Alert archive / Indiana / Special Weather Statements in 2018

Special Weather Statement, NWS Northern Indiana

July 20, 2018Blackford County, Indiana

NWS Northern Indiana issued this special weather statement at Jul 20, 2018, 4:35 PM EDT for Blackford County, Indiana. It was in force for 25 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jul 20, 2018, 4:35 PM EDT (20:35 UTC)
Expired
Jul 20, 2018, 5:00 PM EDT
In force
25 min
Issued by
NWS Northern Indiana

County Blackford County, IN

The radar

The Northern Indiana radar (KIWX), 105 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:39 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Detroit, MI (KDTX), launched 12:00Z, 8.6 hours before the alert went out and 283 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Detroit, MI at 12:00Z on 2018-07-20Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 2 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Detroit, MI at 12:00Z on 2018-07-20The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 151 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
2 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-259 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1262 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
35 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
151 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
162 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

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What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this special weather statement went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Northern Indiana wrote its last area forecast discussion before this special weather statement went out at Jul 20, 3:07 PM EDT, 1 hour 28 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jul 20, 3:07 PM EDT, 1 hour 28 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Northern Indiana
307 PM EDT Fri Jul 20 2018

.SYNOPSIS...
Issued at 106 PM EDT Fri Jul 20 2018

Numerous showers and thunderstorms are expected this afternoon as
a strong upper level disturbance tracks through. A few
thunderstorms may become severe with damaging winds, small hail,
heavy rain, and perhaps an isolated tornado the threats. Chances
for on and off showers will remain in the forecast tonight through
Sunday. Lows will be in the 60s and highs will be in the 70s this
weekend. A mainly dry and warmer pattern is expected next week.

&&

.UPDATE...
Issued at 303 PM EDT Fri Jul 20 2018

Main focus through 21/22z will remain maintenance/intensity of
quasi-linear line segment nearing the I-69 corridor as of 19z.
Several brief bowing segments and mesovorts noted but nothing
reported with line so far. Effective shear values of 25-30 knots
enough for this organization though activity now pushing east into
a more stable environment as warm sector erodes with front now
occluded. Will carry the Tornado Watch through the late aftn into
ne IN/sc Lower MI with possible extension east into nw OH if QLCS
strengthens. Isolated tornadoes and damaging winds will be the
primary threat, best chances over the next 2 hours.

&&

.SHORT TERM...(Tonight through Sunday)
Issued at 303 PM EDT Fri Jul 20 2018

Vigorous vertically stacked low in southeast WI will wobble slowly
southeast into southern Lake MI tonight and over the local area on
Saturday. Deep moisture associated with this feature and series of
vort maxes to rotate around the upper low will keep showers and
chances for isolated storms in the forecast during this time.
Greater coverage and intensity is expected late this aftn/early eve
and again Saturday afternoon thanks to daytime heating. Strong-
severe storms are not expected tonight-Saturday, though will have
to keep an eye out for funnel clouds/landspouts Saturday afternoon
given the ambient vorticity near the low. Overcast/moist airmass
limits diurnal temp ranges otherwise with lows in the 60s tonight
and highs mid 70s tomorrow.

Shower coverage/chances the gradually diminish into Saturday night
and Sunday as main circulation and stronger deformation forcing
shifts off to the south. Drier air and some subsidence may also work
in by Sunday, especially across northern portions of the forecast
area. Temps will likely be a few degrees warmer on Sunday with highs
generally in the upper 70s.

&&

.LONG TERM...(Monday through Friday)
Issued at 303 PM EDT Fri Jul 20 2018

A rather typical late July week is expected with seasonable temps
and mainly dry conditions. Did retain very low PoPs for afternoon
showers on Monday and Tuesday southeast of US 24 given close
proximity to a leftover trough axis. Otherwise temps warm a bit into
Tuesday-Wednesday before broad troughing redevelops over the Great
Lakes supporting slightly cooler temps and low humidity by Thursday
and Friday.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 18Z TAFS through 18Z Saturday Afternoon)
Issued at 106 PM EDT Fri Jul 20 2018

Thunderstorms with sig restrictions and potentially some stronger
wind gusts will be the primary concern this afternoon as a strong
vort max and occluded front traverse northern IN. Latest radar and
hi-res guidance hints at main impacts between 1730 and 1930z at
KSBN and between 1930-22z at KFWA. These thunderstorms may become
severe. VFR to low MVFR cigs with breezy ssw winds otherwise this
afternoon. An upper low will bring lowering cigs and on and off
showers to the area tonight into Saturday, best chances for rain
and eventually IFR stratus at KSBN in closer proximity to the main
circulation center.

&&

.IWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
IN...NONE.
MI...NONE.
OH...NONE.
LM...Small Craft Advisory until 6 PM EDT this evening for LMZ043-046.

&&

UPDATE...Steinwedel
SYNOPSIS...Steinwedel
SHORT TERM...Steinwedel
LONG TERM...Taylor
AVIATION...Steinwedel

Visit us at www.weather.gov/iwx

Follow us on Facebook...Twitter...and YouTube at:
www.facebook.com/NWSNorthernIndiana
www.twitter.com/nwsiwx
www.youtube.com/NWSNorthernIndiana
Hazardous weather outlook, Jul 20, 4:24 AM EDT, 12 hours 11 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Northern Indiana
424 AM EDT Fri Jul 20 2018

MIZ077>081-210900-
Berrien-Cass MI-St. Joseph MI-Branch-Hillsdale-
424 AM EDT Fri Jul 20 2018

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of southwest
Michigan.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

Thunderstorms are expected this afternoon. Some storms could be strong
to severe with gusty winds.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday

High risk for rip currents on Lake Michigan Saturday.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation may be needed this afternoon.

