Severe Thunderstorm Warning 41, NWS Goodland, KS

868 
WWUS53 KGLD 190216
SVSGLD

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Goodland KS
816 PM MDT FRI MAY 18 2018

COC017-063-KSC071-109-181-199-190300-
/O.CON.KGLD.SV.W.0041.000000T0000Z-180519T0300Z/
Cheyenne CO-Kit Carson CO-Wallace KS-Logan KS-Greeley KS-Sherman KS-
816 PM MDT FRI MAY 18 2018

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 900 PM
MDT/1000 PM CDT/ FOR NORTHEASTERN CHEYENNE AND SOUTHEASTERN KIT
CARSON COUNTIES IN EAST CENTRAL COLORADO...WALLACE...NORTHWESTERN
LOGAN...NORTHEASTERN GREELEY COUNTIES IN WEST CENTRAL KANSAS AND
SOUTHERN SHERMAN COUNTIES IN NORTHWESTERN KANSAS...

At 815 PM MDT/915 PM CDT/, severe thunderstorms were located along a
line extending from 15 miles northwest of Weskan to 3 miles north of
Sharon Springs to 8 miles northeast of Tribune, moving northeast at
45 mph.

These are very dangerous storms.

HAZARD...80 mph wind gusts and quarter size hail. 

SOURCE...Radar indicated. 

IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without 
         shelter. Mobile homes will be heavily damaged. Expect 
         considerable damage to roofs, windows, and vehicles. 
         Extensive tree damage and power outages are likely. 

Locations impacted include...
Goodland, Sharon Springs, Ruleton, Wallace and Edson. 

This includes Interstate 70 in Kansas between mile markers 6 and 29.
 
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

This is an EXTREMELY DANGEROUS SITUATION. These storms are producing 
widespread wind damage across the warning area. SEEK SHELTER NOW 
inside a sturdy structure and stay away from windows.

These thunderstorms will produce damaging winds resulting in areas of
near zero visibility in blowing dirt. Use extreme caution if you must
travel and be alert for rapidly changing visibility.

&&

LAT...LON 3888 10191 3889 10225 3944 10186 3930 10139
      3876 10141 3870 10150 3870 10157 3865 10157
      3852 10175
TIME...MOT...LOC 0215Z 235DEG 37KT 3903 10215 3894 10177 3856 10165 

HAIL...1.00IN
WIND...80MPH
 
$$

JRM

323 
WWUS53 KGLD 190233
SVSGLD

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Goodland KS
833 PM MDT FRI MAY 18 2018

KSC071-190242-
/O.CAN.KGLD.SV.W.0041.000000T0000Z-180519T0300Z/
Greeley KS-
833 PM MDT FRI MAY 18 2018

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR NORTHEASTERN GREELEY COUNTY IS
CANCELLED...

The storms which prompted the warning have moved out of the warned 
area. Therefore, the warning has been cancelled.

A severe thunderstorm watch remains in effect until 1000 PM MDT/1100
PM CDT/ for east central Colorado...and northwestern and west central
Kansas.

LAT...LON 3888 10191 3889 10225 3944 10186 3930 10139
      3876 10141 3870 10150 3870 10181
TIME...MOT...LOC 0232Z 222DEG 37KT 3915 10202 3906 10163 3868 10152 

$$

COC017-063-KSC109-181-199-190300-
/O.CON.KGLD.SV.W.0041.000000T0000Z-180519T0300Z/
Cheyenne CO-Kit Carson CO-Wallace KS-Logan KS-Sherman KS-
833 PM MDT FRI MAY 18 2018

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 900 PM
MDT/1000 PM CDT/ FOR NORTHEASTERN CHEYENNE AND SOUTHEASTERN KIT
CARSON COUNTIES IN EAST CENTRAL COLORADO...WALLACE...NORTHWESTERN
LOGAN COUNTIES IN WEST CENTRAL KANSAS AND SOUTHERN SHERMAN COUNTIES
IN NORTHWESTERN KANSAS...

At 832 PM MDT/932 PM CDT/, severe thunderstorms were located along a
line extending from 13 miles south of Kanorado to 10 miles north of
Wallace to 15 miles northwest of Leoti, moving northeast at 45 mph.

HAZARD...70 mph wind gusts and quarter size hail. 

SOURCE...Radar indicated. 

IMPACT...Hail damage to vehicles is expected. Expect considerable 
         tree damage. Wind damage is also likely to mobile homes, 
         roofs, and outbuildings. 

Locations impacted include...
Goodland, Sharon Springs, Ruleton, Wallace and Edson. 

