Alert archive / Missouri / River Flood Warnings in 2018

River Flood Warning 82, NWS St. Louis, MO

September 6, 2018Jefferson County, Saint Louis County, Missouri

NWS St. Louis, MO issued this river flood warning at Sep 6, 2018, 11:27 AM CDT for Jefferson County, Saint Louis County, Missouri. It took effect at Sep 9, 2018, 5:30 PM CDT. It was in force for 3 days.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Sep 6, 2018, 11:27 AM CDT (16:27 UTC)
In effect from
Sep 9, 2018, 5:30 PM CDT
Expired
Sep 12, 2018, 8:39 PM CDT
In force
3 days
Issued by
NWS St. Louis, MO
Area
Storm-based polygon
Flood severity
Minor

Counties Jefferson County, MO, Saint Louis County, MO

The radar

The St Louis radar (KLSX), 36 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 16:29 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The river

Written for the forecast point Meramec River at Arnold (ARNM7). The gauge peaked at 24.69 ft at Sep 10, 2018, 10:00 PM CDT.

actionminormoderate203009/0609/0709/0809/0909/1009/1109/1209/1309/14
Action stage
22 ft
Minor stage
24 ft
Moderate stage
35 ft
Major stage
38 ft

This gauge today: stage, forecast and historic crests

Stage from the USGS instantaneous record for site 07019300, one reading an hour, from a day before the product to a day after it ended. Flood stages are today's.

The text

As transmitted.

792 
WGUS43 KLSX 061627
FLWLSX
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Flood Warning
National Weather Service St Louis MO
1127 AM CDT Thu Sep 6 2018

...The National Weather Service in St. Louis has issued a flood 
warning for the following rivers in Missouri... 

  Meramec River near Arnold

.This Flood Warning is a result of backwater from the
Mississippi River and 3 to 5 inches of precipitation 
forecast in the next 72 hours...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Rainfall heavier than forecast could cause river levels to rise even 
higher than predicted.  The National Weather Service will monitor 
this developing situation and issue follow up statements as 
conditions or forecasts change.

Safety message:  Never drive cars, trucks, or sport utility vehicles 
through flooded areas.  The water may be too deep to allow for safe 
passage.

This product, along with additional weather and stream information, 
is available at http://water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=lsx.

&&

MOC099-189-071626-
/O.NEW.KLSX.FL.W.0082.180909T2230Z-000000T0000Z/
/ARNM7.1.ER.180909T2230Z.180912T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1127 AM CDT Thu Sep 6 2018

The National Weather Service in St. Louis has issued a 

* Flood Warning for 
  the Meramec River near Arnold
* from Sunday afternoon until further notice.
* At 11:00 AM Thursday the stage was 14.1 feet.
* Flood stage is 24.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* The river is forecast to rise above flood stage by Sunday afternoon
  and continue to crest near 30.8 feet by Wednesday morning.
* Impact:  At 30.0 feet...Wells Road below Suson Woods begins flooding
  at this height.
* Impact:  At 27.0 feet...Meramec Bottom Road between Wells Road and 
  Kerth Road begins flooding near this height.
* Impact:  At 26.0 feet...House at the end of Kasebaum Lane is 
  surrounded by water just west of Lemay Ferry Road bridge.  Also, 
  Hawkins Road south of Meramec Bottom Road is closed near this 
  height.
* Impact:  At 25.1 feet...St. Louis County closes the following roads 
  at this height:  Butler Hill west of Summerhedge Place, Meramec 
  Bottom Road between Hageman Road and Highway 21, Hawkins Road south
  of Meramec Bottom Road, and Old Telegraph Road at Earl Widman 
  County Park.
* Impact:  At 24.7 feet...Hawkins Road south of Meramec Bottom Road 
  begins flooding.
* Impact:  At 24.0 feet...Corisande Hills Road begins flooding at this
  height.  Meramec Bottom Road between Hageman Road and Highway 21 
  begins flooding.
* Impact:  At 23.5 feet...The boat ramps and fishing banks at Arnold 
  City Park and at the Flamm City Access on the west bank near the 
  Telegraph Road bridge are flooded.
* Impact:  At 23.0 feet...Old Telegraph Road at Earl Widman County 
  Park and Butler Hill Road West beyond Summerhedge Place begin 
  flooding.  Heintz Road between Telegraph and Erb also floods near 
  this height.

&&
                   Fld   Latest              7 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION           Stg  Obs Stg     09/07  09/08  09/09  09/10  09/11

Meramec River
  Arnold          24.0   14.11      15.9   18.8   22.8   26.1   29.7


&&


LAT...LON 3851 9043 3851 9039 3845 9032 3841 9034
     3845 9043                        



$$
13 follow-up statements
189 
WGUS83 KLSX 070230
FLSLSX
Flood Statement
National Weather Service St Louis MO
930 PM CDT Thu Sep 6 2018

...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in 
Missouri...
 
  Meramec River near Arnold

.This Flood Warning is a result of heavy rain upstream and expected heavy rain over the next 3 days...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Rainfall heavier than forecast could cause river levels to rise even 
higher than predicted.  The National Weather Service will monitor 
this developing situation and issue follow up statements as 
conditions or forecasts change.

Safety message:  Never drive cars, trucks, or sport utility vehicles 
through flooded areas.  The water may be too deep to allow for safe 
passage.

