Severe Thunderstorm Warning 202, NWS Morristown, TN

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Morristown TN
341 AM EST Tue Nov 6 2018

.SHORT TERM (Today and Tonight)...Radar shows a line of convection
currently moving across the area. Deep moisture and good dynamics
for this time of year is in place. The 850MB jet is 50 to 60
KTs...dew point averaging in the mid 50s to mid 60s...and strong
shear. This will allow for the potential of strong to severe
storms through the rest of the night and into Tuesday morning.
The line of convection should exit the area late morning into
early afternoon with improving conditions expected during the
afternoon hours. High pressure builds in for late afternoon and
tonight for dry conditions and cooler temperatures.

.LONG TERM (Wednesday through Tuesday)...We will quickly move into
an active weather pattern for the first half of the extended. On
Wednesday...a short wave moves though. The main band of energy
will stay to our south but do expect to see scattered showers
spread across the area.  A better chance of showers is expected
late Thursday through Friday as the next low pressure system
moves through the area. High pressure builds in for a return to
dry conditions for the weekend. A weak frontal boundary will move
in around Monday. Little moisture or energy is expected with this
and current thinking is a slight chance of showers mainly over
northern areas and over higher elevations.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Chattanooga Airport, TN             70  47  63  46 /  50  10  40  20
Knoxville McGhee Tyson Airport, TN  67  45  60  44 /  70  10  30  20
Oak Ridge, TN                       67  45  60  44 /  50  10  30  20
Tri Cities Airport, TN              65  42  58  41 /  80  10  20  20

&&

.MRX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NC...Wind Advisory until 10 AM EST this morning for Cherokee-Clay.

TN...Wind Advisory until 10 AM EST this morning for Johnson-Southeast
     Carter-Southeast Greene-Southeast Monroe-Unicoi.

     High Wind Warning until 10 AM EST this morning for Blount Smoky
     Mountains-Cocke Smoky Mountains-Sevier Smoky Mountains.

VA...None.
&&

MJB

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Morristown TN
417 AM EST Tue Nov 6 2018

NCZ060-061-TNZ012>018-035>047-067>074-081>087-098>102-VAZ001-002-
005-006-008-070930-
Cherokee-Clay-Scott TN-Campbell-Claiborne-Hancock-Hawkins-
Sullivan-Johnson-Morgan-Anderson-Union-Grainger-Hamblen-
Northwest Cocke-Cocke Smoky Mountains-Northwest Greene-
Southeast Greene-Washington TN-Unicoi-Northwest Carter-
Southeast Carter-Roane-Loudon-Knox-Jefferson-NW Blount-
Blount Smoky Mountains-North Sevier-Sevier Smoky Mountains-
Sequatchie-Bledsoe-Rhea-Meigs-McMinn-Northwest Monroe-
Southeast Monroe-Marion-Hamilton-Bradley-West Polk-East Polk-Lee-
Wise-Scott-Russell-Washington-
417 AM EST Tue Nov 6 2018 /317 AM CST Tue Nov 6 2018/

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of Southwest North
Carolina...East Tennessee and Southwest Virginia.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

A strong cold front will push through the Southern Appalachian
Region this morning. This will allow strong to severe storms to
develop ahead of the front. Some of these storms will be capable
of producing damaging winds and locally heavy rain. An isolated
tornado cannot be ruled out. Additionally...strong and gusty
winds are expected over the higher elevations of the East TN
Mountains and higher terrain of extreme SW NC. A combination of a
High Wind Warning and a Wind Advisory is in effect for these areas
through 10AM EST this morning.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation will be needed early Tuesday morning.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
335 AM EST TUE NOV 6 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0300 AM     TSTM WND DMG     CAGLE                   35.47N 85.46W
11/06/2018                   SEQUATCHIE         TN   EMERGENCY MNGR

            POWER LINES AND TREES DOWN NEAR INTERSECTION OF HIGHWAY
            399 AND HIGHWAY 111.

&&

ADIEGAN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
350 AM EST TUE NOV 6 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0334 AM     TSTM WND DMG     1 SE POWELLS CROSSROADS 35.17N 85.47W
11/06/2018                   MARION             TN   EMERGENCY MNGR

            TREE DOWN ON HIGHWAY 27 WITH ONE LANE BLOCKED.

&&

ADIEGAN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
411 AM EST TUE NOV 6 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0353 AM     TSTM WND DMG     ATHENS                  35.45N 84.60W
11/06/2018                   MCMINN             TN   TRAINED SPOTTER

            TREE DOWN AND SMALL HAIL

&&

GARUCKAS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
449 AM EST TUE NOV 6 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0351 AM     TSTM WND DMG     2 SE RICEVILLE          35.36N 84.67W
11/06/2018                   MCMINN             TN   911 CALL CENTER

            TREES DOWN AT COUNTY ROADS 725 AND 700

0415 AM     TSTM WND DMG     4 NW NIOTA              35.56N 84.60W
11/06/2018                   MCMINN             TN   911 CALL CENTER

            TREE BLOCKING BOTH LANES ON COUNTY ROAD 250 NEAR POND
            HILL CHURCH.

&&

GARUCKAS