Alert archive / Nebraska / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2018

Severe Thunderstorm Watch 281

July 18, 201858 counties in Nebraska

The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Jul 18, 2018, 6:14 PM CDT for 58 counties in Nebraska. It was in force for 7 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jul 18, 2018, 6:14 PM CDT (23:14 UTC)
Expired
Jul 19, 2018, 1:00 AM CDT
In force
7 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
2 in
Strongest gust expected
55 kt
All 58 counties

Adams County, NE, Antelope County, NE, Blaine County, NE, Boone County, NE, Boyd County, NE, Brown County, NE, Buffalo County, NE, Burt County, NE, Butler County, NE, Cass County, NE, Cherry County, NE, Clay County, NE, Colfax County, NE, Cuming County, NE, Custer County, NE, Dakota County, NE, Dawson County, NE, Dixon County, NE, Dodge County, NE, Douglas County, NE, Franklin County, NE, Garfield County, NE, Greeley County, NE, Hall County, NE, Hamilton County, NE, Harlan County, NE, Holt County, NE, Hooker County, NE, Howard County, NE, Kearney County, NE, Keya Paha County, NE, Lancaster County, NE, Logan County, NE, Loup County, NE, Madison County, NE, McPherson County, NE, Merrick County, NE, Nance County, NE, Nuckolls County, NE, Otoe County, NE, Phelps County, NE, Pierce County, NE, Platte County, NE, Polk County, NE, Rock County, NE, Sarpy County, NE, Saunders County, NE, Seward County, NE, Sherman County, NE, Stanton County, NE, Thomas County, NE, Thurston County, NE, Valley County, NE, Washington County, NE, Wayne County, NE, Webster County, NE, Wheeler County, NE, York County, NE

The radar

The North Platte radar (KLNX), 122 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 23:14 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
20%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
5%
Ten or more severe wind reports
50%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
20%
Ten or more severe hail reports
50%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
30%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
80%

Warnings issued inside it

32 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 18, 6:15 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLBFBrown, Keya Paha, Rock45 min
Jul 18, 6:48 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLBFBrown, Rock46 min
Jul 18, 6:55 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLBFGarfield, Loup50 min
Jul 18, 7:06 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLBFBoyd, Holt39 min
Jul 18, 7:12 PM CDTTornado WarningLBFLoup48 min
Jul 18, 7:26 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOAXCedar, Pierce, Wayne49 min
Jul 18, 7:42 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLBFCuster33 min
Jul 18, 7:51 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGIDSherman, Valley39 min
Jul 18, 7:54 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLBFCuster, Garfield, Loup21 min
Jul 18, 8:09 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOAXCedar, Wayne51 min
Jul 18, 8:10 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLBFHolt50 min
Jul 18, 8:21 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGIDSherman39 min
Jul 18, 8:42 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOAXAntelope, Knox48 min
Jul 18, 8:48 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGIDBuffalo42 min
Jul 18, 8:58 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGIDSherman17 min
Jul 18, 9:00 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLBFHolt45 min
Jul 18, 9:22 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOAXAntelope, Knox38 min
Jul 18, 9:28 PM CDTTornado WarningGIDBuffalo32 min
Jul 18, 9:32 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGIDSherman, Valley43 min
Jul 18, 9:43 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGIDAdams, Kearney47 min
Jul 18, 10:20 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGIDBuffalo40 min
Jul 18, 10:34 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGIDFranklin, Webster41 min
Jul 18, 10:39 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOAXAntelope, Madison, Pierce36 min
Jul 18, 10:48 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGIDAdams, Kearney42 min
Jul 18, 11:05 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLBFHolt, Wheeler25 min
Jul 18, 11:09 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOAXAntelope, Boone, Pierce36 min
Jul 18, 11:43 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOAXAntelope, Boone, Madison, Pierce, Platte32 min
Jul 19, 12:12 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOAXBoone, Madison, Platte33 min
Jul 19, 12:22 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOAXMadison21 min
Jul 19, 12:33 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOAXPlatte27 min
Jul 19, 12:45 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGIDNance30 min
Jul 19, 12:57 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOAXPlatte33 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

N. Platte/Lee Bi, NE (KLBF), launched 12:00Z, 11.2 hours before the alert went out and 163 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, N. Platte/Lee Bi, NE at 12:00Z on 2018-07-18Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 86 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, N. Platte/Lee Bi, NE at 12:00Z on 2018-07-18The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity -91 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
86 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-112 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1058 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
42 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
-91 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
147 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
-0.0
Supercell composite
-0.7

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 17, 11:04 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBox Butte, Dawes, Scotts Bluff, Sheridan, Sioux86 min
Jul 18, 1:57 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCArthur, Garden, Grant, Hooker, Keith, McPherson and 2 more2 hr
Jul 18, 1:39 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBoyd, Brown, Holt, Keya Paha, Rock2 hr
Jul 18, 3:43 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCAntelope, Boyd, Brown, Cedar, Garfield, Holt and 5 more7 hr
Jul 18, 4:59 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBlaine, Brown, Buffalo, Cherry, Custer, Dawson and 15 more91 min
Jul 18, 5:16 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAntelope, Boyd, Cedar, Dixon, Holt, Keya Paha and 5 more119 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Nebraska, 2018Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2018

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.