Gale Warning 150, NWS Anchorage, AK

723 
FZAK51 PAFC 131251
CWFAER

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
351 AM AKST Wed Feb 13 2019

Coastal Waters Forecast for the Northern Gulf of Alaska Coast
up to 100 nm out including Kodiak Island and Cook Inlet.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ197-140130-
351 AM AKST Wed Feb 13 2019
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A 1003 mb low at 265 nm south of Kodiak this morning will move to
400 nm south of Ketchikan and deepen to 980 mb Thursday morning. 
In its wake, high pressure will build across the Gulf for Thursday
afternoon through Saturday morning.

$$

PKZ119-140130-
Cape Suckling to Cape Cleare-
351 AM AKST Wed Feb 13 2019

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...N wind 30 kt. Gusts to 40 kt out of the Copper River Delta
increasing to 50 kt in the afternoon. Seas 8 ft.
.TONIGHT...N wind 35 kt. Gusts to 55 kt out of the Copper River
Delta. Seas 8 ft.
.THU...N wind 30 kt. Gusts to 50 kt out of the Copper River Delta. 
Seas 7 ft.
.THU NIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.FRI...N wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SAT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

PKZ120-140130-
Cape Cleare to Gore Point-
351 AM AKST Wed Feb 13 2019

...GALE WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TODAY...N wind increasing to 40 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.TONIGHT...N wind 40 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.THU...N wind 35 kt diminishing to 25 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 7 ft.
.THU NIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.FRI...N wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SAT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SUN...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ121-140130-
Resurrection Bay-
351 AM AKST Wed Feb 13 2019

...GALE WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TODAY...N wind 25 kt increasing to 40 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 4 ft building to 7 ft in the afternoon.
.TONIGHT...N wind 35 kt. Seas 7 ft. Freezing spray.
.THU...N wind 35 kt diminishing to 25 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 6 ft. Freezing spray.
.THU NIGHT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.FRI...N wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SAT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ125-140130-
Prince William Sound-
351 AM AKST Wed Feb 13 2019

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...W of Naked Island, NW wind 25 kt increasing to 35 kt in the
afternoon. Gusts to 50 kt out of bays and passes. Seas 5 ft building
to 10 ft in the afternoon. E of Naked Island, N wind 15 kt 
increasing to 25 kt in the afternoon. Gusts to 35 kt out of bays and 
passes. Seas building to 5 ft.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Gusts to 45 kt out of bays and passes. 
Seas 7 ft.
.THU...N wind 30 kt diminishing to 20 kt in the afternoon. Gusts to
45 kt out of bays and passes diminishing to 35 kt in the afternoon.
Seas 7 ft subsiding to 4 ft in the afternoon.
.THU NIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SUN...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ126-140130-
Port Valdez-
351 AM AKST Wed Feb 13 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND THURSDAY...

.TODAY...NE wind increasing to 20 kt with gusts to 30 kt. 
Seas building to 4 ft. Freezing spray.
.TONIGHT AND THU...NE wind 25 kt. Gusts to 40 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
Freezing spray.
.THU NIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.FRI...E wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ127-140130-
Valdez Narrows-
351 AM AKST Wed Feb 13 2019

...GALE WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TODAY...N wind 20 kt increasing to 35 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas building to 4 ft.
.TONIGHT...N wind 40 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.THU...N wind 40 kt. Seas 4 ft. Freezing spray.
.THU NIGHT...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.FRI...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SAT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ128-140130-
Valdez Arm-
351 AM AKST Wed Feb 13 2019

...GALE WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 20 kt increasing to 35 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 3 ft building to 7 ft in the afternoon.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 40 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.THU...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.THU NIGHT AND FRI...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SAT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SUN...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ129-140130-
Passage Canal-
351 AM AKST Wed Feb 13 2019

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...W wind 25 KT increasing to 35 kt in the afternoon. 
Gusts to 35 kt near Whittier increasing to 50 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 5 ft. Freezing spray.
.TONIGHT...W wind 35 kt. Gusts to 50 kt near Whittier. Seas 5 ft. 
Freezing spray.
.THU...W wind 30 kt diminishing to 20 kt in the afternoon. Gusts to 
40 kt near Whittier diminishing to 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas 4 ft.
Freezing spray.
.THU NIGHT AND FRI...W wind 20 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN...E wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ130-140130-
West of Barren Islands including Kamishak Bay-
351 AM AKST Wed Feb 13 2019

