Alert archive / Georgia / Special Weather Statements in 2018

Special Weather Statement, NWS Atlanta, GA

July 16, 2018Gwinnett County, Georgia

NWS Atlanta, GA issued this special weather statement at Jul 16, 2018, 3:30 PM EDT for Gwinnett County, Georgia. It was in force for 30 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jul 16, 2018, 3:30 PM EDT (19:30 UTC)
Expired
Jul 16, 2018, 4:00 PM EDT
In force
30 min
Issued by
NWS Atlanta, GA
Wind
40

County Gwinnett County, GA

The radar

The Atlanta radar (KFFC), 91 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 19:32 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Peachtre/Fal Fld, GA (KFFC), launched 12:00Z, 7.5 hours before the alert went out and 87 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Peachtre/Fal Fld, GA at 12:00Z on 2018-07-16Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 842 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Peachtre/Fal Fld, GA at 12:00Z on 2018-07-16The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 15 square meters per square second.1939Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
842 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-26 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
638 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
10 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
15 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
17 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

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What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this special weather statement went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Atlanta, GA wrote its last area forecast discussion before this special weather statement went out at Jul 16, 1:35 PM EDT, 1 hour 55 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jul 16, 1:35 PM EDT, 1 hour 55 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion...Updated for Aviation
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
135 PM EDT Mon Jul 16 2018

.UPDATE...

18z Aviation update below.

41

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /Issued 345 AM EDT Mon Jul 16 2018/

SHORT TERM /Today through Tuesday/...

High PWAT regime continues today along with some aided upper forcing
from a weak shortwave, warranting likely pops area-wide peaking with
daytime heating which could linger a bit longer into the overnight
given how slow the trough axis is to progress. Thermal profiles
indicate tall skinny CAPE of 2000-3000 J/kg and given how the lapse
rates are not impressive given the well saturated column and how the
last several days have trended, thinking severe convection is not
anticipated and primarily some strong storms instead. Main threats
will be isolated flooding from the precip efficiency, occasional
lightning and gusty winds.

The greater moisture axis does shift farther south into central GA
for Tuesday, though should be enough influence from the
aforementioned upper wave and also a weak front approaching the
north by late afternoon/evening that will still warrant likely pops
for the majority of the area. Storms should have less chance for
flood potential given some mid/upper level drier air advecting in
and resultant PWATs down to about 1.5 inches.

Temp fcst slightly lower today in the upper 80s for most given
greater precip coverage then a bit higher Tuesday with some drier
columns.

Baker

&&

.LONG TERM /Tuesday Night through Sunday/...

Medium-range models continue to show an amplifying upper-level
pattern developing through the majority of the extended forecast
period. Frontal boundary settling into the southern portion of the
forecast area as we begin the period concentrates best POPs across
the southern half of the area mid-week. Strong short wave and
associated surface front should increase POPs areawide as we head
into the weekend. With moderate mid-level winds associated with this
system, combined with enhanced forcing and at least moderate
instability, we will need to keep an eye on the potential for an
increased severe thunderstorms threat. Noticeable divergence between
the GFS and the ECMWF for the latter portion of the period, but I
have kept at least chance POPs through the end of this forecast
cycle.

20

&&

.AVIATION...
18Z Update...
Some mvfr ceilings were lingering...but should continue to improve
to widespread sct-bkn035-045. Showers and thunderstorms should
develop in any location with no real feature to focus on. There
is also the potential showers and storms could linger beyond 00z
this evening into portions of the overnight but not confident
which taf sites would be affected. Winds should remain on
the west side...mostly southwesr 5 to 7kt and diminish
overnight. Some potential for ifr again overnight with such a moist
airmass.

//ATL Confidence...18Z Update...
High on all elements except medium on ifr for Tuesday morning.