This product, along with additional weather and stream information, 
is available at http://water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=lsx.

&&

MOC099-189-080229-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0082.180910T0200Z-000000T0000Z/
/ARNM7.1.ER.180910T0200Z.180912T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
930 PM CDT Thu Sep 6 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Meramec River near Arnold
* from Sunday evening until further notice.
* At  9:00 PM Thursday the stage was 14.6 feet.
* Flood stage is 24.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* The river is forecast to rise above flood stage by Sunday before 
  midnight and crest near 30.5 feet by Wednesday early afternoon.
* Impact:  At 30.0 feet...Wells Road below Suson Woods begins flooding
  at this height.


&&
                   Fld   Latest              7 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION           Stg  Obs Stg     09/07  09/08  09/09  09/10  09/11

Meramec River
  Arnold          24.0   14.62      15.7   18.6   22.3   25.5   29.0


&&


LAT...LON 3851 9043 3851 9039 3845 9032 3841 9034
     3845 9043                        



$$
662 
WGUS83 KLSX 071644
FLSLSX
Flood Statement
National Weather Service St Louis MO
1144 AM CDT Fri Sep 7 2018

...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in 
Missouri...
 
  Meramec River near Arnold

.This Flood Warning is a result of less than 0.10 inches of rain the 
past 48 hours and 3.5 inches forecast in the next 48 hours...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Rainfall heavier than forecast could cause river levels to rise even 
higher than predicted.  The National Weather Service will monitor 
this developing situation and issue follow up statements as 
conditions or forecasts change.

Safety message:  Never drive cars, trucks, or sport utility vehicles 
through flooded areas.  The water may be too deep to allow for safe 
passage.

This product, along with additional weather and stream information, 
is available at http://water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=lsx.

&&

MOC099-189-081643-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0082.180910T0417Z-000000T0000Z/
/ARNM7.1.ER.180910T0417Z.180912T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1144 AM CDT Fri Sep 7 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Meramec River near Arnold
* from Sunday evening until further notice.
* At 11:00 AM Friday the stage was 16.5 feet.
* Flood stage is 24.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* The river is forecast to rise above flood stage by Sunday before 
  midnight and crest near 28.0 feet by early Wednesday morning.
* Impact:  At 25.1 feet...St. Louis County closes the following roads 
  at this height:  Butler Hill west of Summerhedge Place, Meramec 
  Bottom Road between Hageman Road and Highway 21, Hawkins Road south
  of Meramec Bottom Road, and Old Telegraph Road at Earl Widman 
  County Park.
* Impact:  At 24.0 feet...Corisande Hills Road begins flooding at this
  height.  Meramec Bottom Road between Hageman Road and Highway 21 
  begins flooding.

&&
                   Fld   Latest              7 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION           Stg  Obs Stg     09/08  09/09  09/10  09/11  09/12

Meramec River
  Arnold          24.0   16.47      18.9   22.1   25.0   27.5   28.0

&&

LAT...LON 3851 9043 3851 9039 3845 9032 3841 9034
     3845 9043                        



$$
803 
WGUS83 KLSX 080050
FLSLSX
Flood Statement
National Weather Service St Louis MO
750 PM CDT Fri Sep 7 2018

...The flood warning continues for the following river in 
Missouri...
 
  Meramec River near Arnold

.This Flood Warning is a result of around 2 inches of precipitation the 
past 24 hours and 2 to 3 inches forecast in the next 24 hours...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Rainfall heavier than forecast could cause river levels to rise even 
higher than predicted.  The National Weather Service will monitor 
this developing situation and issue follow up statements as 
conditions or forecasts change.

Safety message:  Never drive cars, trucks, or sport utility vehicles 
through flooded areas.  The water may be too deep to allow for safe 
passage.

This product, along with additional weather and stream information, 
is available at http://water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=lsx.

&&

MOC099-189-090049-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0082.180909T2300Z-000000T0000Z/
/ARNM7.1.ER.180909T2300Z.180912T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
750 PM CDT Fri Sep 7 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Meramec River near Arnold
* from Sunday evening until further notice.
* At  7:30 PM Friday the stage was 18.1 feet.
* Flood stage is 24.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* The river is forecast to rise above flood stage Sunday evening 
  and crest near 28.1 feet Wednesday morning.
* Impact:  At 27.0 feet...Meramec Bottom Road between Wells Road and 
  Kerth Road begins flooding near this height.
* Impact:  At 26.0 feet...House at the end of Kasebaum Lane is 
  surrounded by water just west of Lemay Ferry Road bridge.  Also, 
  Hawkins Road south of Meramec Bottom Road is closed near this 
  height.
* Impact:  At 25.1 feet...St. Louis County closes the following roads 
  at this height:  Butler Hill west of Summerhedge Place, Meramec 
  Bottom Road between Hageman Road and Highway 21, Hawkins Road south
  of Meramec Bottom Road, and Old Telegraph Road at Earl Widman 
  County Park.
* Impact:  At 24.7 feet...Hawkins Road south of Meramec Bottom Road 
  begins flooding.
* Impact:  At 24.0 feet...Corisande Hills Road begins flooding at this
  height.  Meramec Bottom Road between Hageman Road and Highway 21 
  begins flooding.


