Severe Thunderstorm Warning 203, NWS Dodge City, KS

543 
WWUS53 KDDC 192057 RRA
SVSDDC

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
357 PM CDT TUE JUN 19 2018

KSC067-081-093-192145-
/O.CON.KDDC.SV.W.0203.000000T0000Z-180619T2145Z/
Kearny KS-Grant KS-Haskell KS-
357 PM CDT TUE JUN 19 2018

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 445 PM CDT
FOR SOUTHEASTERN KEARNY...NORTHERN GRANT AND NORTHWESTERN HASKELL
COUNTIES...

At 357 PM CDT, a severe thunderstorm was located 5 miles north of
Hickok, moving northeast at 15 mph.

HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts and half dollar size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Hail damage to vehicles is expected. Expect wind damage to 
         roofs, siding, and trees.

Locations impacted include...
Ulysses and Hickok. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

&&

LAT...LON 3784 10117 3775 10109 3774 10109 3774 10107
      3766 10100 3752 10124 3757 10137 3756 10145
      3766 10153
TIME...MOT...LOC 2057Z 225DEG 14KT 3764 10127 

HAIL...1.25IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

TATRO

262 
WWUS53 KDDC 192113
SVSDDC

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
413 PM CDT TUE JUN 19 2018

KSC067-081-093-192145-
/O.CON.KDDC.SV.W.0203.000000T0000Z-180619T2145Z/
Kearny KS-Grant KS-Haskell KS-
413 PM CDT TUE JUN 19 2018

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 445 PM CDT
FOR SOUTHEASTERN KEARNY...NORTHERN GRANT AND NORTHWESTERN HASKELL
COUNTIES...

At 413 PM CDT, a severe thunderstorm was located 7 miles north of
Ulysses, moving northeast at 30 mph.

HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts and quarter size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Hail damage to vehicles is expected. Expect wind damage to 
         roofs, siding, and trees.

This severe thunderstorm will remain over mainly rural areas of
southeastern Kearny...northern Grant and northwestern Haskell
Counties.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

&&

LAT...LON 3784 10117 3775 10109 3774 10109 3774 10107
      3766 10100 3757 10124 3762 10132 3763 10140
      3768 10148
TIME...MOT...LOC 2113Z 226DEG 24KT 3769 10135 

HAIL...1.00IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

TATRO

473 
WWUS53 KDDC 192129
SVSDDC

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
429 PM CDT TUE JUN 19 2018

KSC081-192139-
/O.CAN.KDDC.SV.W.0203.000000T0000Z-180619T2145Z/
Haskell KS-
429 PM CDT TUE JUN 19 2018

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR NORTHWESTERN HASKELL COUNTY IS
CANCELLED...
    
The severe thunderstorm which prompted the warning has moved out of 
the warned area. Therefore, the warning has been cancelled.

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 1100 PM CDT for
southwestern Kansas.

LAT...LON 3784 10117 3775 10109 3765 10109 3761 10115
      3766 10127 3769 10136 3771 10141
TIME...MOT...LOC 2129Z 232DEG 15KT 3773 10128 

$$

KSC067-093-192145-
/O.CON.KDDC.SV.W.0203.000000T0000Z-180619T2145Z/
Kearny KS-Grant KS-
429 PM CDT TUE JUN 19 2018

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 445 PM CDT
FOR SOUTHEASTERN KEARNY AND NORTHEASTERN GRANT COUNTIES...

At 429 PM CDT, a severe thunderstorm was located 11 miles north of
Ulysses, moving northeast at 15 mph.

HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts and quarter size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Hail damage to vehicles is expected. Expect wind damage to 
         roofs, siding, and trees.

This severe thunderstorm will remain over mainly rural areas of
southeastern Kearny and northeastern Grant Counties.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

&&

LAT...LON 3784 10117 3775 10109 3765 10109 3761 10115
      3766 10127 3769 10136 3771 10141
TIME...MOT...LOC 2129Z 232DEG 15KT 3773 10128 

HAIL...1.00IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

TATRO

065 
WWUS53 KDDC 192138
SVSDDC

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
438 PM CDT TUE JUN 19 2018

KSC067-093-192147-
/O.EXP.KDDC.SV.W.0203.000000T0000Z-180619T2145Z/
Kearny KS-Grant KS-
438 PM CDT TUE JUN 19 2018

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR SOUTHEASTERN KEARNY AND
NORTHEASTERN GRANT COUNTIES WILL EXPIRE AT 445 PM CDT...
        
