Alert archive / New York / Special Weather Statements in 2018

Special Weather Statement, NWS Buffalo, NY

August 14, 2018Oswego County, New York

NWS Buffalo, NY issued this special weather statement at Aug 14, 2018, 8:41 AM EDT for Oswego County, New York. It was in force for 64 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Aug 14, 2018, 8:41 AM EDT (12:41 UTC)
Expired
Aug 14, 2018, 9:45 AM EDT
In force
64 min
Issued by
NWS Buffalo, NY

County Oswego County, NY

The radar

The Ft Drum radar (KTYX), 85 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 12:43 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Buffalo Intl Airport, NY (KBUF), launched 12:00Z, 0.7 hours before the alert went out and 177 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Buffalo Intl Airport, NY at 12:00Z on 2018-08-14Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 18 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Buffalo Intl Airport, NY at 12:00Z on 2018-08-14The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 79 square meters per square second.1939Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
18 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-85 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1188 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
25 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
79 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
110 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

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What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this special weather statement went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Buffalo, NY wrote its last area forecast discussion before this special weather statement went out at Aug 14, 7:00 AM EDT, 1 hour 41 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Aug 14, 7:00 AM EDT, 1 hour 41 minutes before
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Hazardous weather outlook, Aug 14, 5:11 AM EDT, 3 hours 30 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
511 AM EDT Tue Aug 14 2018

NYZ001-002-010>012-019-020-085-150915-
Niagara-Orleans-Northern Erie-Genesee-Wyoming-Chautauqua-Cattaraugus-
Southern Erie-
511 AM EDT Tue Aug 14 2018

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of western New York.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and
statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo
can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf

NYZ003>008-013-014-021-150915-
Monroe-Wayne-Northern Cayuga-Oswego-Jefferson-Lewis-Livingston-
Ontario-Allegany-
511 AM EDT Tue Aug 14 2018

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of western and north
central New York.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.

Showers and scattered thunderstorms will continue today. A few
storms may produce locally heavy rainfall, with isolated flooding
possible.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and
statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo
can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf

LEZ020-040-041-LOZ030-042>045-062>065-SLZ022-024-150915-
Upper Niagara River and Buffalo Harbor-
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Ripley to Dunkirk-
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Dunkirk to Buffalo-
Lower Niagara River-
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from the Niagara River to Hamlin Beach-
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Hamlin Beach to Sodus Bay-
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Sodus Bay to Mexico Bay-
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Mexico Bay to the Saint Lawrence
River-
Lake Ontario open waters from the Niagara River to Hamlin Beach-
Lake Ontario open waters from Hamlin Beach to Sodus Bay-
Lake Ontario open waters from Sodus Bay to Mexico Bay-
Lake Ontario open waters from Mexico Bay to the Saint Lawrence River-
Saint Lawrence River from Cape Vincent to Ogdensburg-
Saint Lawrence River from Ogdensburg to Saint Regis-
511 AM EDT Tue Aug 14 2018

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the New York waters of Lake
Erie, Lake Ontario, and the Saint Lawrence River.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and
statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo
can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Aug 14, 5:24 AM EDT, 3 hours 17 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
524 AM EDT TUE AUG 14 2018

NYZ004>006-014-141015-
Ontario-Oswego-Wayne-Northern Cayuga-
524 AM EDT TUE AUG 14 2018

...AN AREA OF HEAVY RAIN AND EMBEDDED THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT
EASTERN WAYNE...CAYUGA...SOUTHWESTERN OSWEGO AND EASTERN ONTARIO
COUNTIES...

At 520 AM EDT, an area of heavy rain and isolated embedded
thunderstorms was located over Montezuma, or 8 miles north of Seneca
Falls. The area of heavy rain was drifting slowly southwest.

Locations impacted include...
Oswego, Geneva, Fair Haven Beach State Park, Lyons, Clyde, Weedsport,
Cato, Chimney Bluffs State Park, Battle Island State Park and
Sterling.

This includes Interstate 90 between exits 42 and 40.

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this shower, and may cause
localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

LAT...LON 4330 7703 4345 7640 4303 7655 4301 7696
      4287 7696 4287 7698 4283 7698
TIME...MOT...LOC 0920Z 070DEG 4KT 4303 7674

TMA
Special weather statement, Aug 14, 6:20 AM EDT, 2 hours 21 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
620 AM EDT TUE AUG 14 2018

NYZ004-005-014-141115-
Ontario-Wayne-Northern Cayuga-
620 AM EDT TUE AUG 14 2018

...AN AREA OF HEAVY RAIN AND EMBEDDED THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT
WAYNE...CAYUGA AND NORTHEASTERN ONTARIO COUNTIES...

At 616 AM EDT, an area of heavy rain and isolated embedded
thunderstorms was located over Lyons, or 13 miles northwest of
Waterloo. The area of heavy rain was drifting slowly southwest.

Locations impacted include...
Geneva, Fair Haven Beach State Park, Newark, Lyons, Clifton Springs,
Clyde, Phelps, Sodus, Rushville and Chimney Bluffs State Park.

This includes Interstate 90 near exit 42.

Torrential rainfall is occurring within this area, and may cause
poor drainage and field flooding, and ponding of water of roadways.
Do not drive your vehicle through flooded roadways.

LAT...LON 4329 7717 4335 7670 4303 7671 4301 7696
      4287 7696 4286 7698 4276 7698 4276 7723
TIME...MOT...LOC 1016Z 058DEG 7KT 4308 7697

TMA
Special weather statement, Aug 14, 7:21 AM EDT, 1 hour 20 minutes before
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Special weather statement, Aug 14, 8:17 AM EDT, 24 minutes before
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Special weather statement, Aug 14, 8:41 AM EDT, 0 minutes before
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The office that day

Everything else NWS Buffalo, NY issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Aug 14, 5:24 AM EDTSpecial Weather StatementBUFCayuga51 min
Aug 14, 6:20 AM EDTSpecial Weather StatementBUFWayne55 min
Aug 14, 7:21 AM EDTSpecial Weather StatementBUFOntario, Wayne54 min
Aug 14, 8:17 AM EDTSpecial Weather StatementBUFWayne58 min
Aug 14, 9:21 AM EDTFlash Flood WarningBUFMonroe, Ontario, Wayne5 hr
Aug 14, 1:45 PM EDTAreal Flood WarningBUFMonroe20 hr
Aug 14, 3:12 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementBUFOswego63 min
Aug 14, 3:34 PM EDTFlash Flood WarningBUFOswego3 hr
Aug 14, 4:17 PM EDTFlash Flood WarningBUFJefferson, Oswego3 hr
Aug 14, 4:53 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementBUFLewis37 min
Aug 14, 5:27 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementBUFJefferson, Lewis48 min

Nearby

Special Weather Statements in New York, 2018Every special weather statement in 2018

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.