Severe Thunderstorm Warning 13, NWS Corpus Christi, TX

051 
WWUS54 KCRP 290459
SVSCRP

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Corpus Christi TX
1159 PM CDT WED MAR 28 2018

TXC131-249-290515-
/O.CON.KCRP.SV.W.0013.000000T0000Z-180329T0515Z/
Duval TX-Jim Wells TX-
1159 PM CDT WED MAR 28 2018

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1215 AM CDT
FOR NORTHEASTERN DUVAL AND NORTHWESTERN JIM WELLS COUNTIES...

At 1159 PM CDT, a severe thunderstorm was located 9 miles northeast
of Rosita, or 11 miles northwest of San Diego, moving east at 45 mph.

HAZARD...70 mph wind gusts. 

SOURCE...Radar indicated. 

IMPACT...Expect considerable tree damage. Damage is likely to mobile 
         homes, roofs, and outbuildings. 

Locations impacted include...
Alice, San Diego, Orange Grove, Midway, Seven Sisters, Alfred-South
La Paloma, Westdale, Sandia, Tecalote, Rancho De La Parita, Alice
Acres, Alfred, Rosita, Pernitas Point and Lake Alice.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

To report severe weather contact your nearest law enforcement agency.
They will send your report to the National Weather Service office in
Corpus Christi.

Continuous cloud to ground lightning is occurring with this storm.
Move indoors immediately. Lightning is one of nature's leading
killers. Remember, if you can hear thunder, you are close enough to
be struck by lightning.

&&

LAT...LON 2806 9858 2806 9788 2804 9786 2793 9788
      2789 9793 2772 9794 2769 9855 2786 9849
TIME...MOT...LOC 0459Z 266DEG 38KT 2790 9833 

HAIL...<.75IN
WIND...70MPH
 
$$

HART

Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED
National Weather Service Corpus Christi TX
1038 PM CDT Wed Mar 28 2018

.DISCUSSION...

The CFW was updated to extend the high risk of rip currents along
Gulf-facing beaches until 12z Thursday based on the expected sea
state.

&&

.PREVIOUS DISCUSSION... /Issued 823 PM CDT Wed Mar 28 2018/

DISCUSSION...

Updated the forecast to add the Severe Thunderstorm Watch to the
entire CWA until 08z Thursday. Expect large hail, and damaging
straight-line wind east/south of the boundary, to be the primary
threats. Will coordinate with SPC later regarding a possible
Watch over the MSA. Decreased max POPs tonight over the CWA to 80
percent, which is still categorical. Adjusted the QPF to reflect
the latest output from WPC.

PREVIOUS DISCUSSION... /Issued 636 PM CDT Wed Mar 28 2018/

DISCUSSION...

Updated for the 00Z Aviation Discussion.

AVIATION...

With the exception of MVFR CIGs already at LRD, VFR is expected
for the next few hours at ALI-CRP-VCT before CIGs begin to lower.
The approach of mid-level trough is expected to aide in firing off
convection, slowly moving from west to east late this evening
through the overnight. Isolated SHRAs have developed across S TX
but as the night progresses, expecting an increase in development
along with thunderstorm activity. Did back timing a couple of
hours mentioning VCTS/TSRA as area still remains slightly capped,
but enough lifting from the approaching trough should help
overcome it. Some of these storms may become strong to even severe
at times, capable of producing hail and gusty winds. Convection
is expected to gradually diminish or completely push offshore
shortly before 12Z. VFR conditions are expected after that.
Surface boundary has already pushed through the western areas near
LRD where winds are more N-ly, but elsewhere, winds are generally
S-SE. Will gradually see winds begin to veer out of the SW then
NW through the night with the boundary moving eastward.

PREVIOUS DISCUSSION... /Issued 344 PM CDT Wed Mar 28 2018/

DISCUSSION (Tonight through Wednesday)...

Should not be much longer before South Texas starts to see
stronger convection fire up either over our area late this
afternoon and/or move into the area later tonight. Am expecting
widespread convection over the eastern areas, with lower POPs over
the NW Brush Country where the boundary has already moved across.
Appears that some frontogenesis has been occurring over the area
this afternoon (indicative of the lower temperatures west), and
that along with the potent upper level jet, will provide
scattered to widespread thunderstorms. SPC has area in slight risk
and will likely have at least a portion of the area in a blue
(severe) box tonight. Also the potential for heavy rainfall and
have included that in the eastern areas (see WPC excessive
rainfall outlook). Expect the convection to move offshore late
tonight with little to no rainfall over inland areas by sunrise
Thursday (maybe a small chance toward the coastal areas where some
rain may linger). Potential for some moderate to strong winds
behind the thunder as the atmosphere adjusts from the convection.

