Alert archive / Alaska / Gale Warnings in 2019
Gale Warning 539, NWS Anchorage, AK
NWS Anchorage, AK issued this gale warning at Oct 15, 2019, 3:42 PM AKDT. It was in force for 24 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Oct 15, 2019, 3:42 PM AKDT (23:42 UTC)
- Expired
- Oct 16, 2019, 3:39 PM AKDT
- In force
- 24 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Anchorage, AK
The text
As transmitted.
844 FZAK52 PAFC 152342 CWFALU Coastal Waters Forecast National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska 342 PM AKDT Tue Oct 15 2019 Coastal Waters Forecast for Southwest Alaska+Bristol Bay+The Alaska Peninsula Waters and the Aleutian Islands up to 100 nm out. Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height. PKZ199-161300- 342 PM AKDT Tue Oct 15 2019 .SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS... A 962 mb low exits the northwest Bering Tue evening. A 969 mb low 190 nm northeast of Shemya moves to 100 nm north of St Paul Island at 973 mb by Wed afternoon then crosses the Alaska Peninsula near Bristol Bay by Thu afternoon at 982 mb. $$ PKZ150-161300- South of the AK Peninsula Sitkinak to Castle Cape- 342 PM AKDT Tue Oct 15 2019 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...NW wind 35 kt becoming W 25 kt after midnight. Seas 18 ft. .WED...W wind 40 kt. Seas 12 ft building to 18 ft in the afternoon. Rain. .WED NIGHT...W wind 40 kt diminishing to 30 kt after midnight. Seas 20 ft. .THU AND THU NIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 17 ft. .FRI...W wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft. .SAT THROUGH SUN...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft. $$ PKZ155-161300- South of the AK Peninsula Castle Cape to Cape Sarichef- 342 PM AKDT Tue Oct 15 2019 ...STORM WARNING WEDNESDAY... .TONIGHT...W wind 25 kt becoming SW 40 kt after midnight. From the Shumagin Islands E, W wind 30 kt. Seas 17 ft. Rain. .WED...W wind 50 kt. Seas 24 ft. Isolated thunderstorms during the evening. .WED NIGHT...W wind 40 kt. Seas 22 ft. .THU...W wind 35 kt. Seas 19 ft. .THU NIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft. .FRI...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft. .SAT THROUGH SUN...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft. $$ PKZ160-161300- Bristol Bay- 342 PM AKDT Tue Oct 15 2019 ...GALE WARNING WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...W wind 25 kt becoming SW 15 kt after midnight. Seas 10 ft. .WED...S wind 35 kt. Seas 11 ft. Rain. .WED NIGHT...W wind 40 kt diminishing to 30 kt after midnight. Seas 17 ft. Rain. .THU AND THU NIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft. .FRI...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft. .SAT THROUGH SUN...S wind 10 kt. Seas 5 ft. $$ PKZ165-161300- Port Heiden to Cape Sarichef- 342 PM AKDT Tue Oct 15 2019 ...STORM WARNING WEDNESDAY... .TONIGHT...SW wind 30 kt increasing to 40 kt after midnight. From Port Moller E, S wind 30 kt. Seas 18 ft. Rain. .WED...W wind 60 kt diminishing to 50 kt in the afternoon, Seas 37 ft. From Port Moller E, SW wind 45 kt becoming W 55 kt in the afternoon, Seas 19 ft building to 30 ft in the afternoon. Rain. Isolated thunderstorms during the evening. .WED NIGHT...W wind 40 kt. Seas 23 ft. Rain showers. .THU...W wind 35 kt. Seas 23 ft. .THU NIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 17 ft. .FRI...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft. .SAT THROUGH SUN...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft. $$ PKZ170-161300- Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Bering Side- 342 PM AKDT Tue Oct 15 2019 ...STORM WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY... .TONIGHT...SW wind 40 kt becoming W 60 kt after midnight. Seas 21 ft building to 31 ft after midnight. Rain. .WED...W wind 60 kt diminishing to 40 kt in the afternoon. Seas 37 ft subsiding to 30 ft in the afternoon. Rain showers. Isolated thunderstorms. .WED NIGHT...W wind 40 kt. Seas 24 ft. .THU...W wind 35 kt. Seas 21 ft. .THU NIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 16 ft. .FRI...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft. .SAT THROUGH SUN...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. $$ PKZ171-161300- Unalaska Bay- 342 PM AKDT Tue Oct 15 2019 ...STORM WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY... .TONIGHT...S wind 25 kt becoming SW 50 kt after midnight. Seas 4 ft building to 8 ft after midnight. Rain. .WED...W wind 50 kt diminishing to 40 kt in the afternoon. Seas 8 ft. Rain. .WED NIGHT...W wind 35 kt. Seas 5 ft. .THU AND THU NIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 5 ft. .FRI...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. .SAT...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .SUN...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. $$ PKZ172-161300- Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Pacific Side- 342 PM AKDT Tue Oct 15 2019 ...STORM WARNING WEDNESDAY... .TONIGHT...SW wind 35 kt becoming W 45 kt after midnight. Seas 16 ft building to 22 ft after midnight. Rain. .WED...W wind 50 kt diminishing to 40 kt in the afternoon. Seas 23 ft. Rain showers. .WED NIGHT...W wind 40 kt. Seas 22 ft. .THU AND THU NIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft. .FRI...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft. .SAT THROUGH SUN...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft. $$ PKZ173-161300- Nikolski to Seguam Island Bering Side- 342 PM AKDT Tue Oct 15 2019 ...STORM WARNING TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...SW wind 45 kt becoming W 55 kt after midnight. Seas 23 ft building to 33 ft after midnight. .WED...W wind 45 kt. Seas 32 ft subsiding to 26 ft in the afternoon. Rain showers. Isolated thunderstorms in the afternoon. .WED NIGHT...W wind 35 kt. Seas 22 ft. .THU AND THU NIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 17 ft. .FRI...