Flash Flood Warning 8, NWS Northern Indiana

187 
WGUS73 KIWX 290021 RRA
FFSIWX

Flash Flood Statement
National Weather Service Northern Indiana
821 PM EDT Tue May 28 2019

INC009-053-179-290031-
/O.CAN.KIWX.FF.W.0008.000000T0000Z-190529T0045Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Grant IN-Blackford IN-Wells IN-
821 PM EDT Tue May 28 2019

...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR GRANT...BLACKFORD AND SOUTHERN WELLS
COUNTIES IS CANCELLED...

The heavy rain has ended. Flooding is no longer expected to pose a
threat. Please continue to heed any remaining road closures.

LAT...LON 4065 8586 4066 8507 4057 8507 4057 8520
      4038 8521 4038 8586

$$

Brown

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Northern Indiana
225 PM EDT Tue May 28 2019

.SYNOPSIS...
Issued at 400 AM EDT Tue May 28 2019

Isolated showers with perhaps a thunderstorm will continue early
this morning. Scattered showers and storms are expected to
redevelop this afternoon across portions of northern Indiana and
northwest Ohio as a cold front drops across the southern Great
Lakes. A few of these storms could be strong to severe this
afternoon with gusty winds. Rain chances will increase again later
tonight into early Wednesday, with a continued chance of showers
and thunderstorms through Thursday.

&&

.SHORT TERM...(This Evening through Wednesday)
Issued at 219 PM EDT Tue May 28 2019

Latest surface analysis has quasi-stationary boundary over the
area this afternoon with frontal wave moving toward Lake Erie and
low pressure back to the west over Kansas. Visible satellite
indicating some partial clearing south of this boundary which has
airmass destabilizing with afternoon heating as SB CAPEs exceeding
3500J/kg in southeast CWA where temperatures have reached 80F and
dewpoints near 70F. Good shear profiles along the frontal
boundary with effective bulk shear 40kts will be supportive of
additional thunderstorm development as the afternoon progresses
although not exactly aligned spatially with greatest instability.
Uncertainty remains in how organized afternoon development will be
but forecast soundings indicating primarily unidirectional
profiles supporting more of a hail/wind threat. Better focus of
moisture convergence along the front back in the plains/mid-MS
valley and expected to be the focus for more organized
thunderstorm development going into the evening hours.
Strengthening nocturnal LLJ up to 50kts will nose into mid-MS
valley tonight providing continued support for discrete storms to
organize into a convective complex that is expected to ride along
frontal boundary and impact the area after midnight and continue
into Wednesday morning. This scenario favors storms becoming more
elevated with time and with PW around 1.5 inches and warm cloud
depths approaching 15Kft any type of training along the front will
put heavy rain as the primary threat overnight...as some of last
nights storms illustrated with rainfall over an inch in 30
minutes. HREF members in decent agreement wrt timing with leading
edge of complex arriving in NW CWA around midnight but not
surprising plenty of spread in the finer details.

&&

.LONG TERM...(Wednesday Night through Tuesday)
Issued at 219 PM EDT Tue May 28 2019

Forecast period to begin with upper low lifting out of the four
corners into the central plains/mid-MS valley. This is expected to
bring one additional frontal wave along quasi-stationary boundary
into the region on Thursday. Expect ongoing nocturnal convective
complex Wednesday night into Thursday morning to impact the
area...PW ahead of this wave 1.5-2.0 along with modest instability
and shear will have locally heavy rain possible and a few storms
producing damaging wind gusts. This wave will finally allow front
to push through and clear the area by Friday and bring with it a
pleasant day of cooler and less humid conditions. Northwest flow
pattern going into the weekend will bring a couple of weak
disturbances through the area but all in all a much quieter
pattern remainder of the forecast period with seasonable
temperatures at or slightly below normal.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 18Z TAFS through 18Z Wednesday Afternoon)
Issued at 123 PM EDT Tue May 28 2019

Weak front is currently draped across the area with warm/unstable
conditions at KFWA and lingering MVFR stratus over KSBN. Expect
some improvement at KSBN later this evening but a secondary round
of showers (possibly a few thunderstorms) will arrive overnight
with additional low stratus thereafter. At KFWA...expect storms to
move through this afternoon with severe weather possible. A brief
period of VFR then expected before additional rain and low stratus
returns late tonight.