Clearing on Thursday with the trough moving across, and it looks
like there will be one more warm day as westerly downslope winds
add to the temperature rises. High pressure will surge into the
area late Thursday night/Friday morning, providing a much cooler
day on Friday. The high moves east on Friday night and winds
return to the southeast for the weekend, resulting in another
gradual warm up and increase in humidity. Next shot of rainfall
appears to be Tuesday as the sufficient moisture return combines
with a shortwave trough. Will keep it mainly dry on Wednesday of
next week for now. Some models suggesting a front possibly near
the area Tuesday or Wednesday, but that probably will stay north
of the area.

Finally, tide levels are running about 1 foot (mainly less) above
predicted levels. High tide is approaching at Bob Hall Pier and
Port Aransas. Could have some very minor run-up later this
afternoon or this evening but overall tide levels will remain
below any need for Coastal Flood Advisory (will have next shift
monitor). Have maintained the rip current risk as high until 10
PM. By then, the convection will be approaching.

For temperatures, generally went with a short-term consensus-
NAM-12 forecast for tonight, and on the warm side for Thursday.
More toward the cooler guidance Thursday night. After Friday
(mainly consensus forecast) generally went with a blend of
Superblend and NationalBlend for temperatures and moisture grids.

MARINE...

Seas remain elevated over the offshore waters so have extended the
Small Craft Advisory until mid morning Thursday. Close to 7 feet
over the eastern-most near shore waters but overall no need for
the SCA there at this time. Thunderstorm activity will increase
in areal coverage toward midnight, with all the convection moving
out of the area by late Thursday morning (and probably earlier).
Mariners should keep an eye to the sky tonight and be prepared to
seek safe harbor if storms approach and/or a warning is issued.
Near SCA behind surge of high pressure on Friday, then flow
returns onshore by Saturday. No significant weather until early
next week, if then.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Corpus Christi    65  90  60  79  62  /  80  10   0   0   0
Victoria          63  85  56  77  57  /  80  10   0   0   0
Laredo            63  90  57  83  60  /  60   0   0   0   0
Alice             65  90  57  81  59  /  80  10   0   0   0
Rockport          67  85  62  77  64  /  80  10   0   0   0
Cotulla           59  88  54  81  57  /  50   0   0   0   0
Kingsville        67  89  58  81  60  /  80  10   0   0   0
Navy Corpus       67  87  63  77  66  /  80  10   0   0   0

&&

.CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...High Rip Current Risk until 7 AM CDT Thursday For the following
     zones: Aransas...Calhoun...Kleberg...Nueces.

GM...Small Craft Advisory until 10 AM CDT Thursday For the following
     zones: Waters from Baffin Bay to Port Aransas from 20 to 60
     NM...Waters from Port Aransas to Matagorda Ship Channel
     from 20 to 60 NM.

&&

WC/87...SHORT TERM

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Corpus Christi TX
510 AM CDT Wed Mar 28 2018

TXZ229>234-239>247-291015-
La Salle-McMullen-Live Oak-Bee-Goliad-Victoria-Webb-Duval-
Jim Wells-Kleberg-Nueces-San Patricio-Aransas-Refugio-Calhoun-
510 AM CDT Wed Mar 28 2018

This hazardous weather outlook is for South Texas.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

A slight risk of severe weather will exist for all of South Texas
for primarily late this afternoon through tonight. Large hail and
damaging winds will be the primary severe storm threats, although
a brief tornado will also be possible this evening. Minor flooding
may also occur overnight.

A high risk of rip currents will exist today along Gulf facing
beaches.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday

A moderate risk of rip currents will exist on Thursday along Gulf-
facing beaches.

Chances for showers and thunderstorms return Monday into Tuesday.
Severe thunderstorms are not expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotters are encouraged to relay reports of severe
weather and flooding. Use hashtags #ccspotter and #txwx.

GMZ230-235-250-255-270-275-291015-
Bays and Waterways from Baffin Bay to Port Aransas-
Bays and Waterways from Port Aransas to Port O'Connor-
Coastal waters from Baffin Bay to Port Aransas out 20 NM-
Coastal waters from Port Aransas to Matagorda Ship Channel out
20 NM-Waters from Baffin Bay to Port Aransas from 20 to 60 NM-
Waters from Port Aransas to Matagorda Ship Channel from 20 to
60 NM-
510 AM CDT Wed Mar 28 2018

This hazardous weather outlook is for the Middle Texas
Coastal Waters.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

Severe thunderstorms may occur after midnight tonight across area
waters.