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft. .SAT THROUGH SUN...W wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft. $$ PKZ174-161300- Nikolski to Seguam Island Pacific Side- 342 PM AKDT Tue Oct 15 2019 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...W wind 45 kt. Seas 26 ft. .WED...W wind 40 kt. Seas 27 ft. .WED NIGHT...W wind 35 kt. Seas 21 ft. .THU AND THU NIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft. .FRI THROUGH SUN...W wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft. $$ PKZ175-161300- Seguam Island to Adak Bering Side- 342 PM AKDT Tue Oct 15 2019 ...STORM WARNING TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...W wind 50 kt. Seas 29 ft. .WED...W wind 45 kt. Seas 26 ft. Rain showers. .WED NIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 19 ft. .THU...W wind 30 kt. Seas 16 ft. .THU NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft. .FRI...W wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft. .SAT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. .SUN...W wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft. $$ PKZ176-161300- Seguam Island to Adak Pacific Side- 342 PM AKDT Tue Oct 15 2019 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY... .TONIGHT...W wind 45 kt. Seas 25 ft. .WED...W wind 40 kt. Seas 24 ft. .WED NIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 18 ft. .THU...W wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft. .THU NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft. .FRI THROUGH SUN...W wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft. $$ PKZ177-161300- Adak to Kiska- 342 PM AKDT Tue Oct 15 2019 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY... .TONIGHT...W wind 45 kt. Seas 28 ft. .WED...W wind 45 kt diminishing to 35 kt in the afternoon. Seas 23 ft. .WED NIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 17 ft. .THU...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft. .THU NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft. .FRI THROUGH SUN...W wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft. $$ PKZ178-161300- Kiska to Attu- 342 PM AKDT Tue Oct 15 2019 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY... .TONIGHT...W wind 45 kt. Seas 26 ft. Rain. .WED...W wind 40 kt. Seas 23 ft. .WED NIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 17 ft. .THU...W wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft. .THU NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft. .FRI THROUGH SAT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft. .SUN...W wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. $$ PKZ179-161300- Pribilof Islands Near Shore Waters- 342 PM AKDT Tue Oct 15 2019 ...STORM WARNING WEDNESDAY... .TONIGHT...S wind 30 kt becoming SW 40 kt after midnight. Seas 21 ft. Widespread rain showers. .WED...W wind 60 kt diminishing to 40 kt in the afternoon. Seas 31 ft subsiding to 25 ft in the afternoon. Rain. .WED NIGHT...W wind 40 kt. Seas 22 ft. .THU...W wind 30 kt. Seas 19 ft. .THU NIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft. .FRI...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 10 ft. .SAT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 5 ft. .SUN...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. $$ PKZ180-161300- Kuskokwim Delta and Etolin Strait- 342 PM AKDT Tue Oct 15 2019 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...SW wind 20 kt becoming SE 35 kt after midnight. Seas 14 ft. Rain. .WED...S wind 40 kt. Seas 16 ft. Rain. .WED NIGHT...NW wind 40 kt diminishing to 30 kt after midnight. Seas 18 ft. .THU...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft. .THU NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft. .FRI...W wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft. .SAT...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 6 ft. .SUN...S wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. $$ PKZ181-161300- North and West of Nunivak Island- 342 PM AKDT Tue Oct 15 2019 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...SW wind 20 kt becoming SE 30 kt after midnight. Seas 14 ft. Rain. .WED...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft. .WED NIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft. .THU AND THU NIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft. .FRI...N wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft. .SAT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 5 ft. .SUN...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. $$ PKZ185-161300- Saint Matthew Island Waters- 342 PM AKDT Tue Oct 15 2019 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...S wind 30 kt. Seas 20 ft subsiding to 15 ft after midnight. Rain. .WED...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft. .WED NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 13 ft. .THU...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 12 ft. .THU NIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft. .FRI...N wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft. .SAT THROUGH SUN...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. $$
3 follow-up statements
059 FZAK52 PAFC 161155 CWFALU Coastal Waters Forecast National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska 355 AM AKDT Wed Oct 16 2019 Coastal Waters Forecast for Southwest Alaska+Bristol Bay+The Alaska Peninsula Waters and the Aleutian Islands up to 100 nm out. Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height. PKZ199-170045- 355 AM AKDT Wed Oct 16 2019 .SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS... A 969 mb low 60 nm south of Saint Paul moves to 75 nm north of Port Heiden at 980 mb Wed night before moving inland Thu morning. A 974 mb low 110 nm northeast of Saint Paul moves to 130 nm south of Mekoryuk at 977 mb Thu morning before moving to 50 nm northwest of Port Heiden at 986 mb Fri morning. $$ PKZ150-170045- South of the AK Peninsula Sitkinak to Castle Cape- 355 AM AKDT Wed Oct 16 2019 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY... .TODAY...S wind 35 kt becoming W 45 kt in the afternoon. Seas 12 ft building to 20 ft in the afternoon. Rain. .TONIGHT...W wind 45 kt. Seas 24 ft. .THU...W wind 35 kt. Seas 19 ft. .THU NIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 16 ft. .FRI...W wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft. .SAT THROUGH SUN...