...STORM WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NW wind 50 kt. Gusts to 65 kt. Seas 20 ft.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 45 kt. Seas 18 ft. Freezing spray.
.THU...N wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft. Freezing spray.
.THU NIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.FRI...N wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SAT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SUN...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ131-140130-
Barren Islands East-
351 AM AKST Wed Feb 13 2019

...STORM WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NW wind increasing to 50 kt. Seas 11 ft building to 18 ft 
in the afternoon.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 45 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.THU...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.THU NIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.FRI...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SAT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SUN...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ132-140130-
Marmot Island to Sitkinak-
351 AM AKST Wed Feb 13 2019

...STORM WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NW wind increasing to 50 kt. Seas 8 ft building to 18 ft 
in the afternoon.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 45 kt diminishing to 35 kt after midnight. 
Seas 16 ft.
.THU...NW wind 30 kt diminishing to 15 kt in the afternoon. 
N of Dangerous Cape, NW wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.THU NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SUN...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ136-140130-
Chiniak Bay-
351 AM AKST Wed Feb 13 2019

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NW wind increasing to 45 kt. Gusts to 60 kt. 
Seas 3 ft building to 8 ft in the afternoon.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 40 kt diminishing to 25 kt after midnight. 
Seas 7 ft subsiding to 4 ft after midnight.
.THU...NW wind 25 kt diminishing to 15 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 4 ft subsiding to 2 ft in the afternoon.
.THU NIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI...W wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ137-140130-
Marmot Bay-
351 AM AKST Wed Feb 13 2019

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NW wind increasing to 45 kt. Gusts to 60 kt. Seas 4 ft
building to 8 ft in the afternoon.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 40 kt diminishing to 30 kt after midnight. 
Seas 7 ft. Freezing spray.
.THU...NW wind 25 kt diminishing to 15 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 5 ft subsiding.
.THU NIGHT AND FRI...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN...W wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ138-140130-
Shelikof Strait-
351 AM AKST Wed Feb 13 2019

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NW wind 45 kt. Gusts to 65 kt out of bays and passes. 
Seas 10 ft.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 40 kt diminishing to 25 kt after midnight. Gusts
to 55 kt out of bays and passes diminishing to 35 kt after midnight.
Seas 9 ft subsiding to 5 ft after midnight. Freezing spray.
.THU...NW wind 20 kt becoming Variable 15 kt in the afternoon. Gusts
to 30 kt out of bays and passes in the morning. Seas 4 ft. Freezing 
spray.
.THU NIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN...W wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ139-140130-
Cook Inlet Kalgin Island to Point Bede-
351 AM AKST Wed Feb 13 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TODAY...NW wind 30 kt. Gusts to 45 kt out of western bays and 
passes. Seas 8 ft. Freezing spray.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 25 kt becoming NE 20 kt after midnight. Gusts 
to 35 kt out of western bays and passes in the evening. Seas 6 ft. 
Freezing spray.
.THU...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. Freezing spray.
.THU NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.FRI...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SAT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN...N wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ140-140130-
Cook Inlet North of Kalgin Island-
351 AM AKST Wed Feb 13 2019

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...Variable wind 10 kt becoming N 20 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas in ice free waters 2 ft. Freezing spray in the afternoon.
.TONIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Gusts to 30 kt out of western bays and
passes. Seas in ice free waters 4 ft. Heavy freezing spray.
.THU...N wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas in ice free waters 3 ft subsiding to 1 ft in the afternoon.
.THU NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas in ice free waters 1 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SUN...N wind 10 kt. Seas in ice free waters 2 ft.

$$

PKZ141-140130-
Kachemak Bay-
351 AM AKST Wed Feb 13 2019

.TODAY...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TONIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. Freezing spray.
.THU...N wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. Freezing spray.
.THU NIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

517 
FZAK51 PAFC 140027
CWFAER

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
327 PM AKST Wed Feb 13 2019

Coastal Waters Forecast for the Northern Gulf of Alaska Coast
up to 100 nm out including Kodiak Island and Cook Inlet.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ197-141300-
327 PM AKST Wed Feb 13 2019
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
Weak low pressure will remain in the northern Gulf through Fri.

