Severe Thunderstorm Warning 121, NWS Dodge City, KS

114 
WWUS53 KDDC 282302
SVSDDC

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
602 PM CDT MON MAY 28 2018

KSC101-171-282330-
/O.CON.KDDC.SV.W.0121.000000T0000Z-180528T2330Z/
Scott KS-Lane KS-
602 PM CDT MON MAY 28 2018

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 630 PM CDT
FOR NORTHEASTERN SCOTT AND NORTHWESTERN LANE COUNTIES...

At 601 PM CDT, a severe thunderstorm was located 3 miles north of
Manning, moving northeast at 35 mph.

HAZARD...Ping pong ball size hail and 60 mph wind gusts. 

SOURCE...Emergency management at 5:55 PM half dollar sized hail was 
         reported 5 miles east of Scott City. 

IMPACT...People and animals outdoors will be injured. Expect hail 
         damage to roofs, siding, windows, and vehicles. Expect wind 
         damage to roofs, siding, and trees. 

Locations impacted include...
Healy and Manning. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

&&

A tornado watch remains in effect until 1000 PM CDT for west central
Kansas.

LAT...LON 3870 10053 3849 10068 3854 10084 3870 10081
TIME...MOT...LOC 2301Z 202DEG 29KT 3860 10073 

HAIL...1.50IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

TATRO

940 
WWUS53 KDDC 282323 RRA
SVSDDC

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
623 PM CDT MON MAY 28 2018

KSC101-171-282333-
/O.EXP.KDDC.SV.W.0121.000000T0000Z-180528T2330Z/
Scott KS-Lane KS-
623 PM CDT MON MAY 28 2018

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR NORTHEASTERN SCOTT AND
NORTHWESTERN LANE COUNTIES WILL EXPIRE AT 630 PM CDT...
                
The storm which prompted the warning has weakened below severe
limits, and no longer poses an immediate threat to life or property.
Therefore the warning will be allowed to expire.

A tornado watch remains in effect until 1000 PM CDT for west central
Kansas.

LAT...LON 3870 10053 3849 10068 3854 10084 3870 10081
TIME...MOT...LOC 2323Z 203DEG 38KT 3881 10062 

$$

TATRO

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
234 PM CDT Mon May 28 2018

...Updated discussion...

.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Tuesday)
Issued at 222 PM CDT Mon May 28 2018

Main concern today and tonight is the severe thunderstorm
potential, which has already started. Think there are two areas of
concerns for two different types of severe hazards. An OFB is
running from central Ellis county all the way to Sherman county.
To the west, a quasi-warm front or stationary boundary extends
across portions of east-central Colorado. Am mainly concerned with
tornado potential with these two boundaries if a storm/supercell
were to interact with said boundaries. Mesoanalysis shows east
winds behind this boundary along with locally higher STP values.
So, putting this all together, for areas along and north of
Highway 96, am concerned with tornadoes and secondary hail. To
the south, higher LCL's and weaker lower level shear (weaker due
to no boundaries nearby) will favor a more hail and wind threat.
Think hail size of 2-3" is likely for initial supercells. Hail
size will lower (per LHP) later this evening through upscale
growth and higher beneficial competition of hail embryos. A wind
threat will be the main concern late this evening for much of the
rest of the forecast area as a squall line is eventually expected.
Ignoring the tornado, hail and wind threat, the central zones and
perhaps eastern zones stand to see a good chance at seeing 1-2"
of rain with the squall line if it actually develops like some of
the meso models are suggesting.

.LONG TERM...(Tuesday night through Monday)
Issued at 222 PM CDT Mon May 28 2018

Severe thunderstorm potential for tomorrow will all depend on what
happens tonight and where the mesoscale boundaries/warm sector
ends up. EC suggests the main threat will be along and east of
Highway 283. A cooler bl along with associated lower LCL's do
suggest some tornado threat tomorrow. Best areas per warm sector
placement from the models would be across the eastern/southeastern
zones.

