Alert archive / North Carolina / Tornado Watches in 2018

Tornado Watch 379

September 16, 201812 counties in North Carolina; 7 counties in South Carolina

The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Sep 16, 2018, 6:55 AM EDT for 12 counties in North Carolina; 7 counties in South Carolina. It was in force for 16 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Sep 16, 2018, 6:55 AM EDT (10:55 UTC)
Expired
Sep 16, 2018, 11:00 PM EDT
In force
16 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Strongest gust expected
60 kt

Counties Anson County, NC, Bladen County, NC, Brunswick County, NC, Columbus County, NC, Cumberland County, NC, Hoke County, NC, New Hanover County, NC, Pender County, NC, Richmond County, NC, Robeson County, NC, Sampson County, NC, Scotland County, NC, Chesterfield County, SC, Darlington County, SC, Dillon County, SC, Florence County, SC, Horry County, SC, Marion County, SC, Marlboro County, SC

The radar

The Wilmington radar (KLTX), 43 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 10:57 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
40%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
20%
Ten or more severe wind reports
5%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
5%
Ten or more severe hail reports
5%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
5%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
20%

Warnings issued inside it

31 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Sep 16, 7:12 AM EDTTornado WarningILMBrunswick33 min
Sep 16, 8:17 AM EDTFlash Flood WarningILMDarlington, Dillon, Marion, Marlboro8 hr
Sep 16, 8:28 AM EDTFlash Flood WarningCAEChesterfield, Kershaw, Lancaster6 hr
Sep 16, 11:13 AM EDTFlash Flood WarningILMDarlington, Florence5 hr
Sep 16, 11:28 AM EDTFlash Flood WarningILMGeorgetown, Horry, Marion5 hr
Sep 16, 11:50 AM EDTTornado Warning Tornado observedILMHorry25 min
Sep 16, 12:13 PM EDTTornado WarningILMHorry32 min
Sep 16, 12:14 PM EDTTornado WarningILMHorry31 min
Sep 16, 12:25 PM EDTTornado WarningILMRobeson35 min
Sep 16, 12:40 PM EDTTornado WarningILMFlorence21 min
Sep 16, 12:41 PM EDTTornado Warning Considerable damage threatILMColumbus24 min
Sep 16, 1:24 PM EDTFlash Flood WarningILMBladen, Brunswick, Columbus, New Hanover, Pender, Robeson8 hr
Sep 16, 2:11 PM EDTFlash Flood Warning EmergencyCAEChesterfield, Lancaster6 hr
Sep 16, 2:13 PM EDTFlash Flood WarningRAHAnson, Cumberland, Harnett, Hoke, Lee, Montgomery and 5 more22 hr
Sep 16, 3:15 PM EDTTornado WarningILMRobeson45 min
Sep 16, 3:22 PM EDTTornado WarningRAHScotland38 min
Sep 16, 3:26 PM EDTTornado WarningILMRobeson49 min
Sep 16, 3:58 PM EDTTornado WarningILMRobeson47 min
Sep 16, 3:58 PM EDTTornado WarningRAHScotland29 min
Sep 16, 4:00 PM EDTFlash Flood WarningILMDarlington, Dillon, Florence, Georgetown, Horry, Marion and 2 more8 hr
Sep 16, 5:58 PM EDTTornado WarningILMRobeson32 min
Sep 16, 6:19 PM EDTTornado WarningRAHScotland30 min
Sep 16, 7:34 PM EDTFlash Flood Warning EmergencyCAEChesterfield6 hr
Sep 16, 7:46 PM EDTFlash Flood WarningILMHorry4 hr
Sep 16, 9:23 PM EDTTornado WarningILMColumbus23 min
Sep 16, 9:24 PM EDTFlash Flood WarningILMBladen, Brunswick, Columbus, New Hanover, Pender, Robeson8 hr
Sep 16, 9:53 PM EDTFlash Flood WarningILMGeorgetown, Horry2 hr
Sep 16, 10:03 PM EDTTornado WarningILMPender7 min
Sep 16, 10:18 PM EDTTornado WarningILMColumbus42 min
Sep 16, 10:29 PM EDTTornado WarningILMHorry31 min
Sep 16, 10:55 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningILMBladen, Columbus50 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Newport, NC (KMHX), launched 00:00Z, 10.9 hours before the alert went out and 192 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Newport, NC at 00:00Z on 2018-09-16Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 733 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Newport, NC at 00:00Z on 2018-09-16The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 182 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
733 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-4 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
609 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
31 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
182 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
186 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.4
Supercell composite
4.2

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Sep 15, 9:14 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBladen, Brunswick, Columbus, Cumberland, Hoke, New Hanover and 4 more2 hr
Sep 15, 11:01 PM EDTTornado WatchSPCBladen, Brunswick, Columbus, Cumberland, Hoke, New Hanover and 4 more8 hr
Sep 15, 11:59 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBladen, Brunswick, Columbus, New Hanover, Pender, Robeson3 hr
Sep 16, 3:23 AM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBladen, Brunswick, Columbus, Cumberland, Duplin, Hoke and 6 more2 hr
Sep 16, 6:32 AM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBladen, Brunswick, Columbus, Cumberland, Duplin, Hoke and 6 more88 min
Sep 16, 11:22 AM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBladen, Brunswick, Columbus, Hoke, Richmond, Robeson and 1 more113 min
Sep 16, 3:42 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAnson, Hoke, Richmond, Robeson, Scotland93 min
Sep 16, 4:14 PM EDTTornado WatchSPCAnson, Cumberland, Harnett, Hoke, Lee, Montgomery and 4 more7 hr

Nearby

Tornado Watches in North Carolina, 2018Tornado Watches in South Carolina, 2018Every tornado watch in 2018

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.