Alert archive / Wisconsin / River Flood Warnings in 2018
River Flood Warning 63, NWS Milwaukee, WI
NWS Milwaukee, WI issued this river flood warning at Aug 28, 2018, 6:55 PM CDT for Ozaukee County, Wisconsin. It took effect at Aug 28, 2018, 11:48 PM CDT. It was in force for 31 hr.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Aug 28, 2018, 6:55 PM CDT (23:55 UTC)
- In effect from
- Aug 28, 2018, 11:48 PM CDT
- Expired
- Aug 30, 2018, 7:00 AM CDT
- In force
- 31 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Milwaukee, WI
- Area
- Storm-based polygon
- Flood severity
- Minor
County Ozaukee County, WI
The radar
The Milwaukee radar (KMKX), 60 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 23:54 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
The river
Written for the forecast point Cedar Creek at Cedarburg (CDRW3).
- Action stage
- 9 ft
- Minor stage
- 10 ft
- Moderate stage
- 11 ft
- Major stage
- 12 ft
This gauge today: stage, forecast and historic crests
Stage from the USGS instantaneous record for site 04086500, one reading an hour, from a day before the product to a day after it ended. Flood stages are today's.
The text
As transmitted.
174
WGUS43 KMKX 282355
FLWMKX
Flood Warning
National Weather Service Milwaukee/Sullivan WI
655 PM CDT Tue Aug 28 2018
...The National Weather Service in Milwaukee/Sullivan has issued a
flood warning for the following rivers in Wisconsin...
BARABOO RIVER at La Valle affecting Sauk County
Cedar Creek At Cedarburg affecting Ozaukee County
Crawfish River At Milford affecting Jefferson County
&&
WIC111-291155-
/O.NEW.KMKX.FL.W.0062.180828T2355Z-000000T0000Z/
/LAVW3.1.ER.180828T2247Z.180828T2300Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
655 PM CDT Tue Aug 28 2018
The National Weather Service in Milwaukee/sullivan has issued a
* Flood Warning for
The BARABOO RIVER at La Valle.
* At 6:00 PM Tuesday the stage was 15.2 feet.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Forecasts are not issued for this location. This warning will
remain in effect until the river falls below flood stage.
* Impact...At 15.0 feet...Between stages 12 feet and 18 feet, there
is lowland flooding in the La Valle area.
&&
LAT...LON MISSING
$$
WIC089-291155-
/O.NEW.KMKX.FL.W.0063.180829T0448Z-180830T1200Z/
/CDRW3.1.ER.180829T0448Z.180829T0600Z.180830T0000Z.NO/
655 PM CDT Tue Aug 28 2018
The National Weather Service in Milwaukee/sullivan has issued a
* Flood Warning for
The Cedar Creek At Cedarburg.
* At 5:00 PM Tuesday the stage was 9.4 feet.
* Flood stage is 10.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by tonight and continue to rise
to near 10.1 feet by after midnight tomorrow. The river will fall
below flood stage by tomorrow evening.
* Impact...At 10.2 feet...Water is into Cedar Creek Park in
Cedarburg. This level is the 20 percent chance flood meaning that
there is a 20 percent of the river reaching this level in any given
year.
&&
LAT...LON 4333 8801 4333 8796 4331 8795 4329 8794
4326 8797 4329 8801
$$
WIC055-291155-
/O.NEW.KMKX.FL.W.0064.180830T0300Z-000000T0000Z/
/MILW3.1.ER.180830T0300Z.180904T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
655 PM CDT Tue Aug 28 2018
The National Weather Service in Milwaukee/sullivan has issued a
* Flood Warning for
The Crawfish River At Milford.
* At 5:15 PM Tuesday the stage was 5.8 feet.
* Flood stage is 7.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by tomorrow late evening and
continue to rise to near 8.7 feet by Monday evening. Additional
rises are possible thereafter.
* Impact...At 9.0 feet...Water approaches some homes in Milford.
There is widespread flooding of roads in Riverbend Campground,
about 5 miles upstream of Milford.
&&
LAT...LON 4317 8897 4317 8878 4310 8880 4302 8882
4302 8893 4310 8893
$$
&&
River forecasts are available for some but not all river gaging
locations. The 7 day river forecast takes into account past
precipitation, soil moisture conditions, and predicted
precipitation for the basin. Precipitation is for the next 24 hours
in the future from April through September and for 48 hours in the
future from October through March.
(stages in ft.) Bank- Latest Forecast stages
- Flood full observed ...for 6 pm...
Location stage stage stage/time Wed Thu Fri Sat
Cedarburg 10.0 9.0 9.42 05 PM 08/28 9.6 10.0 9.6 8.8
Milford 7.0 5.0 5.85 05 PM 08/28 6.0 6.9 7.6 8.1
La Valle 15.0 12.0 15.18 06 PM 08/28 Not a forecast pt
- Highest 24 hour change
- observed in river stage
- stage in (ft.) up to Highest stage
- the last latest observed forecast in
- 7 days stage next 7 days
Milford 5.85 05 PM 08/28 0.15 8.70 07 PM 09/03
Cedarburg 9.72 09 AM 08/27 0.39 10.10 01 AM 08/29
La Valle 15.18 06 PM 08/28 M ..Not available..
Below is predicted precipitation information in 6 hour increments
for the listed sites. This information is updated twice daily-morning
and evening. Precipitation prediction is for 48 hours into the future
from October through March and for 24 hours into the future from
April through September.
Cedarburg: 6 pm-midn Tue Aug 28 0.04
Cedarburg: midn-6 am Wed Aug 29 0.55
Cedarburg: 6 am-noon Wed Aug 29 0.06
Cedarburg: noon-6 pm Wed Aug 29 0.55
Cedarburg: 6 pm-midn Wed Aug 29 0.60
Cedarburg: midn-6 am Thu Aug 30 0.09
Cedarburg: 6 am-noon Thu Aug 30 0.00
Cedarburg: noon-6 pm Thu Aug 30 0.00
Milford: 6 pm-midn Tue Aug 28 0.16
Milford: midn-6 am Wed Aug 29 0.55
Milford: 6 am-noon Wed Aug 29 0.06
Milford: noon-6 pm Wed Aug 29 0.68
Milford: 6 pm-midn Wed Aug 29 0.60
Milford: midn-6 am Thu Aug 30 0.05
Milford: 6 am-noon Thu Aug 30 0.00
Milford: noon-6 pm Thu Aug 30 0.00
La Valle: 6 pm-midn Tue Aug 28 0.69
La Valle: midn-6 am Wed Aug 29 1.13
La Valle: 6 am-noon Wed Aug 29 0.04
La Valle: noon-6 pm Wed Aug 29 1.73
La Valle: 6 pm-midn Wed Aug 29 0.27
La Valle: midn-6 am Thu Aug 30 0.00
La Valle: 6 am-noon Thu Aug 30 0.00
La Valle: noon-6 pm Thu Aug 30 0.004 follow-up statements
976
WGUS83 KMKX 290227
FLSMKX
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Milwaukee/Sullivan WI
927 PM CDT Tue Aug 28 2018
...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in
Wisconsin...
Cedar Creek At Cedarburg affecting Ozaukee County
Crawfish River At Milford affecting Jefferson County
Milwaukee River Near Cedarburg affecting Ozaukee County
&&
WIC089-291427-
/O.EXT.KMKX.FL.W.0063.180829T1800Z-180830T1200Z/
/CDRW3.1.ER.180829T1800Z.180829T1800Z.180830T0000Z.NO/
927 PM CDT Tue Aug 28 2018
The Flood Warning continues for
The Cedar Creek At Cedarburg.