The storm which prompted the warning has moved out of the area.
Therefore, the warning will be allowed to expire.  Another severe 
thunderstorm warning for Kearney county is currently in effect.

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 1100 PM CDT for
southwestern Kansas.

LAT...LON 3784 10117 3775 10109 3765 10109 3761 10115
      3766 10127 3769 10136 3771 10141
TIME...MOT...LOC 2137Z 232DEG 15KT 3775 10125 

$$

TATRO

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
112 PM CDT Tue Jun 19 2018

...Updated Long Term...

.SHORT TERM...(This afternoon through Wednesday)
Issued at 1154 AM CDT Tue Jun 19 2018

Potential for severe weather, MCS, and heavy rain setting up from
this evening through the overnight. An upper level low in Montana
will kick out a shortwave which will move from central Colorado
into western Kansas through tonight. This wave will combine with
a stationary to an eventual cold front across west central Kansas
to produce several areas of rain. The highest confidence of the
heaviest rain of possibly 2-3 inches will be along and just south
of the I-70 corridor. Models are hinting at a couple rounds of
initiation with the first being during the afternoon and then
another round of storms coming in from northeast Colorado in
association with the main shortwave and cold front.

Severe threat initially this afternoon will be a short time frame
of supercells primarily along the Colorado border where we could
see large hail and an isolated tornado threat. As the event
evolves it will quickly become a wind threat as the storms will
quickly develop into a line and move across the area.

Wednesday as the upper low progresses into Nebraska and the
shortwave move into central Kansas the rain should gradually end
from west to east through the morning into the afternoon. With the
clouds hanging around and cold air advection high temperatures
will be in the lower to mid 80s.

.LONG TERM...(Wednesday night through Tuesday)
Issued at 104 PM CDT Tue Jun 19 2018

The upper level low slowly moves eastward into Iowa Wednesday
evening into Thursday morning and will bring in a second cold
front across the region. This will lead to cooler temperatures
through the day Thursday into Friday morning.

The storm system should exit the area by Friday bringing the
return of southeast winds and moisture. Both GFS and Euro hint at
convection trying to develop along a warm front as a shortwave
moves out of Colorado by the late afternoon.

The weekend has another upper level low developing in the Pacific
northwest and moving towards the Rockies with a good baroclinic
zone developing roughly along the I-70 corridor. With upslope flow
and moisture in place the possibility of another heavy rain event
and MCS could be in place.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 18Z TAFS through 18Z Wednesday afternoon)
Issued at 1215 PM CDT Tue Jun 19 2018

Thunderstorms will become likely as we go throughout this
afternoon and especially tonight. Heavy rain, which will reduce
surface visibilities, and gusty winds from the storms will be a
threat for all TAF sites primarily from 01Z- 09Z. There is the
possibility at HYS and GCK of thunderstorms occurring as early as
22Z.  The thunderstorm threat should gradually subside for all
TAF sites after 12Z with ceiling slowly rising through the day.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DDC  95  64  84  60 /  20  90  50  10
GCK  95  63  84  59 /  40  90  30  10
EHA  95  62  84  59 /  30  70  20  10
LBL  95  65  84  60 /  20  80  30  10
HYS  94  66  82  60 /  50  90  20  20
P28  95  69  82  64 /  10  70  60  10

&&

.DDC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Flash Flood Watch from 7 PM CDT this evening through Wednesday
morning for KSZ030-031-043>045.

&&

SHORT TERM...Tatro
LONG TERM...Tatro
AVIATION...Tatro

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
336 AM CDT Tue Jun 19 2018

KSZ030-031-043>046-061>066-074>081-084>090-200845-
Trego-Ellis-Scott-Lane-Ness-Rush-Hamilton-Kearny-Finney-Hodgeman-
Pawnee-Stafford-Stanton-Grant-Haskell-Gray-Ford-Edwards-Kiowa-
Pratt-Morton-Stevens-Seward-Meade-Clark-Comanche-Barber-
336 AM CDT Tue Jun 19 2018 /236 AM MDT Tue Jun 19 2018/

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of central...south
central...southwest and west central Kansas.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Day 1 Discussion
----------------

Strong to severe thunderstorms are expected late this afternoon
into the overnight period, first across west central Kansas
spreading southeast as the night progresses. The strongest storms
will be capable of producing hail around 2 inches and winds over
70 mph. An isolated tornado can not be ruled out across west
central Kansas late this afternoon.

