Severe Thunderstorm Warning 47, NWS Wichita, KS

118 
WWUS53 KICT 142205
SVSICT

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Wichita KS
505 PM CDT MON MAY 14 2018

KSC073-207-142245-
/O.CON.KICT.SV.W.0047.000000T0000Z-180514T2245Z/
Woodson KS-Greenwood KS-
505 PM CDT MON MAY 14 2018

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 545 PM CDT
FOR NORTHWESTERN WOODSON AND NORTHEASTERN GREENWOOD COUNTIES...

At 503 PM CDT, a severe thunderstorm was located near Madison, and 
is nearly stationary. At 455 PM CDT, a trained spotter reported 
1 inch hail 2 miles north of Hamilton.

HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts and half dollar size hail. 

SOURCE...Radar indicated. 

IMPACT...Hail damage to vehicles is expected. Expect wind damage to 
         roofs, siding, and trees. 

Locations impacted include...
Madison, Hamilton and Virgil. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

&&

LAT...LON 3781 9604 3809 9638 3809 9636 3817 9636
      3817 9596 3804 9596 3804 9586
TIME...MOT...LOC 2203Z 218DEG 24KT 3807 9609 

HAIL...1.25IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

VAUGHAN

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Wichita KS
357 PM CDT Mon May 14 2018

.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Thursday night)
Issued at 307 PM CDT Mon May 14 2018

Early this afternoon, thunderstorms have begun to develop along
and south of a quasi-stationary front draped across the forecast
area. These storms have initially been in eastern Kansas, but as
convective inhibition continues to erode and enhanced convergence
ensues along the boundary, more storms are expected to initiate
this afternoon and evening. The primary threat area looks to be
south central and southeast Kansas, generally along and east of a
line from Kingman to Chase counties. This area is included in a
Severe Thunderstorm Watch in effect until 1000pm this evening,
though it is possible that some showers and non-severe storms
could linger after this time frame initially along the Oklahoma
border and later in central KS. Main concerns with any severe
storms that develop will be large hail up to the size of ping-pong
balls, damaging wind gusts up to 70 mph, frequent lightning, and
locally heavy rainfall, with rain rates of near 2 inches per hour
already observed in a couple of cells that moved through Greenwood
and Woodson counties.

Current thinking is that the surface front will slide southward
tomorrow, which should push the development of severe storms
further south into central and western Oklahoma and northern
Texas, though a few showers and thunderstorms are possible in
southern Kansas. A strong storm or two will be possible, but
widespread severe weather is not expected by Tuesday afternoon due
to much more stable air over Kansas versus locations further
south.

Wednesday and Thursday become much more tricky as the front sinks
even further south and then lifts back north on Thursday as an
upper low continues to dwell over the Central Great Basin.
Overall, thinking is that we should see a shot at a few scattered
showers or thunderstorms, but exact timing and areal coverage is
dicey to say the least

.LONG TERM...(Friday through Monday)
Issued at 307 PM CDT Mon May 14 2018

By Friday, the upper low over the western CONUS is progged to
begin lifting northward through the weekend. Ample low level
moisture will continue to be advected into the area bringing
lingering chances of showers with occasional embedded thunder
off and on throughout the weekend and into early next week.
Temperatures should remain above normal throughout the period
until at least Sunday.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 18Z TAFS through 18Z Tuesday afternoon)
Issued at 1225 PM CDT Mon May 14 2018

Scattered strong to severe convection will develop along a nearly
stationary front sagging very slowly south into south central
Kansas and the Flint Hills late this afternoon and evening. The
front will move south a bit more as a weak cold front tonight
with north to northeast surface winds and lowering CIGS expected
later tonight with some MVFR category. Some elevated convection is
possible as well north of the front.