* At 8:00 PM Tuesday the stage was 9.5 feet.
* Flood stage is 10.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to near flood stage
tomorrow early afternoon.
* Impact...At 10.0 feet...Water is into Cedar Creek Park in
Cedarburg.
&&
LAT...LON 4333 8801 4333 8796 4331 8795 4329 8794
4326 8797 4329 8801
$$
WIC055-291427-
/O.EXT.KMKX.FL.W.0064.180830T1200Z-000000T0000Z/
/MILW3.1.ER.180830T1200Z.180904T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
927 PM CDT Tue Aug 28 2018
The Flood Warning continues for
The Crawfish River At Milford.
* At 8:15 PM Tuesday the stage was 5.9 feet.
* Flood stage is 7.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by Thursday morning and continue
to rise to near 8.4 feet by early Tuesday morning.
* Impact...At 8.2 feet...There is widespread flooding of agricultural
land and lowland. There is widespead flooding in Riverbend
Campground, about 5 miles upstream of Milford. This level is
considered to be about a 20 percent chance flood meaning there is a
20 percent chance in any given year of the river reaching this
level.
&&
LAT...LON 4317 8897 4317 8878 4310 8880 4302 8882
4302 8893 4310 8893
$$
WIC089-291427-
/O.EXT.KMKX.FL.W.0059.000000T0000Z-180901T1930Z/
/CEDW3.3.ER.180827T1502Z.180830T0600Z.180901T1330Z.NR/
927 PM CDT Tue Aug 28 2018
The Flood Warning continues for
The Milwaukee River Near Cedarburg.
* At 8:00 PM Tuesday the stage was 11.8 feet.
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Record flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 14.0 feet by
early Thursday morning. The river will fall below flood stage
Saturday morning.
* Impact...At 13.3 feet...Floodwaters affect Island Drive and
Shoreland Parkway in the Mequon area. Water is over Elm St, Green
Bay Rd, North Cedarburg Rd in Thiensville. The following roads and
intersections are flooded and closed: Highway I and Hawthorne Drive
in the Town of Saukville, Highway I between Highway 13 and Highway
57 in the Village of Saukville. This level is the 1 percent chance
flood meaning there is a 1 percent chance of the river reaching
this level in any given year.
&&
LAT...LON 4333 8798 4331 8792 4327 8794 4323 8793
4323 8805 4330 8803
$$
&&
River forecasts are available for some but not all river gaging
locations. The 7 day river forecast takes into account past
precipitation, soil moisture conditions, and predicted
precipitation for the basin. Precipitation is for the next 24 hours
in the future from April through September and for 48 hours in the
future from October through March.
(stages in ft.) Bank- Latest Forecast stages
- Flood full observed ...for 6 pm...
Location stage stage stage/time Tue Wed Thu Fri
Cedarburg 11.0 10.0 11.83 08 PM 08/28 13.9 13.2 11.8 10.4
Milford 7.0 5.0 5.93 08 PM 08/28 6.6 7.3 7.7 8.0
Cedarburg 10.0 9.0 9.50 08 PM 08/28 10.0 9.2 8.3 7.5
- Highest 24 hour change
- observed in river stage
- stage in (ft.) up to Highest stage
- the last latest observed forecast in
- 7 days stage next 7 days
Cedarburg 12.15 06 PM 08/27 -0.23 14.00 01 AM 08/30
Milford 5.93 08 PM 08/28 0.21 8.40 01 AM 09/04
Cedarburg 9.72 09 AM 08/27 0.75 10.00 01 PM 08/29
Below is the latest predicted precipitation information in 6 hour
increments for the listed sites. This information is updated twice
daily - in the morning and evening. Precipitation prediction is for
48 hours into the future from October through March and for 24
hours into the future from April through September.
Cedarburg: 6 am-noon Tue Aug 28 0.00
Cedarburg: noon-6 pm Tue Aug 28 0.00
Cedarburg: 6 pm-midn Tue Aug 28 0.00
Cedarburg: midn-6 am Wed Aug 29 0.00
Cedarburg: 6 am-noon Wed Aug 29 0.00
Cedarburg: noon-6 pm Wed Aug 29 0.00
Cedarburg: 6 pm-midn Wed Aug 29 0.00
Cedarburg: midn-6 am Thu Aug 30 0.00
Cedarburg: 6 am-noon Tue Aug 28 0.00
Cedarburg: noon-6 pm Tue Aug 28 0.00
Cedarburg: 6 pm-midn Tue Aug 28 0.00
Cedarburg: midn-6 am Wed Aug 29 0.00
Cedarburg: 6 am-noon Wed Aug 29 0.00
Cedarburg: noon-6 pm Wed Aug 29 0.00
Cedarburg: 6 pm-midn Wed Aug 29 0.00
Cedarburg: midn-6 am Thu Aug 30 0.00
Milford: 6 am-noon Tue Aug 28 0.00
Milford: noon-6 pm Tue Aug 28 0.00
Milford: 6 pm-midn Tue Aug 28 0.00
Milford: midn-6 am Wed Aug 29 0.00
Milford: 6 am-noon Wed Aug 29 0.00
Milford: noon-6 pm Wed Aug 29 0.00
Milford: 6 pm-midn Wed Aug 29 0.00
Milford: midn-6 am Thu Aug 30 0.00605
WGUS83 KMKX 291033
FLSMKX
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Milwaukee/Sullivan WI
533 AM CDT Wed Aug 29 2018
...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in
Wisconsin...
Cedar Creek At Cedarburg affecting Ozaukee County
&&
WIC089-292232-
/O.CON.KMKX.FL.W.0063.180829T1800Z-180830T1200Z/
/CDRW3.1.ER.180829T1800Z.180829T1800Z.180830T0000Z.NO/
533 AM CDT Wed Aug 29 2018
The Flood Warning continues for
The Cedar Creek At Cedarburg.
* At 4:00 AM Wednesday the stage was 9.9 feet.
* Flood stage is 10.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to near flood stage this
afternoon.
* Impact...At 10.0 feet...Water is into Cedar Creek Park in
Cedarburg.
&&
LAT...LON 4333 8801 4333 8796 4331 8795 4329 8794
4326 8797 4329 8801
$$
&&
River forecasts are available for some but not all river gaging
locations. The 7 day river forecast takes into account past
precipitation, soil moisture conditions, and predicted
precipitation for the basin. Precipitation is for the next 24 hours
in the future from April through September and for 48 hours in the
future from October through March.
(stages in ft.) Bank- Latest Forecast stages
- Flood full observed ...for 6 pm...
Location stage stage stage/time Thu Fri Sat Sun
Cedarburg 10.0 9.0 9.89 04 AM 08/29 10.0 9.2 8.3 7.5
- Highest 24 hour change
- observed in river stage
- stage in (ft.) up to Highest stage
- the last latest observed forecast in
- 7 days stage next 7 days
Cedarburg 9.89 04 AM 08/29 1.24 10.00 01 PM 08/29
Below is predicted precipitation information in 6 hour increments
for the listed sites. This information is updated twice daily-morning
and evening. Precipitation prediction is for 48 hours into the future
from October through March and for 24 hours into the future from
April through September.
