Severe Thunderstorm Warning 305, NWS Springfield, MO

964 
WWUS53 KSGF 200232
SVSSGF

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Springfield MO
932 PM CDT SUN AUG 19 2018

MOC105-200242-
/O.CAN.KSGF.SV.W.0305.000000T0000Z-180820T0300Z/
Laclede MO-
932 PM CDT SUN AUG 19 2018

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR EASTERN LACLEDE COUNTY IS
CANCELLED...

The storms which prompted the warning have moved out of the warned 
area. Therefore, the warning has been cancelled.

A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 1100 PM CDT for central,
south central and southwestern Missouri.

LAT...LON 3747 9225 3765 9225 3786 9241 3793 9241
      3801 9213 3801 9197 3803 9196 3804 9194
      3787 9171 3755 9171
TIME...MOT...LOC 0232Z 249DEG 39KT 3793 9224 3781 9215 3755 9214 

$$

MOC065-161-169-215-200300-
/O.CON.KSGF.SV.W.0305.000000T0000Z-180820T0300Z/
Dent MO-Pulaski MO-Texas MO-Phelps MO-
932 PM CDT SUN AUG 19 2018

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1000 PM CDT
FOR NORTHWESTERN DENT...PULASKI...NORTHWESTERN TEXAS AND SOUTHWESTERN
PHELPS COUNTIES...

At 932 PM CDT, severe thunderstorms were located along a line
extending from near Crocker to near St. Robert to 10 miles south of
Fort Leonard Wood, moving east at 45 mph.

HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Expect damage to roofs, siding, and trees.

Locations impacted include...
Rolla...                          Fort Leonard Wood...
Waynesville...                    St. Robert...
Richland...                       Dixon...
Crocker...                        Doolittle...
Newburg...                        Edgar Springs...
Plato...                          Lenox...
Beulah...                         Devil's Elbow...
Hazelton...                       Anutt...
Laquey...                         Roby...
Lecoma...                         Swedeborg...

This includes Interstate 44 between mile markers 149 and 169, and
between mile markers 171 and 183.
 
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

&&

A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 1100 PM CDT for central,
south central and southwestern Missouri.

LAT...LON 3747 9225 3765 9225 3786 9241 3793 9241
      3801 9213 3801 9197 3803 9196 3804 9194
      3787 9171 3755 9171
TIME...MOT...LOC 0232Z 249DEG 39KT 3793 9224 3781 9215 3755 9214 

TORNADO...POSSIBLE
HAIL...<.75IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

Burchfield

382 
WWUS53 KSGF 200258
SVSSGF

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Springfield MO
958 PM CDT SUN AUG 19 2018

MOC065-161-169-215-200308-
/O.EXP.KSGF.SV.W.0305.000000T0000Z-180820T0300Z/
Dent MO-Pulaski MO-Texas MO-Phelps MO-
958 PM CDT SUN AUG 19 2018

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR NORTHWESTERN DENT...PULASKI...
NORTHWESTERN TEXAS AND SOUTHWESTERN PHELPS COUNTIES WILL EXPIRE AT
1000 PM CDT...
            
The storms which prompted the warning have weakened below severe
limits, and no longer pose an immediate threat to life or property.
Therefore, the warning will be allowed to expire.  However gusty
winds are still possible with these thunderstorms.

A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 1100 PM CDT for central,
south central and southwestern Missouri.

LAT...LON 3747 9225 3765 9225 3786 9241 3793 9241
      3801 9213 3801 9197 3803 9196 3804 9194
      3787 9171 3755 9171
TIME...MOT...LOC 0258Z 250DEG 39KT 3802 9191 3790 9182 3764 9182 

$$

Burchfield

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Springfield MO
621 PM CDT Sun Aug 19 2018

...Updated for 00Z Aviation Discussion...

.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Monday)

A large shield of showers and thunderstorms extended deep into
extreme southeast Kansas and the Missouri Ozarks this afternoon.
This was in response to an unseasonably strong upper level low
pressure system, that was circulating over the central Plains.

This feature has a surface reflection centered over east central
Kansas, which helped to bring in an airmass rich in moisture, and
slightly more unstable.

Determining if organized thunderstorms will develop late this
afternoon and early evening was the primary forecast challenge
today. Some of the CAMS models showed deep convection, while
others have not.

Shear will be strong for the time of year, however, instability
levels are in question. A Special RAOB was performed at 2pm to
assess how unstable the Ozarks airmass really was. We are
especially focused on the lower distribution of cape, and how much
of it exists.

The HRRR shows organized line segments to developing within an
environment containing 0-3km shear vector magnitudes of around 35
knots. If sufficient low level cape is present, we could
experience pockets of damaging winds, and even a couple of spin up
tornadoes.

Showers and thunderstorms will linger at random late tonight and
into tomorrow. South central Missouri could have a marginal to
slight risk for additional thunderstorms tomorrow. Look for highs
in the low 80s on Monday.

.LONG TERM...(Tuesday through Sunday)

Fall like weather is expected through the rest of the work week as
rain chances end Monday evening. With northwest flow keeping a
cool continental airmass over the region, temperatures will warm
up into the low to mid 80s on an afternoon basis through Thursday.

An upper level speed max is signaled by the models to approach by
Friday, bringing a chance for showers and thunderstorms.