KED

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Wichita-KICT    64  82  64  82 /  60  30  40  40
Hutchinson      62  80  61  81 /  40  30  30  40
Newton          63  80  63  81 /  50  30  30  40
ElDorado        64  81  63  81 /  60  30  30  40
Winfield-KWLD   65  82  63  83 /  70  30  40  40
Russell         57  79  58  80 /  30  10  10  40
Great Bend      58  79  59  80 /  30  10  20  30
Salina          61  80  61  82 /  30  20  20  40
McPherson       61  80  61  81 /  30  30  20  40
Coffeyville     67  83  65  83 /  60  30  30  40
Chanute         66  82  64  83 /  60  30  30  40
Iola            66  81  63  82 /  60  30  20  30
Parsons-KPPF    67  83  65  83 /  60  30  30  40

&&

.ICT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

SHORT TERM...TAV
LONG TERM...TAV
AVIATION...KED

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Wichita KS
354 PM CDT Mon May 14 2018

KSZ032-033-047>053-067>072-082-083-091>096-098>100-152100-
Russell-Lincoln-Barton-Ellsworth-Saline-Rice-McPherson-Marion-Chase-
Reno-Harvey-Butler-Greenwood-Woodson-Allen-Kingman-Sedgwick-Harper-
Sumner-Cowley-Elk-Wilson-Neosho-Chautauqua-Montgomery-Labette-
354 PM CDT Mon May 14 2018

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of Central Kansas,
South Central Kansas and Southeast Kansas.

.DAY ONE...Tonight

Scattered strong to severe thunderstorms are expected to develop
late this afternoon along and just south of a nearly stationary
front. The most likely area for stronger and severe storms to
develop will be south central and southeast Kansas, where a Severe
Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 10pm this evening. The
strongest storms will be capable of large hail up to ping-pong ball
size and damaging down-burst winds up to 70 mph. In addition, high
rainfall rates will be likely with the more intense storms this
evening, which may lead to some localized flooding.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday

Storms will be possible Tuesday through Wednesday night and again
Friday through Saturday night. Strong storms will be possible with
any of this activity.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation may be needed through 10pm across south central
and southeast Kansas.

&&

For a graphical version of this information, see our webpage at:
http://weather.gov/wichita/hwo/

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
418 PM CDT MON MAY 14 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0414 PM     FLASH FLOOD      IOLA                    37.93N 95.40W
05/14/2018                   Allen              KS   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            HIGH WATER IN TOWN ON STATE AND JEFFERSON STREETS WITH
            PORTIONS OF THESE STREETS BEING BARRICADED.

&&

KED

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
435 PM CDT MON MAY 14 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0433 PM     HAIL             2 NW HUMBOLDT           37.83N 95.46W
05/14/2018  E0.75 INCH       ALLEN              KS   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

KED

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
437 PM CDT MON MAY 14 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0432 PM     FLASH FLOOD      4 W IOLA                37.93N 95.47W
05/14/2018                   ALLEN              KS   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            SEVERAL RURAL ROADS IMPACTED BY HIGH WATER WEST OF IOLA.

&&

KED

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
438 PM CDT MON MAY 14 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0413 PM     HAIL             8 NW YATES CENTER       37.95N 95.85W
05/14/2018  E0.75 INCH       WOODSON            KS   PUBLIC

&&

KED

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Wichita KS
441 PM CDT MON MAY 14 2018

KSZ069-142215-
Butler KS-
441 PM CDT MON MAY 14 2018

The National Weather Service in Wichita has issued a

* Significant Weather Advisory for...
  Northwestern Butler County in south central Kansas...

* Until 515 PM CDT

* At 440 PM CDT...National Weather Service meteorologists were
  tracking a strong thunderstorm over Augusta...moving northeast at
  40 mph.

hail up to the size of nickels...and wind gusts up to 50 mph will be
possible with this storm.

* Locations impacted include...
  El Dorado, Andover, Augusta, Towanda, Benton, Potwin, Cassoday, El
  Dorado Airport, Santa Fe Lake, El Dorado Lake, El Dorado State Park
  and Augusta Municipal Airport.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Be prepared to take shelter in the event the storms intensify and
become severe...or a warning is issued by the National Weather
Service.

&&

A severe thunderstorm watch remains in effect until 1000 PM CDT for
south central and southeastern Kansas.

LAT...LON 3760 9697 3771 9715 3808 9703 3808 9652
TIME...MOT...LOC 2141Z 217DEG 36KT 3772 9701

MCGUIRE

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
448 PM CDT MON MAY 14 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0439 PM     HAIL             1 N HUMBOLDT            37.83N 95.44W
05/14/2018  E0.75 INCH       ALLEN              KS   LAW ENFORCEMENT

&&

KED