Alert archive / Kansas / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2018

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 114, NWS Dodge City, KS

May 28, 2018Finney County, Lane County, Scott County, Kansas

NWS Dodge City, KS issued this severe thunderstorm warning at May 28, 2018, 4:49 PM CDT for Finney County, Lane County, Scott County, Kansas. It was in force for 18 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued: May 28, 2018, 4:49 PM CDT (21:49 UTC)
Expired: May 28, 2018, 5:07 PM CDT
In force: 18 min
Issued by: NWS Dodge City, KS
Area: Storm-based polygon
Hail: 1.5 in
Wind: 60.0 mph

Counties Finney County, KS, Lane County, KS, Scott County, KS

The radar

The Dodge City radar (KDDC), 79 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 21:53 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

Did it verify

Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this severe thunderstorm warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The watch it was issued in

The SPC watch in force over the same counties when this warning went out.

Issued	Product	Office	Lasted
May 28, 2:12 PM CDT	Tornado Watch	SPC	8 hr
May 28, 3:17 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Watch	SPC	10 hr

The nearest sounding before it

Dodge City, (KDDC), launched 12:00Z, 9.8 hours before the alert went out and 83 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 2062 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: -155 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL: 1158 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 28 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: 52 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 63 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.0
Supercell composite: 0.4

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

659 
WUUS53 KDDC 282149
SVRDDC
KSC055-101-171-282230-
/O.NEW.KDDC.SV.W.0114.180528T2149Z-180528T2230Z/

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Warning
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
449 PM CDT MON MAY 28 2018

The National Weather Service in Dodge City has issued a

* Severe Thunderstorm Warning for...
  North central Finney County in southwestern Kansas...
  Southeastern Scott County in west central Kansas...
  Southwestern Lane County in west central Kansas...

* Until 530 PM CDT

* At 449 PM CDT, a severe thunderstorm was located 8 miles northeast
  of Garden City, moving north at 40 mph.

  HAZARD...Ping pong ball size hail and 60 mph wind gusts. 

  SOURCE...Radar indicated. 

  IMPACT...People and animals outdoors will be injured. Expect hail 
           damage to roofs, siding, windows, and vehicles. Expect 
           wind damage to roofs, siding, and trees. 

* Locations impacted include...
  Dighton and Amy. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

&&

A tornado watch remains in effect until 1000 PM CDT for west central
Kansas.

LAT...LON 3849 10036 3795 10069 3797 10077 3855 10071
TIME...MOT...LOC 2149Z 193DEG 42KT 3803 10072 

HAIL...1.50IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

TATRO

2 follow-up statements

101 
WWUS53 KDDC 282203
SVSDDC

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
503 PM CDT MON MAY 28 2018

KSC055-101-171-282230-
/O.CON.KDDC.SV.W.0114.000000T0000Z-180528T2230Z/
Finney KS-Scott KS-Lane KS-
503 PM CDT MON MAY 28 2018

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 530 PM CDT
FOR NORTH CENTRAL FINNEY...SOUTHEASTERN SCOTT AND SOUTHWESTERN LANE
COUNTIES...

At 503 PM CDT, a severe thunderstorm was located 16 miles east of
Friend, moving northeast at 45 mph.

HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts and quarter size hail. 

SOURCE...Radar indicated. 

IMPACT...Hail damage to vehicles is expected. Expect wind damage to 
         roofs, siding, and trees. 

Locations impacted include...
Dighton and Amy. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

&&

A tornado watch remains in effect until 1000 PM CDT for west central
Kansas.

LAT...LON 3808 10061 3813 10070 3855 10071 3849 10036
TIME...MOT...LOC 2203Z 204DEG 41KT 3818 10063 

HAIL...1.00IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

TATRO

220 
WWUS53 KDDC 282207
SVSDDC

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
507 PM CDT MON MAY 28 2018

KSC055-101-171-282217-
/O.CAN.KDDC.SV.W.0114.000000T0000Z-180528T2230Z/
Finney KS-Scott KS-Lane KS-
507 PM CDT MON MAY 28 2018

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR NORTH CENTRAL FINNEY...
SOUTHEASTERN SCOTT AND SOUTHWESTERN LANE COUNTIES IS CANCELLED...
                