41

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Athens          87  72  90  72 /  70  50  60  40
Atlanta         88  73  89  73 /  70  50  60  40
Blairsville     82  67  84  67 /  70  50  60  30
Cartersville    88  72  90  71 /  70  50  60  40
Columbus        90  75  90  74 /  60  50  70  50
Gainesville     86  72  89  71 /  70  50  60  40
Macon           89  73  90  73 /  60  50  60  40
Rome            89  72  90  71 /  60  40  60  40
Peachtree City  89  72  89  72 /  70  50  70  40
Vidalia         89  74  89  74 /  60  50  60  40

&&

.FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

SHORT TERM...41
LONG TERM....20
AVIATION...41
Hazardous weather outlook, Jul 16, 1:00 PM EDT, 2 hours 30 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
100 PM EDT Mon Jul 16 2018

GAZ001>009-011>016-019>025-027-030>039-041>062-066>076-078>086-
089>098-102>113-171000-
Baldwin-Banks-Barrow-Bartow-Bibb-Bleckley-Butts-Carroll-Catoosa-
Chattahoochee-Chattooga-Cherokee-Clarke-Clayton-Cobb-Coweta-
Crawford-Crisp-Dade-Dawson-DeKalb-Dodge-Dooly-Douglas-Emanuel-
Fannin-Fayette-Floyd-Forsyth-Gilmer-Glascock-Gordon-Greene-
Gwinnett-Hall-Hancock-Haralson-Harris-Heard-Henry-Houston-Jackson-
Jasper-Jefferson-Johnson-Jones-Lamar-Laurens-Lumpkin-Macon-
Madison-Marion-Meriwether-Monroe-Montgomery-Morgan-Murray-
Muscogee-Newton-North Fulton-Oconee-Oglethorpe-Paulding-Peach-
Pickens-Pike-Polk-Pulaski-Putnam-Rockdale-Schley-South Fulton-
Spalding-Stewart-Sumter-Talbot-Taliaferro-Taylor-Telfair-Toombs-
Towns-Treutlen-Troup-Twiggs-Union-Upson-Walker-Walton-Warren-
Washington-Webster-Wheeler-White-Whitfield-Wilcox-Wilkes-
Wilkinson-
100 PM EDT Mon Jul 16 2018

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of North and Central
Georgia.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight...

Scattered to numerous thunderstorms are expected across north and
central Georgia this afternoon and tonight, most numerous between 3
and midnight, although isolated storms will continue overnight. A
few of these storms could also be strong, producing gusty winds and
occasional lightning. However, the main hazard from the
thunderstorms will be locally heavy rainfall. The heavy rain could
cause temporary street flooding and ponding of water in low lying
areas.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday...

Scattered to numerous thunderstorms are expected Tuesday through
Sunday, mainly in the afternoon and evening hours each day. A few
strong to severe thunderstorms will be possible each day with strong,
gusty winds, frequent lightning, and very heavy rainfall.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not requested but spotters are encouraged to
submit reports of severe weather through the web by going to
weather.gov/atlanta.

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Jul 16, 2:32 PM EDT, 58 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
232 PM EDT MON JUL 16 2018

GAZ022-033-034-161900-
North Fulton GA-Forsyth GA-Gwinnett GA-
232 PM EDT MON JUL 16 2018

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTH FULTON...SOUTHWESTERN
FORSYTH AND NORTHWESTERN GWINNETT COUNTIES UNTIL 300 PM EDT...

At 232 PM EDT...a strong thunderstorm was over Johns Creek, or 11
miles southwest of Cumming...moving east at 10 mph.

  HAZARD...Up to 40 mph wind...pea sized hail and frequent cloud to
           ground lightning.

  IMPACT...Expect minor damage to tree limbs and blowing around of
           light...unsecured objects.

Some locations in the path of this storm include
Johns Creek, Alpharetta, Duluth, Sugar Hill, Suwanee, Berkeley Lake
and Brookwood.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People outdoors should seek shelter immediately. If you can hear
thunder...you are close enough to be struck by lightning.

LAT...LON 3397 8426 3410 8428 3416 8408 3395 8406
TIME...MOT...LOC 1832Z 268DEG 9KT 3405 8422

HAIL...0.25IN
WIND...40MPH
Special weather statement, Jul 16, 2:51 PM EDT, 39 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
251 PM EDT MON JUL 16 2018

GAZ025-034-035-047-161915-
Jackson GA-Walton GA-Barrow GA-Gwinnett GA-
251 PM EDT MON JUL 16 2018

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR WESTERN JACKSON...NORTHWESTERN
WALTON...WESTERN BARROW AND NORTHEASTERN GWINNETT COUNTIES UNTIL 315
PM EDT...

At 250 PM EDT...a strong thunderstorm was over Hog Mountain, or near
Lawrenceville...moving east at 15 mph.

  HAZARD...Up to 40 mph wind...pea sized hail and frequent cloud to
           ground lightning.

