Tornado Warning 15, NWS Bismarck, ND

399 
WWUS53 KBIS 012345
SVSBIS

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Bismarck ND
645 PM CDT FRI JUN 1 2018

NDC057-020000-
/O.CON.KBIS.TO.W.0015.000000T0000Z-180602T0000Z/
Mercer ND-
645 PM CDT FRI JUN 1 2018

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 700 PM CDT FOR SOUTH
CENTRAL MERCER COUNTY...
    
At 645 PM CDT, a confirmed tornado was located 9 miles south of Zap,
or 10 miles southwest of Beulah, moving north at 30 mph.

HAZARD...Damaging tornado and quarter size hail.

SOURCE...Weather spotters confirmed tornado.

IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without 
         shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed. Damage 
         to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur.  Tree damage is 
         likely.

Locations impacted include...
Beulah and Zap. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

To repeat, a tornado is on the ground. TAKE COVER NOW! Move to a
basement or an interior room on the lowest floor of a sturdy
building. Avoid windows. If you are outdoors, in a mobile home, or in
a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter and protect
yourself from flying debris.

&&

LAT...LON 4731 10193 4731 10171 4724 10173 4724 10177
      4713 10176 4698 10181 4698 10197 4715 10197
TIME...MOT...LOC 2345Z 190DEG 25KT 4715 10192 

TORNADO...OBSERVED
HAIL...1.00IN

$$

HEINERT

367 
WWUS53 KBIS 012354
SVSBIS

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Bismarck ND
654 PM CDT FRI JUN 1 2018

NDC057-020004-
/O.EXP.KBIS.TO.W.0015.000000T0000Z-180602T0000Z/
Mercer ND-
654 PM CDT FRI JUN 1 2018

...THE TORNADO WARNING FOR SOUTH CENTRAL MERCER COUNTY WILL EXPIRE AT
700 PM CDT...
                
The storm which prompted the warning has weakened below severe
limits, and no longer appears capable of producing a tornado.
Therefore, the warning will be allowed to expire.  However gusty
winds are still possible with this thunderstorm.

A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 1100 PM CDT for south central
North Dakota.

LAT...LON 4731 10193 4731 10171 4724 10173 4724 10177
      4713 10176 4698 10181 4698 10197 4715 10197
TIME...MOT...LOC 2354Z 195DEG 21KT 4719 10190 

$$

HEINERT

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Bismarck ND
132 PM CDT Fri Jun 1 2018

.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Saturday)
Issued at 124 PM CDT Fri Jun 1 2018

The main forecast issue in the short term period will be
thunderstorms today and this evening, then winds tonight into
Saturday.

Surface low pressure was located over far northwest SD early this
afternoon with a strong southeast flow over much of western and
central ND. Some areas are near advisory criteria for winds but
would rather not clog up the airways with wind advisory with
potential for significant severe outbreak unless we see widespread
advisory criteria winds.

We continue to destabilize over western ND this afternoon. SPC has
issued a severe thunderstorm watch for the eastern high plains
east into southwest ND and western SD. Severe convection already
continues over eastern MT and northeast WY and is expected to move
into southwest ND later this afternoon. Additionally we still
expect thunderstorm development to the east of this area, over
western and central ND around mid afternoon. Would not be
surprised with a Tornado Watch or certainly a SVR with possible
tornadoes mentioned. Very strong instability and deep layer shear
are expected to continue to develop over western and central ND
this afternoon. A limiting factor for a tornado watch would be a
limited area and time where shear and discrete cell development
will coincide before convection takes on a more QLCS like
structure. However, with such a strong wave, we do expect
convection will move through the area this afternoon and this
evening. CAMS are in good agreement in moving a single or multiple
line segments through the forecast area during this timeframe. The
12 UTC HREF again supports our strongest updrafts over the lake
Sakakawea region. Really no significant messaging changes from
the early morning forecast.

A strong westerly flow continues tonight behind the convection, and
continues through Saturday. Will probably need some wind
highlights for Saturday but will not issue anything at this time.
There could be some wrap around moisture, with scattered showers
and an isolated thunderstorm across the north Saturday.