Cedarburg: 6 pm-midn Wed Aug 29 0.55
Cedarburg: midn-6 am Thu Aug 30 0.08
Cedarburg: 6 am-noon Thu Aug 30 0.00
Cedarburg: noon-6 pm Thu Aug 30 0.00
Cedarburg: 6 pm-midn Thu Aug 30 0.00
Cedarburg: midn-6 am Fri Aug 31 0.00
Cedarburg: 6 am-noon Fri Aug 31 0.00
Cedarburg: noon-6 pm Fri Aug 31 0.00647
WGUS83 KMKX 291807
FLSMKX
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Milwaukee/Sullivan WI
107 PM CDT Wed Aug 29 2018
...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in
Wisconsin...
Baraboo River
at La Valle
at Reedsburg
at Rock Springs
near Baraboo
Wisconsin River
at Portage
Milwaukee River
near Cedarburg
Cedar Creek
at Cedarburg
Crawfish River
at Milford
South Branch of the Rock River
at Waupun
&&
WIC111-300607-
/O.CON.KMKX.FL.W.0062.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/LAVW3.3.ER.180828T2247Z.180829T0315Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
107 PM CDT Wed Aug 29 2018
The Flood Warning continues for
The Baraboo River at La Valle.
* At 11 PM Tuesday the stage was 20.6 feet.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Major flooding is occurring...No forecast is available.
* The river crest approximately two feet above the previous record
crest of 23.2 feet set in June of 2008.
* Forecasts are not issued for this location. This warning will
remain in effect until the river falls below flood stage.
* Impact...At 20.0 feet...Floodwaters have spread into downtown La
Valle and are about 2 feet deep in some areas.
$$
WIC111-300607-
/O.CON.KMKX.FL.W.0065.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/RBGW3.3.ER.180828T2025Z.180829T1300Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
107 PM CDT Wed Aug 29 2018
The Flood Warning continues for
The Baraboo River At Reedsburg.
* At 8 AM Wednesday the stage was 18.2 feet.
* Flood stage is 14.0 feet.
* Major flooding is occurring...No forecast is available.
* Forecasts are not issued for this location. This warning will
remain in effect until the river falls below flood stage.
* Impact...At 18.0 feet...Floodwaters affect Granite Avenue and South
Webb Avenue as well as North Webb Avenue by the movie theater.
Floodwaters are onto the concrete deck of the South Webb Avenue
bridge. Water is 1 foot deep in the Public Works Building. South
Park next to the wastewater plant is underwater. Floodwaters are
into the swimming pool control room in Webb Park. Floodwaters are 4
to 4.5 feet deep in the Public Works Yard.
&&
LAT...LON 4354 9011 4358 9004 4355 8996 4352 8991 4348 8998 4352 9006
$$
WIC111-300607-
/O.EXT.KMKX.FL.W.0060.180829T1952Z-180905T0100Z/
/RSPW3.3.ER.180829T1952Z.180831T1200Z.180904T1900Z.NO/
107 PM CDT Wed Aug 29 2018
The Flood Warning continues for
The Baraboo River At Rock Springs.
* At 12 PM Wednesday the stage was 17.9 feet.
* Flood stage is 18.5 feet.
* Major flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river is forecast to crest near 23.7 feet Friday and
fall below flood stage Tuesday.
* Impact...At 23.0 feet...Floodwaters touch the base of the river
gauge house in Rock Springs. Floodwaters cover much of Highways DD,
154 and 136 in Rock Springs. Busser Park along Highway 136 and the
baseball diamond in Fireman's Park along Highway DD are covered
with water up to 4 feet deep. Floodwaters affect some businesses,
including the Post Office, along Highway 154 in Rock Springs.
&&
LAT...LON 4349 8998 4353 8990 4350 8986 4348 8982 4343 8990 4346 8997
$$
WIC111-300607-
/O.EXT.KMKX.FL.W.0061.180830T0300Z-000000T0000Z/
/BABW3.1.ER.180830T0300Z.180902T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
107 PM CDT Wed Aug 29 2018
The Flood Warning continues for
The Baraboo River Near Baraboo.
* At 11 AM Wednesday the stage was 14.9 feet.
* Flood stage is 16.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river is forecast to rise above flood stage late this
evening and crest near 21.0 feet Sunday morning.
* Impact...At 20.8 feet...Floodwaters affect a trailer rental
business and a road wayside park about 5 miles downstream near the
Highway 33 bridge. Floodwaters also affect an auto auction business
near Highway I-94. This level is the 20 percent chance flood
meaning that there is a 20 percent chance in any given year of the
river reaching this level.
&&
LAT...LON 4342 8965 4351 8967 4353 8964 4354 8957 4349 8945 4347 8957
$$
WIC021-300607-
/O.EXT.KMKX.FL.W.0067.180830T0345Z-180901T0000Z/
/PORW3.1.ER.180830T0345Z.180830T1200Z.180831T1800Z.NO/
107 PM CDT Wed Aug 29 2018
The Flood Warning continues for
The Wisconsin River At Portage.
* At 12 PM Wednesday the stage was 15.3 feet.
* Flood stage is 17.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river is forecast to rise above flood stage late this
evening tonight, crest near 17.7 feet Thursday morning and fall below
flood stage Friday afternoon.
* Impact...At 17.8 feet...In the Blackhawk Park area in the Town of
Caledonia, Old River Road is closed with water over it. West Lane
Road in the Long Lake area is closed with about 4 feet of water
over it in places. wood Street in the Blackhawk Park area is
affected by floodwaters. County Highway V and Oak Knoll Road in the
Town of Dekorra have water up to the edge of the pavement. A few
homes in the Town of Dekorra area near the river have water in the
first floor and there is also flooding of outbuildings and yards.
&&
LAT...LON 4351 8970 4365 8966 4359 8937 4339 8939 4344 8965 4350 8957
$$
WIC089-300607-
/O.EXT.KMKX.FL.W.0059.000000T0000Z-180902T1912Z/
/CEDW3.2.ER.180827T1502Z.180831T0600Z.180902T1312Z.NO/
107 PM CDT Wed Aug 29 2018
The Flood Warning continues for
The Milwaukee River Near Cedarburg.
* At 11 AM Wednesday the stage was 12.2 feet.
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river is forecast to crest near 13.0 feet Thursday
night and fall below flood stage Sunday morning.
* Impact...At 13.0 feet...Floodwaters affect Island Drive and
Shoreland Parkway in the Mequon area. Water is over Elm St, Green
Bay Rd, N Cedarburg Rd in Thiensville and into Thiensville village
Park. The following roads and intersections are flooded and closed:
Highway I and Hawthorne Drive in the Town of Saukville, Blueberry
Drive and Hawthorne Drive in the Town of Saukville, Highway I
between Highway 13 and Highway 57 in the Village and Town of
Saukville.
&&
LAT...LON 4333 8798 4331 8792 4327 8794 4323 8793 4323 8805 4330 8803
$$
WIC089-300607-
/O.EXT.KMKX.FL.W.0063.180829T1738Z-180830T1200Z/
/CDRW3.1.ER.180829T1600Z.180829T1615Z.180830T0000Z.NO/
107 PM CDT Wed Aug 29 2018
The Flood Warning continues for
The Cedar Creek At Cedarburg.
* At 11:15 AM Wednesday the stage was 10.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 10.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river is forecast to crest near flood stage this
afternoon and fall below flood stage this evening.
* Impact...At 10.0 feet...Water is into Cedar Creek Park in Cedarburg.
