Gale Warning 538, NWS Anchorage, AK

844 
FZAK52 PAFC 152342
CWFALU

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
342 PM AKDT Tue Oct 15 2019

Coastal Waters Forecast for Southwest Alaska+Bristol Bay+The
Alaska Peninsula Waters and the Aleutian Islands up to 100 nm out.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ199-161300-
342 PM AKDT Tue Oct 15 2019
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...

A 962 mb low exits the northwest Bering Tue evening. A 969 mb low
190 nm northeast of Shemya moves to 100 nm north of St Paul Island 
at 973 mb by Wed afternoon then crosses the Alaska Peninsula near 
Bristol Bay by Thu afternoon at 982 mb.

$$

PKZ150-161300-
South of the AK Peninsula Sitkinak to Castle Cape-
342 PM AKDT Tue Oct 15 2019

...GALE WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 35 kt becoming W 25 kt after midnight. Seas
18 ft.
.WED...W wind 40 kt. Seas 12 ft building to 18 ft in the
afternoon. Rain.
.WED NIGHT...W wind 40 kt diminishing to 30 kt after midnight.
Seas 20 ft.
.THU AND THU NIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.FRI...W wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ155-161300-
South of the AK Peninsula Castle Cape to Cape Sarichef-
342 PM AKDT Tue Oct 15 2019

...STORM WARNING WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...W wind 25 kt becoming SW 40 kt after midnight. From the
Shumagin Islands E, W wind 30 kt. Seas 17 ft. Rain.
.WED...W wind 50 kt. Seas 24 ft. Isolated thunderstorms during the 
evening.
.WED NIGHT...W wind 40 kt. Seas 22 ft.
.THU...W wind 35 kt. Seas 19 ft.
.THU NIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ160-161300-
Bristol Bay-
342 PM AKDT Tue Oct 15 2019

...GALE WARNING WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W wind 25 kt becoming SW 15 kt after midnight. Seas
10 ft.
.WED...S wind 35 kt. Seas 11 ft. Rain.
.WED NIGHT...W wind 40 kt diminishing to 30 kt after midnight.
Seas 17 ft. Rain.
.THU AND THU NIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...S wind 10 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ165-161300-
Port Heiden to Cape Sarichef-
342 PM AKDT Tue Oct 15 2019

...STORM WARNING WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 30 kt increasing to 40 kt after midnight. From
Port Moller E, S wind 30 kt. Seas 18 ft. Rain.
.WED...W wind 60 kt diminishing to 50 kt in the afternoon, Seas
37 ft. From Port Moller E, SW wind 45 kt becoming W 55 kt in the
afternoon, Seas 19 ft building to 30 ft in the afternoon. Rain. Isolated
thunderstorms during the evening. 
.WED NIGHT...W wind 40 kt. Seas 23 ft. Rain showers.
.THU...W wind 35 kt. Seas 23 ft.
.THU NIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ170-161300-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Bering Side-
342 PM AKDT Tue Oct 15 2019

...STORM WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 40 kt becoming W 60 kt after midnight. Seas 21
ft building to 31 ft after midnight. Rain.
.WED...W wind 60 kt diminishing to 40 kt in the afternoon. Seas
37 ft subsiding to 30 ft in the afternoon. Rain showers. Isolated
thunderstorms.
.WED NIGHT...W wind 40 kt. Seas 24 ft.
.THU...W wind 35 kt. Seas 21 ft.
.THU NIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ171-161300-
Unalaska Bay-
342 PM AKDT Tue Oct 15 2019

...STORM WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...S wind 25 kt becoming SW 50 kt after midnight. Seas 4
ft building to 8 ft after midnight. Rain.
.WED...W wind 50 kt diminishing to 40 kt in the afternoon. Seas
8 ft. Rain. 
.WED NIGHT...W wind 35 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.THU AND THU NIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ172-161300-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Pacific Side-
342 PM AKDT Tue Oct 15 2019

...STORM WARNING WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 35 kt becoming W 45 kt after midnight. Seas 16
ft building to 22 ft after midnight. Rain.
.WED...W wind 50 kt diminishing to 40 kt in the afternoon. Seas
23 ft. Rain showers.
.WED NIGHT...W wind 40 kt. Seas 22 ft.
.THU AND THU NIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ173-161300-
Nikolski to Seguam Island Bering Side-
342 PM AKDT Tue Oct 15 2019

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 45 kt becoming W 55 kt after midnight. Seas 23
ft
building to 33 ft after midnight.
.WED...W wind 45 kt. Seas 32 ft subsiding to 26 ft in the
afternoon. Rain showers. Isolated thunderstorms in the afternoon.
.WED NIGHT...W wind 35 kt. Seas 22 ft.
.THU AND THU NIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...W wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ174-161300-
Nikolski to Seguam Island Pacific Side-
342 PM AKDT Tue Oct 15 2019