The storm which prompted the warning has weakened below severe
limits, and no longer poses an immediate threat to life or property.
Therefore the warning has been cancelled.

A tornado watch remains in effect until 1000 PM CDT for west central
Kansas.

A severe thunderstorm watch remains in effect until 1000 PM CDT for
southwestern Kansas.

LAT...LON 3808 10061 3813 10070 3855 10071 3849 10036
TIME...MOT...LOC 2207Z 193DEG 42KT 3823 10062 

$$

TATRO

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Dodge City, KS wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at May 28, 2:34 PM CDT, 2 hours 15 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, May 28, 2:34 PM CDT, 2 hours 15 minutes before

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
234 PM CDT Mon May 28 2018

...Updated discussion...

.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Tuesday)
Issued at 222 PM CDT Mon May 28 2018

Main concern today and tonight is the severe thunderstorm
potential, which has already started. Think there are two areas of
concerns for two different types of severe hazards. An OFB is
running from central Ellis county all the way to Sherman county.
To the west, a quasi-warm front or stationary boundary extends
across portions of east-central Colorado. Am mainly concerned with
tornado potential with these two boundaries if a storm/supercell
were to interact with said boundaries. Mesoanalysis shows east
winds behind this boundary along with locally higher STP values.
So, putting this all together, for areas along and north of
Highway 96, am concerned with tornadoes and secondary hail. To
the south, higher LCL's and weaker lower level shear (weaker due
to no boundaries nearby) will favor a more hail and wind threat.
Think hail size of 2-3" is likely for initial supercells. Hail
size will lower (per LHP) later this evening through upscale
growth and higher beneficial competition of hail embryos. A wind
threat will be the main concern late this evening for much of the
rest of the forecast area as a squall line is eventually expected.
Ignoring the tornado, hail and wind threat, the central zones and
perhaps eastern zones stand to see a good chance at seeing 1-2"
of rain with the squall line if it actually develops like some of
the meso models are suggesting.

.LONG TERM...(Tuesday night through Monday)
Issued at 222 PM CDT Mon May 28 2018

Severe thunderstorm potential for tomorrow will all depend on what
happens tonight and where the mesoscale boundaries/warm sector
ends up. EC suggests the main threat will be along and east of
Highway 283. A cooler bl along with associated lower LCL's do
suggest some tornado threat tomorrow. Best areas per warm sector
placement from the models would be across the eastern/southeastern
zones.

Left the rest of the extended as is with FB pops and temps. Warm
and dry is the long and short of it.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 18Z TAFS through 18Z Tuesday afternoon)
Issued at 1200 PM CDT Mon May 28 2018

VFR conditions are expected through much of the TAF pd. Locally reduced
cigs/vis will be possible in association with +TSRA moving across the
terminals from west to east starting this afternoon through the evening.
SVR hail and wind is also possible with the line. Storms will exit
the entire region late tonight. Otherwise, SE/S winds 15-30 kt today
through end of TAF pd.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DDC  65  86  62  89 /  80  30  40  10
GCK  63  86  60  88 /  80  20  10  10
EHA  62  86  60  89 /  20  10  10  20
LBL  65  88  61  90 /  80  10  10  10
HYS  65  81  60  87 /  70  40  60   0
P28  69  89  65  92 /  30  20  60   0

&&

.DDC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

SHORT TERM...Sugden
LONG TERM...Sugden
AVIATION...Sugden

Hazardous weather outlook, May 28, 5:19 AM CDT, 11 hours 30 minutes before

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
519 AM CDT Mon May 28 2018

KSZ030-031-043>046-061>066-074>081-084>090-291030-
Trego-Ellis-Scott-Lane-Ness-Rush-Hamilton-Kearny-Finney-Hodgeman-
Pawnee-Stafford-Stanton-Grant-Haskell-Gray-Ford-Edwards-Kiowa-
Pratt-Morton-Stevens-Seward-Meade-Clark-Comanche-Barber-
519 AM CDT Mon May 28 2018 /419 AM MDT Mon May 28 2018/

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of central...south
central...southwest and west central Kansas.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Day 1 Discussion
----------------

Thunderstorms will develop along a surface trough near the
Colorado border and near an old outflow boundary in northwest
Kansas this afternoon. Hail up to the size of ping-pong balls and
damaging wind gusts may accompany the more intense thunderstorms.
Although the threat of tornadoes is not high, a tornado is
possible with any discrete supercell especially around sunset
when the low level jet develops.

