Alert archive / Tennessee / Tornado Watches in 2018
Tornado Watch 295
The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Jul 20, 2018, 8:02 PM EDT for 28 counties in Tennessee; Lee County, Scott County, Virginia. It was in force for 7 hr.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Jul 20, 2018, 8:02 PM EDT (00:02 UTC)
- Expired
- Jul 21, 2018, 3:04 AM EDT
- In force
- 7 hr
- Issued by
- the Storm Prediction Center
- Largest hail expected
- 2.5 in
- Strongest gust expected
- 55 kt
All 30 counties
Anderson County, TN, Bledsoe County, TN, Blount County, TN, Bradley County, TN, Campbell County, TN, Claiborne County, TN, Cocke County, TN, Grainger County, TN, Greene County, TN, Hamblen County, TN, Hamilton County, TN, Hancock County, TN, Hawkins County, TN, Jefferson County, TN, Knox County, TN, Loudon County, TN, Marion County, TN, McMinn County, TN, Meigs County, TN, Monroe County, TN, Morgan County, TN, Polk County, TN, Rhea County, TN, Roane County, TN, Scott County, TN, Sequatchie County, TN, Sevier County, TN, Union County, TN, Lee County, VA, Scott County, VA
The radar
The Knoxville radar (KMRX), 34 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 00:02 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What SPC expected
The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.
- Two or more tornadoes
- 30%
- One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
- 10%
- Ten or more severe wind reports
- 60%
- One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
- 10%
- Ten or more severe hail reports
- 40%
- One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
- 30%
- Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
- 95%
Warnings issued inside it
23 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 20, 9:02 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MRX | Claiborne, Hancock | 58 min |
| Jul 20, 9:12 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MRX | Campbell, Claiborne, Scott | 48 min |
| Jul 20, 9:23 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MRX | Lee | 37 min |
| Jul 20, 9:42 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MRX | Grainger, Hamblen, Hawkins | 63 min |
| Jul 20, 9:56 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MRX | Anderson, Campbell, Claiborne, Union | 49 min |
| Jul 20, 10:10 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MRX | Cocke, Greene, Jefferson, Sullivan, Unicoi, Washington | 65 min |
| Jul 20, 10:17 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MRX | Anderson, Blount, Knox, Sevier | 58 min |
| Jul 20, 10:31 PM EDT | Tornado Warning | MRX | Bledsoe, Rhea | 44 min |
| Jul 20, 10:44 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MRX | Hamblen | 16 min |
| Jul 20, 11:10 PM EDT | Tornado Warning | MRX | Bledsoe, Meigs, Rhea | 50 min |
| Jul 20, 11:13 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MRX | Cocke, Sevier | 32 min |
| Jul 20, 11:18 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MRX | Bledsoe, Rhea | 42 min |
| Jul 20, 11:42 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MRX | Bradley, McMinn, Meigs, Rhea | 48 min |
| Jul 21, 12:11 AM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MRX | Bledsoe, Hamilton, Rhea, Sequatchie | 49 min |
| Jul 21, 12:24 AM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MRX | Bradley, McMinn, Meigs, Polk | 51 min |
| Jul 21, 12:55 AM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MRX | Bledsoe, Hamilton, Meigs, Rhea | 50 min |
| Jul 21, 12:58 AM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MRX | Polk | 62 min |
| Jul 21, 1:21 AM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MRX | Bledsoe, Rhea | 39 min |
| Jul 21, 1:27 AM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MRX | Anderson, Campbell, Claiborne, Scott | 48 min |
| Jul 21, 1:28 AM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MRX | Bradley, McMinn | 47 min |
| Jul 21, 2:02 AM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MRX | Bradley, Polk | 28 min |
| Jul 21, 2:11 AM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MRX | Anderson, Campbell, Morgan, Roane, Scott | 52 min |
| Jul 21, 2:16 AM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MRX | Anderson, Campbell, Claiborne, Grainger, Knox, Union | 59 min |
Discussions around it
SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.
The nearest sounding before it
Nashville Metro, TN (KBNA), launched 00:00Z, 0.0 hours before the alert went out and 259 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 3305 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -1 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 1217 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 53 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 90 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 169 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 2.2
- Supercell composite
- 11.6
The text
As transmitted.
941
WWUS20 KWNS 210000
SEL5
SPC WW 210000
GAZ000-TNZ000-VAZ000-210800-
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 295
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
800 PM EDT Fri Jul 20 2018
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Tornado Watch for portions of
northwest Georgia
eastern Tennessee
far southwestern Virginia
* Effective this Friday night and Saturday morning from 800 PM
until 400 AM EDT.
* Primary threats include...
A couple tornadoes possible
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 65 mph likely
Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2.5
inches in diameter possible
SUMMARY...Thunderstorms moving southeast across eastern Kentucky and
northern middle Tennessee will continue to spread southeast across
the eastern Tennessee area and vicinity over the next several hours.
The storms will be accompanied by the risk for large hail and
damaging winds, and possibly a tornado or two.
The tornado watch area is approximately along and 60 statute miles
east and west of a line from 45 miles west northwest of Bristol TN
to 5 miles southeast of Chattanooga TN. For a complete depiction of
the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS
WOU5).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
and possible warnings.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 289...WW 292...WW
293...WW 294...
AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
surface and aloft to 2.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
gusts to 55 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 600. Mean
storm motion vector 29035.
...GossSPC that day
Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 20, 10:52 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Cherokee, Graham, Madison, Swain | 53 min |
| Jul 21, 2:38 AM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Cherokee | 67 min |
| Jul 21, 3:00 AM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | Cherokee, Clay | 7 hr |
| Jul 21, 3:37 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Buncombe, Cherokee, Clay, Graham, Haywood, Henderson and 7 more | 2 hr |
| Jul 21, 5:42 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | Cleveland, Gaston, Lincoln, Polk, Rutherford | 8 hr |
| Jul 21, 7:24 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Cleveland, Henderson, Polk, Rutherford, Transylvania | 96 min |
| Jul 20, 11:20 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Bedford, Benton, Cannon, Carroll, Cheatham, Chester and 49 more | 115 min |
| Jul 21, 5:35 AM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Bedford, Bledsoe, Cannon, Coffee, DeKalb, Franklin and 14 more | 115 min |
Nearby
Tornado Watches in Tennessee, 2018Tornado Watches in Virginia, 2018Every tornado watch in 2018
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.