...GALE WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W wind 45 kt. Seas 26 ft.
.WED...W wind 40 kt. Seas 27 ft.
.WED NIGHT...W wind 35 kt. Seas 21 ft.
.THU AND THU NIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SUN...W wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ175-161300-
Seguam Island to Adak Bering Side-
342 PM AKDT Tue Oct 15 2019

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W wind 50 kt. Seas 29 ft.
.WED...W wind 45 kt. Seas 26 ft. Rain showers.
.WED NIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 19 ft.
.THU...W wind 30 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.THU NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.FRI...W wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SAT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SUN...W wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ176-161300-
Seguam Island to Adak Pacific Side-
342 PM AKDT Tue Oct 15 2019

...GALE WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...W wind 45 kt. Seas 25 ft.
.WED...W wind 40 kt. Seas 24 ft.
.WED NIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.THU...W wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.THU NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SUN...W wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ177-161300-
Adak to Kiska-
342 PM AKDT Tue Oct 15 2019

...GALE WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...W wind 45 kt. Seas 28 ft.
.WED...W wind 45 kt diminishing to 35 kt in the afternoon. Seas
23 ft.
.WED NIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.THU...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.THU NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SUN...W wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ178-161300-
Kiska to Attu-
342 PM AKDT Tue Oct 15 2019

...GALE WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...W wind 45 kt. Seas 26 ft. Rain.
.WED...W wind 40 kt. Seas 23 ft.
.WED NIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.THU...W wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.THU NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SUN...W wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

PKZ179-161300-
Pribilof Islands Near Shore Waters-
342 PM AKDT Tue Oct 15 2019

...STORM WARNING WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...S wind 30 kt becoming SW 40 kt after midnight. Seas
21 ft. Widespread rain showers.
.WED...W wind 60 kt diminishing to 40 kt in the afternoon. Seas
31 ft subsiding to 25 ft in the afternoon. Rain.
.WED NIGHT...W wind 40 kt. Seas 22 ft.
.THU...W wind 30 kt. Seas 19 ft.
.THU NIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SAT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SUN...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ180-161300-
Kuskokwim Delta and Etolin Strait-
342 PM AKDT Tue Oct 15 2019

...GALE WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 20 kt becoming SE 35 kt after midnight. Seas
14 ft. Rain.
.WED...S wind 40 kt. Seas 16 ft. Rain.
.WED NIGHT...NW wind 40 kt diminishing to 30 kt after midnight.
Seas 18 ft.
.THU...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.THU NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.FRI...W wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SAT...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SUN...S wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ181-161300-
North and West of Nunivak Island-
342 PM AKDT Tue Oct 15 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 20 kt becoming SE 30 kt after midnight. Seas
14 ft. Rain.
.WED...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.WED NIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.THU AND THU NIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.FRI...N wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SAT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SUN...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ185-161300-
Saint Matthew Island Waters-
342 PM AKDT Tue Oct 15 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S wind 30 kt. Seas 20 ft subsiding to 15 ft after
midnight. Rain.
.WED...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.WED NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.THU...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.THU NIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.FRI...N wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

059 
FZAK52 PAFC 161155
CWFALU

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
355 AM AKDT Wed Oct 16 2019

Coastal Waters Forecast for Southwest Alaska+Bristol Bay+The
Alaska Peninsula Waters and the Aleutian Islands up to 100 nm out.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ199-170045-
355 AM AKDT Wed Oct 16 2019
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...

A 969 mb low 60 nm south of Saint Paul moves to 75 nm north of
Port Heiden at 980 mb Wed night before moving inland Thu morning.
A 974 mb low 110 nm northeast of Saint Paul moves to 130 nm south
of Mekoryuk at 977 mb Thu morning before moving to 50 nm northwest
of Port Heiden at 986 mb Fri morning.

$$

PKZ150-170045-
South of the AK Peninsula Sitkinak to Castle Cape-
355 AM AKDT Wed Oct 16 2019

...GALE WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TODAY...S wind 35 kt becoming W 45 kt in the afternoon. Seas 12
ft building to 20 ft in the afternoon. Rain.
.TONIGHT...W wind 45 kt. Seas 24 ft.
.THU...W wind 35 kt. Seas 19 ft.
.THU NIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.FRI...W wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ155-170045-
South of the AK Peninsula Castle Cape to Cape Sarichef-
355 AM AKDT Wed Oct 16 2019