This includes Interstate 70 in Kansas between mile markers 6 and 29.
 
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

These thunderstorms will produce damaging winds resulting in areas of
near zero visibility in blowing dirt. Use extreme caution if you must
travel and be alert for rapidly changing visibility.

&&

LAT...LON 3888 10191 3889 10225 3944 10186 3930 10139
      3876 10141 3870 10150 3870 10181
TIME...MOT...LOC 0232Z 222DEG 37KT 3915 10202 3906 10163 3868 10152 

HAIL...1.00IN
WIND...70MPH
 
$$

JRM

728 
WWUS53 KGLD 190241
SVSGLD

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Goodland KS
841 PM MDT FRI MAY 18 2018

COC017-063-190250-
/O.CAN.KGLD.SV.W.0041.000000T0000Z-180519T0300Z/
Cheyenne CO-Kit Carson CO-
841 PM MDT FRI MAY 18 2018

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR NORTHEASTERN CHEYENNE AND
SOUTHEASTERN KIT CARSON COUNTIES IN EAST CENTRAL COLORADO IS
CANCELLED...

The storms which prompted the warning have moved out of the warned 
area. Therefore, the warning has been cancelled.

A severe thunderstorm watch remains in effect until 1000 PM MDT/1100
PM CDT/ for northwestern and west central Kansas.

LAT...LON 3870 10181 3888 10191 3888 10204 3918 10205
      3944 10186 3930 10139 3876 10141 3870 10150
TIME...MOT...LOC 0240Z 219DEG 31KT 3919 10199 3910 10160 3872 10149 

$$

KSC109-181-199-190300-
/O.CON.KGLD.SV.W.0041.000000T0000Z-180519T0300Z/
Wallace KS-Logan KS-Sherman KS-
841 PM MDT FRI MAY 18 2018

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 900 PM
MDT/1000 PM CDT/ FOR WALLACE...NORTHWESTERN LOGAN AND SOUTHERN
SHERMAN COUNTIES...

At 840 PM MDT/940 PM CDT/, severe thunderstorms were located along a
line extending from 10 miles south of Kanorado to 12 miles north of
Wallace to 17 miles northwest of Leoti, moving northeast at 35 mph.

HAZARD...70 mph wind gusts and quarter size hail. 

SOURCE...Radar indicated. 

IMPACT...Hail damage to vehicles is expected. Expect considerable 
         tree damage. Wind damage is also likely to mobile homes, 
         roofs, and outbuildings. 

Locations impacted include...
Goodland, Sharon Springs, Ruleton, Wallace and Edson. 

This includes Interstate 70 in Kansas between mile markers 6 and 29.
 
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

These thunderstorms will produce damaging winds resulting in areas of
near zero visibility in blowing dirt. Use extreme caution if you must
travel and be alert for rapidly changing visibility.

&&

LAT...LON 3870 10181 3888 10191 3888 10204 3918 10205
      3944 10186 3930 10139 3876 10141 3870 10150
TIME...MOT...LOC 0240Z 219DEG 31KT 3919 10199 3910 10160 3872 10149 

HAIL...1.00IN
WIND...70MPH
 
$$

JRM

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Goodland KS
621 PM MDT Fri May 18 2018

.UPDATE...
Issued at 603 PM MDT Fri May 18 2018

Just completed an update. Main reason was to expand the severe
thunderstorm watch. Also raised pops and raised rainfall amounts
based on high resolution/CAMs have a very good handle on what is
going on.

&&

.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Saturday)
Issued at 209 PM MDT Fri May 18 2018

Forecast still looks on track for this afternoon/evening with
convection expected to form vicinity of leading edge of outflow
boundary. Latest GOES imagery suggests boundary lies along
convergent zone of stable wave clouds and cumulus streets over
northern Greeley and Wichita counties extending up toward Gove
and over to Wakeeney. HRRR has been very consistent last 6 runs or
so with timing of storm initiation around 4-5 pm MDT and location
around highway 96. Latest SPC mesoanalysis suggests there may be
a couple more hours before CINH is overcome.

Guidance points to storms quickly developing upscale with discrete
storms existing in a narrow time window early on. Not thinking
much of a tornado threat given weak 1 km bulk shear and SRH
values, but best chances would likely be across far southern part
of our forecast area late this afternoon.

Given mean wind flow and high precipitable water values, potential
for heavy rainfall exists in areas which experience training
cells, perhaps with better chances over our north and northeast
counties.

