Severe Thunderstorm Warning 206, NWS Dodge City, KS

862 
WWUS53 KDDC 192149
SVSDDC

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
449 PM CDT TUE JUN 19 2018

KSC075-192159-
/O.CAN.KDDC.SV.W.0206.000000T0000Z-180619T2230Z/
Hamilton KS-
449 PM CDT TUE JUN 19 2018

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR SOUTHEASTERN HAMILTON COUNTY
IS CANCELLED...
    
The severe thunderstorm which prompted the warning has moved out of 
the warned area.  Therefore, the warning has been cancelled.

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 1100 PM CDT for
southwestern Kansas.

LAT...LON 3804 10105 3774 10085 3774 10152 3794 10154
TIME...MOT...LOC 2149Z 227DEG 20KT 3782 10134 

$$

KSC055-093-192230-
/O.CON.KDDC.SV.W.0206.000000T0000Z-180619T2230Z/
Kearny KS-Finney KS-
449 PM CDT TUE JUN 19 2018

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 530 PM CDT
FOR SOUTHERN KEARNY AND SOUTHWESTERN FINNEY COUNTIES...

At 449 PM CDT, a severe thunderstorm was located 9 miles southwest of
Lakin, moving northeast at 25 mph.

HAZARD...Ping pong ball size hail and 60 mph wind gusts.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...People and animals outdoors will be injured. Expect hail 
         damage to roofs, siding, windows, and vehicles. Expect wind 
         damage to roofs, siding, and trees.

Locations impacted include...
Lakin, Deerfield and Kendall. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

&&

LAT...LON 3804 10105 3774 10085 3774 10152 3794 10154
TIME...MOT...LOC 2149Z 227DEG 20KT 3782 10134 

HAIL...1.50IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

TATRO

507 
WWUS53 KDDC 192158
SVSDDC

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
458 PM CDT TUE JUN 19 2018

KSC055-093-192230-
/O.CON.KDDC.SV.W.0206.000000T0000Z-180619T2230Z/
Kearny KS-Finney KS-
458 PM CDT TUE JUN 19 2018

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 530 PM CDT
FOR SOUTHERN KEARNY AND SOUTHWESTERN FINNEY COUNTIES...

At 458 PM CDT, a severe thunderstorm was located 6 miles south of
Lakin, moving northeast at 25 mph.

HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts and quarter size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Hail damage to vehicles is expected. Expect wind damage to 
         roofs, siding, and trees.

Locations impacted include...
Lakin and Deerfield. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

&&

LAT...LON 3804 10105 3781 10090 3779 10133 3795 10148
TIME...MOT...LOC 2158Z 244DEG 20KT 3785 10130 

HAIL...1.00IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

TATRO

481 
WWUS53 KDDC 192209
SVSDDC

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
509 PM CDT TUE JUN 19 2018

KSC055-093-192219-
/O.CAN.KDDC.SV.W.0206.000000T0000Z-180619T2230Z/
Kearny KS-Finney KS-
509 PM CDT TUE JUN 19 2018

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR SOUTHERN KEARNY AND
SOUTHWESTERN FINNEY COUNTIES IS CANCELLED...
                
The storm which prompted the warning has weakened below severe
limits, and no longer poses an immediate threat to life or property.
Therefore, the warning has been cancelled.

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 1100 PM CDT for
southwestern Kansas.

LAT...LON 3804 10105 3781 10090 3779 10133 3795 10148
TIME...MOT...LOC 2208Z 256DEG 28KT 3787 10119 

$$

TATRO

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
112 PM CDT Tue Jun 19 2018

...Updated Long Term...

.SHORT TERM...(This afternoon through Wednesday)
Issued at 1154 AM CDT Tue Jun 19 2018

Potential for severe weather, MCS, and heavy rain setting up from
this evening through the overnight. An upper level low in Montana
will kick out a shortwave which will move from central Colorado
into western Kansas through tonight. This wave will combine with
a stationary to an eventual cold front across west central Kansas
to produce several areas of rain. The highest confidence of the
heaviest rain of possibly 2-3 inches will be along and just south
of the I-70 corridor. Models are hinting at a couple rounds of
initiation with the first being during the afternoon and then
another round of storms coming in from northeast Colorado in
association with the main shortwave and cold front.

Severe threat initially this afternoon will be a short time frame
of supercells primarily along the Colorado border where we could
see large hail and an isolated tornado threat. As the event
evolves it will quickly become a wind threat as the storms will
quickly develop into a line and move across the area.

Wednesday as the upper low progresses into Nebraska and the
shortwave move into central Kansas the rain should gradually end
from west to east through the morning into the afternoon. With the
clouds hanging around and cold air advection high temperatures
will be in the lower to mid 80s.

.LONG TERM...(Wednesday night through Tuesday)
Issued at 104 PM CDT Tue Jun 19 2018

The upper level low slowly moves eastward into Iowa Wednesday
evening into Thursday morning and will bring in a second cold
front across the region. This will lead to cooler temperatures
through the day Thursday into Friday morning.