...STORM WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...W wind 50 kt. Seas 27 ft.
.TONIGHT...W wind 40 kt. Seas 25 ft.
.THU...W wind 35 kt. Seas 19 ft.
.THU NIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.SAT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ160-170045-
Bristol Bay-
355 AM AKDT Wed Oct 16 2019

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...W wind 35 kt. Seas 16 ft. Rain.
.THU...W wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.THU NIGHT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.FRI...W wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SAT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SUN...S wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ165-170045-
Port Heiden to Cape Sarichef-
355 AM AKDT Wed Oct 16 2019

...STORM WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...W wind 60 kt, Seas 37 ft. From Port Moller E, SW wind 45
kt becoming W 55 kt in the afternoon, Seas 19 ft building to 31 ft 
in the afternoon. Rain.
.TONIGHT...W wind 40 kt. Seas 24 ft. Rain showers.
.THU...W wind 35 kt. Seas 22 ft. Rain showers.
.THU NIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ170-170045-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Bering Side-
355 AM AKDT Wed Oct 16 2019

...STORM WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...W wind 60 kt diminishing to 45 kt in the afternoon. Seas
37 ft. Rain showers.
.TONIGHT...W wind 40 kt. Seas 25 ft.
.THU...W wind 35 kt. Seas 20 ft.
.THU NIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.SAT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ171-170045-
Unalaska Bay-
355 AM AKDT Wed Oct 16 2019

...STORM WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...W wind 50 kt diminishing to 40 kt in the afternoon. Seas
8 ft. Rain showers.
.TONIGHT...W wind 40 kt diminishing to 30 kt after midnight. 
Seas 6 ft.
.THU...W wind 30 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.THU NIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ172-170045-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Pacific Side-
355 AM AKDT Wed Oct 16 2019

...STORM WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...W wind 50 kt. Seas 24 ft. Rain showers.
.TONIGHT...W wind 40 kt. Seas 22 ft.
.THU...W wind 30 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.THU NIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ173-170045-
Nikolski to Seguam Island Bering Side-
355 AM AKDT Wed Oct 16 2019

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...W wind 45 kt. Seas 32 ft subsiding to 26 ft in the
afternoon. Rain showers.
.TONIGHT...W wind 35 kt. Seas 23 ft.
.THU...W wind 30 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.THU NIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.FRI...W wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.SAT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ174-170045-
Nikolski to Seguam Island Pacific Side-
355 AM AKDT Wed Oct 16 2019

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...W wind 40 kt. Seas 27 ft.
.TONIGHT...W wind 35 kt. Seas 22 ft.
.THU...W wind 30 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.THU NIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SUN...W wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ175-170045-
Seguam Island to Adak Bering Side-
355 AM AKDT Wed Oct 16 2019

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...W wind 45 kt. Seas 26 ft. Rain showers.
.TONIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 19 ft.
.THU...W wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.THU NIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SUN...W wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft.

$$

PKZ176-170045-
Seguam Island to Adak Pacific Side-
355 AM AKDT Wed Oct 16 2019

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...W wind 40 kt. Seas 24 ft.
.TONIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.THU...W wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.THU NIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.FRI...W wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...W wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

PKZ177-170045-
Adak to Kiska-
355 AM AKDT Wed Oct 16 2019

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...W wind 45 kt diminishing to 30 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 23 ft.
.TONIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.THU...W wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.THU NIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.FRI...W wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ178-170045-
Kiska to Attu-
355 AM AKDT Wed Oct 16 2019

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...W wind 40 kt diminishing to 30 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 23 ft.
.TONIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.THU...W wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.THU NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SUN...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ179-170045-
Pribilof Islands Near Shore Waters-
355 AM AKDT Wed Oct 16 2019

...STORM WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...W wind 60 kt diminishing to 40 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 31 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...W wind 35 kt. Seas 21 ft.
.THU...W wind 30 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.THU NIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ180-170045-
Kuskokwim Delta and Etolin Strait-
355 AM AKDT Wed Oct 16 2019

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE wind 35 kt diminishing to 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas
14 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...W wind 35 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.THU...N wind 20 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.THU NIGHT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.FRI...S wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SAT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SUN...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ181-170045-
North and West of Nunivak Island-
355 AM AKDT Wed Oct 16 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TODAY...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.TONIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.THU...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.THU NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.FRI...E wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ185-170045-
Saint Matthew Island Waters-
355 AM AKDT Wed Oct 16 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.THU...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.THU NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SUN...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

150 
FZAK52 PAFC 161859 CCA
CWFALU

Coastal Waters Forecast...CORRECTED
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
1059 AM AKDT Wed Oct 16 2019

Coastal Waters Forecast for Southwest Alaska+Bristol Bay+The
Alaska Peninsula Waters and the Aleutian Islands up to 100 nm out.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ199-170045-
1059 AM AKDT Wed Oct 16 2019
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...