&&
LAT...LON 4333 8801 4333 8796 4331 8795 4329 8794 4326 8797 4329 8801
$$
WIC055-300607-
/O.CON.KMKX.FL.W.0064.180830T1200Z-000000T0000Z/
/MILW3.1.ER.180830T1200Z.180903T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
107 PM CDT Wed Aug 29 2018
The Flood Warning continues for
The Crawfish River At Milford.
* At 11:30 AM Wednesday the stage was 6.3 feet.
* Flood stage is 7.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...This river is forecast to rise above flood stage Thursday
morning and crest near 8.4 feet early nest week.
* Impact...At 8.2 feet...There is widespread flooding of agricultural
land and lowland. There is widespread flooding in Riverbend Campground,
about 5 miles upstream of Milford.
&&
LAT...LON 4317 8897 4317 8878 4310 8880 4302 8882 4302 8893 4310 8893
$$
WIC039-300607-
/O.CON.KMKX.FL.W.0066.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/WPNW3.1.ER.180828T2127Z.180829T1530Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
107 PM CDT Wed Aug 29 2018
The Flood Warning continues for
The South Branch Rock River At Waupun.
* At 11 AM Wednesday the stage was 7.4 feet.
* Flood stage is 6.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring...No forecast is available.
* Forecasts are not issued for this location. This warning will
remain in effect until the river falls below flood stage.
* Impact...At 7.3 feet...Water reaches the support beams underneath
the Fond du Lac St bridge and is closed. Gateway Dr. and County
Park Rd. at the bridge are closed. Floodwaters affect a park, a
picnic area and roadways in the Waupun area.
&&
LAT...LON 4362 8886 4370 8881 4367 8868 4363 8864 4357 8871 4362 8880
$$
&&
River forecasts are available for some but not all river gaging
locations. The 7 day river forecast takes into account past
precipitation, soil moisture conditions, and predicted
precipitation for the basin. Precipitation is for the next 24 hours
in the future from April through September and for 48 hours in the
future from October through March.
(stages in ft.) Bank- Latest Forecast stages
- Flood full observed ...for 6 pm...
Location stage stage stage/time Wed Thu Fri Sat
La Valle 15.0 12.0 20.57 11 PM 08/28 not a forecast point
Reedsburg 14.0 12.0 18.24 08 AM 08/29 not a forecast point
Rock Springs 18.5 13.5 17.88 12 PM 08/29 19.6 23.3 23.7 23.4
Baraboo 16.0 14.0 14.85 11 AM 08/29 15.7 17.8 19.6 20.8
Portage 17.0 12.7 15.29 12 PM 08/29 16.5 17.6 16.7 14.3
Cedarburg 11.0 10.0 12.19 11 AM 08/29 12.4 12.9 12.8 11.8
Cedarburg 10.0 9.0 10.00 11 AM 08/29 10.0 9.3 8.2 7.3
Milford 7.0 5.0 6.33 11 AM 08/29 6.6 7.3 7.7 8.0
Waupun 6.0 4.0 7.39 11 AM 08/29 not a forecast point
- Highest 24 hour change
- observed in river stage
- stage in (ft.) up to Highest stage
- the last latest observed forecast in
- 7 days stage next 7 days
La Valle 20.79 10 PM 08/28 M ..Not available..
Reedsburg 18.24 08 AM 08/29 5.17 ..Not available..
Rock Springs 17.88 12 PM 08/29 5.16 23.70 07 AM 08/31
Baraboo 14.92 08 AM 08/29 5.02 21.00 01 AM 09/02
Portage 15.29 12 PM 08/29 2.49 17.70 07 AM 08/30
Cedarburg 12.19 11 AM 08/29 0.42 13.00 01 AM 08/31
Cedarburg 10.00 11 AM 08/29 0.84 10.00 01 PM 08/29
Milford 6.33 11 AM 08/29 0.53 8.40 01 PM 09/03
Waupun 7.40 10 AM 08/29 2.36 ..Not available..
Below is the latest predicted precipitation information in 6 hour
increments for the listed sites. This information is updated twice
daily - in the morning and evening. Precipitation prediction is for
48 hours into the future from October through March and for 24
hours into the future from April through September.
La Valle: 6 am-noon Wed Aug 29 0.00
La Valle: noon-6 pm Wed Aug 29 0.00
La Valle: 6 pm-midn Wed Aug 29 0.00
La Valle: midn-6 am Thu Aug 30 0.00
La Valle: 6 am-noon Thu Aug 30 0.00
La Valle: noon-6 pm Thu Aug 30 0.00
La Valle: 6 pm-midn Thu Aug 30 0.00
La Valle: midn-6 am Fri Aug 31 0.00
Reedsburg: 6 am-noon Wed Aug 29 0.00
Reedsburg: noon-6 pm Wed Aug 29 0.00
Reedsburg: 6 pm-midn Wed Aug 29 0.00
Reedsburg: 6 am-noon Thu Aug 30 0.00
Reedsburg: noon-6 pm Thu Aug 30 0.00
Reedsburg: 6 pm-midn Thu Aug 30 0.00
Reedsburg: midn-6 am Fri Aug 31 0.00
Rock Springs: 6 am-noon Wed Aug 29 0.00
Rock Springs: noon-6 pm Wed Aug 29 0.00
Rock Springs: 6 pm-midn Wed Aug 29 0.00
Rock Springs: midn-6 am Thu Aug 30 0.00
Rock Springs: 6 am-noon Thu Aug 30 0.00
Rock Springs: noon-6 pm Thu Aug 30 0.00
Rock Springs: 6 pm-midn Thu Aug 30 0.00
Rock Springs: midn-6 am Fri Aug 31 0.00
Baraboo: 6 am-noon Wed Aug 29 0.00
Baraboo: noon-6 pm Wed Aug 29 0.00
Baraboo: 6 pm-midn Wed Aug 29 0.00
Baraboo: midn-6 am Thu Aug 30 0.00
Baraboo: 6 am-noon Thu Aug 30 0.00
Baraboo: noon-6 pm Thu Aug 30 0.00
Baraboo: 6 pm-midn Thu Aug 30 0.00
Baraboo: midn-6 am Fri Aug 31 0.00
Portage: 6 am-noon Wed Aug 29 0.00
Portage: noon-6 pm Wed Aug 29 0.00
Portage: 6 pm-midn Wed Aug 29 0.00
Portage: midn-6 am Thu Aug 30 0.00
Portage: 6 am-noon Thu Aug 30 0.00
Portage: noon-6 pm Thu Aug 30 0.00
Portage: 6 pm-midn Thu Aug 30 0.00
Portage: midn-6 am Fri Aug 31 0.00
Cedarburg: 6 am-noon Wed Aug 29 0.00
Cedarburg: noon-6 pm Wed Aug 29 0.00
Cedarburg: 6 pm-midn Wed Aug 29 0.00
Cedarburg: midn-6 am Thu Aug 30 0.00
Cedarburg: 6 am-noon Thu Aug 30 0.00
Cedarburg: noon-6 pm Thu Aug 30 0.00
Cedarburg: 6 pm-midn Thu Aug 30 0.00
Cedarburg: midn-6 am Fri Aug 31 0.00
Cedarburg: 6 am-noon Wed Aug 29 0.00
Cedarburg: noon-6 pm Wed Aug 29 0.00
Cedarburg: 6 pm-midn Wed Aug 29 0.00
Cedarburg: midn-6 am Thu Aug 30 0.00
Cedarburg: 6 am-noon Thu Aug 30 0.00
Cedarburg: noon-6 pm Thu Aug 30 0.00
Cedarburg: 6 pm-midn Thu Aug 30 0.00
Cedarburg: midn-6 am Fri Aug 31 0.00
Milford: 6 am-noon Wed Aug 29 0.00
Milford: noon-6 pm Wed Aug 29 0.00
Milford: 6 pm-midn Wed Aug 29 0.00
Milford: midn-6 am Thu Aug 30 0.00
Milford: 6 am-noon Thu Aug 30 0.00
Milford: noon-6 pm Thu Aug 30 0.00
Milford: 6 pm-midn Thu Aug 30 0.00
Milford: midn-6 am Fri Aug 31 0.00
Waupun: 6 am-noon Wed Aug 29 0.00
Waupun: noon-6 pm Wed Aug 29 0.00
Waupun: 6 pm-midn Wed Aug 29 0.00
Waupun: midn-6 am Thu Aug 30 0.00
Waupun: 6 am-noon Thu Aug 30 0.00
Waupun: noon-6 pm Thu Aug 30 0.00
Waupun: 6 pm-midn Thu Aug 30 0.00
Waupun: midn-6 am Fri Aug 31 0.00122
WGUS83 KMKX 300136
FLSMKX
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Milwaukee/Sullivan WI
836 PM CDT Wed Aug 29 2018
...The Flood Warning is cancelled for the following rivers in
Wisconsin...