&&
                   Fld   Latest              7 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION           Stg  Obs Stg     09/08  09/09  09/10  09/11  09/12

Meramec River
  Arnold          24.0   18.11      19.7   22.8   25.4   27.5   28.1


&&


LAT...LON 3851 9043 3851 9039 3845 9032 3841 9034
     3845 9043                        



$$
995 
WGUS83 KLSX 081720
FLSLSX
Flood Statement
National Weather Service St Louis MO
1220 PM CDT Sat Sep 8 2018

...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in 
Missouri...
 
  Meramec River near Arnold

.This Flood Warning is a result of up to 5 inches of rainfall the 
past 24 hours and up to a half inch forecast in the next 24 hours...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Rainfall heavier than forecast could cause river levels to rise even 
higher than predicted.  The National Weather Service will monitor 
this developing situation and issue follow up statements as 
conditions or forecasts change.

Safety message:  Never drive cars, trucks, or sport utility vehicles 
through flooded areas.  The water may be too deep to allow for safe 
passage.

This product, along with additional weather and stream information, 
is available at http://water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=lsx.

&&

MOC099-189-091719-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0082.180909T1300Z-000000T0000Z/
/ARNM7.1.ER.180909T1300Z.180911T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1220 PM CDT Sat Sep 8 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Meramec River near Arnold
* from Sunday morning until further notice.
* At 12:00 PM Saturday the stage was 21.7 feet.
* Flood stage is 24.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* The river is forecast to rise above flood stage by tomorrow morning
  and crest near 27.7 feet by Tuesday morning.
* Impact:  At 27.0 feet...Meramec Bottom Road between Wells Road and 
  Kerth Road begins flooding near this height.
* Impact:  At 25.1 feet...St. Louis County closes the following roads 
  at this height:  Butler Hill west of Summerhedge Place, Meramec 
  Bottom Road between Hageman Road and Highway 21, Hawkins Road south
  of Meramec Bottom Road, and Old Telegraph Road at Earl Widman 
  County Park.
* Impact:  At 24.0 feet...Corisande Hills Road begins flooding at this
  height.  Meramec Bottom Road between Hageman Road and Highway 21 
  begins flooding.

&&
                   Fld   Latest              7 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION           Stg  Obs Stg     09/09  09/10  09/11  09/12  09/13

Meramec River
  Arnold          24.0   21.74      23.9   26.4   27.7   27.5   26.6


&&


LAT...LON 3851 9043 3851 9039 3845 9032 3841 9034
     3845 9043                        



$$
336 
WGUS83 KLSX 090134
FLSLSX
Flood Statement
National Weather Service St Louis MO
834 PM CDT Sat Sep 8 2018

...The flood warning continues for the following river in 
Missouri...
 
  Meramec River near Arnold

.This Flood Warning is a result of up to 6 inches of precipitation the 
past 24 hours...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Rainfall heavier than forecast could cause river levels to rise even 
higher than predicted.  The National Weather Service will monitor 
this developing situation and issue follow up statements as 
conditions or forecasts change.

Safety message:  Never drive cars, trucks, or sport utility vehicles 
through flooded areas.  The water may be too deep to allow for safe 
passage.

This product, along with additional weather and stream information, 
is available at http://water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=lsx.

&&

MOC099-189-100133-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0082.180909T1942Z-000000T0000Z/
/ARNM7.1.ER.180909T1942Z.180912T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
834 PM CDT Sat Sep 8 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Meramec River near Arnold
* from Sunday afternoon until further notice.
* At  8:00 PM Saturday the stage was 22.4 feet.
* Flood stage is 24.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* The river is forecast to rise above flood stage Sunday afternoon and 
  crest near 27.4 feet Tuesday evening.
* Impact:  At 27.0 feet...Meramec Bottom Road between Wells Road and 
  Kerth Road begins flooding near this height.
* Impact:  At 26.0 feet...House at the end of Kasebaum Lane is 
  surrounded by water just west of Lemay Ferry Road bridge.  Also, 
  Hawkins Road south of Meramec Bottom Road is closed near this 
  height.
* Impact:  At 25.1 feet...St. Louis County closes the following roads 
  at this height:  Butler Hill west of Summerhedge Place, Meramec 
  Bottom Road between Hageman Road and Highway 21, Hawkins Road south
  of Meramec Bottom Road, and Old Telegraph Road at Earl Widman 
  County Park.
* Impact:  At 24.7 feet...Hawkins Road south of Meramec Bottom Road 
  begins flooding.
* Impact:  At 24.0 feet...Corisande Hills Road begins flooding at this
  height.  Meramec Bottom Road between Hageman Road and Highway 21 
  begins flooding.

&&
                   Fld   Latest              7 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION           Stg  Obs Stg     09/09  09/10  09/11  09/12  09/13

Meramec River
  Arnold          24.0   22.40      23.3   25.7   27.2   27.3   26.4


&&


LAT...LON 3851 9043 3851 9039 3845 9032 3841 9034
     3845 9043                        



$$
776 
WGUS83 KLSX 091540
FLSLSX
Flood Statement
National Weather Service St Louis MO
1040 AM CDT Sun Sep 9 2018

...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in 
Missouri...
 
  Meramec River near Arnold

.This Flood Warning is a result heavy rain the past 72 hours and 
backwater effects from the Mississippi River...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

The National Weather Service will monitor 
this developing situation and issue follow up statements as 
conditions or forecasts change.