&&

.IWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
IN...NONE.
MI...NONE.
OH...NONE.
LM...NONE.
&&

SYNOPSIS...Marsili
SHORT TERM...JAL
LONG TERM...JAL
AVIATION...AGD

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Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Northern Indiana
631 PM EDT Tue May 28 2019

INZ003>009-012>016-020-022-023-MIZ077>081-OHZ001-002-292245-
La Porte-St. Joseph IN-Elkhart-Lagrange-Steuben-Noble-De Kalb-Starke-
Pulaski-Marshall-Fulton IN-Kosciusko-White-Cass IN-Miami-Berrien-
Cass MI-St. Joseph MI-Branch-Hillsdale-Williams-Fulton OH-
631 PM EDT Tue May 28 2019 /531 PM CDT Tue May 28 2019/

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for northern Indiana, southwest
Michigan and northwest Ohio.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

A few showers and thunderstorms are possible this evening with
frequent lightning and heavy downpours the main threat.

Additional showers and thunderstorms are expected to overspread the
area from the west late tonight into early Wednesday. Thunderstorms
could be accompanied by some gusty winds and locally heavy rainfall
late tonight into early Wednesday.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

There is a marginal risk of severe storms on Wednesday as
thunderstorms redevelop in the afternoon. Damaging wind and large
hail will be the main threat.

The chance of thunderstorms will continue on Thursday, but severe
weather is not expected.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

LMZ043-046-292245-
New Buffalo MI to St Joseph MI-Michigan City IN to New Buffalo MI-
631 PM EDT Tue May 28 2019

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for The Nearshore Waters of
Southeastern Lake Michigan.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Showers and thunderstorms will become likely overnight tonight.
Severe weather is not expected today or tonight, but any showers and
storms will be capable of producing winds to 30 knots.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

Periodic chances of thunderstorms will continue for Tuesday through
Thursday.

INZ017-018-024>027-032>034-OHZ004-005-015-016-024-025-292245-
Whitley-Allen IN-Wabash-Huntington-Wells-Adams-Grant-Blackford-Jay-
Defiance-Henry-Paulding-Putnam-Van Wert-Allen OH-
631 PM EDT Tue May 28 2019

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 273 IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for northern Indiana and
northwest Ohio.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Severe Thunderstorm Watch.

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch is in effect until 8 PM EDT.

Thunderstorms will continue to develop with the potential of
becoming severe. Damaging wind gusts, isolated large hail, and
localized heavy rainfall are the main threats.

Additional showers and thunderstorms are expected to overspread the
area from the west overnight into early Wednesday. Thunderstorms
could be accompanied by some gusty winds and locally heavy rainfall
late tonight into early Wednesday.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

There is a slight risk of severe storms on Wednesday as
thunderstorms redevelop in the afternoon. Damaging wind and large
hail will be the main threat.

The chance of thunderstorms will continue on Thursday, but severe
weather is not expected.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Northern Indiana
503 PM EDT Tue May 28 2019

INZ025>027-032-282130-
Huntington-Adams-Wells-Grant-
503 PM EDT Tue May 28 2019

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT NORTHEASTERN GRANT...
SOUTHEASTERN HUNTINGTON...WELLS AND ADAMS COUNTIES...

At 502 PM EDT, a strong thunderstorm was located near Van Buren, or
13 miles south of Huntington, moving east at 50 mph.

Wind gusts up to 50 mph and dime size hail are possible with this
storm.

Locations impacted include...
Bluffton, Decatur, Berne, Geneva, Markle, Van Buren, Monroe, Warren,
Lancaster, Preble, Nottingham, Uniondale, Poneto, Vera Cruz, Mcnatts,
Landess, Wellsburg, Murray, Liberty Center and Mount Zion.

This includes Interstate 69 in Indiana between mile markers 268 and
286.

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm, and may cause
localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

&&

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 800 PM EDT for
central, northeastern and east central Indiana...and west central
Ohio.

LAT...LON 4061 8558 4081 8549 4088 8480 4057 8480
      4057 8514
TIME...MOT...LOC 2102Z 263DEG 45KT 4069 8543

HAIL...0.75IN
WIND...50MPH

Brown

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Northern Indiana
511 PM EDT Tue May 28 2019

OHZ016-025-282145-
Allen-Putnam-
511 PM EDT Tue May 28 2019

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT SOUTHEASTERN PUTNAM AND
NORTHEASTERN ALLEN COUNTIES...

At 511 PM EDT, a strong thunderstorm was located near Columbus Grove,
or 7 miles southwest of Ottawa, moving east at 35 mph.

Nickel size hail is possible with this storm.

This storm will be near...
  Columbus Grove around 515 PM EDT.
  Ottawa around 520 PM EDT.
  Pandora around 525 PM EDT.
  Bluffton around 535 PM EDT.

Other locations impacted by this storm include Gilboa, Vaughnsville
and Rockport.

This includes Interstate 75 between mile markers 137 and 141.

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm, and may cause
localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

This storm may intensify, so be certain to monitor local radio
stations and available television stations for additional
information and possible warnings from the National Weather Service.