$$

PKZ119-141300-
Cape Suckling to Cape Cleare-
327 PM AKST Wed Feb 13 2019

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N wind 35 kt. Gusts to 55 kt out of the Copper River 
Delta. Seas 8 ft.
.THU...N wind 30 kt. Gusts to 50 kt out of the Copper River Delta. 
Seas 7 ft.
.THU NIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Gusts to 40 kt out of the Copper River
Delta. Seas 5 ft. Freezing spray.
.FRI...N wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SAT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.MON...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

PKZ120-141300-
Cape Cleare to Gore Point-
327 PM AKST Wed Feb 13 2019

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N wind 45 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.THU...N wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.THU NIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.FRI...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SAT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SUN...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.MON...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ121-141300-
Resurrection Bay-
327 PM AKST Wed Feb 13 2019

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N wind 35 kt. Seas 7 ft. Freezing spray.
.THU...N wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft. Freezing spray.
.THU NIGHT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Freezing spray.
.FRI...N wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ125-141300-
Prince William Sound-
327 PM AKST Wed Feb 13 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Gusts to 45 kt out of bays and passes.
Seas 6 ft.
.THU...N wind 25 kt. Gusts to 45 kt out of bays and passes
diminishing to 35 kt in the afternoon. Seas 6 ft subsiding to 4 ft 
in the afternoon.
.THU NIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. Freezing spray.
.FRI...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ126-141300-
Port Valdez-
327 PM AKST Wed Feb 13 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Gusts to 40 kt. Seas 5 ft. Freezing spray.
.THU...E wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Gusts to 40 kt. Freezing spray.
.THU NIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Freezing spray.
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ127-141300-
Valdez Narrows-
327 PM AKST Wed Feb 13 2019

...GALE WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N wind 40 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.THU...N wind 40 kt. Seas 4 ft. Freezing spray.
.THU NIGHT...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 4 ft. Heavy freezing spray.
.FRI...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ128-141300-
Valdez Arm-
327 PM AKST Wed Feb 13 2019

...GALE WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 40 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.THU...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.THU NIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft. Freezing spray.
.FRI...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SAT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ129-141300-
Passage Canal-
327 PM AKST Wed Feb 13 2019

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W wind 35 kt. Gusts to 50 kt near Whittier. Seas 5 ft. 
Freezing spray.
.THU...W wind 30 kt diminishing to 20 kt in the afternoon. Gusts to
40 kt near Whittier diminishing to 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas 4 
ft. Freezing spray.
.THU NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Gusts to 35 kt near Whittier. Seas 2 ft. 
Freezing spray.
.FRI...W wind 20 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...E wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ130-141300-
West of Barren Islands including Kamishak Bay-
327 PM AKST Wed Feb 13 2019

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 45 kt. Seas 15 ft. Freezing spray.
.THU...N wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. Freezing spray.
.THU NIGHT...N wind 15 kt becoming NW 25 kt after midnight. Seas
5 ft. Freezing spray.
.FRI...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SAT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SUN...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.MON...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ131-141300-
Barren Islands East-
327 PM AKST Wed Feb 13 2019

...GALE WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 45 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.THU...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.THU NIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.FRI...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SAT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SUN...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.MON...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

PKZ132-141300-
Marmot Island to Sitkinak-
327 PM AKST Wed Feb 13 2019

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 45 kt diminishing to 35 kt after midnight. 
Seas 16 ft.
.THU...NW wind 30 kt diminishing to 15 kt in the afternoon. N of
Dangerous Cape, NW wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.THU NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.FRI...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SAT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SUN...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.MON...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.

$$

PKZ136-141300-
Chiniak Bay-
327 PM AKST Wed Feb 13 2019

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 40 kt diminishing to 30 kt after midnight. 
Seas 7 ft subsiding to 4 ft after midnight.
.THU...NW wind 25 kt diminishing to 15 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 4 ft subsiding to 2 ft in the afternoon.
.THU NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming NW 15 kt after
midnight. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ137-141300-
Marmot Bay-
327 PM AKST Wed Feb 13 2019