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft. $$ PKZ155-170045- South of the AK Peninsula Castle Cape to Cape Sarichef- 355 AM AKDT Wed Oct 16 2019 ...STORM WARNING TODAY... .TODAY...W wind 50 kt. Seas 27 ft. .TONIGHT...W wind 40 kt. Seas 25 ft. .THU...W wind 35 kt. Seas 19 ft. .THU NIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft. .FRI...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft. .SAT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. .SUN...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft. $$ PKZ160-170045- Bristol Bay- 355 AM AKDT Wed Oct 16 2019 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT... .TODAY...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft. Rain. .TONIGHT...W wind 35 kt. Seas 16 ft. Rain. .THU...W wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft. .THU NIGHT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft. .FRI...W wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. .SAT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. .SUN...S wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. $$ PKZ165-170045- Port Heiden to Cape Sarichef- 355 AM AKDT Wed Oct 16 2019 ...STORM WARNING TODAY... .TODAY...W wind 60 kt, Seas 37 ft. From Port Moller E, SW wind 45 kt becoming W 55 kt in the afternoon, Seas 19 ft building to 31 ft in the afternoon. Rain. .TONIGHT...W wind 40 kt. Seas 24 ft. Rain showers. .THU...W wind 35 kt. Seas 22 ft. Rain showers. .THU NIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 17 ft. .FRI...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft. .SAT THROUGH SUN...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. $$ PKZ170-170045- Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Bering Side- 355 AM AKDT Wed Oct 16 2019 ...STORM WARNING TODAY... .TODAY...W wind 60 kt diminishing to 45 kt in the afternoon. Seas 37 ft. Rain showers. .TONIGHT...W wind 40 kt. Seas 25 ft. .THU...W wind 35 kt. Seas 20 ft. .THU NIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 16 ft. .FRI...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft. .SAT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. .SUN...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft. $$ PKZ171-170045- Unalaska Bay- 355 AM AKDT Wed Oct 16 2019 ...STORM WARNING TODAY... .TODAY...W wind 50 kt diminishing to 40 kt in the afternoon. Seas 8 ft. Rain showers. .TONIGHT...W wind 40 kt diminishing to 30 kt after midnight. Seas 6 ft. .THU...W wind 30 kt. Seas 5 ft. .THU NIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 5 ft. .FRI...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. .SAT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft. .SUN...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. $$ PKZ172-170045- Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Pacific Side- 355 AM AKDT Wed Oct 16 2019 ...STORM WARNING TODAY... .TODAY...W wind 50 kt. Seas 24 ft. Rain showers. .TONIGHT...W wind 40 kt. Seas 22 ft. .THU...W wind 30 kt. Seas 16 ft. .THU NIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft. .FRI THROUGH SAT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft. .SUN...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft. $$ PKZ173-170045- Nikolski to Seguam Island Bering Side- 355 AM AKDT Wed Oct 16 2019 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...W wind 45 kt. Seas 32 ft subsiding to 26 ft in the afternoon. Rain showers. .TONIGHT...W wind 35 kt. Seas 23 ft. .THU...W wind 30 kt. Seas 17 ft. .THU NIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft. .FRI...W wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft. .SAT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. .SUN...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft. $$ PKZ174-170045- Nikolski to Seguam Island Pacific Side- 355 AM AKDT Wed Oct 16 2019 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...W wind 40 kt. Seas 27 ft. .TONIGHT...W wind 35 kt. Seas 22 ft. .THU...W wind 30 kt. Seas 16 ft. .THU NIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft. .FRI THROUGH SAT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft. .SUN...W wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft. $$ PKZ175-170045- Seguam Island to Adak Bering Side- 355 AM AKDT Wed Oct 16 2019 ...GALE WARNING TODAY... .TODAY...W wind 45 kt. Seas 26 ft. Rain showers. .TONIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 19 ft. .THU...W wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft. .THU NIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft. .FRI THROUGH SUN...W wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft. $$ PKZ176-170045- Seguam Island to Adak Pacific Side- 355 AM AKDT Wed Oct 16 2019 ...GALE WARNING TODAY... .TODAY...W wind 40 kt. Seas 24 ft. .TONIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 18 ft. .THU...W wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft. .THU NIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft. .FRI...W wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft. .SAT THROUGH SUN...W wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft. $$ PKZ177-170045- Adak to Kiska- 355 AM AKDT Wed Oct 16 2019 ...GALE WARNING TODAY... .TODAY...W wind 45 kt diminishing to 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas 23 ft. .TONIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 18 ft. .THU...W wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft. .THU NIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft. .FRI...W wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft. .SAT THROUGH SUN...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft. $$ PKZ178-170045- Kiska to Attu- 355 AM AKDT Wed Oct 16 2019 ...GALE WARNING TODAY... .TODAY...W wind 40 kt diminishing to 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas 23 ft. .TONIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 18 ft. .THU...W wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft. .THU NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft. .FRI THROUGH SUN...