As mid level heights rise toward next weekend, models do suggest a
warming trend, with temperatures back in the 90s.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 00Z TAFS through 00Z Monday evening)
Issued at 621 PM CDT Sun Aug 19 2018

A line of strong to severe thunderstorms are moving across
southwest Missouri. The line has cleared KJLN, but KSGF and KBBG
will see strong to severe thunderstorms in the next few hours. IFR
visibilities/ceilings along with strong winds likely with this
line, and the potential for tornadoes will also continue. This
line will move east of KBBG and KSGF by 03Z, but still some
remaining showers/storms are not out of the question the
remainder of the night. Mainly VFR conditions then expected behind
the line, although some local MVFR ceilings will be possible in
any remaining showers. Another chance for convection will occur
late in the TAF period.

&&

.SGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MO...NONE.
KS...NONE.
&&

SHORT TERM...Cramer
LONG TERM...Cramer
AVIATION...Raberding

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Springfield MO
525 PM CDT Sun Aug 19 2018

KSZ073-097-101-MOZ055>058-066>071-077>083-088>098-101>106-202230-
Bourbon-Crawford-Cherokee-Benton-Morgan-Miller-Maries-Vernon-
St. Clair-Hickory-Camden-Pulaski-Phelps-Barton-Cedar-Polk-Dallas-
Laclede-Texas-Dent-Jasper-Dade-Greene-Webster-Wright-Newton-
Lawrence-Christian-Douglas-Howell-Shannon-McDonald-Barry-Stone-
Taney-Ozark-Oregon-
525 PM CDT Sun Aug 19 2018

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of the Missouri
Ozarks and extreme southeast Kansas.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Weather hazards expected...

  Elevated tornado risk.
  Elevated thunderstorm wind damage risk.
  Limited flooding risk.
  Significant lightning risk.

DISCUSSION...

  Severe thunderstorms are expected late this afternoon and
  through this evening. Damaging wind gusts and tornadoes will
  be likely with a few of the most intense thunderstorms.
  Locations along and south of a line from Carthage to Salem
  Missouri with receive the greatest risk for severe weather.

  There is also a limited risk for localized flooding this
  evening.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

  Strong to severe thunderstorms will again be possible Monday
  mainly across the eastern Ozarks.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

  Spotter activation will be needed across southern Missouri
  through the evening.

&&

More detailed information can be accessed at:
http://www.weather.gov/sgf/sitrep

This product in graphical format...along with other weather...
hydrological and climate information...at
http://www.weather.gov/sgf

Cramer

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
703 PM CDT SUN AUG 19 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0657 PM     TORNADO          4 S MARIONVILLE         36.95N 93.63W
08/19/2018                   LAWRENCE           MO   TRAINED SPOTTER

            TORNADO ON THE GROUND AND DAMAGE NEAR FARM
            ROAD 2230 EAST OF HIGHWAY 39.

&&

KP

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
735 PM CDT SUN AUG 19 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0721 PM     TSTM WND DMG     1 SSW REPUBLIC          37.10N 93.49W
08/19/2018                   GREENE             MO   TRAINED SPOTTER

            SPOTTER REPORTS DOWNED POWER LINES AT THE
            INTERSECTION OF SOUTH ILLINOIS AVE AND
            MELODY LANE SOUTHWEST OF REPUBLIC. SPOTTER
            ALSO SEES SEVERAL LARGE TREE BRANCHES, AND
            SMALL TREE BLOWN DOWN IN THAT SAME AREA.
            6-10" IN DIAMETER. TIME ESTIMATED FROM
            RADAR.

&&

KP

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
738 PM CDT SUN AUG 19 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0723 PM     TSTM WND GST     1 WSW REPUBLIC          37.12N 93.50W
08/19/2018  E60 MPH          GREENE             MO   TRAINED SPOTTER

            SPOTTER REPORTED AN ESTIMATED 60MPH WIND
            GUST AND A LARGE TREE DOWN BLOCKING A
            ROADWAY. TIME ESTIMATED FROM RADAR.

&&

KP

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
747 PM CDT SUN AUG 19 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0332 PM     TORNADO          1 S DIGGINS             37.15N 92.85W
08/19/2018                   WEBSTER            MO   NWS STORM SURVEY

            NWS STORM SURVEY FOUND LIMITED DAMAGE TO
            LIMBS AND ONE UPROOTED TREE WITHIN THE
            REGION WHERE SPOTTERS REPORTED DEBRIS AND
            ROTATION IN THE AIR. PATH FROM SPOTTERS
            EXTENDED FROM NN NORTHEASTWARD ACROSS
            HIGHWAY 60 NEAR BONNET RD WHERE DEBRIS WAS
            REPORTED TO HAVE BLOCKED THE HIGHWAY,
            CONTINUING TO NEAR THE FARM AUCTION BARN,
            AND ENDING APPROXIMATELY NEAR GENTRY ROAD
            AND THE JAMES RIVER. TIME ESTIMATED BY
            RADAR. ESTIMATED BY RADAR.

&&

SR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
756 PM CDT SUN AUG 19 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0729 PM     TSTM WND DMG     4 S HALF WAY            37.56N 93.25W
08/19/2018                   POLK               MO   EMERGENCY MNGR

            REPORT OF BARN ROOF BLOWN OFF AT SOUTH 210TH
            AND HIGHWAY YY.

&&

KP

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
913 PM CDT SUN AUG 19 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0628 PM     TORNADO          1 NW MCDOWELL           36.84N 93.81W
08/19/2018                   BARRY              MO   TRAINED SPOTTER

            CORRECTS PREVIOUS TORNADO REPORT FROM 1 NW
            MCDOWELL. SPOTTER CONFIRMS TORNADO ON THE
            GROUND 3 MILES SOUTH OF AURORA, MO.

&&

KP