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 40 kt diminishing to 30 kt after midnight. Seas
7 ft. Freezing spray.
.THU...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft subsiding to 2 ft in the
afternoon. Freezing spray.
.THU NIGHT...W wind 10 kt becoming NW 15 kt after midnight. 
Seas 2 ft.
.FRI...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN...W wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ138-141300-
Shelikof Strait-
327 PM AKST Wed Feb 13 2019

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 40 kt diminishing to 25 kt after midnight. Gusts
to 55 kt out of bays and passes diminishing to 35 kt after midnight.
Seas 9 ft subsiding to 5 ft after midnight. Freezing spray.
.THU...NW wind 25 kt becoming variable 15 kt in the afternoon. Gusts
to 35 kt out of bays and passes in the morning. Seas 4 ft. Freezing 
spray.
.THU NIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN...W wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.MON...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ139-141300-
Cook Inlet Kalgin Island to Point Bede-
327 PM AKST Wed Feb 13 2019

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TONIGHT...N wind 25 kt. Gusts to 35 kt out of western bays and
passes in the evening. Seas 6 ft. Heavy freezing spray.
.THU...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. Heavy freezing spray.
.THU NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft subsiding to 2 ft after midnight.
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SAT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ140-141300-
Cook Inlet North of Kalgin Island-
327 PM AKST Wed Feb 13 2019

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Gusts to 30 kt out of western bays and
passes. Seas in ice free waters 4 ft. Heavy freezing spray.
.THU...N wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas in
ice free waters 3 ft subsiding to 1 ft in the afternoon.
.THU NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas in ice free
waters 1 ft.
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas in ice free waters 2 ft.
.SAT THROUGH MON...NE wind 10 kt. Seas in ice free waters 2 ft.

$$

PKZ141-141300-
Kachemak Bay-
327 PM AKST Wed Feb 13 2019

.TONIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. Freezing spray.
.THU...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Freezing spray.
.THU NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI...N wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

894 
FZAK51 PAFC 141237
CWFAER

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
337 AM AKST Thu Feb 14 2019

Coastal Waters Forecast for the Northern Gulf of Alaska Coast
up to 100 nm out including Kodiak Island and Cook Inlet.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ197-150130-
337 AM AKST Thu Feb 14 2019
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
Dry off shore winds will continue through Friday. A front will
move across the western Gulf Fri night. 

$$

PKZ119-150130-
Cape Suckling to Cape Cleare-
337 AM AKST Thu Feb 14 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...N wind 25 kt. Gusts to 55 kt out of the Copper River Delta.
Seas 7 ft.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Gusts to 40 kt out of the Copper River Delta.
Seas 5 ft. Freezing spray.
.FRI...N wind 20 kt. Gusts to 45 kt out of the Copper River Delta.
Seas 6 ft. Freezing spray.
.FRI NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SAT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft.

$$

PKZ120-150130-
Cape Cleare to Gore Point-
337 AM AKST Thu Feb 14 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...N wind 25 kt. Gusts to 40 kt out of Resurrection Bay 
in the morning. Seas 6 ft.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Gusts to 35 kt out of Resurrection Bay
after midnight. Seas 5 ft.
.FRI...NW wind 20 kt becoming Variable 10 kt in the afternoon. 
Gusts to 35 kt out of Resurrection Bay in the morning. Seas 6 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...W wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.

$$

PKZ121-150130-
Resurrection Bay-
337 AM AKST Thu Feb 14 2019

...GALE WARNING TODAY...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING FRIDAY...

.TODAY...N wind 35 kt diminishing to 25 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 7 ft. Freezing spray.
.TONIGHT...N wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft. Freezing spray.
.FRI...N wind 30 kt diminishing to 20 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 6 ft. Heavy freezing spray in the morning.
.FRI NIGHT...Variable wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ125-150130-
Prince William Sound-
337 AM AKST Thu Feb 14 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...N wind 25 kt. Gusts to 40 kt out of bays and passes. 
Seas 6 ft.
.TONIGHT AND FRI...N wind 20 kt. Gusts to 30 kt out of bays 
and passes. Seas 4 ft. Freezing spray.
.FRI NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.MON...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ126-150130-
Port Valdez-
337 AM AKST Thu Feb 14 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 25 kt. Gusts to 40 kt. Seas 5 ft. Freezing spray.
.TONIGHT AND FRI...E wind 20 kt. Gusts to 30 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
Freezing spray.
.FRI NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ127-150130-
Valdez Narrows-
337 AM AKST Thu Feb 14 2019

...GALE WARNING TODAY...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING FRIDAY...