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft. $$ PKZ179-170045- Pribilof Islands Near Shore Waters- 355 AM AKDT Wed Oct 16 2019 ...STORM WARNING TODAY... .TODAY...W wind 60 kt diminishing to 40 kt in the afternoon. Seas 31 ft. Rain. .TONIGHT...W wind 35 kt. Seas 21 ft. .THU...W wind 30 kt. Seas 18 ft. .THU NIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 13 ft. .FRI...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft. .SAT THROUGH SUN...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft. $$ PKZ180-170045- Kuskokwim Delta and Etolin Strait- 355 AM AKDT Wed Oct 16 2019 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...SE wind 35 kt diminishing to 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas 14 ft. Rain. .TONIGHT...W wind 35 kt. Seas 16 ft. .THU...N wind 20 kt. Seas 12 ft. .THU NIGHT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft. .FRI...S wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. .SAT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. .SUN...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. $$ PKZ181-170045- North and West of Nunivak Island- 355 AM AKDT Wed Oct 16 2019 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY... .TODAY...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft. .TONIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft. .THU...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 8 ft. .THU NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 8 ft. .FRI...E wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft. .SAT THROUGH SUN...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. $$ PKZ185-170045- Saint Matthew Island Waters- 355 AM AKDT Wed Oct 16 2019 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY... .TODAY...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft. .TONIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 13 ft. .THU...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 12 ft. .THU NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 7 ft. .FRI THROUGH SUN...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. $$
150 FZAK52 PAFC 161859 CCA CWFALU Coastal Waters Forecast...CORRECTED National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska 1059 AM AKDT Wed Oct 16 2019 Coastal Waters Forecast for Southwest Alaska+Bristol Bay+The Alaska Peninsula Waters and the Aleutian Islands up to 100 nm out. Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height. PKZ199-170045- 1059 AM AKDT Wed Oct 16 2019 .SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS... A 969 mb low 60 nm south of Saint Paul moves to 75 nm north of Port Heiden at 980 mb Wed night before moving inland Thu morning. A 974 mb low 110 nm northeast of Saint Paul moves to 130 nm south of Mekoryuk at 977 mb Thu morning before moving to 50 nm northwest of Port Heiden at 986 mb Fri morning. $$ PKZ150-170045- South of the AK Peninsula Sitkinak to Castle Cape- 1059 AM AKDT Wed Oct 16 2019 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY... .TODAY...S wind 35 kt becoming W 45 kt in the afternoon. Seas 12 ft building to 20 ft in the afternoon. Rain. .TONIGHT...W wind 45 kt. Seas 24 ft. .THU...W wind 35 kt. Seas 19 ft. .THU NIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 16 ft. .FRI...W wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft. .SAT THROUGH SUN...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft. $$ PKZ155-170045- South of the AK Peninsula Castle Cape to Cape Sarichef- 1059 AM AKDT Wed Oct 16 2019 ...STORM WARNING TODAY... .TODAY...W wind 50 kt. Seas 27 ft. .TONIGHT...W wind 40 kt. Seas 25 ft. .THU...W wind 35 kt. Seas 19 ft. .THU NIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft. .FRI...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft. .SAT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. .SUN...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft. $$ PKZ160-170045- Bristol Bay- 1059 AM AKDT Wed Oct 16 2019 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT... .TODAY...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft. Rain. .TONIGHT...W wind 35 kt. Seas 16 ft. Rain. .THU...W wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft. .THU NIGHT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft. .FRI...W wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. .SAT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. .SUN...S wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. $$ PKZ165-170045- Port Heiden to Cape Sarichef- 1059 AM AKDT Wed Oct 16 2019 ...STORM WARNING TODAY... .TODAY...W wind 60 kt, Seas 37 ft. From Port Moller E, SW wind 45 kt becoming W 55 kt in the afternoon, Seas 19 ft building to 31 ft in the afternoon. Rain. .TONIGHT...W wind 40 kt. Seas 24 ft. Rain showers. .THU...W wind 35 kt. Seas 22 ft. Rain showers. .THU NIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 17 ft. .FRI...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft. .SAT THROUGH SUN...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. $$ PKZ170-170045- Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Bering Side- 1059 AM AKDT Wed Oct 16 2019 ...STORM WARNING TODAY... .TODAY...W wind 60 kt diminishing to 45 kt in the afternoon. Seas 37 ft. Rain showers. Isolated thunderstorms. .TONIGHT...W wind 40 kt. Seas 25 ft. .THU...W wind 35 kt. Seas 20 ft. .THU NIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 16 ft. .FRI...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft. .SAT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. .SUN...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft. $$ PKZ171-170045- Unalaska Bay- 1059 AM AKDT Wed Oct 16 2019 ...STORM WARNING TODAY... .TODAY...W wind 50 kt diminishing to 40 kt in the afternoon. Seas 8 ft. Rain showers. .TONIGHT...W wind 40 kt diminishing to 30 kt after midnight. Seas 6 ft. .THU...W wind 30 kt. Seas 5 ft. .THU NIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 5 ft. .FRI...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. .SAT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft. .SUN...