Day 1 Hazards
-------------
* Tornado: Limited risk
* Hail: Elevated risk
* Thunderstorm wind damage: Elevated risk
* Lightning: Elevated risk
* Non-thunderstorm wind: Limited risk
* Fire weather: Elevated risk

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.

Days 2-7 Discussion
-------------------

Scattered thunderstorms are likely to develop again Tuesday as an
upper level cold pool approaches western Kansas. Thunderstorms may
be ongoing Tuesday morning in northwest Kansas and will develop
southeast with time. Hail up to the size of ping-pong balls and
heavy rain can be expected with the more intense thunderstorms,
especially near a retreating outflow boundary in south central
Kansas Tuesday afternoon. Thunderstorms may occur Wednesday and
Thursday, but the probability of severe weather is low. Hot
weather will develop Friday with highs near 100 degrees especially
in the Red Hills. Active fire behavior can be expected.

Days 2-7 Hazards
----------------
* Tuesday
  - Lightning: Elevated risk
  - Severe thunderstorm: Elevated risk

* Wednesday
  - Lightning: Limited risk

* Thursday
  No hazards.

* Friday
  - Lightning: Limited risk
  - Fire weather: Elevated risk

* Saturday
  No hazards.

* Sunday
  - Lightning: Limited risk

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation may be needed after 300 PM in Trego and Ness
Counties and near the Colorado border. Spotter activation may be
required farther east during the afternoon and evening as a line
of thunderstorms moves to near Highway 283 by 9 PM.

&&

For more details visit our webpage http://weather.gov/ddc/ehwo

In the hours before

Local storm report, May 28, 2:32 PM CDT, 2 hours 17 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
232 PM CDT MON MAY 28 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0124 PM     HAIL             1 SE COLLYER            39.03N 100.11W
05/28/2018  E1.00 INCH       TREGO              KS   EMERGENCY MNGR

&&

GT

Local storm report, May 28, 4:23 PM CDT, 26 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
423 PM CDT MON MAY 28 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0352 PM     HAIL             5 NNE COLLYER           39.11N 100.09W
05/28/2018  E1.25 INCH       TREGO              KS   PUBLIC

&&

Special weather statement, May 28, 4:23 PM CDT, 26 minutes before

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
423 PM CDT MON MAY 28 2018

KSZ074-075-084-085-282215-
Stanton KS-Stevens KS-Grant KS-Morton KS-
423 PM CDT MON MAY 28 2018

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR CENTRAL MORTON...WESTERN GRANT...
EASTERN STANTON AND NORTHWESTERN STEVENS COUNTIES UNTIL 515 PM CDT...

At 423 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 6
miles north of Wilburton, moving northeast at 60 mph.

Dime size hail and wind gusts up to 50 mph will be possible with this
storm.

Locations impacted include...
Ulysses, Richfield and Big Bow.

A severe thunderstorm watch remains in effect until 1000 PM CDT for
southwestern Kansas.

LAT...LON 3705 10181 3711 10197 3772 10157 3763 10120
      3717 10160
TIME...MOT...LOC 2123Z 211DEG 52KT 3716 10180

TATRO

Local storm report, May 28, 4:32 PM CDT, 17 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
432 PM CDT MON MAY 28 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0420 PM     HEAVY RAIN       5 NNE COLLYER           39.11N 100.09W
05/28/2018  E5.20 INCH       TREGO              KS   PUBLIC

            5.2 INCHES OF RAIN REPORTED AT TIME OF CALL.

&&

Special weather statement, May 28, 4:38 PM CDT, 11 minutes before

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
438 PM CDT MON MAY 28 2018

KSZ043-044-063-077-282230-
Gray KS-Finney KS-Lane KS-Scott KS-
438 PM CDT MON MAY 28 2018

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR CENTRAL FINNEY...SOUTHEASTERN
SCOTT...SOUTHWESTERN LANE AND NORTHWESTERN GRAY COUNTIES UNTIL 530 PM
CDT...

