Alert archive / Tennessee / Tornado Watches in 2018

Tornado Watch 295

July 20, 201828 counties in Tennessee; Lee County, Scott County, Virginia

The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Jul 20, 2018, 8:02 PM EDT for 28 counties in Tennessee; Lee County, Scott County, Virginia. It was in force for 7 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jul 20, 2018, 8:02 PM EDT (00:02 UTC)
Expired
Jul 21, 2018, 3:04 AM EDT
In force
7 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
2.5 in
Strongest gust expected
55 kt
All 30 counties

Anderson County, TN, Bledsoe County, TN, Blount County, TN, Bradley County, TN, Campbell County, TN, Claiborne County, TN, Cocke County, TN, Grainger County, TN, Greene County, TN, Hamblen County, TN, Hamilton County, TN, Hancock County, TN, Hawkins County, TN, Jefferson County, TN, Knox County, TN, Loudon County, TN, Marion County, TN, McMinn County, TN, Meigs County, TN, Monroe County, TN, Morgan County, TN, Polk County, TN, Rhea County, TN, Roane County, TN, Scott County, TN, Sequatchie County, TN, Sevier County, TN, Union County, TN, Lee County, VA, Scott County, VA

The radar

The Knoxville radar (KMRX), 34 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 00:02 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
30%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
10%
Ten or more severe wind reports
60%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
10%
Ten or more severe hail reports
40%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
30%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
95%

Warnings issued inside it

23 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 20, 9:02 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMRXClaiborne, Hancock58 min
Jul 20, 9:12 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMRXCampbell, Claiborne, Scott48 min
Jul 20, 9:23 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMRXLee37 min
Jul 20, 9:42 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMRXGrainger, Hamblen, Hawkins63 min
Jul 20, 9:56 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMRXAnderson, Campbell, Claiborne, Union49 min
Jul 20, 10:10 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMRXCocke, Greene, Jefferson, Sullivan, Unicoi, Washington65 min
Jul 20, 10:17 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMRXAnderson, Blount, Knox, Sevier58 min
Jul 20, 10:31 PM EDTTornado WarningMRXBledsoe, Rhea44 min
Jul 20, 10:44 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMRXHamblen16 min
Jul 20, 11:10 PM EDTTornado WarningMRXBledsoe, Meigs, Rhea50 min
Jul 20, 11:13 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMRXCocke, Sevier32 min
Jul 20, 11:18 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMRXBledsoe, Rhea42 min
Jul 20, 11:42 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMRXBradley, McMinn, Meigs, Rhea48 min
Jul 21, 12:11 AM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMRXBledsoe, Hamilton, Rhea, Sequatchie49 min
Jul 21, 12:24 AM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMRXBradley, McMinn, Meigs, Polk51 min
Jul 21, 12:55 AM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMRXBledsoe, Hamilton, Meigs, Rhea50 min
Jul 21, 12:58 AM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMRXPolk62 min
Jul 21, 1:21 AM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMRXBledsoe, Rhea39 min
Jul 21, 1:27 AM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMRXAnderson, Campbell, Claiborne, Scott48 min
Jul 21, 1:28 AM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMRXBradley, McMinn47 min
Jul 21, 2:02 AM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMRXBradley, Polk28 min
Jul 21, 2:11 AM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMRXAnderson, Campbell, Morgan, Roane, Scott52 min
Jul 21, 2:16 AM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMRXAnderson, Campbell, Claiborne, Grainger, Knox, Union59 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Nashville Metro, TN (KBNA), launched 00:00Z, 0.0 hours before the alert went out and 259 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Nashville Metro, TN at 00:00Z on 2018-07-21Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 3305 joules per kilogram.LCLEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Nashville Metro, TN at 00:00Z on 2018-07-21The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 90 square meters per square second.1939587897Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
3305 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-1 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1217 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
53 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
90 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
169 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
2.2
Supercell composite
11.6

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

941 
WWUS20 KWNS 210000
SEL5  
SPC WW 210000
GAZ000-TNZ000-VAZ000-210800-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 295
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
800 PM EDT Fri Jul 20 2018

The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a

* Tornado Watch for portions of 
  northwest Georgia
  eastern Tennessee
  far southwestern Virginia

* Effective this Friday night and Saturday morning from 800 PM
  until 400 AM EDT.

* Primary threats include...
  A couple tornadoes possible
  Scattered damaging wind gusts to 65 mph likely
  Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2.5
    inches in diameter possible

SUMMARY...Thunderstorms moving southeast across eastern Kentucky and
northern middle Tennessee will continue to spread southeast across
the eastern Tennessee area and vicinity over the next several hours.
 The storms will be accompanied by the risk for large hail and
damaging winds, and possibly a tornado or two.

The tornado watch area is approximately along and 60 statute miles
east and west of a line from 45 miles west northwest of Bristol TN
to 5 miles southeast of Chattanooga TN. For a complete depiction of
the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS
WOU5).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
and possible warnings.

&&

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 289...WW 292...WW
293...WW 294...

AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
surface and aloft to 2.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
gusts to 55 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 600. Mean
storm motion vector 29035.

...Goss

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 20, 10:52 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCherokee, Graham, Madison, Swain53 min
Jul 21, 2:38 AM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCherokee67 min
Jul 21, 3:00 AM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCCherokee, Clay7 hr
Jul 21, 3:37 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBuncombe, Cherokee, Clay, Graham, Haywood, Henderson and 7 more2 hr
Jul 21, 5:42 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCCleveland, Gaston, Lincoln, Polk, Rutherford8 hr
Jul 21, 7:24 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCleveland, Henderson, Polk, Rutherford, Transylvania96 min
Jul 20, 11:20 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBedford, Benton, Cannon, Carroll, Cheatham, Chester and 49 more115 min
Jul 21, 5:35 AM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBedford, Bledsoe, Cannon, Coffee, DeKalb, Franklin and 14 more115 min

Nearby

Tornado Watches in Tennessee, 2018Tornado Watches in Virginia, 2018Every tornado watch in 2018

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.