, VA, Prince Edward County, VA, Prince George County, VA, Southampton County, VA, Surry County, VA, Sussex County, VA

The radar

The Raleigh/Durham radar (KRAX), 63 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 22:35 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The watches that followed

Watches SPC issued over any of the same counties within four hours of this discussion.

The nearest sounding before it

Greensboro/Hi Pt, NC (KGSO), launched 12:00Z, 10.6 hours before the alert went out and 107 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Greensboro/Hi Pt, NC at 12:00Z on 2019-10-31Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 521 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Greensboro/Hi Pt, NC at 12:00Z on 2019-10-31The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 201 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
521 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-3 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
524 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
33 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
201 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
180 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.3
Supercell composite
2.3

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

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SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Oct 31, 11:12 AM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAlleghany, Ashe, Avery, Burke, Caldwell, Mitchell and 3 more2 hr
Oct 31, 12:45 PM EDTTornado WatchSPCAlleghany, Ashe, Watauga4 hr
Oct 31, 1:11 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCaswell, Forsyth, Guilford, Person, Rockingham, Stokes and 3 more3 hr
Oct 31, 3:16 PM EDTTornado WatchSPCCaswell, Northampton, Rockingham, Stokes, Surry, Wilkes and 1 more8 hr
Oct 31, 3:39 PM EDTTornado WatchSPCAlamance, Alexander, Anson, Burke, Cabarrus, Caldwell and 41 more7 hr
Oct 31, 4:01 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCaswell, Guilford, Rockingham119 min
Oct 31, 1:25 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAbbeville, Anderson, McCormick2 hr
Oct 31, 3:54 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAiken, Allendale, Bamberg, Barnwell, Edgefield, McCormick and 1 more5 hr
Oct 31, 6:34 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAllendale, Bamberg, Barnwell, Beaufort, Berkeley, Calhoun and 8 more56 min
Oct 31, 7:58 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBeaufort, Berkeley, Charleston, Clarendon, Colleton, Dorchester and 6 more62 min
Oct 31, 2:56 PM EDTTornado WatchSPCAlbemarle, Arlington, Augusta, Clarke, Culpeper, Fairfax and 28 more10 hr
Oct 31, 7:14 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCArlington, Caroline, Clarke, Culpeper, Fairfax, Fauquier and 17 more2 hr

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in Virginia, 2019Mesoscale Discussions in North Carolina, 2019Mesoscale Discussions in South Carolina, 2019Every mesoscale discussion in 2019

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.