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. $$ PKZ172-170045- Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Pacific Side- 1059 AM AKDT Wed Oct 16 2019 ...STORM WARNING TODAY... .TODAY...W wind 50 kt. Seas 24 ft. Rain showers. .TONIGHT...W wind 40 kt. Seas 22 ft. .THU...W wind 30 kt. Seas 16 ft. .THU NIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft. .FRI THROUGH SAT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft. .SUN...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft. $$ PKZ173-170045- Nikolski to Seguam Island Bering Side- 1059 AM AKDT Wed Oct 16 2019 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...W wind 45 kt. Seas 32 ft subsiding to 26 ft in the afternoon. Rain showers. .TONIGHT...W wind 35 kt. Seas 23 ft. .THU...W wind 30 kt. Seas 17 ft. .THU NIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft. .FRI...W wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft. .SAT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. .SUN...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft. $$ PKZ174-170045- Nikolski to Seguam Island Pacific Side- 1059 AM AKDT Wed Oct 16 2019 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...W wind 40 kt. Seas 27 ft. .TONIGHT...W wind 35 kt. Seas 22 ft. .THU...W wind 30 kt. Seas 16 ft. .THU NIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft. .FRI THROUGH SAT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft. .SUN...W wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft. $$ PKZ175-170045- Seguam Island to Adak Bering Side- 1059 AM AKDT Wed Oct 16 2019 ...GALE WARNING TODAY... .TODAY...W wind 45 kt. Seas 26 ft. Rain showers. .TONIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 19 ft. .THU...W wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft. .THU NIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft. .FRI THROUGH SUN...W wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft. $$ PKZ176-170045- Seguam Island to Adak Pacific Side- 1059 AM AKDT Wed Oct 16 2019 ...GALE WARNING TODAY... .TODAY...W wind 40 kt. Seas 24 ft. .TONIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 18 ft. .THU...W wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft. .THU NIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft. .FRI...W wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft. .SAT THROUGH SUN...W wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft. $$ PKZ177-170045- Adak to Kiska- 1059 AM AKDT Wed Oct 16 2019 ...GALE WARNING TODAY... .TODAY...W wind 45 kt diminishing to 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas 23 ft. .TONIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 18 ft. .THU...W wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft. .THU NIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft. .FRI...W wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft. .SAT THROUGH SUN...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft. $$ PKZ178-170045- Kiska to Attu- 1059 AM AKDT Wed Oct 16 2019 ...GALE WARNING TODAY... .TODAY...W wind 40 kt diminishing to 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas 23 ft. .TONIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 18 ft. .THU...W wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft. .THU NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft. .FRI THROUGH SUN...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft. $$ PKZ179-170045- Pribilof Islands Near Shore Waters- 1059 AM AKDT Wed Oct 16 2019 ...STORM WARNING TODAY... .TODAY...W wind 60 kt diminishing to 40 kt in the afternoon. Seas 31 ft. Rain. .TONIGHT...W wind 35 kt. Seas 21 ft. .THU...W wind 30 kt. Seas 18 ft. .THU NIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 13 ft. .FRI...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft. .SAT THROUGH SUN...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft. $$ PKZ180-170045- Kuskokwim Delta and Etolin Strait- 1059 AM AKDT Wed Oct 16 2019 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...SE wind 35 kt diminishing to 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas 14 ft. Rain. .TONIGHT...W wind 35 kt. Seas 16 ft. .THU...N wind 20 kt. Seas 12 ft. .THU NIGHT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft. .FRI...S wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. .SAT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. .SUN...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. $$ PKZ181-170045- North and West of Nunivak Island- 1059 AM AKDT Wed Oct 16 2019 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY... .TODAY...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft. .TONIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft. .THU...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 8 ft. .THU NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 8 ft. .FRI...E wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft. .SAT THROUGH SUN...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. $$ PKZ185-170045- Saint Matthew Island Waters- 1059 AM AKDT Wed Oct 16 2019 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY... .TODAY...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft. .TONIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 13 ft. .THU...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 12 ft. .THU NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 7 ft. .FRI THROUGH SUN...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. $$