A Small Craft Advisory is in effect until 7am this morning for the
nearshore Gulf waters and until 1am Thursday for the offshore Gulf
waters.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday

Lingering thunderstorm chances will exist over the Gulf Waters
Thursday morning.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Mariners are encouraged to relay reports of hazardous marine
conditions. Use hashtags #ccspotter and #txwx.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX
1013 PM CDT WED MAR 28 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1007 PM     TSTM WND GST     1 NE COTULLA            28.45N  99.22W
03/28/2018  M61 MPH          LA SALLE           TX   ASOS

&&

EVENT NUMBER CRP1800025

HART

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Corpus Christi TX
1017 PM CDT WED MAR 28 2018

TXZ239-290345-
Webb-
1017 PM CDT WED MAR 28 2018

...AN AREA OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT WEBB COUNTY...

At 1016 PM CDT, strong thunderstorms were developing across much of
Webb County , moving northeast at 45 mph.

Wind gusts up to 50 mph and nickel size hail are possible with these
storms.

Locations impacted include...
Laredo, Encinal, Rio Bravo, El Cenizo, Las Tiendas, Laredo
International Airport, Botines, Unitec Industrial Park, Ranchos
Penitas West, Columbia Bridge, United South High School, Texas A&M
International University, Ranchitos Las Lomas, Doctors Hospital Of
Laredo, St Augustine High School South Laredo, Laredo Community
College, Laredo Country Club, Orvil and Callaghan.

Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with this storm.
Lightning can strike 10 miles away from a thunderstorm. Seek a safe
shelter inside a building or vehicle.

These storms may intensify, so be certain to monitor local radio
stations and available television stations for additional
information and possible warnings from the National Weather Service.

A severe thunderstorm watch remains in effect until 300 AM CDT for
south central Texas.

LAT...LON 2726 9949 2730 9949 2731 9954 2741 9949
      2749 9948 2750 9953 2757 9951 2764 9960
      2763 9964 2766 9971 2778 9982 2780 9988
      2791 9990 2794 9994 2804 9939 2805 9889
      2785 9880 2763 9880 2730 9936 2732 9937
TIME...MOT...LOC 0316Z 240DEG 39KT 2761 9924

HART

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX
1055 PM CDT WED MAR 28 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1015 PM     TSTM WND GST     1 NE COTULLA            28.45N  99.22W
03/28/2018  M61 MPH          LA SALLE           TX   ASOS

            ADDITIONAL WIND GUSTS OF 61 MPH REPORTED AT KCOT.

&&

EVENT NUMBER CRP1800026

KW

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Corpus Christi TX
1103 PM CDT WED MAR 28 2018

TXZ239-240-290445-
Webb-Duval-
1103 PM CDT WED MAR 28 2018

...AN AREA OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT SOUTHWESTERN DUVAL AND
SOUTHEASTERN WEBB COUNTIES...

At 1102 PM CDT, strong thunderstorms were located across southern
Webb County, moving east at 30 mph.

Wind gusts up to 50 mph and dime size hail are possible with these
storms.

Locations impacted include...
Laredo, Rio Bravo, El Cenizo, Mirando City, St Augustine High School
South Laredo, Bruni, Oilton, United South High School and Aguilares.

Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with these storms.
Lightning can strike 10 miles away from a thunderstorm. Seek a safe
shelter inside a building or vehicle.

These storms may intensify, so be certain to monitor local radio
stations and available television stations for additional
information and possible warnings from the National Weather Service.

A severe thunderstorm watch remains in effect until 300 AM CDT for
south central Texas.

LAT...LON 2730 9949 2731 9954 2734 9951 2741 9949
      2745 9950 2749 9948 2750 9950 2750 9953
      2778 9861 2736 9857 2736 9859 2734 9859
      2734 9862 2736 9863 2735 9880 2727 9880
      2727 9933 2732 9937 2726 9945 2726 9948
TIME...MOT...LOC 0402Z 253DEG 27KT 2735 9921

HART

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX
1111 PM CDT WED MAR 28 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1055 PM     HAIL             LAREDO                  27.53N  99.49W
03/28/2018  E0.75 INCH       WEBB               TX   SOCIAL MEDIA

            SOCIAL MEDIA REPORTS OF PENNY SIZE HAIL NEAR DEER CREEK
            IN LAREDO.

&&

EVENT NUMBER CRP1800027

KW

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX
1141 PM CDT WED MAR 28 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1126 PM     HAIL             5 N LOMA ALTA           28.16N  98.51W
03/28/2018  E1.00 INCH       MCMULLEN           TX   CO-OP OBSERVER

            CO-OP OBSERVER REPORTS NICKEL TO QUARTER SIZE HAIL.

&&

EVENT NUMBER CRP1800028

KW