Safety message:  Never drive cars, trucks, or sport utility vehicles 
through flooded areas.  The water may be too deep to allow for safe 
passage.

This product, along with additional weather and stream information, 
is available at http://water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=lsx.

&&

MOC099-189-101539-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0082.180910T0234Z-180915T1800Z/
/ARNM7.1.ER.180910T0234Z.180911T1800Z.180914T1800Z.NO/
1040 AM CDT Sun Sep 9 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Meramec River near Arnold
* from this evening to Saturday afternoon.
* At 10:00 AM Sunday the stage was 23.1 feet.
* Flood stage is 24.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* The river is forecast to rise above flood stage by tonight and to 
  crest near 26.6 feet by Tuesday early afternoon. The river is 
  forecast to fall below flood stage by Friday early afternoon.
* Impact:  At 26.0 feet...House at the end of Kasebaum Lane is 
  surrounded by water just west of Lemay Ferry Road bridge.  Also, 
  Hawkins Road south of Meramec Bottom Road is closed near this 
  height.
* Impact:  At 25.1 feet...St. Louis County closes the following roads 
  at this height:  Butler Hill west of Summerhedge Place, Meramec 
  Bottom Road between Hageman Road and Highway 21, Hawkins Road south
  of Meramec Bottom Road, and Old Telegraph Road at Earl Widman 
  County Park.
* Impact:  At 24.7 feet...Hawkins Road south of Meramec Bottom Road 
  begins flooding.
* Impact:  At 24.0 feet...Corisande Hills Road begins flooding at this
  height.  Meramec Bottom Road between Hageman Road and Highway 21 
  begins flooding.
* Impact:  At 23.5 feet...The boat ramps and fishing banks at Arnold 
  City Park and at the Flamm City Access on the west bank near the 
  Telegraph Road bridge are flooded.

&&
                   Fld   Latest              7 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION           Stg  Obs Stg     09/10  09/11  09/12  09/13  09/14

Meramec River
  Arnold          24.0   23.07      25.0   26.5   26.4   25.5   24.3


&&


LAT...LON 3851 9043 3851 9039 3845 9032 3841 9034
     3845 9043                        



$$
504 
WGUS83 KLSX 100123
FLSLSX
Flood Statement
National Weather Service St Louis MO
823 PM CDT Sun Sep 9 2018

...The flood warning continues for the following river in 
Missouri...
 
  Meramec River near Arnold

.This Flood Warning is a result of heavy rain the past 72 hours and 
backwater effects from the Mississippi River...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

The National Weather Service will monitor this developing situation 
and issue follow up statements as conditions or forecasts change.

Safety message:  Never drive cars, trucks, or sport utility vehicles 
through flooded areas.  The water may be too deep to allow for safe 
passage.

This product, along with additional weather and stream information, 
is available at http://water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=lsx.

&&

MOC099-189-110123-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0082.180910T0221Z-180915T1800Z/
/ARNM7.1.ER.180910T0221Z.180911T1200Z.180914T1800Z.NO/
823 PM CDT Sun Sep 9 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Meramec River near Arnold
* until Saturday afternoon.
* At  8:00 PM Sunday the stage was 23.9 feet.
* Flood stage is 24.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* The river is forecast to rise above flood stage by Midnight tonight 
  and crest near 25.9 feet Tuesday morning. The river is forecast to 
  fall below flood stage Friday afternoon.
* Impact:  At 26.0 feet...House at the end of Kasebaum Lane is 
  surrounded by water just west of Lemay Ferry Road bridge.  Also, 
  Hawkins Road south of Meramec Bottom Road is closed near this 
  height.
* Impact:  At 25.1 feet...St. Louis County closes the following roads 
  at this height:  Butler Hill west of Summerhedge Place, Meramec 
  Bottom Road between Hageman Road and Highway 21, Hawkins Road south
  of Meramec Bottom Road, and Old Telegraph Road at Earl Widman 
  County Park.
* Impact:  At 24.7 feet...Hawkins Road south of Meramec Bottom Road 
  begins flooding.
* Impact:  At 24.0 feet...Corisande Hills Road begins flooding at this
  height.  Meramec Bottom Road between Hageman Road and Highway 21 
  begins flooding.

&&
                   Fld   Latest              7 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION           Stg  Obs Stg     09/10  09/11  09/12  09/13  09/14

Meramec River
  Arnold          24.0   23.85      24.9   25.9   25.8   25.3   24.3


&&


LAT...LON 3851 9043 3851 9039 3845 9032 3841 9034
     3845 9043                        



$$
539 
WGUS83 KLSX 101529
FLSLSX
Flood Statement
National Weather Service St Louis MO
1029 AM CDT Mon Sep 10 2018

...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in 
Missouri...
 
  Meramec River near Arnold

.This Flood Warning is a result of heavy rain the past 72 hours 
and backwater effects from the Mississippi River...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Safety message:  Never drive cars, trucks, or sport utility vehicles 
through flooded areas.  The water may be too deep to allow for safe 
passage.

This product, along with additional weather and stream information, 
is available at http://water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=lsx.

