Severe Thunderstorm Warning 94, NWS Des Moines, IA

590 
WWUS53 KDMX 062211
SVSDMX

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Des Moines IA
511 PM CDT WED JUN 6 2018

IAC083-127-169-062230-
/O.CON.KDMX.SV.W.0094.000000T0000Z-180606T2230Z/
Story IA-Hardin IA-Marshall IA-
511 PM CDT WED JUN 6 2018

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 530 PM CDT
FOR NORTHEASTERN STORY...SOUTHERN HARDIN AND NORTHWESTERN MARSHALL
COUNTIES...

At 511 PM CDT, a severe thunderstorm was located 10 miles north of
State Center, or 13 miles south of Eldora, moving east at 20 mph.

HAZARD...Ping pong ball size hail and 60 mph wind gusts.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...People and animals outdoors will be injured. Expect hail 
         damage to roofs, siding, windows, and vehicles. Expect wind 
         damage to roofs, siding, and trees.

Locations impacted include...
State Center, Hubbard, Zearing, Radcliffe, Union, McCallsburg,
Liscomb, New Providence, Whitten, Clemons, St. Anthony, Garden City,
Eldora Municipal Airport and Drake Airport.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

Prepare immediately for large hail and damaging winds. People outside
should move to a shelter, inside a strong building and away from
windows.

&&

LAT...LON 4196 9301 4208 9346 4242 9346 4232 9301
TIME...MOT...LOC 2211Z 286DEG 16KT 4217 9316 

HAIL...1.50IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

REV

430 
WWUS53 KDMX 062231
SVSDMX

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Des Moines IA
531 PM CDT WED JUN 6 2018

IAC083-127-169-062240-
/O.EXP.KDMX.SV.W.0094.000000T0000Z-180606T2230Z/
Story IA-Hardin IA-Marshall IA-
531 PM CDT WED JUN 6 2018

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR NORTHEASTERN STORY...SOUTHERN
HARDIN AND NORTHWESTERN MARSHALL COUNTIES HAS EXPIRED...
                
This warning has been replaced by a new warning for portions of the 
area until 615 pm CDT.

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 1000 PM CDT for
central Iowa.

To report severe weather, contact your nearest law enforcement
agency. They will relay your report to the National Weather Service
Des Moines .

LAT...LON 4196 9301 4208 9346 4242 9346 4232 9301
TIME...MOT...LOC 2230Z 288DEG 22KT 4213 9301 

$$

REV

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Des Moines IA
254 PM CDT Wed Jun 6 2018

.DISCUSSION.../Tonight through Wednesday/
Issued at 253 PM CDT Wed Jun 6 2018

Iowa is just downstream of the upper ridge axis across the Plains in
an area of good warm advection and moisture advection.  Strong
instability has developed into the western half of Iowa this
afternoon as temperatures and dewpoints have quickly risen. Surface
boundary is pushing into northern Iowa with a weak shortwave
crossing through South Dakota along with some associated forcing.
This setup is the main concern in the short term with the potential
for severe convection late this afternoon into tonight. Latest GOES-
16 visible imagery is showing agitated cumulus near Storm Lake
and cap is likely to break within an hour or two as the updrafts
continue to strengthen and the front approaches. Given the strong
instability, rapid development is expected once initiation occurs.
However, shear is modest at best with effective bulk shear around
25- 35kts across much of the area. Despite this lack of stronger
shear, the strong instability should be more than sufficient for
severe hail production. Downdraft CAPES are also robust with
values of 1200-1400 adding the wind threat component as well. Any
tornado potential is likely to be early in the event with initial
strong updrafts stretching out any available surface vorticity
near the boundary. As gusts fronts consolidate into the evening,
the system is likely to become a forward propagating line moving
southeast through central into southern Iowa during the evening
with hail and winds the main threat. Heavy rains will also occur
given PWATs approaching 1.5 inches although as the system become
more progressive, the overall threat for flash flooding is
expected to remain limited, although urban areas are always
concerning in high rate events.

This convective complex is expected to pass out of southern Iowa
this evening.  However, main low level flow will continue to be
focused just west of the forecast area in Nebraska as southeast
South Dakota overnight with convection continuing in those
locations.  Upper flow will likely carry some of this convection
into western areas overnight with additional rainfall and some
limited severe threat persisting through sunrise.