.TODAY...N wind 35 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 3 ft. Freezing spray.
.FRI...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 3 ft. Heavy freezing spray in the morning.
.FRI NIGHT THROUGH SUN...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ128-150130-
Valdez Arm-
337 AM AKST Thu Feb 14 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TONIGHT AND FRI...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Freezing spray.
.FRI NIGHT THROUGH SUN...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.MON...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ129-150130-
Passage Canal-
337 AM AKST Thu Feb 14 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY AND FRIDAY...

.TODAY...W wind 25 kt. Gusts to 35 kt. Seas 3 ft. Freezing spray.
.TONIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Gusts to 30 kt. Seas 3 ft. Freezing spray.
.FRI...W wind 25 kt diminishing to 15 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 3 ft. Freezing spray.
.FRI NIGHT THROUGH SUN...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ130-150130-
West of Barren Islands including Kamishak Bay-
337 AM AKST Thu Feb 14 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TODAY...NW wind 30 kt diminishing to 20 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 10 ft subsiding to 5 ft in the afternoon. Freezing spray.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 15 kt increasing to 30 kt after midnight. 
Seas 4 ft building to 10 ft after midnight. Freezing spray.
.FRI...NW wind 30 kt becoming NE 20 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 10 ft subsiding to 5 ft in the afternoon. Freezing spray.
.FRI NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SAT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SUN...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.MON...W wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ131-150130-
Barren Islands East-
337 AM AKST Thu Feb 14 2019

...GALE WARNING THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TODAY...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 25 kt increasing to 35 kt after midnight. 
Seas 8 ft.
.FRI...NW wind 35 kt diminishing to 15 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 10 ft subsiding to 5 ft in the afternoon.
.FRI NIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SAT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SUN...W wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.MON...W wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.

$$

PKZ132-150130-
Marmot Island to Sitkinak-
337 AM AKST Thu Feb 14 2019

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NW wind 35 kt diminishing to 25 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 12 ft subsiding to 8 ft in the afternoon.
.TONIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.FRI...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. Rain.
.FRI NIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SAT THROUGH MON...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft.

$$

PKZ136-150130-
Chiniak Bay-
337 AM AKST Thu Feb 14 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...NW wind 25 kt diminishing to 15 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 3 ft. Freezing spray.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 10 kt increasing to 15 kt after midnight. 
Seas 2 ft.
.FRI...NW wind 10 kt in the morning becoming variable less 
than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Snow.
.FRI NIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN...W wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.MON...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ137-150130-
Marmot Bay-
337 AM AKST Thu Feb 14 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...NW wind 25 kt diminishing to 15 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 5 ft subsiding to 3 ft in the afternoon. Freezing spray.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 10 kt increasing to 15 kt after midnight. 
Seas 3 ft.
.FRI...NW wind 15 kt in the morning becoming variable less 
than 10 kt. Seas 3 ft subsiding. Snow.
.FRI NIGHT AND SAT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ138-150130-
Shelikof Strait-
337 AM AKST Thu Feb 14 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...NW wind 25 kt becoming SW 15 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 4 ft. Freezing spray.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 15 kt becoming NW after midnight. 
Seas 4 ft.
.FRI...Variable wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Snow.
.FRI NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SAT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SUN...W wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.MON...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ139-150130-
Cook Inlet Kalgin Island to Point Bede-
337 AM AKST Thu Feb 14 2019

.TODAY...N wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft subsiding to 4 ft 
in the afternoon. Freezing spray.
.TONIGHT...N wind to 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI...NE wind increasing to 20 kt. Seas building to 6 ft. 
Freezing spray.
.FRI NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SAT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SUN...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.MON...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ140-150130-
Cook Inlet North of Kalgin Island-
337 AM AKST Thu Feb 14 2019

.TODAY...N wind 20 kt in the morning becoming Variable 
less than 10 kt. Seas in ice free waters 3 ft.
.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas in ice 
free waters 1 ft.
.FRI...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming NE 10 kt 
in the afternoon. Seas in ice free waters 1 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas in ice free waters 2 ft.
.SAT...N wind 20 kt. Seas in ice free waters 4 ft.
.SUN...NW wind 10 kt. Seas in ice free waters 2 ft.
.MON...N wind 10 kt. Seas in ice free waters 2 ft.