246 FZAK52 PAFC 162339 CWFALU Coastal Waters Forecast National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska 339 PM AKDT Wed Oct 16 2019 Coastal Waters Forecast for Southwest Alaska+Bristol Bay+The Alaska Peninsula Waters and the Aleutian Islands up to 100 nm out. Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height. PKZ199-171230- 339 PM AKDT Wed Oct 16 2019 .SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS... A 975 mb low 110 nm North of St Paul Island moves over the Alaska Peninsula to merge with a Gulf of Alaska low for Fri afternoon. Its front pushes into Western Alaska by Fri afternoon. A 980 mb low 420 nm North of Attu moves to 215 nm Southwest of St Matthew Island at 986 mb for Fri afternoon. Its front swings into the Central Aleutians and Bering through Fri afternoon. $$ PKZ150-171230- South of the AK Peninsula Sitkinak to Castle Cape- 339 PM AKDT Wed Oct 16 2019 ...STORM WARNING TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...W wind 50 kt. Seas 27 ft. Rain showers. Isolated thunderstorms. .THU...W wind 35 kt. Seas 19 ft. .THU NIGHT...W wind 35 kt. Seas 17 ft. .FRI...W wind 35 kt. Seas 14 ft. .FRI NIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft. .SAT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. .SUN...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft. .MON...S wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft. $$ PKZ155-171230- South of the AK Peninsula Castle Cape to Cape Sarichef- 339 PM AKDT Wed Oct 16 2019 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...W wind 45 kt. Seas 25 ft. Isolated thunderstorms. .THU...W wind 35 kt. Seas 19 ft. .THU NIGHT...W wind 35 kt. Seas 15 ft. .FRI...W wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft. .FRI NIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. .SAT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. .SUN...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft. .MON...S wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft. $$ PKZ160-171230- Bristol Bay- 339 PM AKDT Wed Oct 16 2019 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...SE wind increasing to 35 kt then becoming NW after midnight. Seas building to 13 ft. Rain showers. .THU...W wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft. .THU NIGHT...SW wind 20 kt becoming NW after midnight. Seas 6 ft. .FRI...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. .FRI NIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. .SAT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. .SUN...S wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. .MON...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. $$ PKZ165-171230- Port Heiden to Cape Sarichef- 339 PM AKDT Wed Oct 16 2019 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY... .TONIGHT...W wind 45 kt. Seas 24 ft. Rain showers. Isolated thunderstorms. .THU...W wind 40 kt. Seas 21 ft. Rain showers. .THU NIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft. Rain showers. .FRI...W wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft. .FRI NIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft. .SAT THROUGH SUN...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. .MON...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. $$ PKZ170-171230- Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Bering Side- 339 PM AKDT Wed Oct 16 2019 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY... .TONIGHT...W wind 40 kt. Seas 23 ft. Rain showers. .THU...W wind 35 kt. Seas 19 ft. Rain showers. .THU NIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft. .FRI...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft. .FRI NIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft. .SAT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. .SUN...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft. .MON...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. $$ PKZ171-171230- Unalaska Bay- 339 PM AKDT Wed Oct 16 2019 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...W wind 35 kt. Seas 5 ft. Rain showers. .THU...W wind 30 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain showers. .THU NIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft. .FRI AND FRI NIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. .SAT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. .SUN...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. .MON...E wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. $$ PKZ172-171230- Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Pacific Side- 339 PM AKDT Wed Oct 16 2019 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...W wind 40 kt. Seas 21 ft. .THU...W wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft. .THU NIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft. .FRI...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft. .FRI NIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft. .SAT THROUGH SUN...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft. .MON...E wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft. $$ PKZ173-171230- Nikolski to Seguam Island Bering Side- 339 PM AKDT Wed Oct 16 2019 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...W wind 35 kt. Seas 21 ft. .THU...W wind 30 kt. Seas 16 ft. Rain showers. .THU NIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft. .FRI...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft. .FRI NIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft. .SAT THROUGH SUN...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft. .MON...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft. $$ PKZ174-171230- Nikolski to Seguam Island Pacific Side- 339 PM AKDT Wed Oct 16 2019 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...W wind 35 kt. Seas 21 ft. .THU...W wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft. .THU NIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft. .FRI...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft. .FRI NIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft. .SAT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. .SUN...W wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft. .MON...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. $$ PKZ175-171230- Seguam Island to Adak Bering Side- 339 PM AKDT Wed Oct 16 2019 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 18 ft. Rain showers. .THU...W wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft. Rain showers. .THU NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft. .FRI...W wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft. .FRI NIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. .SAT THROUGH SUN...W wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft. .MON...N wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. $$ PKZ176-171230- Seguam Island to Adak Pacific Side- 339 PM AKDT Wed Oct 16 2019 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 17 ft. .THU...W wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft. .THU NIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft. .FRI...W wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft. .FRI NIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft. .SAT THROUGH SUN...W wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft. .MON...