Alert archive / Minnesota / Tornado Watches in 2018

Tornado Watch 180

June 16, 201815 counties in Minnesota; 12 counties in South Dakota

The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Jun 16, 2018, 3:38 PM CDT for 15 counties in Minnesota; 12 counties in South Dakota. It was in force for 8 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jun 16, 2018, 3:38 PM CDT (20:38 UTC)
Expired
Jun 17, 2018, 12:00 AM CDT
In force
8 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
3 in
Strongest gust expected
65 kt
All 27 counties

Big Stone County, MN, Chippewa County, MN, Douglas County, MN, Grant County, MN, Kandiyohi County, MN, Lac qui Parle County, MN, Otter Tail County, MN, Pope County, MN, Stearns County, MN, Stevens County, MN, Swift County, MN, Todd County, MN, Traverse County, MN, Wadena County, MN, Wilkin County, MN, Beadle County, SD, Brown County, SD, Clark County, SD, Codington County, SD, Day County, SD, Deuel County, SD, Grant County, SD, Hamlin County, SD, Kingsbury County, SD, Marshall County, SD, Roberts County, SD, Spink County, SD

The radar

The Aberdeen radar (KABR), 100 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:40 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
60%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
50%
Ten or more severe wind reports
60%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
30%
Ten or more severe hail reports
60%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
60%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
95%

Warnings issued inside it

14 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jun 16, 6:23 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFSDBrookings, Kingsbury22 min
Jun 16, 6:31 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningABRCodington, Deuel, Hamlin44 min
Jun 16, 7:38 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningABRFaulk, Hand, Hyde, Spink52 min
Jun 16, 8:00 PM CDTTornado WarningABRHand, Spink30 min
Jun 16, 8:10 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningABRFaulk, Hand, Spink50 min
Jun 16, 8:14 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFSDBeadle46 min
Jun 16, 8:25 PM CDTTornado WarningABRHand, Spink22 min
Jun 16, 9:02 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGFOtter Tail, Wilkin58 min
Jun 16, 9:14 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGFBecker, Hubbard, Wadena46 min
Jun 16, 9:22 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningABRSpink23 min
Jun 16, 9:40 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGFGrant, Otter Tail, Wilkin50 min
Jun 16, 10:12 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMPXPope, Stearns33 min
Jun 16, 10:52 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningFGFOtter Tail, Wadena6 hr
Jun 16, 11:37 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMPXMorrison, Todd23 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Aberdeen, SD (KABR), launched 12:00Z, 8.6 hours before the alert went out and 122 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Aberdeen, SD at 12:00Z on 2018-06-16Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 177 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Aberdeen, SD at 12:00Z on 2018-06-16The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 283 square meters per square second.1939Sfc1 km3 km6 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
177 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-361 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1088 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
33 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
283 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
383 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
9.2

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

556 
WWUS20 KWNS 162037
SEL0  
SPC WW 162037
MNZ000-NDZ000-SDZ000-170500-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 180
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
340 PM CDT Sat Jun 16 2018

The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a

* Tornado Watch for portions of 
  Western Minnesota
  Far southeast North Dakota
  Northeast South Dakota

* Effective this Saturday afternoon from 340 PM until Midnight
  CDT.

* Primary threats include...
  A few tornadoes likely with a couple intense tornadoes possible
  Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 3
    inches in diameter likely
  Scattered damaging winds likely with isolated significant gusts
    to 75 mph possible

SUMMARY...Isolated to scattered thunderstorms should develop along a
nearly stationary front this evening. Environment is conducive to
intense storms as a few supercells likely evolve with all severe
hazards possible.

The tornado watch area is approximately along and 55 statute miles
north and south of a line from 40 miles south southwest of Aberdeen
SD to 35 miles east northeast of Alexandria MN. For a complete
depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU0).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
and possible warnings.

&&

AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
surface and aloft to 3 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
gusts to 65 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 550. Mean
storm motion vector 25025.

...Grams

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jun 16, 8:29 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBecker, Beltrami, Clay, Clearwater, Douglas, Grant and 11 more2 hr
Jun 16, 3:06 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBig Stone, Chippewa, Douglas, Grant, Kandiyohi, Lac qui Parle and 10 more84 min
Jun 16, 6:21 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBenton, Big Stone, Chippewa, Douglas, Grant, Kandiyohi and 13 more114 min
Jun 16, 9:13 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBrown, Campbell, Corson, Dewey, Edmunds, Faulk and 4 more92 min
Jun 16, 3:15 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBennett, Brule, Buffalo, Edmunds, Faulk, Haakon and 14 more90 min
Jun 16, 3:54 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBennett, Buffalo, Edmunds, Faulk, Haakon, Hand and 13 more7 hr
Jun 16, 6:14 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBennett, Buffalo, Dewey, Edmunds, Faulk, Haakon and 14 more91 min

Nearby

Tornado Watches in Minnesota, 2018Tornado Watches in South Dakota, 2018Every tornado watch in 2018

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.