Cedar Creek At Cedarburg affecting Ozaukee County
...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in
Wisconsin...
Baraboo River At Rock Springs affecting Sauk County
Crawfish River At Milford affecting Jefferson County
Milwaukee River Near Cedarburg affecting Ozaukee County
Wisconsin River At Portage affecting Columbia County
...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in
Wisconsin...
BARABOO RIVER at La Valle affecting Sauk County
Baraboo River At Reedsburg affecting Sauk County
Baraboo River Near Baraboo affecting Sauk County
South Branch Rock River At Waupun affecting Fond du Lac County
&&
WIC111-301336-
/O.CON.KMKX.FL.W.0062.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/LAVW3.3.ER.180828T2247Z.180829T1500Z.000000T0000Z.NR/
836 PM CDT Wed Aug 29 2018
The Flood Warning continues for
The BARABOO RIVER at La Valle.
* At 4:00 PM Wednesday the stage was 25.1 feet.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Record flooding is occurring...No forecast is available.
* Forecasts are not issued for this location. This warning will
remain in effect until the river falls below flood stage.
* Impact...At 23.0 feet...During the major flood of June 2008 with
crest 23.23 FT...much of the community of La Valle was covered with
floodwaters several feet deep.
&&
LAT...LON MISSING
$$
WIC111-301336-
/O.CON.KMKX.FL.W.0065.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/RBGW3.3.ER.180828T2025Z.180829T1300Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
836 PM CDT Wed Aug 29 2018
The Flood Warning continues for
The Baraboo River At Reedsburg.
* At 8:00 AM Wednesday the stage was 18.2 feet.
* Flood stage is 14.0 feet.
* Major flooding is occurring...No forecast is available.
* Forecasts are not issued for this location. This warning will
remain in effect until the river falls below flood stage.
* Impact...At 18.0 feet...Floodwaters affect Granite Avenue and South
Webb Avenue as well as North Webb Avenue by the movie theater.
Floodwaters are onto the concrete deck of the South Webb Avenue
bridge. Water is 1 foot deep in the Public Works Building. South
Park next to the wastewater plant is underwater. Floodwaters are
into the swimming pool control room in Webb Park. Floodwaters are 4
to 4.5 feet deep in the Public Works Yard.
&&
LAT...LON 4354 9011 4358 9004 4355 8996 4352 8991
4348 8998 4352 9006
$$
WIC111-301336-
/O.EXT.KMKX.FL.W.0060.000000T0000Z-180904T2300Z/
/RSPW3.3.ER.180829T1830Z.180831T1800Z.180904T1700Z.NO/
836 PM CDT Wed Aug 29 2018
The Flood Warning continues for
The Baraboo River At Rock Springs.
* At 8:00 PM Wednesday the stage was 21.3 feet.
* Flood stage is 18.5 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Major flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 23.5 feet by
Friday early afternoon. The river will fall below flood stage
Tuesday early afternoon.
* Impact...At 23.0 feet...Floodwaters touch the base of the river
gauge house in Rock Springs. Floodwaters cover much of Highways DD,
154 and 136 in Rock Springs. Busser Park along Highway 136 and the
baseball diamond in Fireman's Park along Highway DD are covered
with water up to 4 feet deep. Floodwaters affect some businesses,
including the Post Office, along Highway 154 in Rock Springs.
&&
LAT...LON 4349 8998 4353 8990 4350 8986 4348 8982
4343 8990 4346 8997
$$
WIC111-301336-
/O.CON.KMKX.FL.W.0061.180830T1200Z-180905T2145Z/
/BABW3.1.ER.180830T1200Z.180902T0600Z.180905T1545Z.NO/
836 PM CDT Wed Aug 29 2018
The Flood Warning continues for
The Baraboo River Near Baraboo.
* At 7:00 PM Wednesday the stage was 14.6 feet.
* Flood stage is 16.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by tomorrow morning and continue
to rise to near 21.0 feet by early Sunday morning. The river will
fall below flood stage by late Wednesday morning.
* Impact...At 20.8 feet...Floodwaters affect a trailer rental
business and a road wayside park about 5 miles downstream near the
Highway 33 bridge. Floodwaters also affect an auto auction business
near Highway I-94. This level is the 20 percent chance flood
meaning that there is a 20 percent chance in any given year of the
river reaching this level.
&&
LAT...LON 4342 8965 4351 8967 4353 8964 4354 8957
4349 8945 4347 8957
$$
WIC039-301336-
/O.CON.KMKX.FL.W.0066.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/WPNW3.1.ER.180828T2127Z.180829T2115Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
836 PM CDT Wed Aug 29 2018
The Flood Warning continues for
The South Branch Rock River At Waupun.
* At 7:00 PM Wednesday the stage was 7.4 feet.
* Flood stage is 6.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring...No forecast is available.
* Forecasts are not issued for this location. This warning will
remain in effect until the river falls below flood stage.
* Impact...At 7.3 feet...Water reaches the support beams underneath
the Fond du Lac St bridge and is closed. Gateway Dr. and County
Park Rd. at the bridge are closed. Floodwaters affect a park, a
picnic area and roadways in the Waupun area.
&&
LAT...LON 4362 8886 4370 8881 4367 8868 4363 8864
4357 8871 4362 8880
$$
WIC089-300206-
/O.CAN.KMKX.FL.W.0063.000000T0000Z-180830T1200Z/
/CDRW3.1.ER.180829T1600Z.180829T1615Z.180829T1615Z.NO/
836 PM CDT Wed Aug 29 2018
The Flood Warning is cancelled for
The Cedar Creek At Cedarburg.
* At 7:00 PM Wednesday the stage was 9.9 feet.
* Flood stage is 10.0 feet.
* Fell below flood stage at 11:15 AM Wednesday.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to 8.8 feet by Friday
morning.
* Impact...At 10.0 feet...Water is into Cedar Creek Park in
Cedarburg.