&&

MOC099-189-111529-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0082.000000T0000Z-180914T2000Z/
/ARNM7.1.ER.180910T0322Z.180911T1200Z.180913T2000Z.NO/
1029 AM CDT Mon Sep 10 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Meramec River near Arnold
* until Friday afternoon.
* At 10:00 AM Monday the stage was 24.5 feet.
* Flood stage is 24.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* The river is forecast to crest near 25.0 feet by tomorrow morning, 
  then fall below flood stage Thursday afternoon.
* Impact:  At 24.7 feet...Hawkins Road south of Meramec Bottom Road 
  begins flooding.

&&
                   Fld   Latest              7 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION           Stg  Obs Stg     09/11  09/12  09/13  09/14  09/15

Meramec River
  Arnold          24.0   24.51      25.0   24.8   24.3   23.4   22.5


&&


LAT...LON 3851 9043 3851 9039 3845 9032 3841 9034
     3845 9043                        



$$
754 
WGUS83 KLSX 110200
FLSLSX
Flood Statement
National Weather Service St Louis MO
900 PM CDT Mon Sep 10 2018

...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in 
Missouri...
 
  Meramec River near Arnold


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Rainfall heavier than forecast could cause river levels to rise even 
higher than predicted.  The National Weather Service will monitor 
this developing situation and issue follow up statements as 
conditions or forecasts change.

Safety message:  Never drive cars, trucks, or sport utility vehicles 
through flooded areas.  The water may be too deep to allow for safe 
passage.

This product, along with additional weather and stream information, 
is available at http://water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=lsx.

&&

MOC099-189-120200-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0082.000000T0000Z-180914T1800Z/
/ARNM7.1.ER.180910T0322Z.180911T1200Z.180913T1800Z.NO/
900 PM CDT Mon Sep 10 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Meramec River near Arnold
* until Friday afternoon.
* At  8:30 PM Monday the stage was 24.6 feet.
* Flood stage is 24.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* The river is forecast to crest near 24.9 feet by tomorrow morning, 
  then fall below flood stage Thursday early afternoon.
* Impact:  At 25.1 feet...St. Louis County closes the following roads 
  at this height:  Butler Hill west of Summerhedge Place, Meramec 
  Bottom Road between Hageman Road and Highway 21, Hawkins Road south
  of Meramec Bottom Road, and Old Telegraph Road at Earl Widman 
  County Park.
* Impact:  At 24.7 feet...Hawkins Road south of Meramec Bottom Road 
  begins flooding.


&&
                   Fld   Latest              7 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION           Stg  Obs Stg     09/11  09/12  09/13  09/14  09/15

Meramec River
  Arnold          24.0   24.65      24.9   24.7   24.2   23.2   22.4


&&


LAT...LON 3851 9043 3851 9039 3845 9032 3841 9034
     3845 9043                        



$$
039 
WGUS83 KLSX 111614
FLSLSX
Flood Statement
National Weather Service St Louis MO
1114 AM CDT Tue Sep 11 2018

...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in 
Missouri...
 
  Meramec River near Arnold

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Rainfall heavier than forecast could cause river levels to rise even 
higher than predicted.  The National Weather Service will monitor 
this developing situation and issue follow up statements as 
conditions or forecasts change.

Safety message:  Never drive cars, trucks, or sport utility vehicles 
through flooded areas.  The water may be too deep to allow for safe 
passage.

This product, along with additional weather and stream information, 
is available at http://water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=lsx.

&&

MOC099-189-121614-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0082.000000T0000Z-180914T0000Z/
/ARNM7.1.ER.180910T0322Z.180911T0700Z.180913T0000Z.NO/
1114 AM CDT Tue Sep 11 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Meramec River near Arnold
* until Thursday evening.
* At 11:00 AM Tuesday the stage was 24.5 feet.
* Flood stage is 24.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* The river is forecast to continue falling to below flood stage by 
  tomorrow evening.

&&
                   Fld   Latest              7 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION           Stg  Obs Stg     09/12  09/13  09/14  09/15  09/16

Meramec River
  Arnold          24.0   24.54      24.2   23.7   22.8   22.0   21.3


&&


LAT...LON 3851 9043 3851 9039 3845 9032 3841 9034
     3845 9043                        



$$
185 
WGUS83 KLSX 120138
FLSLSX
Flood Statement
National Weather Service St Louis MO
838 PM CDT Tue Sep 11 2018

...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in 
Missouri...
 
  Meramec River near Arnold

.This Flood Warning is a result of backwater from the Mississippi River...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

The National Weather Service will monitor 
this developing situation and issue follow up statements as 
conditions or forecasts change.

Safety message:  Never drive cars, trucks, or sport utility vehicles 
through flooded areas.  The water may be too deep to allow for safe 
passage.

This product, along with additional weather and stream information, 
is available at http://water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=lsx.

&&

MOC099-189-130137-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0082.000000T0000Z-180914T0900Z/
/ARNM7.1.ER.180910T0322Z.180911T0700Z.180913T0900Z.NO/
838 PM CDT Tue Sep 11 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Meramec River near Arnold
* until late Thursday night.
* At  8:00 PM Tuesday the stage was 24.4 feet.
* Flood stage is 24.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* * The river is forecast to continue falling to below flood stage by 
  Thursday morning.


&&
                   Fld   Latest              7 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION           Stg  Obs Stg     09/12  09/13  09/14  09/15  09/16

Meramec River
  Arnold          24.0   24.37      24.4   23.9   23.0   22.2   21.5


&&


LAT...LON 3851 9043 3851 9039 3845 9032 3841 9034
     3845 9043                        



$$
189 
WGUS83 KLSX 121433
FLSLSX
Flood Statement
National Weather Service St Louis MO
933 AM CDT Wed Sep 12 2018

...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in 
Missouri...
 