A 969 mb low 60 nm south of Saint Paul moves to 75 nm north of
Port Heiden at 980 mb Wed night before moving inland Thu morning.
A 974 mb low 110 nm northeast of Saint Paul moves to 130 nm south
of Mekoryuk at 977 mb Thu morning before moving to 50 nm northwest
of Port Heiden at 986 mb Fri morning.

$$

PKZ150-170045-
South of the AK Peninsula Sitkinak to Castle Cape-
1059 AM AKDT Wed Oct 16 2019

...GALE WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TODAY...S wind 35 kt becoming W 45 kt in the afternoon. Seas 12
ft building to 20 ft in the afternoon. Rain.
.TONIGHT...W wind 45 kt. Seas 24 ft.
.THU...W wind 35 kt. Seas 19 ft.
.THU NIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.FRI...W wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ155-170045-
South of the AK Peninsula Castle Cape to Cape Sarichef-
1059 AM AKDT Wed Oct 16 2019

...STORM WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...W wind 50 kt. Seas 27 ft.
.TONIGHT...W wind 40 kt. Seas 25 ft.
.THU...W wind 35 kt. Seas 19 ft.
.THU NIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.SAT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ160-170045-
Bristol Bay-
1059 AM AKDT Wed Oct 16 2019

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...W wind 35 kt. Seas 16 ft. Rain.
.THU...W wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.THU NIGHT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.FRI...W wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SAT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SUN...S wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ165-170045-
Port Heiden to Cape Sarichef-
1059 AM AKDT Wed Oct 16 2019

...STORM WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...W wind 60 kt, Seas 37 ft. From Port Moller E, SW wind 45
kt becoming W 55 kt in the afternoon, Seas 19 ft building to 31 ft 
in the afternoon. Rain.
.TONIGHT...W wind 40 kt. Seas 24 ft. Rain showers.
.THU...W wind 35 kt. Seas 22 ft. Rain showers.
.THU NIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ170-170045-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Bering Side-
1059 AM AKDT Wed Oct 16 2019

...STORM WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...W wind 60 kt diminishing to 45 kt in the afternoon. Seas
37 ft. Rain showers. Isolated thunderstorms.
.TONIGHT...W wind 40 kt. Seas 25 ft.
.THU...W wind 35 kt. Seas 20 ft.
.THU NIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.SAT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ171-170045-
Unalaska Bay-
1059 AM AKDT Wed Oct 16 2019

...STORM WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...W wind 50 kt diminishing to 40 kt in the afternoon. Seas
8 ft. Rain showers.
.TONIGHT...W wind 40 kt diminishing to 30 kt after midnight. 
Seas 6 ft.
.THU...W wind 30 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.THU NIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ172-170045-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Pacific Side-
1059 AM AKDT Wed Oct 16 2019

...STORM WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...W wind 50 kt. Seas 24 ft. Rain showers.
.TONIGHT...W wind 40 kt. Seas 22 ft.
.THU...W wind 30 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.THU NIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ173-170045-
Nikolski to Seguam Island Bering Side-
1059 AM AKDT Wed Oct 16 2019

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...W wind 45 kt. Seas 32 ft subsiding to 26 ft in the
afternoon. Rain showers.
.TONIGHT...W wind 35 kt. Seas 23 ft.
.THU...W wind 30 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.THU NIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.FRI...W wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.SAT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ174-170045-
Nikolski to Seguam Island Pacific Side-
1059 AM AKDT Wed Oct 16 2019

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...W wind 40 kt. Seas 27 ft.
.TONIGHT...W wind 35 kt. Seas 22 ft.
.THU...W wind 30 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.THU NIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SUN...W wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ175-170045-
Seguam Island to Adak Bering Side-
1059 AM AKDT Wed Oct 16 2019

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...W wind 45 kt. Seas 26 ft. Rain showers.
.TONIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 19 ft.
.THU...W wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.THU NIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SUN...W wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft.

$$

PKZ176-170045-
Seguam Island to Adak Pacific Side-
1059 AM AKDT Wed Oct 16 2019

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...W wind 40 kt. Seas 24 ft.
.TONIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.THU...W wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.THU NIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.FRI...W wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...W wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

PKZ177-170045-
Adak to Kiska-
1059 AM AKDT Wed Oct 16 2019

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...W wind 45 kt diminishing to 30 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 23 ft.
.TONIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.THU...W wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.THU NIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.FRI...W wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ178-170045-
Kiska to Attu-
1059 AM AKDT Wed Oct 16 2019

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...W wind 40 kt diminishing to 30 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 23 ft.
.TONIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.THU...W wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.THU NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SUN...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ179-170045-
Pribilof Islands Near Shore Waters-
1059 AM AKDT Wed Oct 16 2019