&&
LAT...LON 4333 8801 4333 8796 4331 8795 4329 8794
4326 8797 4329 8801
$$
WIC055-301336-
/O.EXT.KMKX.FL.W.0064.180831T0300Z-000000T0000Z/
/MILW3.1.ER.180831T0300Z.180904T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
836 PM CDT Wed Aug 29 2018
The Flood Warning continues for
The Crawfish River At Milford.
* At 7:15 PM Wednesday the stage was 6.4 feet.
* Flood stage is 7.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by tomorrow late evening and
continue to rise to near 8.3 feet by Tuesday morning.
* Impact...At 8.2 feet...There is widespread flooding of agricultural
land and lowland. There is widespead flooding in Riverbend
Campground, about 5 miles upstream of Milford. This level is
considered to be about a 20 percent chance flood meaning there is a
20 percent chance in any given year of the river reaching this
level.
&&
LAT...LON 4317 8897 4317 8878 4310 8880 4302 8882
4302 8893 4310 8893
$$
WIC089-301336-
/O.EXT.KMKX.FL.W.0059.000000T0000Z-180902T1600Z/
/CEDW3.1.ER.180827T1502Z.180831T1200Z.180902T1000Z.NO/
836 PM CDT Wed Aug 29 2018
The Flood Warning continues for
The Milwaukee River Near Cedarburg.
* At 7:00 PM Wednesday the stage was 12.1 feet.
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 12.7 feet by
Friday morning. The river will fall below flood stage Sunday
morning.
* Impact...At 13.0 feet...Floodwaters affect Island Drive and
Shoreland Parkway in the Mequon area. Water is over Elm St, Green
Bay Rd, N Cedarburg Rd in Thiensville and into Thiensville village
Park. The following roads and intersections are flooded and closed:
Highway I and Hawthorne Drive in the Town of Saukville, Blueberry
Drive and Hawthorne Drive in the Town of Saukville, Highway I
between Highway 13 and Highway 57 in the Village and Town of
Saukville.
&&
LAT...LON 4333 8798 4331 8792 4327 8794 4323 8793
4323 8805 4330 8803
$$
WIC021-301336-
/O.EXT.KMKX.FL.W.0067.180830T1800Z-180831T2000Z/
/PORW3.1.ER.180830T1800Z.180831T0000Z.180831T1400Z.NO/
836 PM CDT Wed Aug 29 2018
The Flood Warning continues for
The Wisconsin River At Portage.
* At 8:00 PM Wednesday the stage was 16.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 17.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by tomorrow early afternoon and
continue to rise to near 17.3 feet by tomorrow evening. The river
will fall below flood stage by late Friday morning.
* Impact...At 17.0 feet...There is general overflow of the river.
Water is near homes in the Blackhawk Park area of Portage on the
south side of the river along Old River Road. Floodwaters are over
West Lake Road and Blackhawk Road in the Blackhawk Park area.
&&
LAT...LON 4351 8970 4365 8966 4359 8937 4339 8939
4344 8965 4350 8957
$$
&&
River forecasts are available for some but not all river gaging
locations. The 7 day river forecast takes into account past
precipitation, soil moisture conditions, and predicted
precipitation for the basin. Precipitation is for the next 24 hours
in the future from April through September and for 48 hours in the
future from October through March.
(stages in ft.) Bank- Latest Forecast stages
- Flood full observed ...for 6 pm...
Location stage stage stage/time Thu Fri Sat Sun
Baraboo 16.0 14.0 14.61 07 PM 08/29 17.4 19.5 20.8 20.9
Cedarburg 11.0 10.0 12.13 07 PM 08/29 12.4 12.7 11.6 10.0
Cedarburg 10.0 9.0 9.90 07 PM 08/29 9.3 8.2 7.3 6.7
Portage 17.0 12.7 16.05 08 PM 08/29 17.3 16.4 14.2 11.9
Milford 7.0 5.0 6.41 07 PM 08/29 6.9 7.5 7.8 8.1
Rock Springs 18.5 13.5 21.30 08 PM 08/29 23.1 23.5 23.2 22.1
Waupun 6.0 4.0 7.38 07 PM 08/29 Not a forecast pt
La Valle 15.0 12.0 25.10 04 PM 08/29 Not a forecast pt
Reedsburg 14.0 12.0 18.24 08 AM 08/29 Not a forecast pt
- Highest 24 hour change
- observed in river stage
- stage in (ft.) up to Highest stage
- the last latest observed forecast in
- 7 days stage next 7 days
Baraboo 14.92 08 AM 08/29 1.97 21.00 01 AM 09/02
Cedarburg 12.20 02 PM 08/29 0.29 12.70 07 AM 08/31
Portage 16.05 08 PM 08/29 2.42 17.30 07 PM 08/30
Milford 6.41 07 PM 08/29 0.52 8.30 07 AM 09/04
Cedarburg 10.00 11 AM 08/29 0.43 9.80 01 AM 08/30
Rock Springs 21.30 08 PM 08/29 6.95 23.50 01 PM 08/31
Waupun 7.43 04 PM 08/29 0.76 ..Not available..
La Valle 25.20 10 AM 08/29 M ..Not available..
Reedsburg 18.24 08 AM 08/29 5.17 ..Not available..
Below is predicted precipitation information in 6 hour increments
for the listed sites. This information is updated twice daily-morning
and evening. Precipitation prediction is for 48 hours into the future
from October through March and for 24 hours into the future from
April through September.