On Saturday, cold front will push through the area with GFS a bit
faster than NAM, accompanied by showers. Current forecast has
Saturday high temps ranging from low 50s NW to low 70s SE, but
frontal timing may require refinement.

.LONG TERM...(Saturday night through Friday)
Issued at 245 PM MDT Fri May 18 2018

Long range guidance suggests that split flow aloft will prevail
over the western CONUS through next week -- and that shortwave
energy digging ashore the PAC NW on Sunday will amplify into a
closed low that stalls over portions of the Intermountain West
Mon-Wed. W-SW flow aloft is expected downstream over the Rockies
and High Plains. Given a complicated synoptic pattern
characterized by split flow and a cut-off low -- confidence is
very low w/regard to sensible weather over the Tri-State area
next week.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 00Z TAFS through 00Z Saturday evening)
Issued at 603 PM MDT Fri May 18 2018

Widespread thunderstorms that will be severe and producing heavy
rainfall are developing and expanding over the area. Prevailing
conditions will be Mvfr with occasional ifr conditions through
this period. Winds will be gusty and variable.

&&

.GLD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
KS...NONE.
CO...NONE.
NE...NONE.
&&

UPDATE...BULLER
SHORT TERM...DLF
LONG TERM...VINCENT
AVIATION...BULLER

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Goodland KS
629 PM MDT Fri May 18 2018

COZ090>092-KSZ001>004-013>016-027>029-041-042-NEZ079>081-191200-
Yuma County-Kit Carson County-Cheyenne County-Cheyenne-Rawlins-
Decatur-Norton-Sherman-Thomas-Sheridan-Graham-Wallace-Logan-Gove-
Greeley-Wichita-Dundy-Hitchcock-Red Willow-
629 PM MDT Fri May 18 2018 /729 PM CDT Fri May 18 2018/

This hazardous weather outlook is for extreme southwest Nebraska...
northwest Kansas and east central Colorado.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT...

Scattered to numerous thunderstorms are expected across the area
through the night. For this evening, these storms will be capable of
producing large hail, damaging winds, and a few tornadoes. Through
the night these storms will be capable of producing very heavy
rainfall that could cause flash flooding.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH FRIDAY...

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation will be needed

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
733 PM MDT FRI MAY 18 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0724 PM     HAIL             3 NW KANONA             39.83N 100.44W
05/18/2018  E1.00 INCH       DECATUR            KS   NWS EMPLOYEE

&&

BWARREN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
740 PM MDT FRI MAY 18 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0727 PM     HAIL             QUINTER                 39.07N 100.23W
05/18/2018  E1.75 INCH       GOVE               KS   TRAINED SPOTTER

0731 PM     HAIL             4 N COLBY               39.45N 101.05W
05/18/2018  E1.00 INCH       THOMAS             KS   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

MBULLER

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
745 PM MDT FRI MAY 18 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0738 PM     HAIL             1 SSE QUINTER           39.05N 100.23W
05/18/2018  E2.75 INCH       GOVE               KS   EMERGENCY MNGR

            REPORTED BETWEEN MILE MARKER 108 AND 109 ON I70

&&

BWARREN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
752 PM MDT FRI MAY 18 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0730 PM     HAIL             7 NW THE MONUMENT ROCKS 38.85N 100.86W
05/18/2018  M1.50 INCH       LOGAN              KS   STORM CHASER

&&

BWARREN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
753 PM MDT FRI MAY 18 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0640 PM     HAIL             7 NE ATWOOD             39.88N 100.95W
05/18/2018  E1.75 INCH       RAWLINS            KS   PUBLIC

0640 PM     TSTM WND DMG     7 NE ATWOOD             39.88N 100.95W
05/18/2018                   RAWLINS            KS   PUBLIC

            3 TO 4 INCH DIAMETER LIMBS WERE BROKEN. REPORT IS IN THE
            SAME PLACE AS THE GOLFBALL HAIL. BOTH ARE DELAYED
            REPORTS.

0740 PM     FUNNEL CLOUD     COLBY                   39.39N 101.05W
05/18/2018                   THOMAS             KS   EMERGENCY MNGR

            EMERGENCY MANAGER RECEIVED TWO REPORTS OF FUNNEL CLOUDS.
            ONE OVER THE TOWN AND JUST TO THE NORTHEAST OF TOWN.

&&

MBULLER

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
756 PM MDT FRI MAY 18 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0715 PM     HAIL             9 N COLBY               39.52N 101.05W
05/18/2018  E0.50 INCH       THOMAS             KS   PUBLIC

&&

BWARREN