...STORM WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...W wind 60 kt diminishing to 40 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 31 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...W wind 35 kt. Seas 21 ft.
.THU...W wind 30 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.THU NIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ180-170045-
Kuskokwim Delta and Etolin Strait-
1059 AM AKDT Wed Oct 16 2019

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE wind 35 kt diminishing to 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas
14 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...W wind 35 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.THU...N wind 20 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.THU NIGHT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.FRI...S wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SAT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SUN...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ181-170045-
North and West of Nunivak Island-
1059 AM AKDT Wed Oct 16 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TODAY...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.TONIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.THU...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.THU NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.FRI...E wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ185-170045-
Saint Matthew Island Waters-
1059 AM AKDT Wed Oct 16 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.THU...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.THU NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SUN...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

246 
FZAK52 PAFC 162339
CWFALU

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
339 PM AKDT Wed Oct 16 2019

Coastal Waters Forecast for Southwest Alaska+Bristol Bay+The
Alaska Peninsula Waters and the Aleutian Islands up to 100 nm out.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ199-171230-
339 PM AKDT Wed Oct 16 2019
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...

A 975 mb low 110 nm North of St Paul Island moves over the Alaska
Peninsula to merge with a Gulf of Alaska low for Fri afternoon. 
Its front pushes into Western Alaska by Fri afternoon. A 980 mb 
low 420 nm North of Attu moves to 215 nm Southwest of St Matthew
Island at 986 mb for Fri afternoon. Its front swings into the 
Central Aleutians and Bering through Fri afternoon.

$$

PKZ150-171230-
South of the AK Peninsula Sitkinak to Castle Cape-
339 PM AKDT Wed Oct 16 2019

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W wind 50 kt. Seas 27 ft. Rain showers. Isolated
thunderstorms.
.THU...W wind 35 kt. Seas 19 ft.
.THU NIGHT...W wind 35 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.FRI...W wind 35 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SAT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.MON...S wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ155-171230-
South of the AK Peninsula Castle Cape to Cape Sarichef-
339 PM AKDT Wed Oct 16 2019

...GALE WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W wind 45 kt. Seas 25 ft. Isolated
thunderstorms.
.THU...W wind 35 kt. Seas 19 ft.
.THU NIGHT...W wind 35 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.FRI...W wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SAT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.MON...S wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

PKZ160-171230-
Bristol Bay-
339 PM AKDT Wed Oct 16 2019

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE wind increasing to 35 kt then becoming NW after 
midnight. Seas building to 13 ft. Rain showers. 
.THU...W wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.THU NIGHT...SW wind 20 kt becoming NW after midnight. Seas 6 ft.
.FRI...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SAT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SUN...S wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.MON...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ165-171230-
Port Heiden to Cape Sarichef-
339 PM AKDT Wed Oct 16 2019

...GALE WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TONIGHT...W wind 45 kt. Seas 24 ft. Rain showers. Isolated
thunderstorms.
.THU...W wind 40 kt. Seas 21 ft. Rain showers.
.THU NIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft. Rain showers.
.FRI...W wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.MON...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ170-171230-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Bering Side-
339 PM AKDT Wed Oct 16 2019

...GALE WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TONIGHT...W wind 40 kt. Seas 23 ft. Rain showers.
.THU...W wind 35 kt. Seas 19 ft. Rain showers.
.THU NIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SAT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.MON...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ171-171230-
Unalaska Bay-
339 PM AKDT Wed Oct 16 2019

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W wind 35 kt. Seas 5 ft. Rain showers.
.THU...W wind 30 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain showers.
.THU NIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON...E wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ172-171230-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Pacific Side-
339 PM AKDT Wed Oct 16 2019

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W wind 40 kt. Seas 21 ft.
.THU...W wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.THU NIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.MON...E wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ173-171230-
Nikolski to Seguam Island Bering Side-
339 PM AKDT Wed Oct 16 2019

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W wind 35 kt. Seas 21 ft.
.THU...W wind 30 kt. Seas 16 ft. Rain showers.
.THU NIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.MON...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ174-171230-
Nikolski to Seguam Island Pacific Side-
339 PM AKDT Wed Oct 16 2019

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W wind 35 kt. Seas 21 ft.
.THU...W wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.THU NIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SAT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SUN...W wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.MON...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

PKZ175-171230-
Seguam Island to Adak Bering Side-
339 PM AKDT Wed Oct 16 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 18 ft. Rain showers.
.THU...W wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft. Rain showers.
.THU NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.FRI...W wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...W wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.MON...N wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ176-171230-
Seguam Island to Adak Pacific Side-
339 PM AKDT Wed Oct 16 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.THU...W wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.THU NIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.FRI...W wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...W wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.MON...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ177-171230-
Adak to Kiska-
339 PM AKDT Wed Oct 16 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.THU...W wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.THU NIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.FRI...W wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SAT THROUGH MON...N wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

