Alert archive / Missouri / Tornado Watches in 2018

Tornado Watch 43

April 13, 201839 counties in Missouri

The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Apr 13, 2018, 5:27 PM CDT for 39 counties in Missouri. It was in force for 8 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Apr 13, 2018, 5:27 PM CDT (22:27 UTC)
Expired
Apr 14, 2018, 1:00 AM CDT
In force
8 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
2 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 39 counties

Bollinger County, MO, Butler County, MO, Camden County, MO, Cape Girardeau County, MO, Carter County, MO, City of Saint Louis, MO, Crawford County, MO, Dallas County, MO, Dent County, MO, Douglas County, MO, Franklin County, MO, Gasconade County, MO, Howell County, MO, Iron County, MO, Jefferson County, MO, Laclede County, MO, Madison County, MO, Maries County, MO, Miller County, MO, Oregon County, MO, Osage County, MO, Ozark County, MO, Perry County, MO, Phelps County, MO, Pulaski County, MO, Reynolds County, MO, Ripley County, MO, Saint Charles County, MO, Saint Francois County, MO, Saint Louis County, MO, Sainte Genevieve County, MO, Shannon County, MO, Stoddard County, MO, Taney County, MO, Texas County, MO, Washington County, MO, Wayne County, MO, Webster County, MO, Wright County, MO

The radar

The Springfield radar (KSGF), 136 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 22:30 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
50%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
20%
Ten or more severe wind reports
70%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
20%
Ten or more severe hail reports
30%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
30%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
90%

Warnings issued inside it

25 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Apr 13, 5:28 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSGFStone, Taney47 min
Apr 13, 5:49 PM CDTTornado WarningSGFTaney26 min
Apr 13, 6:03 PM CDTTornado WarningSGFChristian, Douglas, Taney27 min
Apr 13, 6:26 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSGFDouglas, Ozark, Taney49 min
Apr 13, 6:45 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSGFCamden, Dallas, Laclede31 min
Apr 13, 7:05 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSGFTexas, Wright40 min
Apr 13, 7:09 PM CDTTornado WarningSGFDouglas, Wright36 min
Apr 13, 7:29 PM CDTTornado WarningSGFTexas, Wright31 min
Apr 13, 7:49 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningSGFDouglas4 hr
Apr 13, 7:50 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSGFMaries, Miller40 min
Apr 13, 7:57 PM CDTTornado WarningSGFTexas33 min
Apr 13, 8:05 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXGasconade, Osage40 min
Apr 13, 8:26 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSGFDent, Phelps, Texas49 min
Apr 13, 8:36 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSGFDouglas, Howell, Ozark54 min
Apr 13, 8:37 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSGFDent, Shannon, Texas38 min
Apr 13, 8:40 PM CDTTornado WarningSGFPhelps35 min
Apr 13, 8:44 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXCrawford46 min
Apr 13, 8:49 PM CDTTornado WarningSGFHowell, Ozark26 min
Apr 13, 8:51 PM CDTTornado WarningLSXCrawford24 min
Apr 13, 9:13 PM CDTTornado WarningLSXCrawford, Franklin, Washington47 min
Apr 13, 9:30 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSGFHowell, Oregon, Shannon60 min
Apr 13, 9:38 PM CDTTornado WarningSGFHowell, Oregon, Shannon37 min
Apr 13, 9:53 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXFranklin, Jefferson, Saint Charles, Sainte Genevieve, Saint Francois, Saint Louis and 3 more67 min
Apr 13, 10:13 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPAHCarter, Ripley32 min
Apr 13, 10:32 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSGFOregon21 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Springfield, MO (KSGF), launched 12:00Z, 10.5 hours before the alert went out and 181 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Springfield, MO at 12:00Z on 2018-04-13Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Springfield, MO at 12:00Z on 2018-04-13The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 572 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
1715 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
30 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
572 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
541 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

372 
WWUS20 KWNS 132225
SEL3  
SPC WW 132225
MOZ000-140600-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 43
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
525 PM CDT Fri Apr 13 2018

The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a

* Tornado Watch for portions of 
  Southern Missouri

* Effective this Friday afternoon and Saturday morning from 525
  PM until 100 AM CDT.

* Primary threats include...
  A few tornadoes possible
  Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph likely
  Isolated very large hail events to 2 inches in diameter possible

SUMMARY...Low-level moisture will continue to stream into the region
with storms increasing from west/southwest to east/northeast across
southern Missouri this evening. This will include the possibility of
relatively isolated supercells initially, with the possibility of a
more mixed convective mode evolving this evening. Damaging winds and
a few tornadoes are expected along with the possibility of some
hail.

The tornado watch area is approximately along and 50 statute miles
north and south of a line from 65 miles west southwest of Fort
Leonard Wood MO to 45 miles northeast of Poplar Bluff MO. For a
complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline
update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU3).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
and possible warnings.

&&

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 39...WW 40...WW 41...WW
42...

AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
surface and aloft to 2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean
storm motion vector 22040.

...Guyer

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Apr 13, 12:39 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBarton, Jasper, McDonald, Newton2 hr
Apr 13, 1:20 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCBarry, Barton, Cedar, Christian, Dade, Greene and 9 more9 hr
Apr 13, 2:06 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAndrew, Atchison, Buchanan, Caldwell, Cass, Clay and 13 more2 hr
Apr 13, 2:19 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCAdair, Andrew, Atchison, Bates, Buchanan, Caldwell and 24 more7 hr
Apr 13, 3:43 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBarry, Barton, Dade, Jasper, Lawrence, McDonald and 1 more92 min
Apr 13, 5:08 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBenton, Camden, Carter, Christian, Cole, Dallas and 23 more2 hr
Apr 13, 5:31 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAtchison29 min
Apr 13, 5:53 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCDunklin97 min

Nearby

Tornado Watches in Missouri, 2018Every tornado watch in 2018

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.