&&

LAT...LON 4089 8420 4100 8416 4103 8388 4083 8388
TIME...MOT...LOC 2111Z 270DEG 30KT 4093 8413

HAIL...0.88IN
WIND...30MPH

JBALL

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Northern Indiana
513 PM EDT Tue May 28 2019

INZ027-OHZ024-282145-
Adams-Van Wert-
513 PM EDT Tue May 28 2019

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT NORTHEASTERN ADAMS AND VAN WERT
COUNTIES...

At 512 PM EDT, a strong thunderstorm was located 7 miles west of Ohio
City, or 9 miles east of Decatur, moving east at 40 mph.

Wind gusts up to 50 mph and half inch hail are possible with this
storm.

Locations impacted include...
Van Wert, Delphos, Ohio City, Middlebury, Middle Point, Willshire,
Wren, Venedocia, Elgin, Monticello, Glenmore, Dull, Abanaka,
Jonestown, Rivare, Schumm and Pleasant Mills.

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm, and may cause
localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

&&

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 800 PM EDT for
northeastern Indiana...and west central Ohio.

LAT...LON 4082 8434 4082 8440 4069 8440 4068 8446
      4073 8446 4073 8480 4070 8480 4070 8484
      4087 8485 4090 8438 4089 8434
TIME...MOT...LOC 2112Z 273DEG 35KT 4080 8475

HAIL...0.50IN
WIND...50MPH

Brown

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Northern Indiana
525 PM EDT Tue May 28 2019

INZ026-027-034-282200-
Jay-Adams-Wells-
525 PM EDT Tue May 28 2019

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT SOUTHEASTERN WELLS...SOUTHERN
ADAMS AND NORTHERN JAY COUNTIES...

At 525 PM EDT, a strong thunderstorm was located near Geneva, or 7
miles southwest of Berne, moving east at 45 mph.

Winds in excess of 40 mph and half inch hail are possible with this
storm.

Locations impacted include...
Berne, Geneva, Westchester, Nottingham, Bryant, Vera Cruz, Trinity,
Ceylon, Reiffsburg, Petroleum, Linn Grove, Domestic, New Corydon,
Fiat and Balbec.

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm, and may cause
localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

&&

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 800 PM EDT for
northeastern and east central Indiana.

LAT...LON 4052 8519 4071 8514 4071 8480 4047 8480
TIME...MOT...LOC 2125Z 272DEG 41KT 4059 8507

HAIL...0.50IN
WIND...40MPH

Brown

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Northern Indiana
555 PM EDT Tue May 28 2019

INZ023>025-032-282230-
Wabash-Miami-Huntington-Grant-
555 PM EDT Tue May 28 2019

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT SOUTHERN WABASH...NORTHERN
GRANT...SOUTHWESTERN HUNTINGTON AND SOUTHEASTERN MIAMI COUNTIES...

At 555 PM EDT, a strong thunderstorm was located 9 miles west of La
Fontaine, or 9 miles south of Wabash, moving east at 45 mph.

Winds in excess of 40 mph and half inch hail are possible with this
storm.

Locations impacted include...
La Fontaine, Van Buren, Lancaster, Amboy, Mount Etna, Landess,
Lincolnville, Jalapa, Santa Fe, Hanfield, Treaty, Banquo, Somerset
and Pleasant Plain.

This includes Interstate 69 in Indiana between mile markers 267 and
272.

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm, and may cause
localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

&&

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 800 PM EDT for
central, north central and northeastern Indiana.

LAT...LON 4060 8599 4071 8600 4080 8551 4058 8549
TIME...MOT...LOC 2155Z 263DEG 39KT 4067 8590

HAIL...0.50IN
WIND...40MPH

Brown

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Northern Indiana
617 PM EDT Tue May 28 2019

INZ025-026-282245-
Huntington-Wells-
617 PM EDT Tue May 28 2019

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT CENTRAL HUNTINGTON AND NORTH
CENTRAL WELLS COUNTIES...

At 617 PM EDT, a strong thunderstorm was located near Andrews, or 8
miles southwest of Huntington, moving northeast at 45 mph.

Winds in excess of 40 mph and half inch hail are possible with this
storm.

Locations impacted include...
Huntington, Markle, Lancaster, Zanesville, Uniondale, Mount Etna,
Bowerstown, Majenica and Murray.

This includes Interstate 69 in Indiana between mile markers 281 and
293.

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm, and may cause
localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

&&

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 800 PM EDT for
north central and northeastern Indiana.

LAT...LON 4082 8564 4095 8534 4092 8533 4092 8524
      4080 8516 4070 8564
TIME...MOT...LOC 2217Z 246DEG 39KT 4077 8557

HAIL...0.50IN
WIND...40MPH

Brown