Another round of convection is expected from later Thursday
afternoon into Friday morning as a shortwave passes through the
Plains and toward the state.  There remains the potential for severe
weather during this time along with heavy rain although detail
remain somewhat sketchy as the convection tonight into early
Thursday will impact Thursday afternoons outcome.  The potential for
additional periods of convection persist into the weekend and
especially later Monday into Monday night as the main shortwave
passes through the state.  Temperatures will be at the mercy of
convection, although with no push of colder air until early next
week, readings will remain mostly above normal.

&&

.AVIATION.../For the 18Z TAFS through 18Z Thursday afternoon/
Issued at 1235 PM CDT Wed Jun 6 2018

Morning convection has waned and focus is now on redevelopment
this afternoon, likely toward 21z along or south of Highway 20.
Storms will then propagate southeast or south with uncertainty
still around on exact timing and impacts, but likely will be
gusty and variable winds and restrictions to visibility and
ceilings. These storms should exit the area later this evening,
but may see new storms approach from the west after 6z, which is
not currently reflected in the official TAFs with low confidence.

&&

.DMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.

&&

DISCUSSION...Cogil
AVIATION...Ansorge

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Des Moines IA
329 PM CDT Wed Jun 6 2018

IAZ004>007-015>017-023>028-033>039-044>050-057>062-070>075-
081>086-092>097-072030-
Emmet-Kossuth-Winnebago-Worth-Palo Alto-Hancock-Cerro Gordo-
Pocahontas-Humboldt-Wright-Franklin-Butler-Bremer-Sac-Calhoun-
Webster-Hamilton-Hardin-Grundy-Black Hawk-Crawford-Carroll-Greene-
Boone-Story-Marshall-Tama-Audubon-Guthrie-Dallas-Polk-Jasper-
Poweshiek-Cass-Adair-Madison-Warren-Marion-Mahaska-Adams-Union-
Clarke-Lucas-Monroe-Wapello-Taylor-Ringgold-Decatur-Wayne-
Appanoose-Davis-
329 PM CDT Wed Jun 6 2018

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of central Iowa.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight

Scattered strong to severe thunderstorms are developing this
afternoon and will continue into tonight. The main threats will
be damaging thunderstorm wind gusts, large hail, and heavy rain.
An isolated tornado or two is also possible.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday

An active weather pattern will continue into the weekend. A few
severe storms are possible on Thursday and Friday with the main
threat expected to be hail and winds. The heavy rain potential
also exists Thursday.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotters might be needed this afternoon into tonight and at times
Thursday into this weekend.

Ansorge

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DES MOINES IA
423 PM CDT WED JUN 6 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0423 PM     HAIL             HOLLAND                 42.40N 92.80W
06/06/2018  E0.88 INCH       GRUNDY             IA   BROADCAST MEDIA

&&

ANGLE

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DES MOINES IA
426 PM CDT WED JUN 6 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0426 PM     HAIL             STANHOPE                42.29N 93.80W
06/06/2018  E1.00 INCH       HAMILTON           IA   LAW ENFORCEMENT

&&

ANGLE

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DES MOINES IA
430 PM CDT WED JUN 6 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0427 PM     HAIL             2 ENE STANHOPE          42.30N 93.76W
06/06/2018  E1.50 INCH       HAMILTON           IA   TRAINED SPOTTER

            STILL ONGOING.

&&

RD

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DES MOINES IA
431 PM CDT WED JUN 6 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0415 PM     HAIL             4 N ROCKWELL CITY       42.45N 94.64W
06/06/2018  E0.88 INCH       CALHOUN            IA   TRAINED SPOTTER

            TIME ESTIMATED.

&&

ANSORGE

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DES MOINES IA
435 PM CDT WED JUN 6 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0428 PM     HAIL             3 E STANHOPE            42.28N 93.74W
06/06/2018  M1.00 INCH       HAMILTON           IA   TRAINED SPOTTER

            VIA SOCIAL MEDIA.

&&

ANSORGE

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DES MOINES IA
441 PM CDT WED JUN 6 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0438 PM     HAIL             3 E STANHOPE            42.28N 93.74W
06/06/2018  E1.75 INCH       HAMILTON           IA   TRAINED SPOTTER

            SEVERAL OBLONG PIECES UP TO GOLFBALL SIZED,
            CONSISTENT NICKEL TO QUARTER SIZED HAIL. VIA
            SOCIAL MEDIA.

&&

ANSORGE