  IMPACT...Expect minor damage to tree limbs and blowing around of
           light...unsecured objects.

Some locations in the path of this storm include
Lawrenceville, Winder, Buford, Braselton, Auburn, Dacula, Hoschton,
Carl, Rest Haven, Bold Springs, County Line, Harbin, Chateau Elan and
Hog Mountain.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People outdoors should seek shelter immediately. If you can hear
thunder...you are close enough to be struck by lightning.

LAT...LON 3412 8393 3410 8387 3411 8385 3409 8370
      3386 8378 3397 8404 3413 8399
TIME...MOT...LOC 1850Z 289DEG 11KT 3405 8393

HAIL...0.25IN
WIND...40MPH
Special weather statement, Jul 16, 3:01 PM EDT, 29 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
301 PM EDT MON JUL 16 2018

GAZ022-023-033-034-161930-
Hall GA-North Fulton GA-Forsyth GA-Gwinnett GA-
301 PM EDT MON JUL 16 2018

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHWESTERN HALL...NORTH
FULTON...SOUTHWESTERN FORSYTH AND NORTHWESTERN GWINNETT COUNTIES
UNTIL 330 PM EDT...

At 300 PM EDT...a cluster of strong thunderstorms was located near
Aqualand Park to Mechanicsville...and moving east at 20 mph.

  HAZARD...Up to 40 mph wind...pea sized hail and frequent cloud to
           ground lightning.

  IMPACT...Expect minor damage to tree limbs and blowing around of
           light...unsecured objects.

Some locations in the path of these storms include
Cumming, Johns Creek, Alpharetta, Duluth, Sugar Hill, Suwanee,
Buford, Lilburn, Norcross, Berkeley Lake, Buford Dam-Lake Lanier
Parks, Brookwood, Mechanicsville and Lake Lanier Islands.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People outdoors should seek shelter immediately. If you can hear
thunder...you are close enough to be struck by lightning.

LAT...LON 3419 8397 3386 8407 3390 8423 3391 8425
      3395 8425 3422 8417
TIME...MOT...LOC 1900Z 292DEG 19KT 3417 8396 3392 8425

HAIL...0.25IN
WIND...40MPH
Special weather statement, Jul 16, 3:16 PM EDT, 14 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
316 PM EDT MON JUL 16 2018

GAZ023-025-034-035-037-047-161945-
Hall GA-Jackson GA-Walton GA-Barrow GA-Gwinnett GA-Oconee GA-
316 PM EDT MON JUL 16 2018

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHWESTERN HALL...SOUTHWESTERN
JACKSON...NORTHWESTERN WALTON...BARROW...EASTERN GWINNETT AND
NORTHWESTERN OCONEE COUNTIES UNTIL 345 PM EDT...

At 316 PM EDT...a strong thunderstorm was over Carl, or near
Winder...moving southeast at 20 mph.

  HAZARD...Up to 40 mph wind...pea sized hail and frequent cloud to
           ground lightning.

  IMPACT...Expect minor damage to tree limbs and blowing around of
           light...unsecured objects.

Some locations in the path of this storm include
Lawrenceville, Winder, Monroe, Snellville, Buford, Loganville,
Braselton, Auburn, Flowery Branch, Dacula, Grayson, Statham,
Hoschton, Walnut Grove, Bogart, Bethlehem, Between, Carl, Jersey and
Rest Haven.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People outdoors should seek shelter immediately. If you can hear
thunder...you are close enough to be struck by lightning.

LAT...LON 3401 8348 3399 8349 3400 8350 3399 8350
      3398 8351 3397 8354 3395 8353 3368 8378
      3384 8408 3419 8397
TIME...MOT...LOC 1916Z 301DEG 15KT 3400 8382

HAIL...0.25IN
WIND...40MPH
Special weather statement, Jul 16, 3:23 PM EDT, 7 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
323 PM EDT MON JUL 16 2018

GAZ003-162000-
Catoosa GA-
323 PM EDT MON JUL 16 2018

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR CATOOSA COUNTY UNTIL 400 PM
EDT...

At 323 PM EDT...a strong thunderstorm was over Boynton, or near
Ringgold...moving northeast at 10 mph.

  HAZARD...Up to 40 mph wind...pea sized hail and frequent cloud to
           ground lightning.

