Alert archive / North Dakota / Tornado Watches in 2018
Tornado Watch 146
The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Jun 1, 2018, 3:30 PM CDT for 24 counties in North Dakota. It was in force for 6 hr.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Jun 1, 2018, 3:30 PM CDT (20:30 UTC)
- Expired
- Jun 1, 2018, 9:23 PM CDT
- In force
- 6 hr
- Issued by
- the Storm Prediction Center
- Largest hail expected
- 2.5 in
- Strongest gust expected
- 60 kt
All 24 counties
Bottineau County, ND, Burke County, ND, Burleigh County, ND, Divide County, ND, Dunn County, ND, Emmons County, ND, Grant County, ND, Hettinger County, ND, Kidder County, ND, Logan County, ND, McHenry County, ND, McIntosh County, ND, McKenzie County, ND, McLean County, ND, Mercer County, ND, Morton County, ND, Mountrail County, ND, Oliver County, ND, Renville County, ND, Sheridan County, ND, Sioux County, ND, Stark County, ND, Ward County, ND, Williams County, ND
The radar
The Minot AFB radar (KMBX), 79 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:33 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What SPC expected
The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.
- Two or more tornadoes
- 50%
- One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
- 20%
- Ten or more severe wind reports
- 60%
- One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
- 20%
- Ten or more severe hail reports
- 70%
- One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
- 60%
- Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
- 95%
Warnings issued inside it
23 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 1, 3:52 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BIS | Burleigh, Morton, Oliver | 25 min |
| Jun 1, 4:07 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BIS | Billings, McKenzie | 53 min |
| Jun 1, 4:30 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | BIS | McKenzie | 30 min |
| Jun 1, 5:01 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BIS | Dunn, McKenzie | 59 min |
| Jun 1, 5:22 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BIS | Grant, Morton | 38 min |
| Jun 1, 5:25 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BIS | Williams | 35 min |
| Jun 1, 5:29 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BIS | Williams | 61 min |
| Jun 1, 5:33 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | BIS | Dunn, McKenzie | 27 min |
| Jun 1, 5:48 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BIS | McLean, Mercer, Oliver | 57 min |
| Jun 1, 5:52 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | BIS | McKenzie, Mountrail | 23 min |
| Jun 1, 5:54 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | BIS | Mercer, Morton, Oliver | 36 min |
| Jun 1, 5:56 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | BIS | Dunn, McLean, Mountrail | 34 min |
| Jun 1, 5:57 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | BIS | Grant, Morton | 33 min |
| Jun 1, 6:02 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | BIS | Dunn, McLean, Mercer | 28 min |
| Jun 1, 6:07 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BIS | Grant, Morton | 38 min |
| Jun 1, 6:14 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BIS | Grant, Morton | 61 min |
| Jun 1, 6:14 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | BIS | McKenzie, Mountrail | 31 min |
| Jun 1, 6:27 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | BIS | McHenry, McLean, Ward | 13 min |
| Jun 1, 6:30 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BIS | McLean, Mercer, Mountrail, Ward | 60 min |
| Jun 1, 6:30 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | BIS | Mercer | 30 min |
| Jun 1, 6:42 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BIS | Burke, Mountrail, Ward | 63 min |
| Jun 1, 7:11 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BIS | McLean, Mercer, Morton, Oliver | 41 min |
| Jun 1, 8:17 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BIS | Kidder, Logan, Stutsman | 58 min |
Discussions around it
SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.
The nearest sounding before it
Bismarck Municip, ND (KBIS), launched 12:00Z, 8.5 hours before the alert went out and 122 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 0 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- No buoyant parcel
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 1549 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 47 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 438 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 623 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted.
893
WWUS20 KWNS 012017
SEL6
SPC WW 012017
NDZ000-020400-
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 146
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
320 PM CDT Fri Jun 1 2018
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Tornado Watch for portions of
Western and Central North Dakota
* Effective this Friday afternoon and evening from 320 PM until
1100 PM CDT.
* Primary threats include...
A few tornadoes possible
Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2.5
inches in diameter likely
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph likely
SUMMARY...In advance of an approaching upper system, the air mass
across western into central North Dakota will continue to steadily
destabilize in the wake of earlier-day thunderstorms and lingering
cloud cover. Strong deep-layer/low-level shear and a relatively
moist environment will support the potential for a few tornadoes
along with large hail and damaging winds as storms spread generally
northeastward through late afternoon and evening.
The tornado watch area is approximately along and 80 statute miles
east and west of a line from 70 miles northwest of Minot ND to 55
miles south of Bismarck ND. For a complete depiction of the watch
see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU6).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
and possible warnings.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 143...WW 144...WW 145...
AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
surface and aloft to 2.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean
storm motion vector 21025.
...GuyerSPC that day
Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 31, 7:00 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Adams, Burleigh, Emmons, Grant, Hettinger, Kidder and 3 more | 90 min |
| May 31, 9:18 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Adams, Bowman, Grant, Hettinger, Morton, Sioux and 1 more | 57 min |
| Jun 1, 12:45 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | Adams, Billings, Bowman, Golden Valley, Hettinger, Slope and 1 more | 6 hr |
| Jun 1, 2:13 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Adams, Billings, Burke, Burleigh, Dunn, Emmons and 19 more | 2 hr |
| Jun 1, 4:04 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Billings, Bowman, Golden Valley, Slope | 86 min |
| Jun 1, 6:02 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Bottineau, Burke, Burleigh, Divide, Dunn, Emmons and 15 more | 88 min |
Nearby
Tornado Watches in North Dakota, 2018Every tornado watch in 2018
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.