.LONG TERM...(Saturday night through Friday)
Issued at 124 PM CDT Fri Jun 1 2018

Upper level ridging builds over the area Saturday night through
Monday. We then return to a quasi-zonal flow Monday night through
Friday with periodic chances of showers and thunderstorms.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 18Z TAFS through 18Z Saturday afternoon)
Issued at 124 PM CDT Fri Jun 1 2018

Intense storms are expected to develop in western ND this
afternoon in the 19 to 21 UTC time frame. Those storms are
expected to move eastward ahead of a cold front and will likely
merge into a line as they reach the KMOT to KBIS areas by late
afternoon or early evening, and KJMS this evening. IFR to LIFR
conditions, large hail, damaging winds and very heavy rainfall may
accompany any severe storms this afternoon and evening.

A strong westerly flow will develop behind the convection and
continue through Saturday.

&&

.BIS WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

SHORT TERM...TWH
LONG TERM...TWH
AVIATION...TWH

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Bismarck ND
132 PM CDT Fri Jun 1 2018

NDZ001>005-009>013-017>023-025-031>037-040>048-050-051-021845-
Divide-Burke-Renville-Bottineau-Rolette-Williams-Mountrail-Ward-
McHenry-Pierce-McKenzie-Dunn-Mercer-Oliver-McLean-Sheridan-Wells-
Foster-Golden Valley-Billings-Stark-Morton-Burleigh-Kidder-
Stutsman-Slope-Hettinger-Grant-Bowman-Adams-Sioux-Emmons-Logan-
La Moure-McIntosh-Dickey-
132 PM CDT Fri Jun 1 2018 /1232 PM MDT Fri Jun 1 2018/

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of north central
North Dakota, northwest North Dakota, south central North Dakota,
southeast North Dakota, and southwest North Dakota.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight

A significant severe weather event is expected this afternoon and
evening. Scattered severe storms will likely first develop across
western North Dakota between 2 pm and 4 pm CDT and are forecast
to merge into a solid line of storms by the time they reach
Highway 83 in the late afternoon or early evening. The line of
storms will then move eastward across the remainder of central
North Dakota and the James River valley this evening. The storms
could produce very large hail, possibly up to the size of tennis
balls, damaging wind gusts up to 70 mph, and very heavy rainfall.
A few tornadoes are also possible this afternoon, with the
greatest tornado risk in areas along and west of Highway 83.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday

Strong northwest winds gusting up to 45 mph are likely across
western and central North Dakota on Saturday.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters will be needed this afternoon and evening. A cold
front will interact with an unstable atmosphere containing enough
wind shear for supercell thunderstorms this afternoon along and
west of Highway 83. Storms will likely merge into a squall line
that will move east across central North Dakota and the James
River valley this evening.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND
549 PM CDT FRI JUN 1 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0541 PM     HAIL             8 NE OAKDALE            47.55N 102.74W
06/01/2018  E1.50 INCH       DUNN               ND   EMERGENCY MNGR

            3-5 MILES NORTH OF MILE MARKER 183 ON
            HIGHWAY 22.

&&

RK

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND
556 PM CDT FRI JUN 1 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0553 PM     TORNADO          2 S HEBRON              46.87N 102.05W
06/01/2018                   MORTON             ND   TRAINED SPOTTER

            TORNADO STILL ON THE GROUND AT THE TIME OF
            THIS REPORT.

&&

RK

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND
613 PM CDT FRI JUN 1 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0607 PM     TORNADO          5 N HEBRON              46.97N 102.05W
06/01/2018                   MORTON             ND   LAW ENFORCEMENT

&&

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND
615 PM CDT FRI JUN 1 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0610 PM     FUNNEL CLOUD     6 W 4 BEARS LODGE       47.98N 102.71W
06/01/2018                   MCKENZIE           ND   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            FUNNEL CLOUD IS MOVING NORTHEAST. RELAYED
            THROUGH STATE RADIO.

&&

RK

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND
624 PM CDT FRI JUN 1 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0605 PM     TSTM WND GST     5 S GLEN ULLIN          46.74N 101.81W
06/01/2018  E75 MPH          MORTON             ND   PUBLIC

            LARGER SUV WAS HIT BROADSIDE BY HIGH WIND
            AND PUSHED / SLID SIDEWAYS. ALSO HAD QUARTER
            SIZE HAIL.

&&

JPM

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND
628 PM CDT FRI JUN 1 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0605 PM     HEAVY RAIN       TURTLE LAKE             47.52N 100.89W
06/01/2018  M1.62 INCH       MCLEAN             ND   PUBLIC

            ALSO HAD DIME SIZE HAIL.

&&

JPM