  IMPACT...Expect minor damage to tree limbs and blowing around of
           light...unsecured objects.

Some locations in the path of this storm include
Ringgold, Fort Oglethorpe, Boynton, Beaumont, Indian Springs,
Graysville, Blue Spring, Apison and East Ridge.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People outdoors should seek shelter immediately. If you can hear
thunder...you are close enough to be struck by lightning.

LAT...LON 3498 8498 3497 8500 3496 8500 3479 8519
      3481 8520 3485 8520 3486 8525 3488 8527
      3494 8527 3499 8520 3499 8499
TIME...MOT...LOC 1923Z 227DEG 9KT 3491 8522

HAIL...0.25IN
WIND...40MPH
Special weather statement, Jul 16, 3:30 PM EDT, 0 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
330 PM EDT MON JUL 16 2018

GAZ022-023-033-034-162000-
Hall GA-North Fulton GA-Forsyth GA-Gwinnett GA-
330 PM EDT MON JUL 16 2018

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHWESTERN HALL...NORTH
FULTON...SOUTHWESTERN FORSYTH AND NORTHWESTERN GWINNETT COUNTIES
UNTIL 400 PM EDT...

At 330 PM EDT...a strong thunderstorm was over Brookwood, or 7 miles
south of Cumming...moving southeast at 10 mph.

  HAZARD...Up to 40 mph wind...frequent cloud to ground lightning
           and heavy rain.

  IMPACT...Expect minor damage to tree limbs and blowing around of
           light...unsecured objects. Heavy rain may cause temporary
           street flooding especially in poor drainage areas.

Some locations in the path of this storm include
Cumming, Johns Creek, Alpharetta, Duluth, Sugar Hill, Suwanee,
Buford, Buford Dam-Lake Lanier Parks, Brookwood and Lake Lanier
Islands.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People outdoors should seek shelter immediately. If you can hear
thunder...you are close enough to be struck by lightning. Motorists
should slow down and be prepared for possible loss of control due to
hydroplaning.

LAT...LON 3410 8427 3420 8414 3417 8397 3392 8406
TIME...MOT...LOC 1930Z 301DEG 9KT 3409 8413

WIND...40MPH

The office that day

Everything else NWS Atlanta, GA issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 15, 9:02 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementFFCHaralson28 min
Jul 15, 9:22 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementFFCPaulding38 min
Jul 15, 9:27 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementFFCHaralson33 min
Jul 15, 9:49 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementFFCDouglas26 min
Jul 15, 10:08 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementFFCHaralson, Paulding37 min
Jul 15, 10:16 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementFFCDouglas29 min
Jul 15, 10:55 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementFFCCobb35 min
Jul 16, 12:16 AM EDTSpecial Weather StatementFFCDawson, Lumpkin59 min
Jul 16, 12:20 AM EDTSpecial Weather StatementFFCDeKalb, Forsyth55 min
Jul 16, 1:10 AM EDTSpecial Weather StatementFFCDawson, Lumpkin80 min
Jul 16, 1:44 AM EDTRiver Flood WarningFFCFulton, Gwinnett2 hr
Jul 16, 1:07 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementFFCUnion38 min
Jul 16, 1:37 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementFFCWhitfield38 min
Jul 16, 1:39 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementFFCUnion36 min
Jul 16, 2:11 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementFFCGordon49 min
Jul 16, 2:15 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementFFCCobb30 min
Jul 16, 2:32 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementFFCGwinnett28 min
Jul 16, 2:51 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementFFCBarrow24 min
Jul 16, 3:01 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementFFCGwinnett29 min
Jul 16, 3:16 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementFFCBarrow, Gwinnett, Walton29 min
Jul 16, 3:23 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementFFCCatoosa37 min
Jul 16, 3:46 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementFFCBarrow29 min
Jul 16, 4:12 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementFFCRockdale33 min
Jul 16, 4:47 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementFFCMontgomery, Toombs28 min
Jul 16, 5:00 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementFFCWheeler30 min
Jul 16, 5:21 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementFFCMontgomery24 min
Jul 16, 6:45 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementFFCCarroll30 min
Jul 16, 7:21 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementFFCCarroll24 min
Jul 16, 7:45 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementFFCCarroll30 min

Nearby

Special Weather Statements in Georgia, 2018Every special weather statement in 2018

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.