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. $$ PKZ177-171230- Adak to Kiska- 339 PM AKDT Wed Oct 16 2019 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 17 ft. .THU...W wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft. .THU NIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft. .FRI...W wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft. .FRI NIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft. .SAT THROUGH MON...N wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. $$ PKZ178-171230- Kiska to Attu- 339 PM AKDT Wed Oct 16 2019 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 17 ft. .THU...W wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft. .THU NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft. .FRI...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft. .FRI NIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. .SAT THROUGH MON...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. $$ PKZ179-171230- Pribilof Islands Near Shore Waters- 339 PM AKDT Wed Oct 16 2019 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY... .TONIGHT...W wind 40 kt. Seas 20 ft. Rain showers. .THU...W wind 35 kt diminishing to 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas 17 ft. .THU NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 12 ft. .FRI...S wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft. .FRI NIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft. .SAT THROUGH SUN...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft. .MON...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. $$ PKZ180-171230- Kuskokwim Delta and Etolin Strait- 339 PM AKDT Wed Oct 16 2019 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...NW wind 35 kt...except southeast 20 kt along the coast N of Cape Newenham. Seas 16 ft. .THU...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft. .THU NIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft. .FRI...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. .FRI NIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. .SAT THROUGH SUN...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. .MON...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. $$ PKZ181-171230- North and West of Nunivak Island- 339 PM AKDT Wed Oct 16 2019 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY... .TONIGHT...E wind 25 kt becoming NE 15 kt after midnight. Seas 11 ft. .THU...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft. .THU NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 7 ft. .FRI...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 5 ft. .FRI NIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. .SAT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. .SUN...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. .MON...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. $$ PKZ185-171230- Saint Matthew Island Waters- 339 PM AKDT Wed Oct 16 2019 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 12 ft. .THU...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 12 ft. .THU NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt E of Saint Matthew Island... E 15 kt W of Saint Matthew Island. Seas 9 ft. .FRI...E wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. .FRI NIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. .SAT THROUGH SUN...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. .MON...N wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft. $$
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this gale warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Anchorage, AK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this gale warning went out at Oct 15, 4:37 AM AKDT, 11 hours 5 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Oct 15, 4:37 AM AKDT, 11 hours 5 minutes before
Southcentral and Southwest Alaska Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Anchorage AK 437 AM AKDT Tue Oct 15 2019 .ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS... A strong 958 mb low (remnant Hagibis) centered west of St. Matthew Island continues to slowly move northward. This low has brought hurricane force gusts and high seas to the Bering waters overnight. A front associated with this low has stalled along the Southwest coast, inhibited from moving inland by a persistent area of high pressure in place over the Mainland. Behind the low, cold air is streaming in from the northwest. Meanwhile over the Gulf, a complex low has brought gusty easterly winds and rain to Kodiak Island. An inverted trough associated with this low has begun to lift northward and is approaching the northern Gulf coast this morning. && .MODEL DISCUSSION... Forecast models continue to be in good agreement regarding the overall synoptic pattern. Disagreement arises by Wednesday when model solutions differ on the location of several smaller circulations over the Gulf of Alaska and their arrival into Southcentral. Meanwhile over the Bering, a second strong low moves in Tuesday night. Models struggle to agree on the strength and track of this low, though current thinking is the low center will traverse the Pribilof Islands late Tuesday into early Wednesday. && .AVIATION... PANC...VFR conditions and light northerly winds will persist. && .SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA (Days 1 and 2)... Outflow and gap winds are expected to diminish across Southcentral today as pressure gradients relax. Broad cyclonic upper level flow over the NE Pacific/Gulf will continue a support a series of lows which will generally drift across the Gulf. Positioning of centers and intensity will be somewhat