PKZ178-171230-
Kiska to Attu-
339 PM AKDT Wed Oct 16 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.THU...W wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.THU NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.FRI...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SAT THROUGH MON...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

PKZ179-171230-
Pribilof Islands Near Shore Waters-
339 PM AKDT Wed Oct 16 2019

...GALE WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TONIGHT...W wind 40 kt. Seas 20 ft. Rain showers.
.THU...W wind 35 kt diminishing to 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas
17 ft.
.THU NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.FRI...S wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.MON...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ180-171230-
Kuskokwim Delta and Etolin Strait-
339 PM AKDT Wed Oct 16 2019

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 35 kt...except southeast 20 kt along the coast N
of Cape Newenham. Seas 16 ft.
.THU...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.THU NIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.FRI...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.MON...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ181-171230-
North and West of Nunivak Island-
339 PM AKDT Wed Oct 16 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TONIGHT...E wind 25 kt becoming NE 15 kt after midnight. Seas
11 ft.
.THU...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.THU NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.FRI...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SAT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SUN...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.MON...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ185-171230-
Saint Matthew Island Waters-
339 PM AKDT Wed Oct 16 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.THU...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.THU NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt E of Saint Matthew Island... E
15 kt W of Saint Matthew Island. Seas 9 ft.
.FRI...E wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.MON...N wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

659 
FZAK52 PAFC 171135
CWFALU

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
335 AM AKDT Thu Oct 17 2019

Coastal Waters Forecast for Southwest Alaska+Bristol Bay+The
Alaska Peninsula Waters and the Aleutian Islands up to 100 nm out.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ199-180015-
335 AM AKDT Thu Oct 17 2019
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...

A 978 mb low 70 nm southwest of Cape Newenham moves across the 
AKPEN by Thu night. A 984 mb low 335 nm northeast of Shemya moves
to 220 nm northwest of Saint Paul at 987 mb Fri morning and 
remains nearly stationary through Sat morning. A 998 mb low 210 nm
southwest of Adak Fri morning moves to 100 nm northwest of Cold
Bay at 992 mb Sat morning.

$$

PKZ150-180015-
South of the AK Peninsula Sitkinak to Castle Cape-
335 AM AKDT Thu Oct 17 2019

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...W wind 35 kt. Seas 19 ft.
.TONIGHT...W wind 35 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.FRI...W wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SAT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.MON...S wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ155-180015-
South of the AK Peninsula Castle Cape to Cape Sarichef-
335 AM AKDT Thu Oct 17 2019

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...W wind 40 kt. Seas 19 ft.
.TONIGHT...W wind 40 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.FRI...W wind 30 kt becoming SW 20 kt in the afternoon. From the
Shumagin Islands E, W wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SAT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.MON...S wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ160-180015-
Bristol Bay-
335 AM AKDT Thu Oct 17 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...NW wind 25 kt becoming NE 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas
11 ft.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.FRI...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SAT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SUN...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ165-180015-
Port Heiden to Cape Sarichef-
335 AM AKDT Thu Oct 17 2019

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...W wind 40 kt except W 35 kt from Port Moller E. Seas 24
ft. Rain showers.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft. Rain showers.
.FRI...W wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SAT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.MON...S wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ170-180015-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Bering Side-
335 AM AKDT Thu Oct 17 2019

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...W wind 35 kt. Seas 21 ft.
.TONIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft. Rain showers.
.FRI NIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SAT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.MON...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ171-180015-
Unalaska Bay-
335 AM AKDT Thu Oct 17 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...W wind 30 kt. Seas 5 ft. Rain showers.
.TONIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain showers.
.FRI NIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON...N wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ172-180015-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Pacific Side-
335 AM AKDT Thu Oct 17 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TODAY...W wind 30 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.TONIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft. Rain showers.
.FRI NIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.MON...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

PKZ173-180015-
Nikolski to Seguam Island Bering Side-
335 AM AKDT Thu Oct 17 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TODAY...W wind 30 kt. Seas 16 ft. Rain showers.
.TONIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft. Rain showers.
.FRI NIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.MON...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ174-180015-
Nikolski to Seguam Island Pacific Side-
335 AM AKDT Thu Oct 17 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TODAY...W wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.TONIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft. Rain showers.
.FRI NIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...W wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.MON...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ175-180015-
Seguam Island to Adak Bering Side-
335 AM AKDT Thu Oct 17 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TODAY...W wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft. Rain showers.
.TONIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.FRI...W wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...W wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.MON...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

