Alert archive / Iowa / Tornado Watches in 2018
Tornado Watch 285
The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Jul 19, 2018, 3:11 PM CDT for 27 counties in Iowa; Clark County, Scotland County, Missouri. It was in force for 6 hr.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Jul 19, 2018, 3:11 PM CDT (20:11 UTC)
- Expired
- Jul 19, 2018, 9:37 PM CDT
- In force
- 6 hr
- Issued by
- the Storm Prediction Center
- Largest hail expected
- 2 in
- Strongest gust expected
- 60 kt
All 29 counties
Appanoose County, IA, Benton County, IA, Davis County, IA, Grundy County, IA, Hardin County, IA, Henry County, IA, Iowa County, IA, Jasper County, IA, Jefferson County, IA, Johnson County, IA, Keokuk County, IA, Lee County, IA, Linn County, IA, Lucas County, IA, Mahaska County, IA, Marion County, IA, Marshall County, IA, Monroe County, IA, Polk County, IA, Poweshiek County, IA, Story County, IA, Tama County, IA, Van Buren County, IA, Wapello County, IA, Warren County, IA, Washington County, IA, Wayne County, IA, Clark County, MO, Scotland County, MO
The radar
The Des Moines radar (KDMX), 80 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:13 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What SPC expected
The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.
- Two or more tornadoes
- 40%
- One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
- 10%
- Ten or more severe wind reports
- 30%
- One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
- 10%
- Ten or more severe hail reports
- 60%
- One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
- 60%
- Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
- 80%
Warnings issued inside it
23 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 19, 3:11 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | DMX | Jasper | 34 min |
| Jul 19, 3:22 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | DMX | Marshall, Story | 38 min |
| Jul 19, 3:26 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | DMX | Hamilton, Hardin, Marshall, Story | 34 min |
| Jul 19, 3:37 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | DMX | Jasper, Mahaska, Marion | 23 min |
| Jul 19, 3:40 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | DMX | Franklin, Hardin | 35 min |
| Jul 19, 3:54 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | DMX | Grundy, Hardin, Marshall, Story | 51 min |
| Jul 19, 3:54 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | DMX | Jasper, Mahaska, Marion | 36 min |
| Jul 19, 4:14 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | DMX | Mahaska, Marion | 31 min |
| Jul 19, 4:18 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | DMX | Mahaska | 42 min |
| Jul 19, 4:36 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | DMX | Mahaska, Wapello | 24 min |
| Jul 19, 4:37 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | DMX | Marshall, Tama | 23 min |
| Jul 19, 4:52 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | DMX | Mahaska, Wapello | 38 min |
| Jul 19, 4:52 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | DMX | Marshall, Poweshiek, Tama | 38 min |
| Jul 19, 4:54 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | DVN | Keokuk | 51 min |
| Jul 19, 5:12 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | DMX | Poweshiek, Tama | 18 min |
| Jul 19, 5:13 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | DMX | Davis, Mahaska, Wapello | 47 min |
| Jul 19, 5:26 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | DVN | Jefferson, Van Buren | 49 min |
| Jul 19, 5:55 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | DMX | Davis, Wapello | 20 min |
| Jul 19, 5:59 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | DVN | Van Buren | 44 min |
| Jul 19, 6:23 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | DVN | Lee, Van Buren | 67 min |
| Jul 19, 6:51 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | DVN | Scotland | 26 min |
| Jul 19, 7:20 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | DVN | Clark, Scotland | 40 min |
| Jul 19, 8:06 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | DVN | Lee | 39 min |
Discussions around it
SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.
The nearest sounding before it
Davenport, (KDVN), launched 12:00Z, 8.2 hours before the alert went out and 190 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 0 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- No buoyant parcel
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 1807 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 13 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- -12 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- -21 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted.
982
WWUS20 KWNS 192006
SEL5
SPC WW 192006
IAZ000-MOZ000-200300-
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 285
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
310 PM CDT Thu Jul 19 2018
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Tornado Watch for portions of
East-central and Southeast Iowa
Far Northeast Missouri
* Effective this Thursday afternoon and evening from 310 PM until
1000 PM CDT.
* Primary threats include...
A couple tornadoes possible
Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2
inches in diameter likely
Isolated damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
SUMMARY...The air mass continues to steadily destabilize at mid
afternoon across southern into central Iowa where a moist
environment otherwise exists. Strong winds through a deep layer, in
conjunction with sufficiently strong low-level winds, would appear
to support a supercell-related tornado risk aside from severe
hail/wind potential.
The tornado watch area is approximately along and 60 statute miles
north and south of a line from 5 miles north of Des Moines IA to 50
miles east of Ottumwa IA. For a complete depiction of the watch see
the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU5).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
and possible warnings.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 283...WW 284...
AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
surface and aloft to 2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean
storm motion vector 27025.
...GuyerSPC that day
Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 19, 12:47 AM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Fremont, Mills | 118 min |
| Jul 19, 1:00 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | Fremont, Mills, Page | 5 hr |
| Jul 19, 1:27 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Hancock, Kossuth, Winnebago | 63 min |
| Jul 19, 2:32 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Appanoose, Boone, Clarke, Dallas, Davis, Decatur and 13 more | 118 min |
| Jul 19, 5:18 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Appanoose, Benton, Black Hawk, Cedar, Clinton, Davis and 27 more | 57 min |
| Jul 19, 6:26 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Des Moines, Lee | 64 min |
| Jul 19, 3:52 AM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Atchison, Holt | 53 min |
| Jul 19, 9:58 AM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Andrew, Bates, Benton, Boone, Caldwell, Callaway and 45 more | 2 hr |
| Jul 19, 11:22 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | Barry, Barton, Bates, Benton, Caldwell, Callaway and 47 more | 10 hr |
| Jul 19, 12:26 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | Platte | 8 hr |
| Jul 19, 2:15 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Bollinger, Butler, Carter, Christian, Dallas, Dent and 27 more | 2 hr |
| Jul 19, 2:43 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Platte | 92 min |
| Jul 19, 6:49 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | Knox, Lewis, Lincoln, Marion, Pike, Ralls and 4 more | 7 hr |
Nearby
Tornado Watches in Iowa, 2018Tornado Watches in Missouri, 2018Every tornado watch in 2018
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.