                  ...Meramec River near Arnold
                  

.This Flood Warning is a result of Mississippi River backwater
flooding and no rain forecast in the next 24 hours...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Safety message:  Never drive cars, trucks, or sport utility vehicles 
through flooded areas.  The water may be too deep to allow for safe 
passage.

This product, along with additional weather and stream information, 
is available at http://water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=lsx.

&&

MOC099-189-131432-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0082.000000T0000Z-180913T1800Z/
/ARNM7.1.ER.180910T0322Z.180911T0700Z.180912T1800Z.NO/
933 AM CDT Wed Sep 12 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Meramec River near Arnold
* until Thursday afternoon.
* At  9:00 AM Wednesday the stage was 24.1 feet.
* Flood stage is 24.0 feet.
* The river is forecast to continue falling to below flood stage by 
  this afternoon.

&&
                   Fld   Latest              7 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION           Stg  Obs Stg     09/13  09/14  09/15  09/16  09/17

Meramec River
  Arnold          24.0   24.10      23.3   22.5   21.7   21.1   20.6

&&

LAT...LON 3851 9043 3851 9039 3845 9032 3841 9034
     3845 9043                        


$$
382 
WGUS83 KLSX 130139
FLSLSX
Flood Statement
National Weather Service St Louis MO
839 PM CDT Wed Sep 12 2018

...The flood warning is cancelled for the following rivers in 
Missouri...
 
  Meramec River near Arnold

.This is the last statement for this event...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

The National Weather Service will monitor 
this developing situation and issue follow up statements as 
conditions or forecasts change.

Safety message:  Never drive cars, trucks, or sport utility vehicles 
through flooded areas.  The water may be too deep to allow for safe 
passage.

This product, along with additional weather and stream information, 
is available at http://water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=lsx.

&&

MOC099-189-130209-
/O.CAN.KLSX.FL.W.0082.000000T0000Z-180913T1800Z/
/ARNM7.1.ER.180910T0322Z.180911T0700Z.180912T1745Z.NO/
839 PM CDT Wed Sep 12 2018

The Flood Warning is cancelled for
  the Meramec River near Arnold.
* At  8:00 PM Wednesday the stage was 23.8 feet.
* Flood stage is 24.0 feet.
* The river fell below flood stage at 12:45 PM Wednesday.
* The river will continue falling to 22.6 feet by Friday morning.



&&
                   Fld   Latest              7 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION           Stg  Obs Stg     09/13  09/14  09/15  09/16  09/17

Meramec River
  Arnold          24.0   23.80      22.6   21.8   21.2   20.7   20.3


&&


LAT...LON 3851 9043 3851 9039 3845 9032 3841 9034
     3845 9043                        



$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this river flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS St. Louis, MO wrote its last area forecast discussion before this river flood warning went out at Sep 6, 6:55 AM CDT, 4 hours 32 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Sep 6, 6:55 AM CDT, 4 hours 32 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion...Updated Aviation
National Weather Service Saint Louis MO
655 AM CDT Thu Sep 6 2018

.SHORT TERM...  (Through Late Tonight)
Issued at 356 AM CDT Thu Sep 6 2018

Main concerns during this period will be the potential for heavy
rainfall.  A flash flood watch has been issued for the for all but
the far southern CWA starting at midnight.

A persistent band of showers and isolated thunderstorms continued to
move northeast across parts of central and northeast Missouri as
well as west central Illinois.  There has been some locally heavy
rainfall in this band, with radar estimates of up to 3" in Monroe
County Missouri.  This band is occurring in an area of elongated
moisture convergence to the north of a stalled front that extends
from southwest Missouri through the St. Louis Metro into southeast
Illinois.  Will keep likely/categorical PoPs going through the
morning across this same area as strong forcing is expected to
persist per the RAP. Then the focus for the best chance for rain
later today into this evening will shift southward across central
and southeast Missouri. Will carry likely PoPs across these areas
this afternoon and this evening as the atmosphere will be unstable
and the GFS is showing increased low level moisture convergence in
advance of Tropical Depression Gordon.  Then tonight, the focus for
likely PoPs shift back along and north of I-70 as there will be
increased mid level ascent from an upper trough moving in from the
Central Plains.  The NAM/GFS is also showing a significant increase
in low level moisture convergence over the central and northern CWA
tonight. PWATS will also be over 2" today and tonight which
indicates there will be ample moisture for heavy rainfall,
particularly tonight.

Temperatures will range from the mid 70s north of the front where
there will be rain most of the day, to the upper 80s south of the
front. Lows will be mainly in the 60s to around 70.