Reedsburg: 6 pm-midn Wed Aug 29 0.00
Reedsburg: midn-6 am Thu Aug 30 0.00
Reedsburg: 6 am-noon Thu Aug 30 0.00
Reedsburg: noon-6 pm Thu Aug 30 0.00
Reedsburg: 6 pm-midn Thu Aug 30 0.00
Reedsburg: midn-6 am Fri Aug 31 0.00
Reedsburg: 6 am-noon Fri Aug 31 0.00
Reedsburg: noon-6 pm Fri Aug 31 0.00
Baraboo: 6 pm-midn Wed Aug 29 0.00
Baraboo: midn-6 am Thu Aug 30 0.00
Baraboo: 6 am-noon Thu Aug 30 0.00
Baraboo: noon-6 pm Thu Aug 30 0.00
Baraboo: 6 pm-midn Thu Aug 30 0.00
Baraboo: midn-6 am Fri Aug 31 0.00
Baraboo: 6 am-noon Fri Aug 31 0.00
Baraboo: noon-6 pm Fri Aug 31 0.00
Cedarburg: 6 pm-midn Wed Aug 29 0.00
Cedarburg: midn-6 am Thu Aug 30 0.00
Cedarburg: 6 am-noon Thu Aug 30 0.00
Cedarburg: noon-6 pm Thu Aug 30 0.00
Cedarburg: 6 pm-midn Thu Aug 30 0.00
Cedarburg: midn-6 am Fri Aug 31 0.00
Cedarburg: 6 am-noon Fri Aug 31 0.00
Cedarburg: noon-6 pm Fri Aug 31 0.00
Portage: 6 pm-midn Wed Aug 29 0.00
Portage: midn-6 am Thu Aug 30 0.00
Portage: 6 am-noon Thu Aug 30 0.00
Portage: noon-6 pm Thu Aug 30 0.00
Portage: 6 pm-midn Thu Aug 30 0.00
Portage: midn-6 am Fri Aug 31 0.00
Portage: 6 am-noon Fri Aug 31 0.00
Portage: noon-6 pm Fri Aug 31 0.00
Rock Springs: 6 pm-midn Wed Aug 29 0.00
Rock Springs: midn-6 am Thu Aug 30 0.00
Rock Springs: 6 am-noon Thu Aug 30 0.00
Rock Springs: noon-6 pm Thu Aug 30 0.00
Rock Springs: 6 pm-midn Thu Aug 30 0.00
Rock Springs: midn-6 am Fri Aug 31 0.00
Rock Springs: 6 am-noon Fri Aug 31 0.00
Rock Springs: noon-6 pm Fri Aug 31 0.00
Cedarburg: 6 pm-midn Wed Aug 29 0.00
Cedarburg: midn-6 am Thu Aug 30 0.00
Cedarburg: 6 am-noon Thu Aug 30 0.00
Cedarburg: noon-6 pm Thu Aug 30 0.00
Cedarburg: 6 pm-midn Thu Aug 30 0.00
Cedarburg: midn-6 am Fri Aug 31 0.00
Cedarburg: 6 am-noon Fri Aug 31 0.00
Cedarburg: noon-6 pm Fri Aug 31 0.00
Milford: 6 pm-midn Wed Aug 29 0.00
Milford: midn-6 am Thu Aug 30 0.00
Milford: 6 am-noon Thu Aug 30 0.00
Milford: noon-6 pm Thu Aug 30 0.00
Milford: 6 pm-midn Thu Aug 30 0.00
Milford: midn-6 am Fri Aug 31 0.00
Milford: 6 am-noon Fri Aug 31 0.00
Milford: noon-6 pm Fri Aug 31 0.00
Waupun: 6 pm-midn Wed Aug 29 0.00
Waupun: midn-6 am Thu Aug 30 0.00
Waupun: 6 am-noon Thu Aug 30 0.00
Waupun: noon-6 pm Thu Aug 30 0.00
Waupun: 6 pm-midn Thu Aug 30 0.00
Waupun: midn-6 am Fri Aug 31 0.00
Waupun: 6 am-noon Fri Aug 31 0.00
Waupun: noon-6 pm Fri Aug 31 0.00
La Valle: 6 pm-midn Wed Aug 29 0.00
La Valle: midn-6 am Thu Aug 30 0.00
La Valle: 6 am-noon Thu Aug 30 0.00
La Valle: noon-6 pm Thu Aug 30 0.00
La Valle: 6 pm-midn Thu Aug 30 0.00
La Valle: midn-6 am Fri Aug 31 0.00
La Valle: 6 am-noon Fri Aug 31 0.00
La Valle: noon-6 pm Fri Aug 31 0.00What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this river flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Milwaukee, WI wrote its last area forecast discussion before this river flood warning went out at Aug 28, 6:14 PM CDT, 41 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Aug 28, 6:14 PM CDT, 41 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Milwaukee/Sullivan WI
614 PM CDT Tue Aug 28 2018
.UPDATE...Will keep a close eye on Iowa convection as it heads
ENE towards northern IL. Still some shra/tsra moving through our
area but of the weaker variety relative to the earlier severe storms.
Our southern areas are still closer to some better air even
though many areas in the far south worked over by some light rain.
Flash Flood Watch still looks good for now given the remaining
high precipitable water values however the northwest counties may
be able to be cleared a little later.
PC
&&
.AVIATION(00Z TAFS)...Weak low across the area with many boundaries
making for a variable wind regime. Would expect to see some
MVFR/IFR cigs to redevelop ahead of the main cold frontal push
then during the day on Wednesday we should see an upward
transition in ceilings. Convective trends will be the main focus
with still potential for a few rounds of shra/tsra into the late
night hours, with the precip hanging on longest in the southeast
corner.
PC
&&
.PREV DISCUSSION... (Issued 319 PM CDT Tue Aug 28 2018)
SHORT TERM...
So while we still might get a few showers and thunderstorms across
south central WI this afternoon, the stronger storms are going to
develop just ahead of the surface front, roughly from La Crosse to
northeast WI near Menominee. This is associated with the currently
strong southwesterly flow aloft and steeper mid level lapse rates.
This convection is expected to organize into a broken line by late
afternoon and slide east, possibly clipping the MKX forecast area
(Marquette to Sheboygan County). The strongest forcing will
gradually slide southeast into the MKX forecast area late this
afternoon so either the central WI line will slide south or we
will see additional scattered thunderstorms develop (per the
latest HRRR). We will continue to see rounds of thunderstorms
until just after midnight until the 850mb front gets through
southeast WI.
With the strong instability and shear over southern WI today,
large hail and damaging winds are threats. Tornadoes that develop
along the leading edge of bowing line segments are possible given
strong 0-3km bulk shear. The storm motion will be east-northeast
which is almost parallel to the front, thus the heavy rain and
flash flood threat due to likelihood of training thunderstorms. A
severe thunderstorm watch was just issued.
LONG TERM...
Wednesday and Thursday... Forecast confidence is High.
Low clouds and maybe some drizzle will linger across southeast WI
Wed morning until the upper trough can swing through. Highs will
only be around 70 with lower humidity and dewpoints.
High pressure and clear skies with plenty of lingering moisture is
a good setup for dense fog Wednesday night. Lows will be in the
lower 50s.
Thursday will be quiet. Return flow around the high will warm our
temps into the lower/mid 70s.
Labor Day Weekend... Forecast confidence is Medium.
A weak upper wave will slide northeast Thu nt into Friday. As it
approaches WI, expect scattered showers and thunderstorms on
Friday and/or Friday night into Saturday morning. Models are
showing a weakening trend to the forcing/showers for Friday.
Precip may linger into Saturday afternoon, but Saturday night
looks quiet. Sunday weather is looking quiet with warming temps.
Thunderstorms might be possible Sunday evening with a weak
disturbance.
Thunderstorm chances return Monday, but the synoptic setup and
reasons for storms are varied between the models, thus there is
still uncertainty.
Tuesday... Forecast confidence is Low.
The middle of next week looks unsettled with periods of
thunderstorms.
AVIATION(21Z TAFS)...
MVFR ceilings will persist through late afternoon. We should see
some improvement in ceilings, but there will still be a few MVFR
cloud bases around given our very moist environment. Thunderstorms
are developing. They may be severe with wind and hail and will
also have high rainfall rates. A tornado is possible.
Thunder should taper off after midnight, but showers and isolated
thunderstorms may linger until after sunrise Wed morning. MVFR
ceilings behind the storms overnight into Wed morning will
gradually rise to VFR by early afternoon.
MARINE...
The small craft advisory continues through 7 pm and may need to be
extended. Severe thunderstorms are possible this evening with
winds and hail and even waterspouts.
&&
.MKX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
WI...Flash Flood Watch through Wednesday morning for WIZ046-047-051-
052-056>060-062>068.
LM...Small Craft Advisory until 7 PM CDT this evening for LMZ643>646.