problematic. However, while there are differences, common ground can be be found with NE to NW gales over the western and northern Gulf today and weakening tonight. Gales will redevelop across the southwestern Gulf Wednesday afternoon/night as the next front moves in from the west. Precipitation will spread west across the northern and western Gulf today with rain at most sea level locations and mix or snow at higher elevations over the mainland coastal mountains. Overrunning snow potential across the Chugach into the Matanuska Valley/Anchorage Bowl on Wednesday morning looks fairly weak. However, could not rule out flurries or some very light snow during the morning hours which would then mix with rain during the afternoon. && .SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHWEST ALASKA (Days 1 through 3)... Precipitation from the frontal boundary has been detected on the radars at Bethel (PABC) and King Salmon (PAKC) this morning. The front spans from Hooper Bay to Pilot Point. The models bring the boundary inland today with light rain making it to Bethel and Levelock. However, the front loses momentum. A second frontal boundary will move into the region early Wednesday. Widespread rainfall is anticipated with coastal communities receiving the lion's share of the moisture. && .SHORT TERM FORECAST BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS (Days 1 through 3)... This morning the surface low anchoring the remnants of Hagibis is west of St. Matthew Island with an estimated pressure of 958mb. The models show the surface low moving westward into NE Russia. The surface low will weaken and the northern portion of the frontal boundary will undergo the process of frontolysis. The longwave trough over the Bering has several impulses of shortwave energy embedded. A second surge of energy will create a new wave along the baroclinic zone near the western Aleutians. This new low will undergo a period of rapid intensification today. The new surface low will track over the Pribilof Islands tonight bringing another round of strong winds and rough seas. As the forecast period unfolds, the low will push into western Alaska on Thursday. && .MARINE (Days 3 through 5)... Bering Sea/Aleutians: Models continue to show discrepancies for the synoptic setup in the Bering in the Thursday timeframe. In any case, there continues to be indication that a double barrel low will set up in the Bering, with one center near Cape Newenham and the other center in the northeast Bering. It's tough to say which will be stronger, but models have shown a slight trend deepening the Bristol Bay/Cape Newenham low. This would likely result in some gales in the southern Bering and eastern Aleutians Thursday. Expect mixed seas with combined wave height in the 15 to 20 foot range... subsiding Friday. A series of disturbances will likely rotate around the northeast Bering low, thus areas of showers and small craft advisory conditions are likely through the end of the week. Gulf of Alaska: An upper low will cross the AKPEN Thursday and a surface low will develop near Kodiak Island. The range of solutions is a bit broader than ideal... the main question is how far north the low propagates. It's possible that it will bring gales to the southern outer waters Thursday. Or, it could track far enough south that stronger winds will be concentrated in the North Pacific. Either way, elevated winds are likely out of Kamishak Bay as pressure drops in the Gulf. The pattern looks generally benign in the Gulf by Saturday, but model discrepancies compound so it will be important to monitor the forecast. && .LONG TERM FORECAST (Days 4 through 7)... Details in the long term remain murky, as models continue to struggle with the preceding evolution of post-Typhoon Hagibis. However, there are some general trends apparent. Low pressure is likely to settle in the Bering Sea (or perhaps centered off the west coast) through early next week, and cold air advection in north flow around the west side of the low will continue showery unstable conditions over the Bering/Aleutians. The location of the low center is uncertain, but if it sets up near the west coast, precipitation and increased southwest winds are likely in its southern periphery. High pressure in the low levels will persist over northeastern Alaska, leading to cold, generally dry conditions inland. However, enhanced cyclogenesis is likely as modified cold, dry air originating in eastern Siberia spills into the North Pacific. Thus, expect a series of lows to approach the Gulf from the west. This will likely bring precipitation and increased cloud cover to the North Gulf Coast, possibly making it inland. && .AFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... PUBLIC...High Wind Watch: 195. MARINE...Storm Warning: 177-179, 185, 412, 413, 414. Gale Warning: 119, 120, 131, 132, 150, 155, 160, 165, 170-176, 180, 351, 352, 411. . FIRE WEATHER...NONE. && SYNOPSIS AND MODEL DISCUSSION...KO SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...RMC SOUTHWEST ALASKA/BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...PJS MARINE/LONG TERM...MM
The office that day
Everything else NWS Anchorage, AK issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 14, 8:48 PM AKDT | High Wind Watch | AFC | 19 hr | |
| Oct 14, 9:32 PM AKDT | Small Craft Advisory | AFC | 18 hr | |
| Oct 15, 3:40 AM AKDT | Gale Warning | AFC | 12 hr | |
| Oct 15, 3:40 AM AKDT | Small Craft Advisory | AFC | 12 hr | |
| Oct 15, 3:43 AM AKDT | Gale Warning | AFC | 48 hr | |
| Oct 15, 3:43 AM AKDT | Gale Warning | AFC | 48 hr | |
| Oct 15, 3:43 AM AKDT | Small Craft Advisory | AFC | 48 hr | |
| Oct 15, 3:43 AM AKDT | Storm Warning | AFC | 36 hr | |
| Oct 15, 8:14 AM AKDT | Hurricane Force Wind Warning | AFC | 20 hr | |
| Oct 15, 3:32 PM AKDT | High Wind Warning | AFC | 21 hr | |
| Oct 15, 3:42 PM AKDT | Small Craft Advisory | AFC | 8 days | |
| Oct 15, 3:42 PM AKDT | Storm Warning | AFC | 24 hr | |
| Oct 15, 3:46 PM AKDT | Small Craft Advisory | AFC | 72 hr |
Nearby
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.