Britt

.LONG TERM...  (Friday through Wednesday)
Issued at 356 AM CDT Thu Sep 6 2018

Forecast guidance with respect to the remnants of TD Gordon is
mostly trending a bit further south than previous runs.  After close
collaboration with neighboring offices and WPC, will go ahead and
issue a Flash Flood Watch starting tonight at 6Z for the majority of
the area, and a second segment for our southeast Missouri counties
starting at 18Z Friday.  Both segments will expire at 12Z Sunday
morning.  The synoptic situation hasn't changed much since previous
forecast.  GFS/ECMWF/NAM are in good agreement that deep tropical
moisture from TD Gordon will interact with the front that stalls
over the region today.  Strong moisture convergence sets up over
along the low level baroclinic zone as the 850mb wind turns to the
south tonight, and all guidance prints out widespread QPF across
northeast Missouri and west central Illinois through Friday morning.
With P-wats in excess of 2 inches expect very efficient rain
producing showers and storms. The rain will likely spread south as
Gordon meanders through Arkansas and the baroclinic zone sags
southward as high pressure builds across the Upper Midwest. GFS
and ECMWF favor the aforementioned more southerly track of Gordon
and the baroclinic zone, while the NAM is still a little more
northerly. Hard to argue with the global models too much as they
tend to do better in situations like these, but I did keep 3-5
inches of QPF up across northeast Missouri and west central
Illinois. Locally higher amounts are of course likely.

By Friday evening into Saturday, the remnants of Gordon will start
moving northeast as a shortwave trof dips into the eastern Plains.
Models show a very strong baroclinic zone with strong frontogenesis
and moisture convergence ahead of the system along and south of the
I-70 corridor late Friday night into Saturday.  This may be the
heaviest rainfall that the area sees from 06Z Saturday through 06Z
Sunday as the remnants of Gordon slide northeast across southern
Missouri into southern Illinois.  3-6 inches look likely along and
south of I-70 by the time the storm exits the region on Sunday.
Locally higher amounts are also likely.

The remainder of the forecast through the middle of next week looks
quiet and dry with high pressure dominating our weather.
Temperatures through the period look mild to seasonably warm with
highs only in the 70s Friday through Sunday due to clouds and precip
then warming into the low to mid 80s by the middle of next week.
Expect near normal to slightly below normal lows in the mid 50s to
low 60s.

Many thanks for collaboration efforts to my counterparts at WFOs
EAX, SGF, PAH, ILX, and DVN this morning!  Also thank you to the
midnight crew at WPC!

Carney

&&

.AVIATION...  (For the 12z TAFs through 12z Friday Morning)
Issued at 634 AM CDT Thu Sep 6 2018

Showers and scattered thunderstorms will continue at KUIN and be
in the vicinity of KCOU this morning. Scattered showers and
thunderstorms will move into the St. Louis area terminals by this
afternoon. More widespread rain will move back into all of the
terminals tonight. MVFR and IFR conditions are expected during the
period, especially with the heavier rainfall.

SPECIFICS FOR KSTL:

Current dry and VFR conditions are expected through the morning
before scattered showers and thunderstorms move into the terminal
during the afternoon hours. More widespread rain will move into
terminal late tonight. MVFR and IFR conditions are expected with
the showers and thunderstorms.

Britt

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Saint Louis     86  71  79  66 /  50  60  70  80
Quincy          75  65  72  60 /  80  60  80  70
Columbia        81  69  75  64 /  50  70  70  70
Jefferson City  83  70  77  66 /  60  60  70  70
Salem           86  71  79  66 /  50  50  70  70
Farmington      82  68  80  67 /  60  60  70  70

&&

.LSX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MO...Flash Flood Watch from Friday afternoon through Sunday morning
     for Crawford MO-Iron MO-Madison MO-Reynolds MO-Saint
     Francois MO-Sainte Genevieve MO-Washington MO.

     Flash Flood Watch from late tonight through Sunday morning for
     Audrain MO-Boone MO-Callaway MO-Cole MO-Franklin MO-
     Gasconade MO-Jefferson MO-Knox MO-Lewis MO-Lincoln MO-
     Marion MO-Moniteau MO-Monroe MO-Montgomery MO-Osage MO-Pike
     MO-Ralls MO-Saint Charles MO-Saint Louis City MO-Saint
     Louis MO-Shelby MO-Warren MO.

IL...Flash Flood Watch from Friday afternoon through Sunday morning
     for Randolph IL.

     Flash Flood Watch from late tonight through Sunday morning for
     Adams IL-Bond IL-Brown IL-Calhoun IL-Clinton IL-Fayette IL-
     Greene IL-Jersey IL-Macoupin IL-Madison IL-Marion IL-Monroe
     IL-Montgomery IL-Pike IL-Saint Clair IL-Washington IL.

&&

WFO LSX
Hazardous weather outlook, Sep 6, 4:17 AM CDT, 7 hours 10 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Saint Louis MO
417 AM CDT Thu Sep 6 2018

ILZ058>060-064-065-069-070-074-079-095>102-MOZ018-019-026-027-
034>036-041-042-047>052-059>065-072>075-084-085-099-071200-
Greene IL-Macoupin IL-Montgomery IL-Bond IL-Fayette IL-Clinton IL-
Marion IL-Washington IL-Randolph IL-Adams IL-Brown IL-Pike IL-
Calhoun IL-Jersey IL-Madison IL-Saint Clair IL-Monroe IL-Knox MO-
Lewis MO-Shelby MO-Marion MO-Monroe MO-Ralls MO-Pike MO-Boone MO-
Audrain MO-Moniteau MO-Cole MO-Osage MO-Callaway MO-Montgomery MO-
Lincoln MO-Gasconade MO-Warren MO-Saint Charles MO-Franklin MO-
Saint Louis MO-Saint Louis City MO-Jefferson MO-Crawford MO-
Washington MO-Saint Francois MO-Sainte Genevieve MO-Iron MO-
Madison MO-Reynolds MO-
417 AM CDT Thu Sep 6 2018

