Alert archive / North Dakota / Tornado Watches in 2018

Tornado Watch 146

June 1, 201824 counties in North Dakota

The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Jun 1, 2018, 3:30 PM CDT for 24 counties in North Dakota. It was in force for 6 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jun 1, 2018, 3:30 PM CDT (20:30 UTC)
Expired
Jun 1, 2018, 9:23 PM CDT
In force
6 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
2.5 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 24 counties

Bottineau County, ND, Burke County, ND, Burleigh County, ND, Divide County, ND, Dunn County, ND, Emmons County, ND, Grant County, ND, Hettinger County, ND, Kidder County, ND, Logan County, ND, McHenry County, ND, McIntosh County, ND, McKenzie County, ND, McLean County, ND, Mercer County, ND, Morton County, ND, Mountrail County, ND, Oliver County, ND, Renville County, ND, Sheridan County, ND, Sioux County, ND, Stark County, ND, Ward County, ND, Williams County, ND

The radar

The Minot AFB radar (KMBX), 79 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:33 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
50%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
20%
Ten or more severe wind reports
60%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
20%
Ten or more severe hail reports
70%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
60%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
95%

Warnings issued inside it

23 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jun 1, 3:52 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBISBurleigh, Morton, Oliver25 min
Jun 1, 4:07 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBISBillings, McKenzie53 min
Jun 1, 4:30 PM CDTTornado WarningBISMcKenzie30 min
Jun 1, 5:01 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBISDunn, McKenzie59 min
Jun 1, 5:22 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBISGrant, Morton38 min
Jun 1, 5:25 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBISWilliams35 min
Jun 1, 5:29 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBISWilliams61 min
Jun 1, 5:33 PM CDTTornado Warning Tornado observedBISDunn, McKenzie27 min
Jun 1, 5:48 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBISMcLean, Mercer, Oliver57 min
Jun 1, 5:52 PM CDTTornado WarningBISMcKenzie, Mountrail23 min
Jun 1, 5:54 PM CDTTornado WarningBISMercer, Morton, Oliver36 min
Jun 1, 5:56 PM CDTTornado WarningBISDunn, McLean, Mountrail34 min
Jun 1, 5:57 PM CDTTornado WarningBISGrant, Morton33 min
Jun 1, 6:02 PM CDTTornado WarningBISDunn, McLean, Mercer28 min
Jun 1, 6:07 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBISGrant, Morton38 min
Jun 1, 6:14 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBISGrant, Morton61 min
Jun 1, 6:14 PM CDTTornado WarningBISMcKenzie, Mountrail31 min
Jun 1, 6:27 PM CDTTornado WarningBISMcHenry, McLean, Ward13 min
Jun 1, 6:30 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBISMcLean, Mercer, Mountrail, Ward60 min
Jun 1, 6:30 PM CDTTornado Warning Tornado observedBISMercer30 min
Jun 1, 6:42 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBISBurke, Mountrail, Ward63 min
Jun 1, 7:11 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBISMcLean, Mercer, Morton, Oliver41 min
Jun 1, 8:17 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBISKidder, Logan, Stutsman58 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Bismarck Municip, ND (KBIS), launched 12:00Z, 8.5 hours before the alert went out and 122 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Bismarck Municip, ND at 12:00Z on 2018-06-01Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Bismarck Municip, ND at 12:00Z on 2018-06-01The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 438 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
1549 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
47 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
438 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
623 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

893 
WWUS20 KWNS 012017
SEL6  
SPC WW 012017
NDZ000-020400-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 146
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
320 PM CDT Fri Jun 1 2018

The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a

* Tornado Watch for portions of 
  Western and Central North Dakota

* Effective this Friday afternoon and evening from 320 PM until
  1100 PM CDT.

* Primary threats include...
  A few tornadoes possible
  Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2.5
    inches in diameter likely
  Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph likely

SUMMARY...In advance of an approaching upper system, the air mass
across western into central North Dakota will continue to steadily
destabilize in the wake of earlier-day thunderstorms and lingering
cloud cover. Strong deep-layer/low-level shear and a relatively
moist environment will support the potential for a few tornadoes
along with large hail and damaging winds as storms spread generally
northeastward through late afternoon and evening.

The tornado watch area is approximately along and 80 statute miles
east and west of a line from 70 miles northwest of Minot ND to 55
miles south of Bismarck ND. For a complete depiction of the watch
see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU6).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
and possible warnings.

&&

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 143...WW 144...WW 145...

AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
surface and aloft to 2.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean
storm motion vector 21025.

...Guyer

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 31, 7:00 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdams, Burleigh, Emmons, Grant, Hettinger, Kidder and 3 more90 min
May 31, 9:18 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdams, Bowman, Grant, Hettinger, Morton, Sioux and 1 more57 min
Jun 1, 12:45 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAdams, Billings, Bowman, Golden Valley, Hettinger, Slope and 1 more6 hr
Jun 1, 2:13 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdams, Billings, Burke, Burleigh, Dunn, Emmons and 19 more2 hr
Jun 1, 4:04 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBillings, Bowman, Golden Valley, Slope86 min
Jun 1, 6:02 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBottineau, Burke, Burleigh, Divide, Dunn, Emmons and 15 more88 min

Nearby

Tornado Watches in North Dakota, 2018Every tornado watch in 2018

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.