PKZ176-180015-
Seguam Island to Adak Pacific Side-
335 AM AKDT Thu Oct 17 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TODAY...W wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.TONIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft. Widespread rain showers.
.FRI...SW wind 25 kt becoming NW. Seas 10 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...W wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.MON...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ177-180015-
Adak to Kiska-
335 AM AKDT Thu Oct 17 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TODAY...W wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.FRI...W wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SAT THROUGH MON...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

PKZ178-180015-
Kiska to Attu-
335 AM AKDT Thu Oct 17 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...W wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.TONIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.FRI...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.MON...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

PKZ179-180015-
Pribilof Islands Near Shore Waters-
335 AM AKDT Thu Oct 17 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TODAY...W wind 30 kt diminishing to 20 kt. Seas 17 ft subsiding to
12 ft.
.TONIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SAT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SUN...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.MON...N wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ180-180015-
Kuskokwim Delta and Etolin Strait-
335 AM AKDT Thu Oct 17 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.TONIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.FRI...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SAT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SUN...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.MON...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ181-180015-
North and West of Nunivak Island-
335 AM AKDT Thu Oct 17 2019

.TODAY...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TONIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.FRI...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SAT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ185-180015-
Saint Matthew Island Waters-
335 AM AKDT Thu Oct 17 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.TONIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.FRI...E wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SAT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SUN...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.MON...N wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

Southcentral and Southwest Alaska Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Anchorage AK
440 PM AKDT Mon Oct 14 2019

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...

Two major systems continue to dominate the active weather pattern
across the domain today. The first is out of the Bering in what
is left of the former Typhoon Hagibis. The second is a deepening
low drifting to the south out of the Gulf of AK. Much of mainland
Alaska remains under the influence of high pressure in between
these two systems leaving sensible weather mostly dry, cool, and
quiet.

Over the Bering, the low that was formerly Hagibis is nearing
peak intensity. It is sitting in the favored left exit region of a
strong 150 kt jet at 300mb (30,000'). The lowest recorded central
pressure to this point has been 956.3 mb on buoy 46035. Models
show the potential for it to deepen a bit more this afternoon
dropping as low as 950 mb, but it may miss any platform that could
sample the deepest value. Winds have peaked between 70-80 mph so
far, mostly along the Western Aleutians.

The other system moving into the North Pacific has completely
occluded on satellite this afternoon. It is spinning some cold air
and some upper level energy around its center. We will monitor its
associated front for the possible formation of smaller
circulations.

&&

.MODEL DISCUSSION...

Models continue to do a fine job with the overall synoptic
pattern. There is high confidence in this portion of the forecast.
However, there are discrepancies in the finer details the could
prove to be important. The first of these is regarding the
"trailing" low coming into the Western Bering quickly on the heels
of Hagibis. By Tue afternoon, a compact, but strong low will
quickly traverse along the Aleutian Chain. The forecast models now
seem in much better agreement with this system than 24 hours ago.
It is worth noting that the ECMWF was the first to catch onto it.
This forecast package will trend towards a stronger, consolidated
low that could impact the Pribilof Islands. The other uncertain
arena is across the Northern Gulf of AK. The forecast models
continue to really struggle with some smaller circulations
wrapping through that area from east to west. The GFS has been the
most aggressive with this feature, but it has backed off (and
dropped further south) on recent runs. This will be watched
closely as it could bring some light snowfall to portions of the
Western Prince William Sound and possibly as far west as Anchorage
Wed morning.

&&

.AVIATION...

PANC...VFR conditions and light northerly winds will persist.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA (Days 1 through 3/Monday
night through Thursday)...

High pressure exists over the mainland while low pressure spins in
the Gulf of Alaska. Movement of air flowing from high pressure to
low pressure is keeping gusty offshore flow through gaps and
passes in Southcentral and keeping conditions generally cold and
dry for the mainland. Offshore, the low in the gulf is creating
gale force winds over marine areas.

One interesting aspect of the forecast is a weak low pressure that
will generate along the gulf coast late tomorrow into Wednesday.
This will bring precipitation to the eastern Kenai Peninsula and
move northwest toward the Anchorage area overnight. As of now, it
looks like the cold dry air in place will keep any precipitation
out of Anchorage, with the low stopping short around Whittier. If
things do change any precipitation that reaches Anchorage will
fall as snow or a rain/snow mix. However, the chance of this
happening is slim and any accumulation will not amount to much.
Models are still figuring this system out though, so it bears
watching the next couple of days.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHWEST ALASKA (Days 1 through 3)...
(Tonight through Thursday evening)

A fairly strong front associated with post tropical cyclone
Hagibis will approach the coast this evening, with widespread
rainfall developing along it. This front will weaken as it pushes
inland overnight and through the day Wednesday morning, as it
outruns the better upper-level support.