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of eastern and
central Missouri as well as west central and southwest Illinois.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

There is a chance of thunderstorms across the area today and
tonight. Heavy rain and possibly flash flooding are possible with
some of these storms, particularly late tonight. Widespread severe
thunderstorms are not expected at this time. A flash flood watch
is in effect for parts of central, northeast, and east central
Missouri as well as west central and southwest Illinois starting
late tonight.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday

There is a chance for thunderstorms and heavy rain through Sunday
over parts of the area. The highest rainfall rates and greatest
rainfall amounts will occur Saturday and Saturday night as
Tropical Depression Gordon interacts with a stalled front along
the I-70 corridor. 3 to 6 inches of rainfall is possible across
much of the area with locally higher amounts. A flash flood watch
is in effect for the entire area from Friday through early Sunday
morning due to this expected heavy rainfall.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not anticipated through tonight.

Carney

In the hours before

Local storm report, Sep 6, 7:21 AM CDT, 4 hours 6 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
721 AM CDT THU SEP 6 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0720 AM     HEAVY RAIN       3 W FLORIDA             39.50N 91.85W
09/06/2018  M4.20 INCH       MONROE             MO   TRAINED SPOTTER

            24 HOUR RAINFALL TOTAL.

&&

PW
Local storm report, Sep 6, 7:28 AM CDT, 3 hours 59 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
728 AM CDT THU SEP 6 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0722 AM     FLOOD            RENSSELAER              39.67N 91.54W
09/06/2018                   RALLS              MO   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            WATER ON HIGHWAY H 2 MILES SOUTH OF HIGHWAY
            36.

&&

BRITT
Local storm report, Sep 6, 7:32 AM CDT, 3 hours 55 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
732 AM CDT THU SEP 6 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0732 AM     HEAVY RAIN       HANNIBAL                39.71N 91.38W
09/06/2018  M3.50 INCH       MARION             MO   TRAINED SPOTTER

            7 HOUR RAIN TOTAL.

&&

PW
Local storm report, Sep 6, 7:49 AM CDT, 3 hours 38 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
749 AM CDT THU SEP 6 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0747 AM     FLASH FLOOD      1 SE MONROE CITY        39.64N 91.72W
09/06/2018                   MONROE             MO   DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

            ROUE W WESTBOUND CLOSED DUE TO FLOODING. 4
            INCHES OR MORE OF WATER ON THE ROADWAY AT
            THE INTERSECTION OF RT W AND HIGHWAY 24.

&&

CARNEY
Local storm report, Sep 6, 11:06 AM CDT, 21 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
1106 AM CDT THU SEP 6 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0935 AM     FLOOD            1 ESE RENSSELAER        39.67N 91.54W
09/06/2018                   RALLS              MO   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            HIGHWAY H WAS CLOSED DUE TO FLOODING FROM
            HEAVY RAIN AND OVERFLOW FROM LAKE HANNIBAL.

&&
Local storm report, Sep 6, 11:10 AM CDT, 17 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
1110 AM CDT THU SEP 6 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0930 AM     FLOOD            1 S MONROE CITY         39.64N 91.73W
09/06/2018                   MONROE             MO   DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

            DOT REPORTS HIGHWAY W AT HIGHWAY 24 REMAINS
            CLOSED DUE TO FLOODING FROM HEAVY RAIN
            WITHIN THE LAST 18 HOURS.

&&

The office that day

Everything else NWS St. Louis, MO issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Sep 6, 2:11 AM CDTAreal Flood AdvisoryLSXMonroe6 hr
Sep 6, 3:21 AM CDTFlash Flood WatchLSXAudrain, Boone, Callaway, Cole, Crawford, Franklin and 23 more60 hr
Sep 6, 4:08 AM CDTFlash Flood WarningLSXMonroe, Ralls6 hr
Sep 6, 5:40 AM CDTFlash Flood WarningLSXMarion4 hr
Sep 6, 6:52 AM CDTFlash Flood WarningLSXAudrain, Boone3 hr
Sep 6, 8:32 AM CDTRiver Flood WarningLSXLewis5 days
Sep 6, 8:32 AM CDTRiver Flood WarningLSXMarion4 days
Sep 6, 9:55 AM CDTRiver Flood WarningLSXCallaway, Osage48 hr
Sep 6, 9:55 AM CDTRiver Flood WarningLSXGasconade, Montgomery5 days
Sep 6, 9:55 AM CDTRiver Flood WarningLSXGasconade, Montgomery7 days
Sep 6, 10:00 AM CDTAreal Flood WarningLSXMonroe, Ralls9 hr
Sep 6, 11:52 AM CDTRiver Flood WarningLSXSaint Charles6 days
Sep 6, 11:52 AM CDTRiver Flood WarningLSXSaint Louis, City of Saint Louis48 hr
Sep 6, 11:52 AM CDTRiver Flood WarningLSXPerry, Sainte Genevieve9 days
Sep 6, 2:52 PM CDTRiver Flood WarningLSXLincoln66 hr

Nearby

River Flood Warnings in Missouri, 2018Every river flood warning in 2018

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive; the gauge from the NWS water service and the USGS.