$$

PKZ141-150130-
Kachemak Bay-
337 AM AKST Thu Feb 14 2019

.TODAY...N wind 20 kt diminishing to 10 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 4 ft subsiding to 2 ft in the afternoon. Freezing spray 
in the morning.
.TONIGHT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN...W wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.MON...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

Southcentral and Southwest Alaska Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Anchorage AK
427 AM AKST Tue Feb 12 2019

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...

The polar jet is highly amplified over the North Pacific, mainland
Alaska and the Eastern Pacific. The jet core is north of the
Aleutian chain and trekking into the Kuskokwim Delta. The
longwave pattern features a deep and broad trough from Eastern
Russia to Japan and into the Bering. Meanwhile, there is an upper
level ridge from the Central Pacific that bisects mainland Alaska
and actually spans into the Yukon Territory, NW Territories and
over some of the northern islands of Nunavut like Bathurst Island
and Cornwallis Island. There is a baroclinic zone spanning from SW
AK, across the AKPEN and into the north Pacific with a new wave
developing along the frontal boundary southwest of Adak. Looking
further down range there is another low pressure system east of
Japan and a third low pressure system near Kamchatka over the Sea
of Okhotsk. There is a menagerie of shortwaves from the Alaska
Range to regions west of the International Dateline. On the
ASCAT/advanced scatterometer both gale and storm force winds were
detected over the Bering.

&&

.MODEL DISCUSSION...

The run to run continuity with the models has been excellent.
Using ASCAT data for initialization purposes, both the GFS and
ECMWF did well with the placement of the low in the Bering. The global
models are in good agreement through 72 hrs with the placement of
the synoptic features and the development of new low east of Japan
over the Kuroshio Current. This pattern where the longwave trough
has dominated the Western/Central Bering and NW Pacific has been
going on for weeks now. The persistence of this pattern most
likely has been influencing the performance of the global models.
The one area of concern is the potential development of fog over
Southcentral. Typically, what the models struggle with is the
placement of fog in the region.

&&

.AVIATION...
PANC...  As of 1153z or 2:53 AM local, there was a ceiling of
2,000 feet observed at PANC and at 2,400 feet at Merrill Field.
This set up is not conducive for fog development. However, the
cigs have the potential to bounce around from 2,000 feet to 3,000
feet at PANC early this morning. As the day unfolds, the cigs are
expected to lift a bit and then VFR conditions will prevail for
the remainder of the TAF period.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA (Days 1 and 2/Today
through Wednesday night)...
The big story as we head through the next couple days will be
colder and drier conditions with strong winds across the Gulf and
strong gap winds along the Gulf coast and Prince William Sound.
Starting with this morning, a weak upper level short-wave trough
moving over-top of and flattening a strong upper ridge, will pass
across interior Southcentral. This will produce some light snow,
mainly along west facing slopes of mountain ranges. Cold air
advection, which ensured behind a front that moved through the
region last evening, will continue across Southcentral and the
Gulf. This will lead to strengthening winds across the western
Gulf, Cook Inlet, and western Prince William Sound.

Meanwhile, a short-wave tracking eastward along the Aleutian
chain will lead to cyclogenesis over the North Pacific. While
this low will initially be quite weak, the short-wave will begin
to dig southeastward as an upstream ridge rapidly amplifies ahead
of a strong Northwest Pacific low. Thus, the low will deepen as
it passes to the south of Kodiak Island tonight then across the
southern Gulf on Wednesday. This will really tighten up pressure
gradients across the region. One last piece of the puzzle will be
the current storm over northern Alaska. As it exits eastward today
arctic air will pour in behind it. When the upper flow amplifies
Tuesday night and Wednesday this air will be forced southward
across Southcentral. The tight pressure gradients combined with
the cold air advection will lead to very strong gap winds along
the north Gulf coast and Prince William Sound, peaking most places
Wednesday through Wednesday night. Winds should then begin to
diminish on Thursday.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHWEST ALASKA (Days 1 and 2)...