Then, another front approaches the coast by Wednesday afternoon,
as another storm system slides across the central Bering and
through the AKPEN. Widespread rainfall will once again develop
along and ahead of this feature, with coastal communities seeing
the best potential for more rainfall.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS (Days 1 through 3)...
(Tonight through Thursday evening)

The tale of two storms best sums up the weather for the region.
Currently, the remnants of Super Typhoon Hagibis have helped
initiate rapid cyclogenesis, with the low forecast to bottom out
around 950 mb later this evening. Given a long fetch length and
hurricane force sustained winds expected, wave heights will
continue to build. This has already been observed, with buoy 46070
showing a 5 foot increase during the last 3 hours. This will
continue through the evening, with maximum wave heights of 45 to
50 feet expected. As for the winds, earlier this morning winds
near Adak were gusting to just shy of 80 mph, with current
observations showing gusts near 60 mph across the central
Aleutians and Pribilof Islands. These winds will gradually
diminish for the Aleutian chain, with it taking longer to subside
for St. Paul and St. George Islands, as they'll remain closer to
the storm for a longer duration.

Then, as one storm exits the region to our north, a new system
quickly moves in on its heels. This next feature will be much
more compact in size, but it'll also tap colder air aloft that
will get ingested into the storm from Siberia. This allows for a
much steeper lapse rate environment to develop. As a result, we
expect the precipitation to have a more vigorous showery type of
appearance. The models also show some modest instability
developing, with lifted indices down to -2 and SBCAPEs of 150 to
300 J/kg. This should be sufficient for some isolated
thunderstorms to develop.

The bigger story will be a return of sustained storm force winds
for a good portion of the Bering Sea, with some winds reaching
hurricane force near the southern flank of the low. Given the more
compact nature, wave heights are anticipated to be lower, as they
top out around 35 feet.

&&

.MARINE (Days 3 through 5)...

Bering Sea/Aleutians: Models continue to show discrepancies for
the synoptic setup in the Bering in the Thursday timeframe. In any
case, there continues to be indication that a double barrel low
will set up in the Bering, with one center near Cape Newenham and
the other center in the northeast Bering. It's tough to say which
will be stronger, but models have shown a slight trend deepening
the Bristol Bay/Cape Newenham low. This would likely result in
some gales in the southern Bering and eastern Aleutians Thursday.
Expect mixed seas with combined wave height in the 15 to 20 foot
range... subsiding Friday. A series of disturbances will likely
rotate around the northeast Bering low, thus areas of showers and
small craft advisory conditions are likely through the end of the
week.

Gulf of Alaska: An upper low will cross the AKPEN Thursday and a
surface low will develop near Kodiak Island. The range of
solutions is a bit broader than ideal... the main question is how
far north the low propagates. It's possible that it will bring
gales to the southern outer waters Thursday. Or, it could track
far enough south that stronger winds will be concentrated in the
North Pacific. Either way, elevated winds are likely out of
Kamishak Bay as pressure drops in the Gulf. The pattern looks
generally benign in the Gulf by Saturday, but model discrepancies
compound so it will be important to monitor the forecast.

&&

.LONG TERM FORECAST (Days 4 through 7)...

Details in the long term remain murky, as models continue to
struggle with the preceding evolution of post-Typhoon Hagibis.
However, there are some general trends apparent. Low pressure is
likely to settle in the Bering Sea (or perhaps centered off the
west coast) through early next week, and cold air advection in
north flow around the west side of the low will continue showery
unstable conditions over the Bering/Aleutians. The location of the
low center is uncertain, but if it sets up near the west coast,
precipitation and increased southwest winds are likely in its
southern periphery. High pressure in the low levels will persist
over northeastern Alaska, leading to cold, generally dry
conditions inland. However, enhanced cyclogenesis is likely as
modified cold, dry air originating in eastern Siberia spills into
the North Pacific. Thus, expect a series of lows to approach the
Gulf from the west. This will likely bring precipitation and
increased cloud cover to the North Gulf Coast, possibly making it
inland.

&&

.AFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...NONE.
MARINE...Hurricane Force Wind Warning: 412
		 Storm Warning: 173, 177-179, 181, 185 411, 413, 414.
 		 Gale Warning: 131, 132, 138, 155, 165, 170-172, 174-176, 180,
					   351, 352.
FIRE WEATHER...NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS AND MODEL DISCUSSION...MO
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...BB
SOUTHWEST ALASKA/BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...PD
MARINE/LONG TERM...MM