&&

Stay tuned to NOAA Weather Radio for further details or updates...or
check our web site at weather.gov/iwx

INZ003>009-012>018-020-022-023-210900-
La Porte-St. Joseph IN-Elkhart-Lagrange-Steuben-Noble-De Kalb-Starke-
Pulaski-Marshall-Fulton IN-Kosciusko-Whitley-Allen IN-White-Cass IN-
Miami-
424 AM EDT Fri Jul 20 2018 /324 AM CDT Fri Jul 20 2018/

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of northern Indiana.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

Thunderstorms are expected this afternoon. Some storms may be severe
with damaging winds.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday

High risk for rip currents on Lake Michigan Saturday.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation may be needed this afternoon.

&&

Stay tuned to NOAA Weather Radio for further details or updates...or
check our web site at weather.gov/iwx

OHZ001-002-004-005-015-016-025-210900-
Williams-Fulton OH-Defiance-Henry-Paulding-Putnam-Allen OH-
424 AM EDT Fri Jul 20 2018

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of northwest Ohio.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

Thunderstorms are expected this afternoon. Some storms could be strong
to severe with gusty winds.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation may be needed this afternoon.

&&

Stay tuned to NOAA Weather Radio for further details or updates...or
check our web site at weather.gov/iwx

INZ024>027-032>034-OHZ024-210900-
Wabash-Huntington-Wells-Adams-Grant-Blackford-Jay-Van Wert-
424 AM EDT Fri Jul 20 2018

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of northern Indiana
and northwest Ohio.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

Thunderstorms are expected this afternoon. Some storms may be severe
with damaging winds and perhaps a tornado.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation may be needed this afternoon.

&&

Stay tuned to NOAA Weather Radio for further details or updates...or
check our web site at weather.gov/iwx

LMZ043-046-210900-
New Buffalo MI to St Joseph MI-Michigan City IN to New Buffalo MI-
424 AM EDT Fri Jul 20 2018

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of The Nearshore
Waters of Southeastern Lake Michigan.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

An isolated thunderstorm is possible this afternoon. Hazardous
conditions for small craft will exist through this afternoon.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday

Hazardous conditions for small craft are expected Saturday.

&&

Stay tuned to NOAA Weather Radio for further details or updates...or
check our web site at weather.gov/iwx

In the hours before

Local storm report, Jul 20, 4:12 PM EDT, 23 minutes before
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Local storm report, Jul 20, 4:23 PM EDT, 12 minutes before
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Special weather statement, Jul 20, 4:23 PM EDT, 12 minutes before
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Special weather statement, Jul 20, 4:26 PM EDT, 9 minutes before
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Local storm report, Jul 20, 4:30 PM EDT, 5 minutes before
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Special weather statement, Jul 20, 4:35 PM EDT, 0 minutes before
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The office that day

Everything else NWS Northern Indiana issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 20, 3:28 AM EDTSmall Craft AdvisoryIWX12 hr
Jul 20, 8:46 AM EDTSpecial Weather StatementIWXKosciusko, Noble44 min
Jul 20, 9:21 AM EDTSpecial Weather StatementIWXBlackford, Grant, Huntington24 min
Jul 20, 9:29 AM EDTSpecial Weather StatementIWXLaGrange, Noble46 min
Jul 20, 9:53 AM EDTSpecial Weather StatementIWXAdams, Blackford, Jay, Wells37 min
Jul 20, 10:41 AM EDTSpecial Weather StatementIWXBlackford, Jay49 min
Jul 20, 12:53 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementIWXPulaski37 min
Jul 20, 1:14 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementIWXSaint Joseph46 min
Jul 20, 1:24 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementIWXFulton, Marshall36 min
Jul 20, 1:34 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningIWXFulton, Marshall26 min
Jul 20, 1:52 PM EDTTornado WarningIWXMarshall23 min
Jul 20, 1:57 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningIWXFulton, Kosciusko, Marshall48 min
Jul 20, 2:04 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementIWXElkhart56 min
Jul 20, 2:24 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningIWXElkhart, Kosciusko, LaGrange, Noble, Saint Joseph51 min
Jul 20, 2:36 PM EDTTornado WarningIWXKosciusko, Wabash, Whitley22 min
Jul 20, 2:52 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementIWXNoble53 min
Jul 20, 3:00 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningIWXAllen, Huntington, Wabash, Whitley45 min
Jul 20, 3:11 PM EDTTornado WarningIWXHuntington, Wabash18 min
Jul 20, 3:40 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningIWXAdams, Blackford, Grant, Huntington, Jay, Wells50 min
Jul 20, 3:45 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementIWXAllen, DeKalb45 min
Jul 20, 3:45 PM EDTTornado WarningIWXBlackford30 min
Jul 20, 4:07 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningIWXAdams, Allen, Wells38 min
Jul 20, 4:11 PM EDTAreal Flood AdvisoryIWXAllen, Huntington, Whitley3 hr
Jul 20, 4:19 PM EDTAreal Flood AdvisoryIWXBlackford, Grant, Wells3 hr
Jul 20, 4:23 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementIWXWabash37 min
Jul 20, 4:26 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementIWXJay34 min
Jul 20, 5:10 PM EDTAreal Flood AdvisoryIWXBlackford, Jay4 hr
Jul 20, 4:43 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementIWXDefiance, Williams62 min
Jul 20, 9:55 AM EDTSpecial Weather StatementIWXSaint Joseph35 min
Jul 20, 3:09 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementIWXSaint Joseph36 min

Nearby

Special Weather Statements in Indiana, 2018Every special weather statement in 2018

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.