At 438 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 4
miles northwest of Pierceville, moving north at 40 mph.

Nickel size hail and wind gusts up to 50 mph will be possible with
this storm.

Locations impacted include...
Pierceville and Grigston.

A tornado watch remains in effect until 1000 PM CDT for west central
Kansas.

A severe thunderstorm watch remains in effect until 1000 PM CDT for
southwestern Kansas.

LAT...LON 3784 10068 3787 10083 3848 10075 3839 10039
TIME...MOT...LOC 2138Z 193DEG 42KT 3793 10073

TATRO

Special weather statement, May 28, 4:40 PM CDT, 9 minutes before

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
440 PM CDT MON MAY 28 2018

KSZ030-282245-
Trego KS-
440 PM CDT MON MAY 28 2018

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHWESTERN TREGO COUNTY UNTIL
545 PM CDT...

At 440 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm very
near Voda, moving north at 15 mph.

Dime size hail and winds in excess of 40 mph will be possible with
this storm.

Locations impacted include...
Collyer and Voda.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm, and may lead
to localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with this storm.
Lightning can strike 10 miles away from a thunderstorm. Seek a safe
shelter inside a building or vehicle.

This storm may intensify, so be certain to monitor local radio
stations and available television stations for additional information
and possible warnings from the National Weather Service.

&&

A tornado watch remains in effect until 1000 PM CDT for west central
Kansas.

LAT...LON 3894 9995 3899 10015 3909 10015 3913 10014
      3913 9985
TIME...MOT...LOC 2140Z 195DEG 13KT 3904 10004

SUGDEN

The office that day

Everything else NWS Dodge City, KS issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
May 28, 1:43 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DDC	Trego	47 min
May 28, 2:30 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DDC	Trego	45 min
May 28, 3:06 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DDC	Trego	42 min
May 28, 3:36 PM CDT	Flash Flood Warning	DDC	Trego	3 hr
May 28, 3:47 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DDC	Trego	58 min
May 28, 4:23 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	DDC	Grant, Morton	52 min
May 28, 4:23 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DDC	Lane, Ness, Trego	23 min
May 28, 4:38 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	DDC	Finney	52 min
May 28, 4:40 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	DDC	Trego	65 min
May 28, 4:57 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	DDC	Morton	48 min
May 28, 5:02 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DDC	Morton	43 min
May 28, 5:06 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DDC	Grant, Hamilton, Kearny, Morton, Stanton	54 min
May 28, 5:07 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	DDC	Trego	53 min
May 28, 5:18 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DDC	Trego	36 min
May 28, 5:20 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DDC	Lane, Scott	40 min
May 28, 5:27 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DDC	Finney, Grant, Kearny, Stanton, Stevens	63 min
May 28, 5:29 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	DDC	Ellis	61 min
May 28, 5:38 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DDC	Morton, Stanton	67 min
May 28, 5:51 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DDC	Lane, Scott	39 min
May 28, 5:55 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	DDC	Trego	65 min
May 28, 6:06 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DDC	Trego	17 min
May 28, 6:07 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DDC	Finney, Lane, Scott	53 min
May 28, 6:09 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	DDC	Morton	66 min
May 28, 6:12 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DDC	Morton	63 min
May 28, 6:20 PM CDT	Flash Flood Warning	DDC	Trego	6 hr
May 28, 6:22 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DDC	Finney, Grant, Kearny	53 min
May 28, 6:26 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DDC	Lane, Scott	49 min
May 28, 6:31 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DDC	Grant, Stanton, Stevens	59 min
May 28, 6:42 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DDC	Stanton	27 min
May 28, 6:43 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DDC	Trego	47 min
May 28, 6:45 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DDC	Finney, Grant, Gray, Haskell, Kearny	60 min
May 28, 6:54 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	DDC	Finney, Grant, Haskell, Kearny	36 min
May 28, 6:55 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DDC	Lane, Ness, Scott, Trego	50 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Kansas, 2018 Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2018

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.