Left the rest of the extended as is with FB pops and temps. Warm
and dry is the long and short of it.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 18Z TAFS through 18Z Tuesday afternoon)
Issued at 1200 PM CDT Mon May 28 2018

VFR conditions are expected through much of the TAF pd. Locally reduced
cigs/vis will be possible in association with +TSRA moving across the
terminals from west to east starting this afternoon through the evening.
SVR hail and wind is also possible with the line. Storms will exit
the entire region late tonight. Otherwise, SE/S winds 15-30 kt today
through end of TAF pd.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DDC  65  86  62  89 /  80  30  40  10
GCK  63  86  60  88 /  80  20  10  10
EHA  62  86  60  89 /  20  10  10  20
LBL  65  88  61  90 /  80  10  10  10
HYS  65  81  60  87 /  70  40  60   0
P28  69  89  65  92 /  30  20  60   0

&&

.DDC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

SHORT TERM...Sugden
LONG TERM...Sugden
AVIATION...Sugden

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
519 AM CDT Mon May 28 2018

KSZ030-031-043>046-061>066-074>081-084>090-291030-
Trego-Ellis-Scott-Lane-Ness-Rush-Hamilton-Kearny-Finney-Hodgeman-
Pawnee-Stafford-Stanton-Grant-Haskell-Gray-Ford-Edwards-Kiowa-
Pratt-Morton-Stevens-Seward-Meade-Clark-Comanche-Barber-
519 AM CDT Mon May 28 2018 /419 AM MDT Mon May 28 2018/

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of central...south
central...southwest and west central Kansas.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Day 1 Discussion
----------------

Thunderstorms will develop along a surface trough near the
Colorado border and near an old outflow boundary in northwest
Kansas this afternoon. Hail up to the size of ping-pong balls and
damaging wind gusts may accompany the more intense thunderstorms.
Although the threat of tornadoes is not high, a tornado is
possible with any discrete supercell especially around sunset
when the low level jet develops.

Day 1 Hazards
-------------
* Tornado: Limited risk
* Hail: Elevated risk
* Thunderstorm wind damage: Elevated risk
* Lightning: Elevated risk
* Non-thunderstorm wind: Limited risk
* Fire weather: Elevated risk

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.

Days 2-7 Discussion
-------------------

Scattered thunderstorms are likely to develop again Tuesday as an
upper level cold pool approaches western Kansas. Thunderstorms may
be ongoing Tuesday morning in northwest Kansas and will develop
southeast with time. Hail up to the size of ping-pong balls and
heavy rain can be expected with the more intense thunderstorms,
especially near a retreating outflow boundary in south central
Kansas Tuesday afternoon. Thunderstorms may occur Wednesday and
Thursday, but the probability of severe weather is low. Hot
weather will develop Friday with highs near 100 degrees especially
in the Red Hills. Active fire behavior can be expected.

Days 2-7 Hazards
----------------
* Tuesday
  - Lightning: Elevated risk
  - Severe thunderstorm: Elevated risk

* Wednesday
  - Lightning: Limited risk

* Thursday
  No hazards.

* Friday
  - Lightning: Limited risk
  - Fire weather: Elevated risk

* Saturday
  No hazards.

* Sunday
  - Lightning: Limited risk

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation may be needed after 300 PM in Trego and Ness
Counties and near the Colorado border. Spotter activation may be
required farther east during the afternoon and evening as a line
of thunderstorms moves to near Highway 283 by 9 PM.

&&

For more details visit our webpage http://weather.gov/ddc/ehwo

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
440 PM CDT MON MAY 28 2018

KSZ030-282245-
Trego KS-
440 PM CDT MON MAY 28 2018

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHWESTERN TREGO COUNTY UNTIL
545 PM CDT...

At 440 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm very
near Voda, moving north at 15 mph.

Dime size hail and winds in excess of 40 mph will be possible with
this storm.

Locations impacted include...
Collyer and Voda.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm, and may lead
to localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with this storm.
Lightning can strike 10 miles away from a thunderstorm. Seek a safe
shelter inside a building or vehicle.