A once powerful low is quickly moving into the North Slope, with
strong onshore winds slowly coming down as the pressure gradient
slackens this morning. The strongest winds remain over the Kusko
Delta, and they will remain so through the morning. High
temperatures will probably occur this morning across most of the
region with a slow drop in temperatures as colder air moves in
behind the low.

The flow will remain onshore for the next two days as a series of
low amplitude waves moves inland through Wednesday. None of the
disturbances look very well defined, with the best chances for
snow showers moving inland across the Kusko Delta and along the
mountains. The upper flow will become more northwesterly Wednesday
with a gradual drying. Wednesday night, high pressure builds in,
and with cold temps aloft in place, expect temperatures to plummet
back close to climatological norms.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS (Days 1 and 2)...

Broad westerly flow with areas of snow showers have set up over
most of the open Bering Sea. A low will move into the Eastern
Aleutians today and tonight, bringing snow (with some mix today)
and possibly some blowing snow for favored channeled terrain. A
series of low amplitude disturbances will merge and amplify over
the Pribilof Islands, bringing increasing threats for light
accumulating snow with convective enhanced graupel also possible.
The low over the Eastern Aleutians and the associated upper trough
quickly move into the NPAC by Wednesday morning with tapering
snow threats.

Attention quickly turns to a powerful storm force low which will
move into the Western Bering/Aleutians Tue night through Wed
night. The strongest core of warm frontal SE winds and cold air
advection SW winds will remain over that region with much weaker
gales as the front moves east toward the eastern half of the
Bering Sea by Wed night. Winds may gust to 70 MPH at Shemya, but
no significant high winds are anticipated at this point.

&&

.MARINE (Days 3 through 5)...

The period begins Thursday with a large intense low over the
western Bering Sea and another strong low southeast of the Gulf
of Alaska. Model guidance is in very good agreement for this
extended time frame lending higher confidence in the forecast for
the days 3 through 5 timeframe. Gale to storm force wind is likely with
the Bering storm Thursday and in advance of the front as it
progresses across the Bering Sea through Friday. Gales are likely
across the Gulf of Alaska Thursday, then expect benign
conditions, sub gales, throughout the Gulf of Alaska and adjacent
coastal areas.

&&

.LONG TERM FORECAST (Days 3 through 7)...

The main message for the longer term is the continuation of a
very active weather pattern.

A large intense low in the western Bering Sea Thursday with the
associated front extending through the Bering Sea across the
eastern Aleutians will continue along the north to northeast
trajectory. This storm and front will produce gale to storm force
wind in the Bering Sea and along the Aleutians. The Front looks
to make landfall along the Bering Sea coast Thursday as it weakens
significantly. All the models are in general agreement with a
secondary trough that develops into a front Thursday with the
formation of a frontal low Thursday night. This is where there is
some disagreement in the model solutions with the GFS supporting a
stronger low than the EC. At this point we will lean toward the
EC solution maintaining continuity in the forecast until we see
more of a model push for the stronger frontal low solution.
Following this Bering Sea storm another compact strong low will
be heading toward the western Aleutians Friday. We will maintain
continuity here and stick with WPC and the EC as we progress
through the weekend. Early next week the models converge back into
better agreement bringing a moderate low into the Seward
Peninsula region.

Over the Gulf of Alaska and southern mainland the main driving
factor will be the low southeast of the Gulf of Alaska and high
pressure over the mainland Thursday. This combination will
support colder conditions over the southern mainland along with
moderate outflow wind through gaps in the coastal mountains. At
this point we expect temperatures to cool around 10 to 20 degrees
over much of the southern mainland Thursday and Friday. Heading
through the weekend warmer air will be pushed across the southern
mainland from the Bering resulting in warming temperatures around
10 to 15 degrees. The models are in generally good agreement
Sunday bringing a weak low into the northern Gulf of Alaska
followed by a weak ridge of high pressure Monday.

&&

.AFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...NONE.
MARINE...Gales 412 150 155 172 173 174 175 176 120 121 127 129 131
136 137 138 351. Storm 411 413 177 178 130 132 352.

&&

SYNOPSIS AND MODEL DISCUSSION...PJS
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...SEB
SOUTHWEST ALASKA/BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...JA
MARINE/LONG TERM...JW