Alert archive / Missouri / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2018

Severe Thunderstorm Watch 142

May 31, 20185 states

The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at May 31, 2018, 7:56 PM CDT for 5 states. It was in force for 7 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
May 31, 2018, 7:56 PM CDT (00:56 UTC)
Expired
Jun 1, 2018, 3:00 AM CDT
In force
7 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
2 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 113 counties

Baxter County, AR, Boone County, AR, Clay County, AR, Cleburne County, AR, Conway County, AR, Craighead County, AR, Crittenden County, AR, Cross County, AR, Faulkner County, AR, Fulton County, AR, Greene County, AR, Independence County, AR, Izard County, AR, Jackson County, AR, Johnson County, AR, Lawrence County, AR, Marion County, AR, Mississippi County, AR, Newton County, AR, Poinsett County, AR, Pope County, AR, Randolph County, AR, Searcy County, AR, Sharp County, AR, St. Francis County, AR, Stone County, AR, Van Buren County, AR, White County, AR, Woodruff County, AR, Alexander County, IL, Franklin County, IL, Gallatin County, IL, Hamilton County, IL, Hardin County, IL, Jackson County, IL, Johnson County, IL, Massac County, IL, Perry County, IL, Pope County, IL, Pulaski County, IL, Randolph County, IL, Saline County, IL, Union County, IL, White County, IL, Williamson County, IL, Ballard County, KY, Caldwell County, KY, Calloway County, KY, Carlisle County, KY, Crittenden County, KY, Fulton County, KY, Graves County, KY, Hickman County, KY, Livingston County, KY, Lyon County, KY, Marshall County, KY, McCracken County, KY, Trigg County, KY, Union County, KY, Barry County, MO, Bollinger County, MO, Butler County, MO, Cape Girardeau County, MO, Carter County, MO, Christian County, MO, Crawford County, MO, Dent County, MO, Douglas County, MO, Dunklin County, MO, Howell County, MO, Iron County, MO, Madison County, MO, Mississippi County, MO, New Madrid County, MO, Oregon County, MO, Ozark County, MO, Pemiscot County, MO, Perry County, MO, Reynolds County, MO, Ripley County, MO, Saint Francois County, MO, Sainte Genevieve County, MO, Scott County, MO, Shannon County, MO, Stoddard County, MO, Stone County, MO, Taney County, MO, Texas County, MO, Washington County, MO, Wayne County, MO, Webster County, MO, Wright County, MO, Benton County, TN, Carroll County, TN, Chester County, TN, Crockett County, TN, Decatur County, TN, Dyer County, TN, Fayette County, TN, Gibson County, TN, Hardeman County, TN, Hardin County, TN, Haywood County, TN, Henderson County, TN, Henry County, TN, Lake County, TN, Lauderdale County, TN, Madison County, TN, McNairy County, TN, Obion County, TN, Shelby County, TN, Tipton County, TN, Weakley County, TN

The radar

The Memphis radar (KNQA), 196 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 00:56 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
20%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
5%
Ten or more severe wind reports
60%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
20%
Ten or more severe hail reports
60%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
40%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
95%