This storm may intensify, so be certain to monitor local radio
stations and available television stations for additional information
and possible warnings from the National Weather Service.

&&

A tornado watch remains in effect until 1000 PM CDT for west central
Kansas.

LAT...LON 3894 9995 3899 10015 3909 10015 3913 10014
      3913 9985
TIME...MOT...LOC 2140Z 195DEG 13KT 3904 10004

SUGDEN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
455 PM CDT MON MAY 28 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0445 PM     HAIL             4 ESE PENDENNIS         38.63N 100.27W
05/28/2018  E1.00 INCH       LANE               KS   PUBLIC

&&

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
457 PM CDT MON MAY 28 2018

KSZ084-282245-
Morton KS-
457 PM CDT MON MAY 28 2018

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR WESTERN MORTON AND SOUTHERN
STANTON COUNTIES UNTIL 545 PM CDT...

At 457 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 9
miles west of Elkhart, moving northeast at 40 mph.

Nickel size hail and wind gusts of 50 to 55 mph will be possible with
this storm.

Locations impacted include...
Richfield.

A severe thunderstorm watch remains in effect until 1000 PM CDT for
southwestern Kansas.

LAT...LON 3739 10204 3739 10163 3699 10191 3699 10204
TIME...MOT...LOC 2157Z 206DEG 41KT 3698 10207

TATRO

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
507 PM CDT MON MAY 28 2018

KSZ030-282300-
Trego KS-
507 PM CDT MON MAY 28 2018

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHEASTERN TREGO AND
NORTHWESTERN ELLIS COUNTIES UNTIL 600 PM CDT...

At 507 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 5
miles northeast of Wakeeney, moving northeast at 20 mph.

Nickel size hail and winds in excess of 40 mph will be possible with
this storm.

Locations impacted include...
Wakeeney.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm, and may lead
to localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with this storm.
Lightning can strike 10 miles away from a thunderstorm. Seek a safe
shelter inside a building or vehicle.

This storm may intensify, so be certain to monitor local radio
stations and available television stations for additional information
and possible warnings from the National Weather Service.

&&

A tornado watch remains in effect until 1000 PM CDT for central and
west central Kansas.

LAT...LON 3911 9959 3894 9979 3913 10006 3913 9959
TIME...MOT...LOC 2207Z 230DEG 19KT 3907 9980

SUGDEN

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
529 PM CDT MON MAY 28 2018

KSZ030-031-282330-
Trego KS-Ellis KS-
529 PM CDT MON MAY 28 2018

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHEASTERN TREGO AND
NORTHWESTERN ELLIS COUNTIES UNTIL 630 PM CDT...

At 529 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 9
miles southwest of Palco, or 10 miles northeast of Ogallah, moving
northeast at 20 mph.

Nickel size hail and wind gusts up to 50 mph will be possible with
this storm.

This storm will remain over mainly rural areas of northeastern Trego
and northwestern Ellis Counties.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm, and may lead
to localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with this storm.
Lightning can strike 10 miles away from a thunderstorm. Seek a safe
shelter inside a building or vehicle.

This storm may intensify, so be certain to monitor local radio
stations and available television stations for additional information
and possible warnings from the National Weather Service.

&&

A tornado watch remains in effect until 1000 PM CDT for central and
west central Kansas.

LAT...LON 3912 9923 3901 9966 3913 9974 3913 9923
TIME...MOT...LOC 2229Z 241DEG 20KT 3913 9964

SUGDEN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
545 PM CDT MON MAY 28 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0530 PM     HAIL             ELKHART                 37.00N 101.89W
05/28/2018  E0.88 INCH       MORTON             KS   PUBLIC

0530 PM     HAIL             2 S AMY                 38.45N 100.60W
05/28/2018  E1.00 INCH       LANE               KS   PUBLIC

0515 PM     HAIL             11 SSW BIG BOW          37.42N 101.65W
05/28/2018  E1.00 INCH       STANTON            KS   PUBLIC

            WINDS ALSO GUSTED TO 50 MPH WITH THIS STORM.

&&