The storm system should exit the area by Friday bringing the
return of southeast winds and moisture. Both GFS and Euro hint at
convection trying to develop along a warm front as a shortwave
moves out of Colorado by the late afternoon.

The weekend has another upper level low developing in the Pacific
northwest and moving towards the Rockies with a good baroclinic
zone developing roughly along the I-70 corridor. With upslope flow
and moisture in place the possibility of another heavy rain event
and MCS could be in place.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 18Z TAFS through 18Z Wednesday afternoon)
Issued at 1215 PM CDT Tue Jun 19 2018

Thunderstorms will become likely as we go throughout this
afternoon and especially tonight. Heavy rain, which will reduce
surface visibilities, and gusty winds from the storms will be a
threat for all TAF sites primarily from 01Z- 09Z. There is the
possibility at HYS and GCK of thunderstorms occurring as early as
22Z.  The thunderstorm threat should gradually subside for all
TAF sites after 12Z with ceiling slowly rising through the day.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DDC  95  64  84  60 /  20  90  50  10
GCK  95  63  84  59 /  40  90  30  10
EHA  95  62  84  59 /  30  70  20  10
LBL  95  65  84  60 /  20  80  30  10
HYS  94  66  82  60 /  50  90  20  20
P28  95  69  82  64 /  10  70  60  10

&&

.DDC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Flash Flood Watch from 7 PM CDT this evening through Wednesday
morning for KSZ030-031-043>045.

&&

SHORT TERM...Tatro
LONG TERM...Tatro
AVIATION...Tatro

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
336 AM CDT Tue Jun 19 2018

KSZ030-031-043>046-061>066-074>081-084>090-200845-
Trego-Ellis-Scott-Lane-Ness-Rush-Hamilton-Kearny-Finney-Hodgeman-
Pawnee-Stafford-Stanton-Grant-Haskell-Gray-Ford-Edwards-Kiowa-
Pratt-Morton-Stevens-Seward-Meade-Clark-Comanche-Barber-
336 AM CDT Tue Jun 19 2018 /236 AM MDT Tue Jun 19 2018/

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of central...south
central...southwest and west central Kansas.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Day 1 Discussion
----------------

Strong to severe thunderstorms are expected late this afternoon
into the overnight period, first across west central Kansas
spreading southeast as the night progresses. The strongest storms
will be capable of producing hail around 2 inches and winds over
70 mph. An isolated tornado can not be ruled out across west
central Kansas late this afternoon.

A flash flood watch will be in effect along the I-70 corridor late
this afternoon into the overnight period. See the latest flood
product for more information.

Day 1 Hazards
-------------
* Lightning: Significant risk
* Excessive heat: Limited risk
* Non-thunderstorm wind: Limited risk

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

Days 2-7 Discussion
-------------------

A chance of thunderstorms will be possible across south central
Kansas Wednesday morning. These storms are not expected to be
severe at this time.

A chance of thunderstorms will be possible Friday night and again
Sunday. It is too early to tell if any of these storms will become
severe.

Days 2-7 Hazards
----------------
* Wednesday
  - Lightning: Elevated risk
  - Severe thunderstorm: Limited risk

* Thursday
  - Lightning: Limited risk
  - Non thunderstorm wind: Limited risk

* Friday
  - Lightning: Limited risk

* Saturday
  - Lightning: Limited risk
  - Excessive heat: Limited risk

* Sunday
  - Lightning: Limited risk
  - Excessive heat: Limited risk

* Monday
  - Lightning: Limited risk
  - Excessive heat: Limited risk

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation may be needed first across west central Kansas
late this afternoon spreading southeast this evening into tonight.

&&

For more details visit our webpage http://weather.gov/ddc/ehwo

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
344 PM CDT TUE JUN 19 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0340 PM     HAIL             1 W ULYSSES             37.58N 101.38W
06/19/2018  E0.88 INCH       GRANT              KS   PUBLIC

            DIME TO NICKEL HAIL WAS REPORTED.

&&

MR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
358 PM CDT TUE JUN 19 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0354 PM     HAIL             1 SW SCOTT CITY         38.47N 100.92W
06/19/2018  E0.88 INCH       SCOTT              KS   PUBLIC

&&

MR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
404 PM CDT TUE JUN 19 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0400 PM     HAIL             9 WSW RICHFIELD         37.23N 101.95W
06/19/2018  E1.00 INCH       MORTON             KS   PUBLIC

&&

MR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
416 PM CDT TUE JUN 19 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0358 PM     HAIL             7 NNE ULYSSES           37.66N 101.30W
06/19/2018  E0.88 INCH       GRANT              KS   PUBLIC

&&

MR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
432 PM CDT TUE JUN 19 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0400 PM     HAIL             1 S SCOTT CITY          38.47N 100.91W
06/19/2018  E1.00 INCH       SCOTT              KS   EMERGENCY MNGR

&&

MR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
434 PM CDT TUE JUN 19 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0433 PM     HAIL             1 WSW SCOTT CITY        38.47N 100.92W
06/19/2018  E1.00 INCH       SCOTT              KS   PUBLIC

&&

MR