Alert archive / Florida / Tornado Watches in 2018

Tornado Watch 17

March 20, 201840 counties in Florida; Camden County, Charlton County, Georgia

The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Mar 20, 2018, 10:24 AM EDT for 40 counties in Florida; Camden County, Charlton County, Georgia. It was in force for 9 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Mar 20, 2018, 10:24 AM EDT (14:24 UTC)
Expired
Mar 20, 2018, 7:00 PM EDT
In force
9 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
2.5 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 42 counties

Alachua County, FL, Baker County, FL, Bradford County, FL, Brevard County, FL, Citrus County, FL, Clay County, FL, Columbia County, FL, DeSoto County, FL, Dixie County, FL, Duval County, FL, Flagler County, FL, Gilchrist County, FL, Hamilton County, FL, Hardee County, FL, Hernando County, FL, Highlands County, FL, Hillsborough County, FL, Indian River County, FL, Lafayette County, FL, Lake County, FL, Levy County, FL, Manatee County, FL, Marion County, FL, Nassau County, FL, Okeechobee County, FL, Orange County, FL, Osceola County, FL, Pasco County, FL, Pinellas County, FL, Polk County, FL, Putnam County, FL, Saint Johns County, FL, Saint Lucie County, FL, Sarasota County, FL, Seminole County, FL, Sumter County, FL, Suwannee County, FL, Taylor County, FL, Union County, FL, Volusia County, FL, Camden County, GA, Charlton County, GA

The radar

The Jacksonville radar (KJAX), 113 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 14:24 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
70%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
50%
Ten or more severe wind reports
60%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
20%
Ten or more severe hail reports
60%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
50%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
90%

Warnings issued inside it

35 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Mar 20, 10:31 AM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMLBVolusia29 min
Mar 20, 12:48 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTAEDixie42 min
Mar 20, 12:53 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTBWLevy52 min
Mar 20, 1:20 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJAXBradford, Clay, Duval, Saint Johns40 min
Mar 20, 1:26 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJAXMarion49 min
Mar 20, 1:29 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJAXAlachua, Gilchrist, Marion46 min
Mar 20, 1:35 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTBWPasco, Sumter13 min
Mar 20, 1:39 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMLBLake36 min
Mar 20, 1:51 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJAXAlachua, Bradford, Union39 min
Mar 20, 1:51 PM EDTTornado WarningTBWPasco24 min
Mar 20, 1:57 PM EDTTornado WarningMLBLake, Orange33 min
Mar 20, 2:04 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTBWCitrus, Hernando, Pasco, Sumter26 min
Mar 20, 2:05 PM EDTTornado WarningTBWHernando, Pasco, Sumter25 min
Mar 20, 2:21 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTAELafayette9 min
Mar 20, 2:23 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJAXAlachua, Baker, Bradford, Columbia, Gilchrist, Suwannee and 1 more52 min
Mar 20, 2:24 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMLBLake36 min
Mar 20, 2:26 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJAXBaker, Nassau34 min
Mar 20, 2:26 PM EDTTornado WarningMLBOrange, Seminole34 min
Mar 20, 2:32 PM EDTTornado WarningMLBLake18 min
Mar 20, 2:48 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMLBOrange, Seminole27 min
Mar 20, 2:57 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJAXBaker, Duval, Nassau48 min
Mar 20, 3:03 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMLBOrange27 min
Mar 20, 3:09 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTBWHillsborough, Manatee, Pinellas51 min
Mar 20, 3:14 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTBWHillsborough, Manatee, Pinellas46 min
Mar 20, 3:18 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMLBOrange27 min
Mar 20, 3:42 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMLBBrevard48 min
Mar 20, 3:54 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTBWManatee, Sarasota27 min
Mar 20, 4:37 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTBWHardee, Highlands, Polk23 min
Mar 20, 4:40 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJAXFlagler, Saint Johns23 min
Mar 20, 4:56 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTBWHardee, Highlands, Polk34 min
Mar 20, 5:13 PM EDTTornado WarningTBWHighlands32 min
Mar 20, 5:25 PM EDTTornado WarningMLBOkeechobee35 min
Mar 20, 5:32 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMLBVolusia28 min
Mar 20, 5:56 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMLBIndian River, Okeechobee, Saint Lucie34 min
Mar 20, 6:21 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTBWDeSoto, Highlands22 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Jacksonville, FL (KJAX), launched 12:00Z, 2.4 hours before the alert went out and 114 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Jacksonville, FL at 12:00Z on 2018-03-20Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 1315 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Jacksonville, FL at 12:00Z on 2018-03-20The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 257 square meters per square second.1939587897Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
1315 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-48 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
494 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
56 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
257 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
271 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
2.1
Supercell composite
8.3

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

548 
WWUS20 KWNS 201420
SEL7  
SPC WW 201420
FLZ000-GAZ000-CWZ000-202300-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 17
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1020 AM EDT Tue Mar 20 2018

The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a

* Tornado Watch for portions of 
  Northern and central Florida
  Far southeast Georgia
  Coastal Waters

* Effective this Tuesday morning and evening from 1020 AM until
  700 PM EDT.

* Primary threats include...
  A few tornadoes likely with a couple intense tornadoes possible
  Scattered large hail likely with isolated very large hail events
    to 2.5 inches in diameter possible
  Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph likely

SUMMARY...Scattered severe storms are expected through this
afternoon, capable of producing tornadoes, large hail, and damaging
winds.

The tornado watch area is approximately along and 75 statute miles
either side of a line from 60 miles west northwest of Jacksonville
FL to 35 miles west southwest of Avon Park FL. For a complete
depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU7).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
and possible warnings.

&&

AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
surface and aloft to 2.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean
storm motion vector 26035.

...Grams

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Mar 20, 9:50 AM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAlachua, Baker, Bradford, Citrus, Clay, Columbia and 21 more55 min
Mar 20, 12:05 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCNassau55 min
Mar 20, 1:00 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAlachua, Baker, Bradford, Citrus, Clay, Columbia and 28 more60 min
Mar 20, 4:16 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAlachua, Baker, Bradford, Citrus, Clay, Columbia and 28 more89 min
Mar 19, 8:45 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBaldwin, Bartow, Bibb, Butts, Carroll, Chattooga and 40 more60 min
Mar 19, 9:08 PM EDTTornado WatchSPCBaldwin, Barrow, Bartow, Bibb, Butts, Carroll and 48 more7 hr
Mar 19, 9:51 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCarroll, Douglas, Haralson, Paulding, Polk84 min
Mar 20, 12:32 AM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBulloch, Burke, Candler, Columbia, Effingham, Jenkins and 2 more88 min
Mar 20, 1:51 AM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBryan, Bulloch, Burke, Candler, Chatham, Columbia and 16 more4 hr
Mar 20, 2:36 AM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBaldwin, Bibb, Crawford, Glascock, Harris, Jefferson and 12 more84 min
Mar 20, 4:54 AM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBryan, Bulloch, Candler, Chatham, Effingham, Emanuel and 12 more96 min
Mar 20, 12:43 PM EDTTornado WatchSPCAppling, Bacon, Brantley, Bryan, Bulloch, Charlton and 13 more7 hr
Mar 20, 2:48 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBrantley, Bryan, Camden, Charlton, Chatham, Clinch and 9 more87 min
Mar 20, 6:10 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCChatham, Glynn, McIntosh65 min

Nearby

Tornado Watches in Florida, 2018Tornado Watches in Georgia, 2018Every tornado watch in 2018

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.