Alert archive / Missouri / Tornado Watches in 2018

Tornado Watch 343

August 19, 20184 states

The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Aug 19, 2018, 4:07 PM CDT for 4 states. It was in force for 7 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Aug 19, 2018, 4:07 PM CDT (21:07 UTC)
Expired
Aug 19, 2018, 11:00 PM CDT
In force
7 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
1.5 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 55 counties

Baxter County, AR, Benton County, AR, Boone County, AR, Carroll County, AR, Cleburne County, AR, Crawford County, AR, Franklin County, AR, Fulton County, AR, Independence County, AR, Izard County, AR, Johnson County, AR, Madison County, AR, Marion County, AR, Newton County, AR, Pope County, AR, Searcy County, AR, Sharp County, AR, Stone County, AR, Van Buren County, AR, Washington County, AR, Cherokee County, KS, Barry County, MO, Barton County, MO, Camden County, MO, Cedar County, MO, Christian County, MO, Dade County, MO, Dallas County, MO, Douglas County, MO, Greene County, MO, Hickory County, MO, Howell County, MO, Jasper County, MO, Laclede County, MO, Lawrence County, MO, McDonald County, MO, Newton County, MO, Oregon County, MO, Ozark County, MO, Polk County, MO, Pulaski County, MO, Shannon County, MO, St. Clair County, MO, Stone County, MO, Taney County, MO, Texas County, MO, Webster County, MO, Wright County, MO, Adair County, OK, Cherokee County, OK, Craig County, OK, Delaware County, OK, Mayes County, OK, Ottawa County, OK, Sequoyah County, OK

The radar

The Springfield radar (KSGF), 83 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 21:08 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
30%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
10%
Ten or more severe wind reports
50%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
20%
Ten or more severe hail reports
5%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
5%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
60%

Warnings issued inside it

46 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Aug 19, 4:12 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSAAdair, Sequoyah48 min
Aug 19, 4:17 PM CDTTornado WarningTSAWashington29 min
Aug 19, 4:22 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSGFCherokee, Crawford53 min
Aug 19, 4:29 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSACraig, Delaware, Ottawa61 min
Aug 19, 4:40 PM CDTTornado WarningSGFBarton35 min
Aug 19, 5:09 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSACrawford, Franklin, Washington51 min
Aug 19, 5:16 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSGFBarton, Jasper, McDonald, Newton44 min
Aug 19, 5:22 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKJohnson38 min
Aug 19, 5:30 PM CDTTornado WarningSGFNewton30 min
Aug 19, 5:32 PM CDTTornado WarningSGFJasper, Lawrence43 min
Aug 19, 5:35 PM CDTTornado WarningSGFBarton, Vernon25 min
Aug 19, 5:37 PM CDTTornado WarningLZKJohnson, Logan38 min
Aug 19, 5:41 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSACrawford, Franklin, Madison49 min
Aug 19, 5:53 PM CDTTornado WarningTSAMadison37 min
Aug 19, 5:54 PM CDTTornado WarningSGFBarry, McDonald, Newton37 min
Aug 19, 5:58 PM CDTTornado Warning Tornado observedSGFBarton, Cedar, Vernon47 min
Aug 19, 6:05 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSGFBarry, Barton, Cedar, Dade, Jasper, Lawrence and 3 more55 min
Aug 19, 6:07 PM CDTTornado WarningLZKJohnson, Pope53 min
Aug 19, 6:09 PM CDTTornado WarningSGFBarry36 min
Aug 19, 6:14 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSAFranklin, Madison19 min
Aug 19, 6:19 PM CDTTornado WarningSGFDade, Lawrence26 min
Aug 19, 6:23 PM CDTTornado WarningLZKJohnson, Logan, Pope32 min
Aug 19, 6:40 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSGFChristian, Greene, Polk, Stone50 min
Aug 19, 6:41 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSAFranklin, Sebastian49 min
Aug 19, 6:44 PM CDTTornado Warning Tornado observedSGFBarry, Christian, Lawrence, Stone46 min
Aug 19, 6:51 PM CDTTornado WarningLZKPope, Van Buren39 min
Aug 19, 6:53 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningLZKJohnson, Logan, Pope4 hr
Aug 19, 6:59 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSGFCedar, Dade26 min
Aug 19, 7:24 PM CDTTornado WarningLZKPope, Van Buren21 min
Aug 19, 7:31 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSGFChristian, Dallas, Greene, Polk, Stone, Webster59 min
Aug 19, 7:46 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningLZKJohnson, Pope, Van Buren4 hr
Aug 19, 7:49 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKSearcy, Van Buren56 min
Aug 19, 8:01 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSGFCamden, Dallas, Laclede, Pulaski, Webster59 min
Aug 19, 8:20 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKConway, Pope, Van Buren55 min
Aug 19, 8:35 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKCleburne, Stone, Van Buren55 min
Aug 19, 9:03 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKSearcy, Van Buren42 min
Aug 19, 9:12 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKCleburne, Independence, Izard, Stone63 min
Aug 19, 9:16 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSGFDent, Laclede, Phelps, Pulaski, Texas44 min
Aug 19, 9:21 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningLZKCleburne, Stone, Van Buren4 hr
Aug 19, 9:32 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKCleburne, Conway, Faulkner, Pope, Van Buren43 min
Aug 19, 9:41 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKIndependence, Izard, Sharp, Stone49 min
Aug 19, 9:58 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKCleburne, Faulkner, Independence, Van Buren, White47 min
Aug 19, 10:10 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKCleburne, Conway, Faulkner, Van Buren, White50 min
Aug 19, 10:10 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKCleburne, Independence, Jackson, Sharp50 min
Aug 19, 10:30 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningLZKCleburne, Conway, Van Buren3 hr
Aug 19, 10:53 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKIndependence, Jackson, Sharp41 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Springfield, MO (KSGF), launched 12:00Z, 9.1 hours before the alert went out and 92 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Springfield, MO at 12:00Z on 2018-08-19Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Springfield, MO at 12:00Z on 2018-08-19The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 18 square meters per square second.1939Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
1069 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
12 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
18 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
37 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

037 
WWUS20 KWNS 192104
SEL3  
SPC WW 192104
ARZ000-KSZ000-MOZ000-OKZ000-200200-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 343
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
405 PM CDT Sun Aug 19 2018

The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a

* Tornado Watch for portions of 
  Northwest Arkansas
  Extreme southeast Kansas
  Southern Missouri
  Northeast Oklahoma

* Effective this Sunday afternoon and evening from 405 PM until
  900 PM CDT.

* Primary threats include...
  A couple tornadoes possible
  Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible

SUMMARY...Scattered thunderstorms are developing across northeast
Oklahoma, with a few rotating/supercells forming.  The potential
will exist for isolated tornadoes, as well as locally damaging wind
gusts, through the afternoon and early evening.

The tornado watch area is approximately along and 110 statute miles
east and west of a line from 10 miles northeast of Springfield MO to
40 miles south of Harrison AR. For a complete depiction of the watch
see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU3).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
and possible warnings.

&&

AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
surface and aloft to 1.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean
storm motion vector 25025.

...Hart

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Aug 19, 3:45 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBenton, Boone, Carroll, Conway, Crawford, Faulkner and 13 more3 hr
Aug 19, 5:47 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBaxter, Boone, Carroll, Cleburne, Conway, Franklin and 13 more118 min

Nearby

Tornado Watches in Missouri, 2018Tornado Watches in Arkansas, 2018Tornado Watches in Oklahoma, 2018Every tornado watch in 2018

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.