&&
Tonight/Wednesday and Aviation/Marine...Cronce
Wednesday Night through Tuesday...CronceHazardous weather outlook, Aug 28, 3:25 PM CDT, 3 hours 30 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service Milwaukee/Sullivan WI 325 PM CDT Tue Aug 28 2018 WIZ046-047-051-052-056>060-062>072-291100- Marquette-Green Lake-Fond Du Lac-Sheboygan-Sauk-Columbia-Dodge- Washington-Ozaukee-Iowa-Dane-Jefferson-Waukesha-Milwaukee- Lafayette-Green-Rock-Walworth-Racine-Kenosha- 325 PM CDT Tue Aug 28 2018 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of east central Wisconsin, south central Wisconsin and southeast Wisconsin. .DAY ONE...Tonight There is a threat for severe thunderstorms this afternoon and evening and heavy rainfall through the overnight hours. The periods of heavy rain will result in a risk for flooding, especially for areas that have seen very heavy rain over the last week or so. A Flash Flood Watch is in effect for parts of the region into early Wednesday morning. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Tuesday There are chances for thunderstorms late Thursday night through Saturday and again Sunday night through Monday. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is needed through this evening. LMZ643>646-291100- Sheboygan to Port Washington WI- Port Washington to North Point Light WI- North Point Light to Wind Point WI- Wind Point WI to Winthrop Harbor IL- 325 PM CDT Tue Aug 28 2018 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of Lake Michigan. .DAY ONE...Tonight A Small Craft Advisory remains in effect into this evening for gusty south to southwest winds. Severe thunderstorms are possible this evening. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Tuesday A chance for thunderstorms will return for Friday night and Saturday, and then again Sunday night through Monday. Cronce www.weather.gov/mkx
In the hours before
Local storm report, Aug 28, 5:30 PM CDT, 1 hour 25 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI
530 PM CDT TUE AUG 28 2018
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0515 PM HEAVY RAIN SHEBOYGAN FALLS 43.73N 87.82W
08/28/2018 E5.50 INCH SHEBOYGAN WI PUBLIC
STORM TOTAL SO FAR. REPORTED VIA SOCIAL
MEDIA.
&&
MRCLocal storm report, Aug 28, 5:33 PM CDT, 1 hour 22 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI
533 PM CDT TUE AUG 28 2018
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0501 PM TSTM WND DMG 1 N WEST BEND 43.44N 88.18W
08/28/2018 WASHINGTON WI TRAINED SPOTTER
LARGE TREE DOWN, ABOUT 1.5 TO 2 FEET IN
DIAMETER. ALMOST COMPLETELY BLOCKING BARTON
AVENUE AT RIVER ROAD. RELAYED VIA SOCIAL
MEDIA.
&&
WOODLocal storm report, Aug 28, 5:44 PM CDT, 1 hour 11 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI
544 PM CDT TUE AUG 28 2018
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0511 PM FLASH FLOOD REEDSBURG 43.53N 90.00W
08/28/2018 SAUK WI 911 CALL CENTER
MULTIPLE REPORTS OF FLOODING PROBLEMS IN
REEDSBURG AND LA VALLE. NO FURTHER DETAILS
PROVIDED.
&&
MRCLocal storm report, Aug 28, 5:56 PM CDT, 59 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI
556 PM CDT TUE AUG 28 2018
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0416 PM TSTM WND DMG LOMIRA 43.59N 88.45W
08/28/2018 DODGE WI PUBLIC
MULTIPLE REPORTS OF LARGE TREES DOWN AND
SOME UPROOTED IN LOMIRA.
&&
WOODLocal storm report, Aug 28, 6:18 PM CDT, 37 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI
618 PM CDT TUE AUG 28 2018
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0453 PM TSTM WND DMG OOSTBURG 43.62N 87.80W
08/28/2018 SHEBOYGAN WI BROADCAST MEDIA
LARGE HEALTHY TREE SNAPPED AT BASE. ANOTHER
15 INCH DIAMETER BRANCH FELL ON HOUSE
CAUSING DAMAGE NEAR SAUK TRAIL AND VAN ESS
ROAD. TIME ESTIMATED FROM RADAR.
&&
WOODLocal storm report, Aug 28, 6:47 PM CDT, 8 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI
647 PM CDT TUE AUG 28 2018
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0501 PM MARINE TSTM WIND 1 NE SHEBOYGAN 43.76N 87.69W
08/28/2018 M58 MPH LMZ643 WI C-MAN STATION
SHEBOYGAN C-MAN MEASURED PEAK WIND GUST.
&&
MRCThe office that day
Everything else NWS Milwaukee, WI issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 27, 9:12 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MKX | Green Lake, Marquette | 48 min |
| Aug 27, 10:43 PM CDT | Special Marine Warning | MKX | 92 min | |
| Aug 27, 10:47 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MKX | Sauk | 43 min |
| Aug 27, 11:22 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | MKX | Sauk | 23 min |
| Aug 27, 11:36 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | MKX | Columbia, Marquette, Sauk | 24 min |
| Aug 27, 11:51 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | MKX | Columbia, Sauk | 3 hr |
| Aug 27, 11:55 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | MKX | Green Lake, Marquette | 6 hr |
| Aug 27, 11:57 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | MKX | Columbia, Green Lake, Marquette | 33 min |
| Aug 28, 12:00 AM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | MKX | Fond du Lac, Sheboygan | 6 hr |
| Aug 28, 12:51 AM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | MKX | Fond du Lac, Sheboygan | 6 hr |
| Aug 28, 1:45 AM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | MKX | Dodge, Ozaukee, Washington | 3 hr |
| Aug 28, 2:43 AM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | MKX | Columbia, Sauk | 3 hr |
| Aug 28, 5:45 AM CDT | Areal Flood Warning | MKX | Columbia, Sauk | 6 hr |
| Aug 28, 5:53 AM CDT | Areal Flood Warning | MKX | Green Lake, Marquette | 6 hr |
| Aug 28, 11:33 AM CDT | River Flood Watch | MKX | Ozaukee | 7 hr |
| Aug 28, 12:11 PM CDT | River Flood Warning | MKX | Sauk | 13 days |
| Aug 28, 12:11 PM CDT | River Flood Warning | MKX | Sauk | 16 days |
| Aug 28, 2:29 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MKX | Columbia, Marquette, Sauk | 46 min |
| Aug 28, 2:46 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | MKX | Marquette | 44 min |
| Aug 28, 3:01 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | MKX | Columbia, Green Lake, Marquette, Sauk | 10 hr |
| Aug 28, 3:06 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MKX | Columbia, Green Lake, Marquette | 39 min |
| Aug 28, 3:12 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | MKX | Green Lake, Marquette | 33 min |
| Aug 28, 3:35 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MKX | Columbia, Dodge, Fond du Lac, Green Lake | 55 min |
| Aug 28, 3:38 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | MKX | Fond du Lac, Green Lake | 37 min |
| Aug 28, 3:44 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MKX | Columbia, Dodge | 33 min |
| Aug 28, 3:59 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | MKX | Dodge, Fond du Lac | 31 min |
| Aug 28, 4:10 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | MKX | Dodge, Fond du Lac | 35 min |
| Aug 28, 4:13 PM CDT | Special Marine Warning | MKX | 92 min | |
| Aug 28, 4:15 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MKX | Dodge, Fond du Lac, Ozaukee, Sheboygan, Washington | 60 min |
| Aug 28, 4:21 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | MKX | Fond du Lac, Sheboygan | 9 hr |
| Aug 28, 4:26 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | MKX | Fond du Lac, Sheboygan | 34 min |
| Aug 28, 4:38 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | MKX | Ozaukee, Washington | 7 hr |
| Aug 28, 4:41 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MKX | Dodge, Milwaukee, Ozaukee, Washington, Waukesha | 27 min |
| Aug 28, 6:55 PM CDT | River Flood Warning | MKX | Sauk | 63 hr |
| Aug 28, 6:55 PM CDT | River Flood Warning | MKX | Jefferson | 20 days |
Nearby
River Flood Warnings in Wisconsin, 2018Every river flood warning in 2018
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive; the gauge from the NWS water service and the USGS.