Warnings issued inside it

63 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 31, 7:57 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXIron, Washington12 min
May 31, 7:57 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningSGFDouglas, Wright4 hr
May 31, 7:57 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSGFChristian, Douglas, Webster, Wright13 min
May 31, 7:59 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSGFShannon11 min
May 31, 8:01 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSGFOzark44 min
May 31, 8:09 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningSGFDent, Shannon, Texas5 hr
May 31, 8:11 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSGFDouglas, Webster, Wright49 min
May 31, 8:13 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPAHCarter47 min
May 31, 8:14 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXReynolds50 min
May 31, 8:16 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSGFShannon14 min
May 31, 8:18 PM CDTTornado WarningPAHCarter27 min
May 31, 8:20 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPAHWhite25 min
May 31, 8:24 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningSGFOzark5 hr
May 31, 8:31 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPAHPerry29 min
May 31, 8:32 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKBaxter, Fulton43 min
May 31, 8:38 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSGFDent32 min
May 31, 8:40 PM CDTTornado WarningPAHCarter11 min
May 31, 8:40 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSGFChristian, Stone50 min
May 31, 8:43 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSGFHowell, Ozark32 min
May 31, 8:53 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSGFWright25 min
May 31, 9:14 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKFulton, Sharp46 min
May 31, 9:17 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPAHButler, Wayne28 min
May 31, 9:20 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPAHBollinger, Cape Girardeau, Scott, Stoddard25 min
May 31, 9:22 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSGFHowell, Ozark53 min
May 31, 9:28 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSGFChristian, Stone, Taney26 min
May 31, 9:33 PM CDTTornado WarningLZKFulton, Sharp27 min
May 31, 9:36 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPAHAlexander24 min
May 31, 9:45 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningSGFChristian, Stone, Taney6 hr
May 31, 9:56 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKFulton, Sharp34 min
May 31, 9:58 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPAHAlexander, Pulaski32 min
May 31, 10:01 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPAHMississippi, New Madrid, Scott, Stoddard44 min
May 31, 10:07 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGLawrence, Randolph38 min
May 31, 10:09 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPAHFulton35 min
May 31, 10:12 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSGFHowell, Ozark48 min
May 31, 10:13 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKBaxter, Fulton, Izard32 min
May 31, 10:32 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningSGFHowell6 hr
May 31, 10:42 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGLawrence, Randolph33 min
May 31, 10:43 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKBaxter, Fulton, Izard, Sharp, Stone47 min
May 31, 11:05 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGClay, Craighead, Greene, Lawrence, Randolph40 min
May 31, 11:15 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGLawrence, Randolph30 min
May 31, 11:19 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSGFBarry, Christian, Lawrence, Stone41 min
May 31, 11:22 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKBaxter, Izard, Marion, Stone38 min
May 31, 11:26 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKNewton, Searcy49 min
May 31, 11:40 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGHenry, Obion, Weakley50 min
May 31, 11:42 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGClay, Greene33 min
Jun 1, 12:00 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGMississippi30 min
Jun 1, 12:01 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGCarroll, Crockett, Dyer, Gibson, Obion, Weakley44 min
Jun 1, 12:13 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGCraighead, Greene, Lawrence, Mississippi, Poinsett47 min
Jun 1, 12:14 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKNewton, Pope, Searcy, Van Buren31 min
Jun 1, 12:16 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGBenton, Carroll, Henry, Weakley44 min
Jun 1, 12:17 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGBenton, Carroll, Henry, Weakley43 min
Jun 1, 12:18 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGMississippi42 min
Jun 1, 12:33 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGMississippi42 min
Jun 1, 12:40 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGCrockett, Dyer, Gibson, Haywood, Lauderdale, Weakley50 min
Jun 1, 12:41 AM CDTFlash Flood WarningLZKNewton, Searcy3 hr
Jun 1, 12:54 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKNewton, Pope, Searcy, Van Buren51 min
Jun 1, 12:58 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGCraighead, Mississippi, Poinsett47 min
Jun 1, 1:00 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGBenton, Carroll, Gibson, Henry, Weakley45 min
Jun 1, 1:06 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKIndependence, Izard, Sharp, Stone39 min
Jun 1, 1:23 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGCrockett, Dyer, Gibson, Haywood, Lauderdale, Madison and 2 more52 min
Jun 1, 1:33 AM CDTFlash Flood WarningMEGCarroll, Dyer, Gibson, Henry, Weakley117 min
Jun 1, 1:38 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGBenton, Carroll, Chester, Decatur, Henderson, Henry52 min
Jun 1, 2:08 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGChester, Crockett, Fayette, Hardeman, Haywood, Madison and 1 more31 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Springfield, MO (KSGF), launched 00:00Z, 0.9 hours before the alert went out and 233 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Springfield, MO at 00:00Z on 2018-06-01Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 2032 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Springfield, MO at 00:00Z on 2018-06-01The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 21 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
2032 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-20 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1085 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
33 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
21 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
150 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.9
Supercell composite
7.3

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 31, 7:37 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBaxter, Clay, Craighead, Fulton, Greene, Independence and 8 more113 min
May 31, 11:49 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBaxter, Boone, Cleburne, Craighead, Cross, Greene and 12 more116 min
Jun 1, 2:41 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBedford, Chester, Coffee, Decatur, Fayette, Franklin and 15 more34 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Missouri, 2018Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Arkansas, 2018Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Tennessee, 2018Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2018

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.