A flash flood watch will be in effect along the I-70 corridor late
this afternoon into the overnight period. See the latest flood
product for more information.

Day 1 Hazards
-------------
* Lightning: Significant risk
* Excessive heat: Limited risk
* Non-thunderstorm wind: Limited risk

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

Days 2-7 Discussion
-------------------

A chance of thunderstorms will be possible across south central
Kansas Wednesday morning. These storms are not expected to be
severe at this time.

A chance of thunderstorms will be possible Friday night and again
Sunday. It is too early to tell if any of these storms will become
severe.

Days 2-7 Hazards
----------------
* Wednesday
  - Lightning: Elevated risk
  - Severe thunderstorm: Limited risk

* Thursday
  - Lightning: Limited risk
  - Non thunderstorm wind: Limited risk

* Friday
  - Lightning: Limited risk

* Saturday
  - Lightning: Limited risk
  - Excessive heat: Limited risk

* Sunday
  - Lightning: Limited risk
  - Excessive heat: Limited risk

* Monday
  - Lightning: Limited risk
  - Excessive heat: Limited risk

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation may be needed first across west central Kansas
late this afternoon spreading southeast this evening into tonight.

&&

For more details visit our webpage http://weather.gov/ddc/ehwo

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
255 PM CDT TUE JUN 19 2018

KSZ084-192045-
Morton KS-
255 PM CDT TUE JUN 19 2018

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR WESTERN MORTON COUNTY UNTIL 345
PM CDT...

At 255 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 12
miles northwest of Elkhart, moving northeast at 15 mph.

Dime size hail and wind gusts up to 50 mph will be possible with this
storm.

This storm will remain over mainly rural areas of western Morton
County.

LAT...LON 3728 10204 3736 10188 3714 10173 3703 10204
TIME...MOT...LOC 1955Z 239DEG 14KT 3714 10205

TATRO

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
308 PM CDT TUE JUN 19 2018

KSZ030-043>045-192100-
Trego KS-Lane KS-Scott KS-Ness KS-
308 PM CDT TUE JUN 19 2018

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHWESTERN NESS...SCOTT...TREGO
AND LANE COUNTIES UNTIL 400 PM CDT...

At 306 PM CDT, thunderstorms were beginning to develop in a very
unstable environment along a stationary front. A few storms are
expected to rapidly become severe any time after 330 PM across
portions of Scott, Lane, Ness, or Trego County.

Locations impacted include...
Scott City, Wakeeney, Dighton, Ransom, Ogallah, Utica, Collyer,
Alamota, Brownell, Grigston, Trego Center, Scott State Lake, Cedar
Bluff, Modoc, Shallow Water, Manning, Beeler, Pendennis, Amy and
Arnold.

LAT...LON 3872 9961 3827 10025 3827 10112 3870 10113
      3870 10016 3913 10015 3913 9960
TIME...MOT...LOC 2006Z 222DEG 25KT 3848 10077

UMSCHEID

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
326 PM CDT TUE JUN 19 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0320 PM     HAIL             15 NNW ELKHART          37.18N 102.03W
06/19/2018  E0.25 INCH       MORTON             KS   PUBLIC

&&

MR

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
330 PM CDT TUE JUN 19 2018

KSZ075-192115-
Grant KS-
330 PM CDT TUE JUN 19 2018

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR CENTRAL GRANT COUNTY UNTIL 415 PM
CDT...

At 330 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 3
miles south of Ulysses, moving northeast at 10 mph.

Dime size hail and wind gusts up to 50 mph will be possible with this
storm.

Locations impacted include...
Ulysses and Hickok.

LAT...LON 3746 10140 3756 10151 3773 10132 3755 10110
TIME...MOT...LOC 2030Z 234DEG 9KT 3753 10138

TATRO

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
344 PM CDT TUE JUN 19 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0340 PM     HAIL             1 W ULYSSES             37.58N 101.38W
06/19/2018  E0.88 INCH       GRANT              KS   PUBLIC

            DIME TO NICKEL HAIL WAS REPORTED.

&&

MR